David Freitas

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1989-03-18

Age (2027)38

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2021	32	AAA/ROKTB	82	.212/.350/.364	3	1	54	—	.183/.276/.282
2022	33	AAAScranton/Wilk…	127	.239/.310/.345	2	0	36	—	.185/.230/.252
2023	34	AAAOklahoma City…	129	.295/.373/.491	5	0	78	—	.224/.286/.345

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2023 AAA

Chase%81

Whiff%73

K%72

Z-Con%68

Max EV39

BB%34

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2011	22	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	516	427	123	30	0	13	82	87	6	2	1	288	410	450	859	162	335	17	16	387	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	74	63	21	6	0	2	6	15	2	0	0	333	408	524	932	190	388	20	8	396	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	321	273	74	22	0	5	39	52	7	0	0	271	376	407	783	136	317	16	12	354	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	110	97	26	8	0	1	11	14	2	0	0	268	355	381	736	113	305	13	10	335	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	246	224	48	6	0	9	20	39	2	0	0	214	285	362	646	147	222	16	8	292	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	34	27	6	0	0	1	4	6	3	1	0	222	382	333	716	111	250	18	12	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	28	22	8	1	0	1	6	3	0	0	0	364	500	545	1.045	182	389	11	21	464	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	190	168	42	11	0	5	19	24	1	0	0	250	330	405	735	155	264	13	10	327	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	276	248	60	12	0	8	17	37	6	1	0	242	306	387	693	145	251	13	6	306	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	95	84	27	7	0	2	7	20	0	3	0	321	374	476	850	155	385	21	7	361	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	272	248	71	20	1	4	21	47	1	0	0	286	342	423	765	137	340	17	8	341	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	17	17	4	2	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	235	235	353	588	118	308	24	0	258	60	-1	+0	-0	+5	+0	0.5
2017	28	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	270	236	62	13	0	3	25	35	4	0	0	263	342	356	698	93	292	13	9	315	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	106	93	20	6	0	1	8	25	0	0	0	215	267	312	578	97	284	24	8	256	61	-5	+0	+1	+5	+2	0.3
2018	29	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	167	146	51	12	1	4	17	27	3	0	0	349	425	527	953	178	409	16	10	420	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	20	15	1	0	0	0	4	5	0	0	0	67	263	67	330		91	25	20	185	11	-2	+0	+0	+7	+0	0.6
2019	30	AAA	San Antonio Missions	—	384	328	125	23	0	12	47	55	4	0	1	381	462	561	1.023	180	428	14	12	447	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	66	53	13	1	0	3	11	11	0	1	0	245	375	434	809	189	244	17	17	354	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	ROK	FCL Rays	—	16	13	1	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	0	77	250	77	327		100	19	12	190	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	33	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	127	113	27	6	0	2	12	23	0	0	0	239	310	345	655	106	281	18	9	295	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	34	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	129	112	33	7	0	5	12	24	2	0	0	295	373	491	864	196	326	19	9	374	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	143	125	25	8	0	1	12	34	0	0	0	200	262	288	550	88	264	24	8	246	53	-8	+0	+1	+17	+3	1.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2011	22	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	516	458	106	21	0	11	51	117	6	2	1	231	317	349	666	118	284	23	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	74	65	19	5	0	2	4	19	2	0	0	292	352	462	814	169	346	26	5	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A+ MLE	Potomac Nationals	—	321	289	63	18	0	4	23	74	7	0	0	218	292	322	613	104	276	23	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	110	100	23	6	0	1	8	18	2	0	0	230	300	320	620	90	271	16	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	246	229	40	4	0	8	15	50	2	0	0	175	232	297	529	122	192	20	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	28	24	8	1	0	1	4	4	0	0	0	333	429	500	929	167	359	14	14	391	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	190	175	41	10	0	4	12	30	1	0	0	234	287	360	647	126	258	16	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	276	253	52	10	0	5	12	46	6	1	0	206	258	304	563	99	223	17	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	95	86	25	6	0	2	5	25	0	3	0	291	330	430	760	140	354	26	5	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	272	257	65	20	1	3	14	58	1	0	0	253	294	374	668	121	315	21	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	17	17	4	2	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	235	235	353	588	118	308	24	0	258	60	-1	+0	-0	+5	+0	0.5
2017	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	270	245	61	12	0	3	17	42	4	0	0	249	308	335	643	86	279	16	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	106	97	20	6	0	1	8	25	0	0	0	206	267	299	566	93	284	24	8	258	61	-5	+0	+1	+5	+2	0.3
2018	29	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	167	154	46	11	1	3	10	34	3	0	0	299	353	442	795	143	368	20	6	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	20	15	1	0	0	0	4	5	0	0	0	67	263	67	330		91	25	20	185	11	-2	+0	+0	+7	+0	0.6
2019	30	AAA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	384	347	105	17	0	9	30	73	4	0	1	303	365	429	794	127	354	19	8	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	66	57	12	1	0	2	7	13	0	1	0	211	297	333	630	123	211	20	11	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	16	14	1	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	71	188	71	259		78	25	6	123	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	33	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	127	119	22	5	0	1	7	28	0	0	0	185	230	252	482	67	228	22	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	34	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	129	116	26	5	0	3	8	29	2	0	0	224	286	345	631	121	255	22	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	516	458	106	21	0	11	51	117	6	2	1	231	317	349	666	118	287	23	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A RAW	Hagerstown Suns	—	516	427	123	30	0	13	82	87	6	2	1	288	410	450	859	162	335	17	16	387	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	395	354	83	23	0	6	27	94	9	0	0	234	305	350	655	116	297	24	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	395	336	95	28	0	7	45	67	9	0	0	283	382	429	811	146	330	17	11	362	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	390	358	70	12	0	10	25	75	7	1	0	196	262	313	574	117	220	19	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	390	348	80	14	0	11	35	59	7	1	0	230	313	365	678	135	248	15	9	308	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	218	198	49	11	0	5	17	33	1	0	0	247	310	379	689	131	273	15	8	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	218	190	50	12	0	6	25	27	1	0	0	263	352	421	773	158	278	12	11	344	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	276	253	52	10	0	5	12	46	6	1	0	206	258	304	563	99	228	17	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	—	276	248	60	12	0	8	17	37	6	1	0	242	306	387	693	145	251	13	6	306	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	367	343	90	26	1	5	19	83	1	3	0	262	303	388	691	125	329	23	5	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	367	332	98	27	1	6	28	67	1	3	0	295	350	437	787	142	351	18	8	346	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	287	262	65	14	0	3	17	46	4	0	0	248	304	336	640	88	286	16	6	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	287	253	66	15	0	3	25	39	4	0	0	261	336	356	691	95	293	14	9	311	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	273	251	66	17	1	4	18	59	3	0	0	263	320	386	706	124	330	22	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	273	239	71	18	1	5	25	52	3	0	0	297	364	444	807	146	363	19	9	356	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	404	362	106	17	0	9	34	78	4	0	1	293	360	414	774	122	348	19	8	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	404	343	126	23	0	12	51	60	4	0	1	367	453	539	992	172	415	15	13	434	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	82	71	13	1	0	2	8	17	1	1	0	183	275	282	557	99	204	21	10	249	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	82	66	14	1	0	3	13	14	1	1	0	212	350	364	714	152	216	17	16	322	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	33	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	127	119	22	5	0	1	7	28	0	0	0	185	230	252	482	67	231	22	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	33	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	127	113	27	6	0	2	12	23	0	0	0	239	310	345	655	106	281	18	9	295	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	34	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	129	116	26	5	0	3	8	29	2	0	0	224	286	345	631	121	264	22	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	34	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	129	112	33	7	0	5	12	24	2	0	0	295	373	491	864	196	326	19	9	374	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	516	454	106	21	0	11	51	117	6	2	1	233	317	352	669	119	284	23	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	395	356	83	23	0	6	27	94	9	0	0	233	305	348	653	115	289	24	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	390	355	70	12	0	10	25	75	7	1	0	197	262	315	577	118	216	19	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	218	198	49	11	0	5	17	33	1	0	0	247	310	379	689	131	271	15	8	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	276	256	52	10	0	5	12	46	6	1	0	203	258	301	559	98	223	17	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	367	344	90	26	1	5	19	83	1	3	0	262	303	387	690	125	325	23	5	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	287	264	65	14	0	3	17	46	4	0	0	246	304	333	637	87	281	16	6	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	273	250	66	17	1	4	18	59	3	0	0	264	320	388	708	124	335	22	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	404	363	106	17	0	9	34	78	4	0	1	292	360	413	773	121	341	19	8	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	82	73	13	1	0	2	8	17	1	1	0	178	275	274	549	96	185	21	10	249	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	33	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	127	119	22	5	0	1	7	28	0	0	0	185	230	252	482	67	228	22	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	34	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	129	118	26	5	0	3	8	29	2	0	0	220	286	339	625	119	255	22	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	143	125	25	8	0	1	12	34	0	0	0	200	262	288	550	88	264	24	8	246	81	-8	+0	+1	+17	+3	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	568	114	36	0	5	55	155	0	0	0	201	264	290	555	90	264	24	8	246	81	-37	+0	+3	+78	+14	6.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3464	3145	748	162	2	64	243	705	44	8	2	238	302	352	653	114	285	20	7	288	81	-8	+0	+1	+17	+3	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	140	30	0	12	46	132	8	2	0	237	301	349	650	112	284	20	7	288	81	-37	+0	+3	+78	+14	6.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 129 PAwOBA .373 → .284 (−89)K% 18.6% → 22.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.60%	÷1.003	×1.200	—	—	22.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.30%	÷0.976	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.18%
HBP% /PA	1.55%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.37%
Singles /BIP	23.86%	÷1.021	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	19.41%
Doubles /BIP	7.95%	÷0.983	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	6.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.950	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.68%	÷1.006	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.72%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .373 → .284; ISO .196 → .139; BABIP .326 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 127 PAwOBA .290 → .222 (−68)K% 18.1% → 21.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.11%	÷1.001	×1.200	—	—	21.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.45%	÷1.066	×0.690	—	×0.942	5.76%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.11%	÷1.047	×0.930	×0.992	×0.942	17.52%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷0.988	×0.830	×0.992	×0.942	5.23%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.992	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.22%	÷1.006	×0.700	—	×0.942	1.46%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 109, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 100, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .290 → .222; ISO .106 → .078; BABIP .281 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAADurham Bulls · 66 PAwOBA .356 → .279 (−76)K% 16.7% → 19.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷1.029	×1.200	—	—	19.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.67%	÷1.016	×0.690	—	×0.952	10.78%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷0.945	×0.930	×0.964	×0.952	19.35%
Doubles /BIP	2.38%	÷1.067	×0.830	×0.964	×0.952	1.70%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.964	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷1.059	×0.700	—	×0.952	4.50%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 89, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .356 → .279; ISO .189 → .132; BABIP .244 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKFCL Rays · 16 PAwOBA .186 → .123 (−63)K% 18.8% → 26.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.75%	÷1.005	×1.440	—	—	26.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷0.999	×0.620	—	×0.940	7.29%
HBP% /PA	6.25%	—	×0.720	—	×0.940	4.23%
Singles /BIP	10.00%	÷0.990	×0.820	—	×0.940	7.78%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.006	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.065	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.948	×0.780	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 98, 2B 101, 3B 113, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (12.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .186 → .123; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .100 → .078. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAASan Antonio Missions · 384 PAwOBA .438 → .351 (−86)K% 14.3% → 18.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.32%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	18.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.72%	÷1.055	×0.710	—	×0.972	7.67%
HBP% /PA	1.04%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.99%
Singles /BIP	32.97%	÷0.995	×0.900	×0.979	×0.972	28.38%
Doubles /BIP	8.42%	÷1.045	×0.810	×0.979	×0.972	6.21%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.930	×0.810	×0.979	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.40%	÷0.977	×0.780	—	×0.972	3.41%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 86, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .438 → .351; ISO .180 → .140; BABIP .428 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAATacoma Rainiers · 167 PAwOBA .408 → .352 (−56)K% 16.2% → 20.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.17%	÷1.031	×1.290	—	—	20.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.58%	÷1.103	×0.710	—	×0.982	6.05%
HBP% /PA	1.80%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	1.73%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷1.006	×0.900	×1.025	×0.982	25.73%
Doubles /BIP	10.08%	÷0.885	×0.810	×1.025	×0.982	9.29%
Triples /BIP	0.84%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.025	×0.982	0.76%
Home runs /BIP	3.36%	÷0.918	×0.780	—	×0.982	2.80%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 77, 3B 80, K 106, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .408 → .352; ISO .178 → .158; BABIP .409 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAGwinnett Braves · 270 PAwOBA .311 → .283 (−28)K% 13.0% → 15.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.96%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	15.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.26%	÷0.999	×0.690	—	×0.992	6.34%
HBP% /PA	1.48%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.38%
Singles /BIP	22.89%	÷1.005	×0.930	×1.050	×0.992	22.07%
Doubles /BIP	6.47%	÷0.936	×0.830	×1.050	×0.992	5.97%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.005	×0.970	×1.050	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.49%	÷0.972	×0.840	—	×0.992	1.28%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .311 → .283; ISO .093 → .086; BABIP .292 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AATennessee Smokies · 272 PAwOBA .332 → .288 (−43)K% 17.3% → 21.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.28%	÷0.992	×1.220	—	—	21.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.72%	÷0.982	×0.680	—	×0.978	5.23%
HBP% /PA	0.37%	—	×0.840	—	×0.978	0.30%
Singles /BIP	22.89%	÷1.013	×0.920	×1.019	×0.978	20.70%
Doubles /BIP	9.95%	÷0.918	×0.910	×1.019	×0.978	9.83%
Triples /BIP	0.50%	÷0.900	×0.880	×1.019	×0.978	0.48%
Home runs /BIP	1.99%	÷1.059	×0.800	—	×0.978	1.47%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .332 → .288; ISO .137 → .122; BABIP .340 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).