Dustin Ackley
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 28 | MLBNYY | 70 | .148/.246/.148 | 0 | 0 | 19 | -0.6 | ||
| 2017 | 29 | AAALAA | 505 | .261/.344/.376 | 6 | 3 | 61 | — | .216/.276/.303 | |
| 2018 | 30 | AAALAA | 284 | .286/.384/.398 | 4 | 1 | 70 | — | .227/.294/.310 | |
| 2019 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 237 | 212 | 58 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 274 | 342 | 439 | 781 | 165 | 308 | 16 | 8 | 343 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA | West Tenn Diamond Jaxx | — | 350 | 289 | 76 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 55 | 41 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 263 | 390 | 384 | 774 | 121 | 300 | 12 | 16 | 354 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 94 | 66 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 424 | 587 | 758 | 1.345 | 333 | 462 | 12 | 28 | 553 | 260 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 376 | 333 | 91 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 79 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 273 | 351 | 417 | 769 | 144 | 339 | 21 | 11 | 341 | 118 | +8 | +1 | +6 | +3 | +8 | 2.7 |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 331 | 271 | 82 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 55 | 38 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 303 | 422 | 487 | 909 | 185 | 324 | 11 | 17 | 400 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 668 | 607 | 137 | 22 | 2 | 12 | 59 | 124 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 226 | 294 | 328 | 622 | 102 | 265 | 19 | 9 | 283 | 74 | -20 | +1 | +11 | +2 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 427 | 384 | 97 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 72 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 253 | 320 | 341 | 661 | 89 | 301 | 17 | 9 | 298 | 88 | -6 | -1 | -1 | +2 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 126 | 104 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 365 | 472 | 500 | 972 | 135 | 409 | 11 | 15 | 433 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 542 | 502 | 123 | 27 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 90 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 245 | 294 | 398 | 693 | 153 | 273 | 17 | 6 | 305 | 94 | -4 | +0 | -5 | -6 | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2015 | 27 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 264 | 238 | 55 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 231 | 288 | 429 | 717 | 197 | 241 | 17 | 7 | 307 | 91 | -3 | -0 | -5 | -3 | +6 | -0.5 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 19 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 471 | 526 | 882 | 1.409 | 412 | 500 | 16 | 5 | 600 | 243 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 70 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 148 | 246 | 148 | 394 | 170 | 13 | 11 | 196 | 19 | -7 | +0 | +1 | -1 | +2 | -0.6 | |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 505 | 441 | 115 | 27 | 3 | 6 | 54 | 71 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 261 | 344 | 376 | 720 | 116 | 295 | 14 | 11 | 322 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 284 | 241 | 69 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 384 | 398 | 782 | 112 | 311 | 11 | 13 | 350 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 2347 | 2125 | 512 | 94 | 18 | 46 | 194 | 419 | 5 | 31 | 12 | 241 | 306 | 367 | 673 | 126 | 279 | 18 | 8 | 300 | 89 | -30 | +1 | +7 | -3 | +51 | 2.7 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 237 | 217 | 50 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 48 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 230 | 286 | 364 | 650 | 134 | 271 | 20 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | West Tenn Diamond Jaxx | — | 350 | 304 | 76 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 50 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 250 | 347 | 365 | 712 | 115 | 292 | 14 | 11 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 376 | 334 | 91 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 79 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 272 | 349 | 416 | 765 | 144 | 339 | 21 | 10 | 343 | 118 | +8 | +1 | +6 | +3 | +8 | 2.7 |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 331 | 286 | 80 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40 | 50 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 280 | 370 | 441 | 811 | 161 | 310 | 15 | 12 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 668 | 614 | 138 | 22 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 124 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 225 | 285 | 326 | 611 | 101 | 265 | 19 | 8 | 278 | 74 | -20 | +1 | +11 | +2 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 427 | 385 | 97 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 72 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 252 | 318 | 340 | 658 | 88 | 301 | 17 | 8 | 299 | 88 | -6 | -1 | -1 | +2 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 126 | 111 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 324 | 400 | 441 | 841 | 117 | 371 | 14 | 10 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 542 | 503 | 123 | 27 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 90 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 245 | 292 | 398 | 690 | 153 | 273 | 17 | 6 | 307 | 94 | -4 | +0 | -5 | -6 | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2015 | 27 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 264 | 238 | 54 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 45 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 227 | 284 | 412 | 696 | 185 | 241 | 17 | 7 | 303 | 91 | -3 | -0 | -5 | -3 | +6 | -0.5 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 19 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 471 | 526 | 882 | 1.409 | 412 | 458 | 21 | 5 | 528 | 243 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 70 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 148 | 246 | 148 | 394 | 170 | 13 | 11 | 196 | 19 | -7 | +0 | +1 | -1 | +2 | -0.6 | |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 505 | 459 | 99 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 91 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 216 | 276 | 303 | 578 | 87 | 251 | 18 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 284 | 255 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 294 | 310 | 604 | 82 | 248 | 14 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 681 | 605 | 146 | 37 | 8 | 7 | 63 | 115 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 241 | 320 | 364 | 684 | 122 | 285 | 17 | 9 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 681 | 567 | 162 | 43 | 8 | 11 | 101 | 90 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 286 | 400 | 448 | 848 | 162 | 321 | 13 | 15 | 378 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 707 | 620 | 173 | 33 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 129 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 279 | 361 | 432 | 794 | 153 | 331 | 18 | 11 | 347 | 121 | +18 | +1 | +6 | +3 | +15 | 4.4 |
| 2011 | 23 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 707 | 604 | 173 | 33 | 10 | 15 | 95 | 117 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 286 | 384 | 449 | 833 | 162 | 332 | 17 | 13 | 369 | 121 | +18 | +1 | +6 | +3 | +15 | 4.4 |
| 2012 | 24 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 668 | 614 | 138 | 22 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 124 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 225 | 285 | 326 | 611 | 101 | 263 | 19 | 8 | 278 | 74 | -20 | +1 | +11 | +2 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2012 | 24 | MLB RAW | Seattle Mariners | — | 668 | 607 | 137 | 22 | 2 | 12 | 59 | 124 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 226 | 294 | 328 | 622 | 102 | 265 | 19 | 9 | 283 | 74 | -20 | +1 | +11 | +2 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 553 | 496 | 134 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 48 | 90 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 270 | 338 | 365 | 703 | 95 | 319 | 16 | 9 | 315 | 100 | -0 | -1 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 553 | 488 | 135 | 26 | 2 | 6 | 56 | 86 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 277 | 355 | 375 | 730 | 98 | 325 | 16 | 10 | 329 | 100 | -0 | -1 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 542 | 503 | 123 | 27 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 90 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 245 | 292 | 398 | 690 | 153 | 272 | 17 | 6 | 307 | 94 | -4 | +0 | -5 | -6 | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB RAW | Seattle Mariners | — | 542 | 502 | 123 | 27 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 90 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 245 | 294 | 398 | 693 | 153 | 273 | 17 | 6 | 305 | 94 | -4 | +0 | -5 | -6 | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2015 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 255 | 62 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 49 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 243 | 301 | 443 | 744 | 200 | 256 | 17 | 7 | 318 | 101 | +0 | -0 | -5 | -3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2015 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 283 | 255 | 63 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 247 | 304 | 459 | 763 | 212 | 256 | 17 | 7 | 327 | 101 | +0 | -0 | -5 | -3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 70 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 148 | 246 | 148 | 394 | 170 | 13 | 11 | 196 | 19 | -7 | +0 | +1 | -1 | +2 | -0.6 | |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB RAW | New York Yankees | — | 70 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 148 | 246 | 148 | 394 | 170 | 13 | 11 | 196 | 19 | -7 | +0 | +1 | -1 | +2 | -0.6 | |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 505 | 459 | 99 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 91 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 216 | 276 | 303 | 578 | 87 | 255 | 18 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA RAW | Salt Lake Bees | — | 505 | 441 | 115 | 27 | 3 | 6 | 54 | 71 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 261 | 344 | 376 | 720 | 116 | 295 | 14 | 11 | 322 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 284 | 255 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 294 | 310 | 604 | 82 | 256 | 14 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA RAW | Salt Lake Bees | — | 284 | 241 | 69 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 384 | 398 | 782 | 112 | 311 | 11 | 13 | 350 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 681 | 606 | 146 | 37 | 8 | 7 | 63 | 115 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 241 | 320 | 363 | 683 | 122 | 284 | 17 | 9 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 707 | 621 | 173 | 33 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 129 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 279 | 361 | 432 | 793 | 153 | 325 | 18 | 11 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 668 | 611 | 138 | 22 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 124 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 226 | 285 | 327 | 613 | 101 | 265 | 19 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 553 | 497 | 134 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 48 | 90 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 270 | 338 | 364 | 702 | 95 | 317 | 16 | 9 | 315 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 542 | 503 | 123 | 27 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 90 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 245 | 292 | 398 | 690 | 153 | 273 | 17 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 260 | 62 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 49 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 238 | 301 | 435 | 735 | 196 | 255 | 17 | 7 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 70 | 62 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 145 | 246 | 145 | 392 | 170 | 13 | 11 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 505 | 462 | 99 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 91 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 214 | 276 | 301 | 577 | 87 | 251 | 18 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 284 | 258 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 225 | 294 | 306 | 600 | 81 | 248 | 14 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2347 | 2125 | 512 | 94 | 18 | 46 | 194 | 419 | 5 | 31 | 12 | 241 | 306 | 367 | 673 | 126 | 279 | 18 | 8 | 300 | 90 | -30 | +1 | +7 | -3 | +51 | 2.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 142 | 26 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 116 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 241 | 306 | 368 | 674 | 127 | 279 | 18 | 8 | 300 | 90 | -8 | +0 | +2 | -1 | +14 | 0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4293 | 3868 | 942 | 187 | 32 | 72 | 359 | 738 | 19 | 58 | 20 | 244 | 311 | 364 | 675 | 121 | 282 | 17 | 8 | 301 | 90 | -30 | +1 | +7 | -3 | +51 | 2.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 143 | 28 | 5 | 11 | 54 | 112 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 244 | 311 | 365 | 676 | 121 | 283 | 17 | 8 | 301 | 90 | -8 | +0 | +2 | -1 | +14 | 0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAASalt Lake Bees · 284 PAwOBA .344 → .271 (−73)K% 11.3% → 14.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.27% | ÷1.003 | ×1.290 | — | — | 14.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.32% | ÷1.068 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 7.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.40% | ÷1.064 | ×0.900 | ×0.992 | ×0.972 | 19.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.22% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | ×0.992 | ×0.972 | 4.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷0.969 | ×0.810 | ×0.992 | ×0.972 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.91% | ÷0.958 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 1.52% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 113, 2B 109, 3B 94, K 101, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .344 → .271; ISO .112 → .091; BABIP .311 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAASalt Lake Bees · 505 PAwOBA .316 → .259 (−57)K% 14.1% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.06% | ÷1.010 | ×1.290 | — | — | 17.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.30% | ÷0.993 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 7.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.35% | ÷0.986 | ×0.900 | ×0.988 | ×0.982 | 18.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.30% | ÷1.009 | ×0.810 | ×0.988 | ×0.982 | 5.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.093 | ×0.810 | ×0.988 | ×0.982 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.62% | ÷0.989 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 1.26% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 102, 3B 119, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .316 → .259; ISO .116 → .091; BABIP .295 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 19 PAwOBA .582 → .528 (−54)K% 15.8% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.139 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.26% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 4.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.71% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 32.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.903 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 6.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.878 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 13.71% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 98, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .582 → .528; ISO .412 → .388; BABIP .500 → .458. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAATacoma Rainiers · 126 PAwOBA .418 → .372 (−45)K% 11.1% → 13.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.030 | ×1.290 | — | — | 13.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.49% | ÷1.049 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 9.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.11% | ÷0.983 | ×0.900 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 28.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.89% | ÷0.957 | ×0.810 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 7.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.22% | ÷0.938 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 1.91% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 106, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .418 → .372; ISO .135 → .121; BABIP .409 → .371. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAATacoma Rainiers · 331 PAwOBA .390 → .352 (−38)K% 11.5% → 15.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.48% | ÷0.990 | ×1.290 | — | — | 14.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.01% | ÷0.976 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 12.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.30% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.75% | ÷0.960 | ×0.900 | ×0.992 | ×1.050 | 22.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.30% | ÷0.896 | ×0.810 | ×0.992 | ×1.050 | 6.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.29% | ÷0.993 | ×0.810 | ×0.992 | ×1.050 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.86% | ÷1.004 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 3.15% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 92, 2B 79, 3B 99, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .390 → .352; ISO .185 → .164; BABIP .324 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAWest Tenn Diamond Jaxx · 350 PAwOBA .347 → .317 (−30)K% 11.7% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.71% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.71% | ÷0.976 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 11.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.76% | ÷1.058 | ×0.920 | ×1.046 | ×1.042 | 18.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.47% | ÷0.934 | ×0.910 | ×1.046 | ×1.042 | 8.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.046 | ×1.042 | 1.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.81% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 0.75% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 112, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .347 → .317; ISO .121 → .123; BABIP .300 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAATacoma Rainiers · 237 PAwOBA .336 → .284 (−53)K% 16.0% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.03% | ÷1.012 | ×1.290 | — | — | 20.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.02% | ÷0.968 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 6.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.26% | ÷1.034 | ×0.900 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 19.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.086 | ×0.810 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 5.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.30% | ÷0.934 | ×0.810 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 2.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.87% | ÷1.031 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.28% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 117, 3B 87, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .336 → .284; ISO .165 → .133; BABIP .308 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .