Edgar Corcino
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 330 | .264/.329/.422 | 7 | 3 | 70 | — | .221/.265/.359 |
| 2019 | 27 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 264 | .308/.379/.547 | 10 | 2 | 79 | — | .229/.289/.401 |
| 2020 | 28 | INTLAtenienses de… | 30 | .296/.367/.407 | 1 | 0 | 123 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK | GCL Tigers | — | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 276 | 320 | 596 | 160 | 214 | 33 | 13 | 266 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK | GCL Tigers | — | 96 | 87 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 218 | 284 | 253 | 537 | 34 | 317 | 28 | 8 | 249 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK | GCL Tigers | — | 200 | 174 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 51 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 201 | 298 | 339 | 637 | 138 | 252 | 26 | 10 | 289 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 81 | 73 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 219 | 278 | 342 | 621 | 123 | 275 | 25 | 7 | 273 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 373 | 330 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 61 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 273 | 344 | 376 | 720 | 103 | 321 | 16 | 9 | 320 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 198 | 183 | 52 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 284 | 335 | 421 | 756 | 137 | 340 | 18 | 7 | 334 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 297 | 267 | 71 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 51 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 266 | 340 | 419 | 760 | 154 | 310 | 17 | 10 | 339 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 59 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 237 | 276 | 513 | 52 | 295 | 24 | 2 | 230 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 447 | 401 | 121 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 66 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 302 | 365 | 399 | 764 | 97 | 344 | 15 | 9 | 341 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 93 | 88 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 293 | 398 | 691 | 136 | 318 | 23 | 4 | 303 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 237 | 208 | 55 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 264 | 343 | 433 | 776 | 168 | 294 | 16 | 9 | 340 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 249 | 219 | 69 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 56 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 315 | 390 | 557 | 947 | 242 | 382 | 22 | 8 | 409 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | INTL | Atenienses de Manati | — | 15 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 400 | 600 | 200 | 333 | 53 | 0 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | INTL | Atenienses de Manati | — | 30 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 296 | 367 | 407 | 774 | 111 | 368 | 23 | 10 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 207 | 269 | 476 | 154 | 173 | 47 | 10 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 96 | 90 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 156 | 200 | 178 | 378 | 22 | 273 | 41 | 5 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 200 | 182 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 73 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 137 | 207 | 236 | 443 | 99 | 189 | 36 | 6 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 81 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 241 | 320 | 561 | 120 | 264 | 35 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 373 | 343 | 78 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 87 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 227 | 276 | 303 | 579 | 76 | 284 | 23 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 198 | 187 | 47 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 45 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 251 | 289 | 364 | 653 | 112 | 314 | 23 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 297 | 275 | 61 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 74 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 222 | 279 | 356 | 636 | 135 | 285 | 25 | 7 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 59 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 220 | 259 | 479 | 52 | 276 | 29 | 2 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 447 | 413 | 107 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 80 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 259 | 306 | 339 | 645 | 80 | 299 | 18 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 93 | 90 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 239 | 344 | 584 | 122 | 289 | 28 | 2 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 237 | 217 | 48 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 221 | 275 | 364 | 639 | 143 | 254 | 20 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 249 | 227 | 52 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 83 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 229 | 289 | 401 | 689 | 172 | 302 | 33 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 207 | 269 | 476 | 154 | 182 | 47 | 10 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK RAW | GCL Tigers | — | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 276 | 320 | 596 | 160 | 214 | 33 | 13 | 266 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 96 | 90 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 156 | 200 | 178 | 378 | 22 | 275 | 41 | 5 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Tigers | — | 96 | 87 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 218 | 284 | 253 | 537 | 34 | 317 | 28 | 8 | 249 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 200 | 182 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 73 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 137 | 207 | 236 | 443 | 99 | 198 | 36 | 6 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Tigers | — | 200 | 174 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 51 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 201 | 298 | 339 | 637 | 138 | 252 | 26 | 10 | 289 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 81 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 241 | 320 | 561 | 120 | 289 | 35 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A RAW | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 81 | 73 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 219 | 278 | 342 | 621 | 123 | 275 | 25 | 7 | 273 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 373 | 343 | 78 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 87 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 227 | 276 | 303 | 579 | 76 | 293 | 23 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 373 | 330 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 61 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 273 | 344 | 376 | 720 | 103 | 321 | 16 | 9 | 320 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 495 | 462 | 108 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 118 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 234 | 283 | 359 | 643 | 126 | 299 | 24 | 6 | 278 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 495 | 450 | 123 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 86 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 273 | 338 | 420 | 758 | 147 | 322 | 17 | 8 | 337 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 471 | 118 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 97 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 251 | 294 | 325 | 619 | 74 | 302 | 19 | 5 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 506 | 459 | 134 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 80 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 292 | 350 | 383 | 733 | 92 | 339 | 16 | 8 | 328 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 330 | 307 | 69 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 73 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 225 | 268 | 362 | 629 | 137 | 270 | 22 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 330 | 296 | 78 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 58 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 264 | 329 | 422 | 752 | 159 | 301 | 18 | 8 | 330 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 264 | 241 | 53 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 88 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 220 | 280 | 382 | 661 | 162 | 309 | 33 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 264 | 234 | 72 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 64 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 308 | 379 | 547 | 926 | 239 | 380 | 24 | 8 | 400 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | INTL MLE | Atenienses de Manati | — | 30 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 296 | 367 | 407 | 774 | 111 | 368 | 23 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | INTL RAW | Atenienses de Manati | — | 30 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 296 | 367 | 407 | 774 | 111 | 368 | 23 | 10 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 30 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 207 | 259 | 466 | 148 | 173 | 47 | 10 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 96 | 91 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 154 | 200 | 176 | 376 | 22 | 273 | 41 | 5 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 200 | 182 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 73 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 137 | 207 | 236 | 443 | 99 | 189 | 36 | 6 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 81 | 77 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 195 | 241 | 312 | 552 | 117 | 264 | 35 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 373 | 347 | 78 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 87 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 225 | 276 | 300 | 576 | 75 | 284 | 23 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 495 | 460 | 108 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 118 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 235 | 283 | 361 | 644 | 126 | 297 | 24 | 6 | 278 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 472 | 118 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 97 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 250 | 294 | 324 | 618 | 74 | 296 | 19 | 5 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 330 | 309 | 69 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 73 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 268 | 359 | 627 | 136 | 264 | 22 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 264 | 242 | 53 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 88 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 219 | 280 | 380 | 660 | 161 | 302 | 33 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2405 | 2224 | 491 | 84 | 22 | 36 | 134 | 624 | 19 | 30 | 18 | 221 | 271 | 327 | 598 | 106 | 288 | 26 | 6 | 256 | 59 | -116 | -1 | +0 | -14 | +52 | -8.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 133 | 23 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 169 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 221 | 271 | 329 | 600 | 108 | 288 | 26 | 6 | 256 | 59 | -31 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 A+Salem Red Sox · 249 PAwOBA .401 → .286 (−115)K% 22.5% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.49% | ÷0.958 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.63% | ÷0.968 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.958 | 4.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.81% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.958 | 2.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.31% | ÷1.003 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.958 | 19.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.04% | ÷1.070 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.958 | 7.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.45% | ÷0.972 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×0.958 | 1.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.52% | ÷1.080 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.958 | 4.41% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 101, 2B 114, 3B 94, K 92, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .401 → .286; ISO .242 → .167; BABIP .382 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 237 PAwOBA .336 → .279 (−56)K% 15.6% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.61% | ÷0.961 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.86% | ÷1.078 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 5.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.30% | ÷1.072 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 16.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.19% | ÷0.979 | ×0.910 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 7.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 1.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.92% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.37% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 114, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 92, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .336 → .279; ISO .168 → .150; BABIP .294 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAARochester Red Wings · 93 PAwOBA .293 → .256 (−37)K% 22.6% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.58% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.23% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 2.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.88% | ÷1.023 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×1.018 | 22.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.97% | ÷1.009 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×1.018 | 5.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×1.018 | 1.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.99% | ÷0.879 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 2.90% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 105, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .293 → .256; ISO .136 → .121; BABIP .318 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 447 PAwOBA .334 → .284 (−51)K% 14.8% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.77% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.05% | ÷0.940 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 5.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.45% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.36% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | 25.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.67% | ÷1.084 | ×0.910 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | 4.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷1.018 | ×0.880 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.47% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 101, 2B 117, 3B 104, K 102, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .334 → .284; ISO .097 → .080; BABIP .344 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAARochester Red Wings · 59 PAwOBA .223 → .194 (−30)K% 23.7% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.73% | ÷0.997 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.69% | ÷1.080 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 1.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×1.006 | ×1.033 | 23.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.085 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.033 | 1.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.085 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×1.033 | 2.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 117, 3B 117, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .223 → .194; ISO .052 → .043; BABIP .295 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 297 PAwOBA .329 → .278 (−51)K% 17.2% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.17% | ÷0.983 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.43% | ÷0.974 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 7.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.76% | ÷0.985 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×0.988 | 20.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.02% | ÷1.012 | ×0.960 | ×0.997 | ×0.988 | 5.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.31% | ÷0.907 | ×0.810 | ×0.997 | ×0.988 | 2.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.881 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 2.74% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 97, 2B 102, 3B 81, K 97, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .329 → .278; ISO .154 → .135; BABIP .310 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 198 PAwOBA .327 → .279 (−48)K% 17.7% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.68% | ÷0.961 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.57% | ÷1.039 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 4.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 23.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.73% | ÷1.108 | ×0.910 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 3.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.05% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 4.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.301 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.84% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 101, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 92, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .327 → .279; ISO .137 → .115; BABIP .340 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 373 PAwOBA .313 → .255 (−58)K% 16.4% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.35% | ÷0.959 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.85% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 6.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.27% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.91% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×0.990 | 22.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.95% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×0.990 | 4.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.014 | ×0.990 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.134 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.04% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 92, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .313 → .255; ISO .103 → .078; BABIP .321 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .