Adan Velazquez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | AAAPiratas de Ca… | 389 | .271/.330/.402 | 9 | 4 | 76 | — | .258/.298/.357 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAADelfines de C… | 239 | .202/.250/.234 | 1 | 2 | 18 | — | .193/.224/.220 |
| 2017 | 27 | AAAGenerales de … | 83 | .230/.288/.284 | 1 | 1 | 32 | — | .211/.250/.263 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 19 | ROK | DSL Padres | — | 239 | 204 | 59 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 289 | 380 | 480 | 861 | 191 | 333 | 17 | 9 | 374 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK | AZL Padres | — | 112 | 100 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 240 | 315 | 360 | 675 | 120 | 324 | 25 | 7 | 304 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 27 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 391 | 462 | 565 | 1.027 | 174 | 471 | 19 | 11 | 437 | 182 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AAA | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 18 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 111 | 111 | 111 | 222 | 182 | 39 | 0 | 101 | -55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 22 | AAA | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 225 | 202 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 45 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 252 | 314 | 356 | 670 | 104 | 305 | 20 | 7 | 297 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 407 | 362 | 99 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 61 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 273 | 336 | 417 | 753 | 144 | 308 | 15 | 7 | 328 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 39 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 282 | 257 | 539 | 57 | 241 | 15 | 8 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 369 | 337 | 90 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 267 | 314 | 371 | 685 | 104 | 307 | 16 | 6 | 301 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 389 | 343 | 93 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 73 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 271 | 330 | 402 | 732 | 131 | 315 | 19 | 7 | 315 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 239 | 218 | 44 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 202 | 250 | 234 | 484 | 32 | 250 | 19 | 5 | 219 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Generales de Durango | — | 83 | 74 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 287 | 284 | 571 | 54 | 246 | 11 | 7 | 255 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 239 | 211 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 49 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 180 | 261 | 280 | 540 | 100 | 213 | 21 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 112 | 103 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 175 | 234 | 272 | 506 | 97 | 258 | 36 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 18 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 111 | 111 | 111 | 222 | 186 | 44 | 0 | 87 | -55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 22 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 225 | 207 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 55 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 256 | 300 | 343 | 643 | 87 | 319 | 24 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 407 | 370 | 100 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 74 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 270 | 318 | 392 | 710 | 122 | 307 | 18 | 5 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 369 | 344 | 90 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 262 | 294 | 343 | 637 | 81 | 306 | 20 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 389 | 353 | 91 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 86 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 258 | 298 | 357 | 655 | 99 | 299 | 22 | 4 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 239 | 223 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 54 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 193 | 224 | 220 | 444 | 27 | 239 | 23 | 3 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Generales de Durango | — | 83 | 76 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 263 | 513 | 53 | 216 | 13 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 239 | 211 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 49 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 180 | 261 | 280 | 540 | 100 | 221 | 21 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres | — | 239 | 204 | 59 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 289 | 380 | 480 | 861 | 191 | 333 | 17 | 9 | 374 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 139 | 128 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 50 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 172 | 226 | 258 | 484 | 86 | 273 | 36 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 139 | 123 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 268 | 343 | 398 | 741 | 130 | 352 | 24 | 8 | 330 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 18 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 111 | 111 | 111 | 222 | 200 | 44 | 0 | 87 | -55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 21 | AAA RAW | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 18 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 111 | 111 | 111 | 222 | 182 | 39 | 0 | 101 | -55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 22 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 225 | 207 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 55 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 256 | 300 | 343 | 643 | 87 | 333 | 24 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AAA RAW | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 225 | 202 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 45 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 252 | 314 | 356 | 670 | 104 | 305 | 20 | 7 | 297 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 446 | 406 | 110 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 81 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 271 | 320 | 394 | 714 | 123 | 322 | 18 | 5 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 446 | 397 | 106 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 67 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 267 | 331 | 403 | 734 | 136 | 302 | 15 | 7 | 321 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 369 | 344 | 90 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 262 | 294 | 343 | 637 | 81 | 317 | 20 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 369 | 337 | 90 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 267 | 314 | 371 | 685 | 104 | 307 | 16 | 6 | 301 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 389 | 353 | 91 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 86 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 258 | 298 | 357 | 655 | 99 | 318 | 22 | 4 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 389 | 343 | 93 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 73 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 271 | 330 | 402 | 732 | 131 | 315 | 19 | 7 | 315 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 239 | 223 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 54 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 193 | 224 | 220 | 444 | 27 | 249 | 23 | 3 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 239 | 218 | 44 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 202 | 250 | 234 | 484 | 32 | 250 | 19 | 5 | 219 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Generales de Durango | — | 83 | 76 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 263 | 513 | 53 | 231 | 13 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA RAW | Generales de Durango | — | 83 | 74 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 287 | 284 | 571 | 54 | 246 | 11 | 7 | 255 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 239 | 214 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 49 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 178 | 261 | 276 | 536 | 98 | 213 | 21 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 139 | 129 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 50 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 171 | 226 | 256 | 482 | 85 | 258 | 36 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 18 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 111 | 111 | 111 | 222 | 186 | 44 | 0 | 87 | -55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 22 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 225 | 210 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 55 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 252 | 300 | 338 | 638 | 86 | 319 | 24 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 446 | 414 | 110 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 81 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 266 | 320 | 386 | 706 | 121 | 307 | 18 | 5 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 369 | 350 | 90 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 257 | 294 | 337 | 632 | 80 | 306 | 20 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 389 | 366 | 91 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 86 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 249 | 298 | 344 | 642 | 96 | 299 | 22 | 4 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 239 | 228 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 54 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 189 | 224 | 215 | 439 | 26 | 239 | 23 | 3 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Generales de Durango | — | 83 | 79 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 250 | 253 | 503 | 51 | 216 | 13 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2147 | 1966 | 465 | 76 | 11 | 25 | 97 | 466 | 26 | 36 | 23 | 237 | 281 | 325 | 606 | 88 | 295 | 22 | 5 | 260 | 62 | -97 | -2 | +0 | +8 | +47 | -4.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 141 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 141 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 237 | 281 | 326 | 607 | 89 | 295 | 22 | 4 | 260 | 62 | -30 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAGenerales de Durango · 83 PAwOBA .251 → .215 (−36)K% 10.8% → 13.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.84% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.23% | ÷1.073 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | ×0.995 | ×1.003 | 20.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.54% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×1.003 | 1.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.903 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.20% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 96, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .251 → .215; ISO .054 → .045; BABIP .246 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 239 PAwOBA .210 → .195 (−15)K% 19.2% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.25% | ÷1.030 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.18% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 2.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.027 | ×1.018 | 22.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.080 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.018 | 1.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.926 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.45% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 106, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .210 → .195; ISO .032 → .026; BABIP .250 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 389 PAwOBA .311 → .281 (−30)K% 18.8% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.77% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.43% | ÷1.132 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.44% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.018 | ×1.033 | 23.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.981 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×1.033 | 5.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 2.26% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 105, BB 126 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .311 → .281; ISO .131 → .105; BABIP .315 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 369 PAwOBA .295 → .272 (−23)K% 16.3% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.26% | ÷1.008 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.69% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.91% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 25.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.69% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 4.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.245 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 1.28% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 102, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .295 → .272; ISO .104 → .078; BABIP .307 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 407 PAwOBA .320 → .301 (−18)K% 15.0% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.99% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.13% | ÷0.959 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.93% | ÷0.990 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 22.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.31% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.66% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.98% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 99, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .320 → .301; ISO .144 → .123; BABIP .308 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 225 PAwOBA .291 → .275 (−16)K% 20.0% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.11% | ÷1.081 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.84% | ÷0.963 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 26.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.46% | ÷0.915 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 4.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.64% | ÷1.059 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.55% | ÷1.018 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.84% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 93, 2B 83, 3B 112, K 98, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .291 → .275; ISO .104 → .087; BABIP .305 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 18 PAwOBA .098 → .087 (−11)K% 38.9% → 46.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.89% | ÷0.997 | ×1.200 | — | — | 46.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.956 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 18.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.092 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 91, 2B 103, 3B 84, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .098 → .087; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .182 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ROKAZL Padres · 112 PAwOBA .296 → .205 (−91)K% 25.0% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.68% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.022 | ×0.995 | 17.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.022 | ×0.995 | 7.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.022 | ×0.995 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.08% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .296 → .205; ISO .120 → .080; BABIP .324 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .