Wes Darvill
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AA/A+2 orgs | 290 | .184/.270/.260 | 3 | 4 | 21 | — | .165/.228/.235 |
| 2018 | 26 | AALAD | 162 | .203/.262/.277 | 2 | 0 | 17 | — | .164/.206/.211 |
| 2019 | 27 | INTLBrisbane Band… | 67 | .300/.373/.500 | 2 | 3 | 146 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 148 | 130 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 223 | 299 | 231 | 529 | 8 | 287 | 21 | 9 | 246 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 119 | 103 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 301 | 390 | 330 | 720 | 29 | 373 | 18 | 12 | 334 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 496 | 447 | 100 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 39 | 83 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 224 | 287 | 306 | 594 | 83 | 266 | 17 | 8 | 267 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 335 | 296 | 75 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 67 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 253 | 328 | 365 | 693 | 111 | 313 | 20 | 9 | 309 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 58 | 49 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 347 | 429 | 469 | 898 | 122 | 425 | 16 | 12 | 387 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 38 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 237 | 286 | 523 | 114 | 172 | 13 | 8 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 134 | 121 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 231 | 290 | 306 | 596 | 74 | 276 | 17 | 7 | 267 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 228 | 206 | 53 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 42 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 257 | 314 | 345 | 659 | 87 | 311 | 18 | 7 | 292 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 220 | 191 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 41 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 173 | 257 | 225 | 482 | 52 | 204 | 19 | 10 | 223 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 70 | 59 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 313 | 373 | 686 | 153 | 255 | 16 | 11 | 296 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 162 | 148 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 203 | 263 | 277 | 540 | 74 | 257 | 23 | 7 | 245 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | INTL | Brisbane Bandits | — | 67 | 60 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 300 | 373 | 500 | 873 | 200 | 340 | 16 | 10 | 384 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 148 | 135 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 178 | 229 | 185 | 414 | 7 | 249 | 30 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 119 | 108 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 231 | 297 | 250 | 547 | 19 | 317 | 25 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 496 | 461 | 90 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 112 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 195 | 238 | 265 | 503 | 69 | 239 | 23 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 335 | 304 | 63 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 89 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 207 | 267 | 289 | 557 | 82 | 279 | 27 | 7 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 58 | 51 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 294 | 357 | 412 | 769 | 118 | 357 | 21 | 9 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 134 | 125 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 216 | 252 | 280 | 532 | 64 | 260 | 22 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 228 | 211 | 47 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 62 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 223 | 265 | 303 | 568 | 81 | 287 | 27 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 220 | 198 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 52 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 157 | 220 | 207 | 427 | 51 | 186 | 24 | 7 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 70 | 62 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 194 | 254 | 323 | 576 | 129 | 220 | 21 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 162 | 152 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 164 | 206 | 211 | 417 | 46 | 231 | 30 | 5 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 148 | 135 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 178 | 229 | 185 | 414 | 7 | 261 | 30 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 148 | 130 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 223 | 299 | 231 | 529 | 8 | 287 | 21 | 9 | 246 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 119 | 108 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 231 | 297 | 250 | 547 | 19 | 316 | 25 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 119 | 103 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 301 | 390 | 330 | 720 | 29 | 373 | 18 | 12 | 334 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 496 | 461 | 90 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 112 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 195 | 238 | 265 | 503 | 69 | 249 | 23 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A RAW | Peoria Chiefs | — | 496 | 447 | 100 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 39 | 83 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 224 | 287 | 306 | 594 | 83 | 266 | 17 | 8 | 267 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 431 | 391 | 86 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 112 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 220 | 279 | 307 | 586 | 87 | 299 | 26 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 431 | 380 | 98 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 81 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 258 | 333 | 371 | 704 | 113 | 314 | 19 | 9 | 313 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 336 | 73 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 91 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 217 | 257 | 292 | 549 | 74 | 286 | 25 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 362 | 327 | 81 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 65 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 248 | 305 | 330 | 635 | 83 | 298 | 18 | 7 | 283 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 290 | 260 | 43 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 67 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 165 | 228 | 235 | 462 | 69 | 206 | 23 | 7 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 290 | 250 | 46 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 52 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 184 | 270 | 260 | 530 | 76 | 216 | 18 | 10 | 241 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 162 | 152 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 164 | 206 | 211 | 417 | 46 | 231 | 30 | 5 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 162 | 148 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 203 | 263 | 277 | 540 | 74 | 257 | 23 | 7 | 245 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | INTL MLE | Brisbane Bandits | — | 67 | 60 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 300 | 373 | 500 | 873 | 200 | 340 | 16 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | INTL RAW | Brisbane Bandits | — | 67 | 60 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 300 | 373 | 500 | 873 | 200 | 340 | 16 | 10 | 384 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 148 | 138 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 174 | 229 | 181 | 410 | 7 | 249 | 30 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 119 | 108 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 231 | 297 | 250 | 547 | 19 | 317 | 25 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 496 | 467 | 90 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 112 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 193 | 238 | 261 | 499 | 69 | 239 | 23 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 431 | 396 | 86 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 112 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 217 | 279 | 303 | 582 | 86 | 291 | 26 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 341 | 73 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 91 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 214 | 257 | 287 | 544 | 73 | 277 | 25 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 290 | 267 | 43 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 67 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 161 | 228 | 228 | 456 | 67 | 194 | 23 | 7 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 162 | 153 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 163 | 206 | 209 | 415 | 46 | 231 | 30 | 5 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2075 | 1903 | 384 | 58 | 17 | 13 | 124 | 516 | 7 | 56 | 28 | 202 | 253 | 271 | 524 | 69 | 266 | 25 | 6 | 219 | 34 | -162 | +0 | +0 | +22 | +45 | -9.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 120 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 162 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 201 | 253 | 268 | 521 | 67 | 265 | 25 | 6 | 219 | 34 | -51 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -3.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AATulsa Drillers · 162 PAwOBA .241 → .193 (−48)K% 23.5% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.46% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.033 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 4.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.91% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×0.978 | 19.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.991 | ×0.840 | ×1.007 | ×0.978 | 3.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.907 | ×0.940 | ×1.007 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.147 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 1.24% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 81, K 93, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .241 → .193; ISO .074 → .054; BABIP .257 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AATennessee Smokies · 220 PAwOBA .222 → .188 (−34)K% 18.6% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.64% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 7.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.67% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 17.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.33% | ÷0.998 | ×0.910 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 1.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.67% | ÷1.058 | ×0.880 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.048 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.03% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 112, K 93, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .222 → .188; ISO .052 → .044; BABIP .204 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 70 PAwOBA .289 → .239 (−50)K% 15.7% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.71% | ÷1.025 | ×1.420 | — | — | 21.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.43% | ÷0.960 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 7.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.58% | ÷0.977 | ×0.940 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 13.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 6.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.138 | ×0.800 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷0.888 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 2.09% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 95, 2B 103, 3B 128, K 105, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .289 → .239; ISO .153 → .131; BABIP .255 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Daytona Cubs · 228 PAwOBA .290 → .243 (−47)K% 18.4% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.42% | ÷0.959 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.46% | ÷1.044 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.17% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 21.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.93% | ÷1.006 | ×0.960 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 7.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷0.986 | ×0.810 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.61% | ÷0.930 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.58% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 101, 3B 97, K 92, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .290 → .243; ISO .087 → .076; BABIP .311 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AATennessee Smokies · 134 PAwOBA .255 → .232 (−24)K% 17.2% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.16% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.22% | ÷0.948 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 3.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.45% | ÷0.958 | ×0.920 | ×0.987 | ×1.027 | 21.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.140 | ×0.910 | ×0.987 | ×1.027 | 3.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.02% | ÷1.065 | ×0.880 | ×0.987 | ×1.027 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.02% | ÷1.009 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.83% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 92, 2B 128, 3B 113, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .255 → .232; ISO .074 → .062; BABIP .276 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Daytona Cubs · 335 PAwOBA .305 → .253 (−52)K% 20.0% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.066 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.96% | ÷1.032 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 6.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.14% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 20.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.11% | ÷1.132 | ×0.960 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 5.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.18% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 1.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.31% | ÷1.144 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 1.02% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 103, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 113, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .305 → .253; ISO .111 → .091; BABIP .313 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AKane County Cougars · 58 PAwOBA .378 → .307 (−70)K% 15.5% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.52% | ÷0.980 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.07% | ÷1.047 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.50% | ÷1.091 | ×0.920 | — | — | 27.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.830 | — | — | 4.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.105 | ×0.910 | — | — | 4.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.913 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 118, 2B 98, 3B 121, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .378 → .307; ISO .122 → .104; BABIP .425 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 APeoria Chiefs · 496 PAwOBA .261 → .217 (−44)K% 16.7% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.73% | ÷1.010 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.66% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.60% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×1.015 | 19.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.40% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | ×1.015 | 3.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.65% | ÷1.146 | ×0.910 | ×1.009 | ×1.015 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.82% | ÷0.952 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.70% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 112, 3B 129, K 102, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .261 → .217; ISO .083 → .067; BABIP .266 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .