Erik González
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 620 | .258/.307/.343 | 6 | 18 | 55 | — | .207/.236/.277 |
| 2025 | 33 | INTLDominican Rep… | 213 | .293/.384/.359 | 0 | 2 | 116 | — | |
| 2026 | 34 | INTLLeones del Es… | 28 | .269/.321/.423 | 0 | 2 | 110 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians | — | 256 | 234 | 58 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 36 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 248 | 307 | 312 | 619 | 64 | 293 | 14 | 6 | 282 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK | DSL Indians | — | 258 | 240 | 83 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 346 | 387 | 442 | 828 | 96 | 369 | 7 | 5 | 368 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK | AZL Indians | — | 176 | 159 | 41 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 258 | 318 | 346 | 664 | 88 | 307 | 18 | 7 | 297 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 163 | 153 | 37 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 242 | 266 | 366 | 632 | 124 | 311 | 23 | 3 | 270 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 383 | 355 | 92 | 23 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 71 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 259 | 308 | 439 | 747 | 180 | 301 | 19 | 6 | 326 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 167 | 163 | 53 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 47 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 325 | 341 | 454 | 795 | 129 | 452 | 28 | 2 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 136 | 129 | 46 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 357 | 390 | 473 | 863 | 116 | 429 | 17 | 5 | 383 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 336 | 308 | 89 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 65 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 289 | 338 | 409 | 747 | 120 | 355 | 19 | 7 | 329 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 43 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 256 | 225 | 481 | 25 | 296 | 30 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 261 | 238 | 53 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 47 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 223 | 277 | 311 | 588 | 88 | 266 | 18 | 6 | 263 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 327 | 311 | 87 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 280 | 307 | 421 | 728 | 141 | 321 | 17 | 3 | 318 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 65 | 61 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 262 | 308 | 361 | 668 | 98 | 288 | 12 | 5 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 17 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 312 | 353 | 312 | 665 | 625 | 47 | 6 | 307 | 94 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +6 | +0 | 0.8 | |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 460 | 429 | 127 | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 88 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 296 | 330 | 450 | 780 | 154 | 349 | 19 | 4 | 339 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 86 | 77 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 273 | 333 | 442 | 775 | 169 | 310 | 20 | 7 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 115 | 110 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 255 | 274 | 418 | 693 | 164 | 343 | 32 | 3 | 299 | 88 | -2 | -1 | +4 | +1 | +2 | 0.6 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 170 | 160 | 41 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 53 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 256 | 287 | 431 | 719 | 175 | 343 | 31 | 4 | 310 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 110 | 103 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 262 | 296 | 291 | 588 | 29 | 321 | 19 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 143 | 136 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 265 | 301 | 375 | 676 | 110 | 347 | 24 | 3 | 302 | 91 | -2 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 26 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 136 | 132 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 227 | 244 | 288 | 532 | 61 | 266 | 17 | 2 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 156 | 142 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 254 | 303 | 317 | 620 | 63 | 333 | 24 | 6 | 276 | 64 | -7 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 81 | 78 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 222 | 295 | 517 | 103 | 292 | 36 | 4 | 231 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 46 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 333 | 425 | 758 | 175 | 265 | 13 | 9 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 193 | 181 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 227 | 259 | 359 | 618 | 133 | 292 | 26 | 4 | 269 | 68 | -7 | -1 | +2 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 229 | 220 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 232 | 259 | 300 | 559 | 68 | 274 | 17 | 3 | 251 | 56 | -12 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 50 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 245 | 233 | 477 | 93 | 176 | 20 | 8 | 223 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 118 | 109 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 266 | 322 | 303 | 625 | 37 | 362 | 25 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 41 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 268 | 216 | 485 | 27 | 280 | 29 | 10 | 232 | 46 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 402 | 370 | 105 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 86 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 284 | 338 | 373 | 710 | 89 | 358 | 21 | 7 | 320 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 109 | 105 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 238 | 266 | 295 | 561 | 57 | 301 | 20 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 493 | 453 | 123 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 104 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 272 | 324 | 360 | 684 | 88 | 341 | 21 | 6 | 306 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 189 | 168 | 54 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 24 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 321 | 380 | 429 | 809 | 107 | 358 | 13 | 8 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 464 | 435 | 107 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 95 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 246 | 289 | 347 | 636 | 101 | 300 | 20 | 5 | 284 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 32 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 156 | 139 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 295 | 364 | 331 | 695 | 36 | 318 | 6 | 10 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 33 | INTL | Dominican Republic | — | 213 | 184 | 54 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 293 | 384 | 359 | 743 | 65 | 344 | 13 | 12 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 34 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 28 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 269 | 321 | 423 | 745 | 154 | 292 | 7 | 7 | 330 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 894 | 842 | 204 | 41 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 219 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 242 | 277 | 340 | 617 | 97 | 312 | 24 | 4 | 274 | 71 | -30 | -1 | +7 | +17 | +19 | 1.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 256 | 239 | 41 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 172 | 220 | 213 | 434 | 42 | 205 | 17 | 4 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 258 | 244 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 230 | 266 | 283 | 548 | 53 | 248 | 9 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 176 | 164 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 195 | 237 | 244 | 481 | 49 | 257 | 26 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 163 | 155 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 54 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 200 | 215 | 284 | 499 | 84 | 290 | 33 | 2 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 383 | 361 | 81 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 97 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 224 | 263 | 377 | 640 | 152 | 280 | 25 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 136 | 131 | 43 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 328 | 353 | 435 | 788 | 107 | 423 | 21 | 4 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 336 | 317 | 78 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 96 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 246 | 278 | 341 | 619 | 95 | 334 | 29 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 261 | 243 | 53 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 218 | 258 | 296 | 554 | 78 | 269 | 21 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 327 | 313 | 85 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 272 | 294 | 396 | 690 | 125 | 318 | 20 | 3 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 17 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 312 | 353 | 312 | 665 | 625 | 47 | 6 | 307 | 94 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +6 | +0 | 0.8 | |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 460 | 437 | 117 | 26 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 109 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 268 | 290 | 387 | 677 | 119 | 333 | 24 | 2 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 115 | 110 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 255 | 274 | 418 | 693 | 164 | 343 | 32 | 3 | 298 | 88 | -2 | -1 | +4 | +1 | +2 | 0.6 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 170 | 162 | 38 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 64 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 235 | 257 | 364 | 622 | 130 | 350 | 38 | 3 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 143 | 136 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 265 | 301 | 375 | 676 | 110 | 347 | 24 | 3 | 302 | 91 | -2 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 156 | 145 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 248 | 283 | 310 | 593 | 62 | 333 | 24 | 4 | 263 | 64 | -7 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 81 | 79 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 152 | 173 | 241 | 413 | 89 | 261 | 42 | 2 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 193 | 181 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 221 | 254 | 348 | 602 | 127 | 292 | 26 | 4 | 268 | 68 | -7 | -1 | +2 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 229 | 220 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 232 | 259 | 300 | 559 | 68 | 274 | 17 | 3 | 252 | 56 | -12 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 50 | 45 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 204 | 222 | 426 | 89 | 156 | 24 | 4 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 41 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 268 | 216 | 485 | 27 | 280 | 29 | 10 | 237 | 46 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 402 | 379 | 91 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 107 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 240 | 280 | 314 | 594 | 74 | 321 | 27 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 493 | 465 | 113 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 128 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 243 | 279 | 310 | 588 | 67 | 320 | 26 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 464 | 444 | 92 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 114 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 207 | 236 | 277 | 513 | 70 | 265 | 25 | 3 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 256 | 239 | 41 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 172 | 220 | 213 | 434 | 42 | 210 | 17 | 4 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Indians | — | 256 | 234 | 58 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 36 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 248 | 307 | 312 | 619 | 64 | 293 | 14 | 6 | 282 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 258 | 244 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 230 | 266 | 283 | 548 | 53 | 251 | 9 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Indians | — | 258 | 240 | 83 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 346 | 387 | 442 | 828 | 96 | 369 | 7 | 5 | 368 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 176 | 164 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 195 | 237 | 244 | 481 | 49 | 261 | 26 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Indians | — | 176 | 159 | 41 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 258 | 318 | 346 | 664 | 88 | 307 | 18 | 7 | 297 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 713 | 676 | 145 | 35 | 13 | 9 | 27 | 197 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 214 | 247 | 345 | 591 | 130 | 286 | 28 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 713 | 671 | 182 | 38 | 18 | 10 | 32 | 156 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 271 | 306 | 426 | 733 | 155 | 337 | 22 | 4 | 319 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 515 | 488 | 132 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 137 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 270 | 302 | 369 | 671 | 98 | 367 | 27 | 4 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 515 | 477 | 143 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 32 | 101 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 300 | 345 | 411 | 756 | 111 | 372 | 20 | 6 | 334 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 653 | 618 | 154 | 23 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 136 | 5 | 19 | 8 | 249 | 280 | 356 | 635 | 107 | 305 | 21 | 3 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 653 | 610 | 156 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 111 | 5 | 19 | 8 | 256 | 295 | 372 | 667 | 116 | 297 | 17 | 4 | 294 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 563 | 534 | 145 | 31 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 139 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 272 | 295 | 390 | 685 | 118 | 348 | 25 | 2 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 563 | 522 | 153 | 33 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 113 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 293 | 332 | 444 | 776 | 151 | 349 | 20 | 5 | 337 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 395 | 376 | 92 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 140 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 245 | 268 | 394 | 662 | 149 | 354 | 35 | 3 | 278 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 395 | 373 | 96 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 111 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 257 | 286 | 389 | 675 | 131 | 336 | 28 | 4 | 294 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 279 | 266 | 70 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 66 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 263 | 295 | 372 | 667 | 109 | 342 | 24 | 4 | 302 | 91 | -3 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 279 | 268 | 66 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 57 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 246 | 273 | 332 | 605 | 86 | 305 | 20 | 3 | 271 | 91 | -3 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 283 | 266 | 58 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 85 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 218 | 252 | 286 | 538 | 68 | 309 | 30 | 4 | 234 | 45 | -19 | -0 | +1 | +3 | +6 | -0.9 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 283 | 260 | 61 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 72 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 235 | 284 | 327 | 611 | 92 | 310 | 25 | 6 | 272 | 45 | -19 | -0 | +1 | +3 | +6 | -0.9 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 193 | 181 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 221 | 254 | 348 | 602 | 127 | 285 | 26 | 4 | 268 | 68 | -7 | -1 | +2 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB RAW | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 193 | 181 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 227 | 259 | 359 | 618 | 133 | 292 | 26 | 4 | 269 | 68 | -7 | -1 | +2 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 397 | 377 | 80 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 75 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 212 | 248 | 284 | 532 | 72 | 256 | 19 | 4 | 239 | 48 | -25 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +9 | -1.3 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 397 | 372 | 86 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 79 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 231 | 276 | 293 | 569 | 62 | 287 | 20 | 5 | 259 | 48 | -25 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +9 | -1.3 |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 552 | 519 | 121 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 148 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 233 | 276 | 299 | 575 | 66 | 319 | 27 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 552 | 512 | 137 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 120 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 268 | 318 | 346 | 664 | 78 | 341 | 22 | 7 | 300 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 682 | 642 | 155 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 177 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 241 | 275 | 307 | 582 | 65 | 323 | 26 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 682 | 621 | 177 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 48 | 128 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 285 | 339 | 378 | 718 | 93 | 346 | 19 | 7 | 319 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 620 | 593 | 122 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 153 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 206 | 234 | 278 | 512 | 73 | 267 | 25 | 3 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 620 | 574 | 148 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 105 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 258 | 307 | 343 | 651 | 85 | 305 | 17 | 6 | 292 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 33 | INTL MLE | Dominican Republic | — | 213 | 184 | 54 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 293 | 384 | 359 | 743 | 65 | 344 | 13 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 33 | INTL RAW | Dominican Republic | — | 213 | 184 | 54 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 293 | 384 | 359 | 743 | 65 | 344 | 13 | 12 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 34 | INTL MLE | Leones del Escogido | — | 28 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 269 | 321 | 423 | 745 | 154 | 292 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 34 | INTL RAW | Leones del Escogido | — | 28 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 269 | 321 | 423 | 745 | 154 | 292 | 7 | 7 | 330 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 256 | 239 | 41 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 172 | 220 | 213 | 434 | 42 | 205 | 17 | 4 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 258 | 244 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 230 | 266 | 283 | 548 | 53 | 248 | 9 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 176 | 165 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 194 | 237 | 242 | 479 | 48 | 257 | 26 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 713 | 678 | 145 | 35 | 13 | 9 | 27 | 197 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 214 | 247 | 344 | 590 | 130 | 283 | 28 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 515 | 488 | 132 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 137 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 270 | 302 | 369 | 671 | 98 | 360 | 27 | 4 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 653 | 622 | 154 | 23 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 136 | 5 | 19 | 8 | 248 | 280 | 354 | 633 | 106 | 296 | 21 | 3 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 563 | 540 | 145 | 31 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 139 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 269 | 295 | 385 | 680 | 117 | 343 | 25 | 2 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 395 | 380 | 92 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 140 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 242 | 268 | 389 | 658 | 147 | 347 | 35 | 3 | 278 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 279 | 265 | 70 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 66 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 264 | 295 | 374 | 669 | 109 | 347 | 24 | 4 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 283 | 269 | 58 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 85 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 216 | 252 | 283 | 534 | 67 | 309 | 30 | 4 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 193 | 183 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 219 | 254 | 344 | 598 | 126 | 292 | 26 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 397 | 376 | 80 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 75 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 213 | 248 | 285 | 533 | 72 | 253 | 19 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 552 | 516 | 121 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 148 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 234 | 276 | 300 | 577 | 66 | 317 | 27 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 682 | 647 | 155 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 177 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 240 | 275 | 304 | 580 | 65 | 320 | 26 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 620 | 593 | 122 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 153 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 206 | 234 | 278 | 512 | 73 | 265 | 25 | 3 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 620 | 593 | 122 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 153 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 206 | 234 | 278 | 512 | 73 | 265 | 25 | 3 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 894 | 842 | 204 | 41 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 219 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 242 | 277 | 340 | 617 | 97 | 312 | 24 | 4 | 274 | 55 | -30 | -1 | +7 | +17 | +19 | 1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 612 | 149 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 159 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 243 | 279 | 342 | 620 | 98 | 314 | 24 | 4 | 274 | 55 | -22 | -1 | +5 | +12 | +14 | 0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6776 | 6393 | 1504 | 274 | 56 | 66 | 268 | 1645 | 37 | 177 | 82 | 235 | 270 | 327 | 597 | 91 | 305 | 24 | 4 | 249 | 55 | -30 | -1 | +7 | +17 | +19 | 1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 613 | 143 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 158 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 233 | 269 | 321 | 591 | 88 | 302 | 24 | 4 | 249 | 55 | -22 | -1 | +5 | +12 | +14 | 0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAALouisville Bats · 464 PAwOBA .278 → .226 (−53)K% 20.5% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.47% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.17% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 3.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.35% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | ×1.033 | ×0.942 | 20.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.06% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×0.942 | 5.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | ×0.942 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.76% | ÷1.111 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 1.05% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .278 → .226; ISO .101 → .073; BABIP .300 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAACharlotte Knights · 493 PAwOBA .300 → .255 (−45)K% 21.1% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.10% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.49% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 3.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.22% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 26.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.02% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 5.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.152 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 0.83% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 93, 2B 94, 3B 99, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .300 → .255; ISO .088 → .066; BABIP .341 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 402 PAwOBA .313 → .259 (−54)K% 21.4% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.39% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.97% | ÷0.978 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 4.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.52% | ÷1.054 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 25.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.69% | ÷0.898 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 6.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷0.930 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 0.92% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 111, 2B 80, 3B 86, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .313 → .259; ISO .089 → .072; BABIP .358 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 50 PAwOBA .223 → .183 (−39)K% 20.0% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷1.100 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 4.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 3.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 8.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷0.986 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 4.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.914 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.972 | 2.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.096 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 83, K 92, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .223 → .183; ISO .093 → .084; BABIP .176 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 81 PAwOBA .224 → .179 (−45)K% 35.8% → 42.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.80% | ÷1.013 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.70% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 2.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.41% | ÷1.026 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 18.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.12% | ÷0.901 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 5.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 1.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.04% | ÷0.953 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 1.78% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 103, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .224 → .179; ISO .103 → .082; BABIP .292 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAColumbus Clippers · 170 PAwOBA .303 → .265 (−38)K% 31.2% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.18% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.12% | ÷1.089 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 2.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.17% | ÷0.945 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 27.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.74% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 3.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.80% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 3.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.61% | ÷1.231 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 3.89% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 89, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 98, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .303 → .265; ISO .175 → .135; BABIP .343 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAColumbus Clippers · 460 PAwOBA .329 → .293 (−36)K% 19.1% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.13% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.70% | ÷1.077 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 2.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.63% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 24.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.043 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 7.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷0.901 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.113 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 2.51% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 93, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .329 → .293; ISO .154 → .126; BABIP .349 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAkron RubberDucks · 327 PAwOBA .312 → .293 (−19)K% 17.1% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.13% | ÷1.019 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.36% | ÷0.934 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 2.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.31% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.14% | ÷0.971 | ×0.970 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 24.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.06% | ÷1.053 | ×0.860 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 6.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.57% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 1.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.35% | ÷0.842 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.20% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 104, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .312 → .293; ISO .141 → .124; BABIP .321 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .