Alejandro Ortiz
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 30 | INTLAlgodoneros d… | 167 | .265/.371/.301 | 0 | 2 | 91 | — |
| 2021 | 31 | INTLAlgodoneros d… | 30 | .269/.345/.269 | 0 | 0 | 77 | — |
| 2022 | 32 | INTLAlgodoneros d… | 205 | .243/.308/.337 | 2 | 1 | 79 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 22 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 111 | 99 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 293 | 364 | 404 | 768 | 111 | 346 | 15 | 8 | 343 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 22 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 273 | 222 | 495 | 111 | 182 | 32 | 18 | 241 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 154 | 141 | 36 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 255 | 309 | 404 | 713 | 149 | 340 | 26 | 6 | 312 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 190 | 164 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 38 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 354 | 427 | 524 | 951 | 171 | 435 | 20 | 11 | 410 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 120 | 107 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 310 | 430 | 740 | 178 | 302 | 17 | 8 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 411 | 344 | 110 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 88 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 320 | 402 | 433 | 835 | 113 | 406 | 21 | 10 | 359 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 92 | 87 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 207 | 225 | 287 | 512 | 80 | 262 | 27 | 2 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 182 | 164 | 58 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 354 | 414 | 530 | 945 | 177 | 415 | 17 | 8 | 415 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 49 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 245 | 267 | 512 | 89 | 219 | 24 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 32 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 290 | 312 | 419 | 732 | 129 | 348 | 22 | 0 | 326 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 172 | 146 | 50 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 342 | 432 | 445 | 877 | 103 | 419 | 16 | 13 | 389 | 150 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 167 | 136 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 265 | 371 | 301 | 673 | 37 | 350 | 20 | 11 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 30 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 269 | 345 | 269 | 614 | 368 | 23 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 32 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 205 | 181 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 243 | 308 | 337 | 645 | 94 | 302 | 20 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 22 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 111 | 103 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 291 | 336 | 398 | 734 | 107 | 354 | 20 | 5 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 22 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 227 | 211 | 438 | 105 | 167 | 41 | 14 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 154 | 144 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 52 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 215 | 257 | 319 | 576 | 104 | 316 | 34 | 4 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 190 | 172 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 47 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 308 | 357 | 424 | 781 | 116 | 396 | 25 | 7 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 411 | 357 | 102 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 118 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 286 | 348 | 361 | 709 | 76 | 375 | 29 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 182 | 170 | 47 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 276 | 320 | 400 | 720 | 124 | 339 | 21 | 4 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 32 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 258 | 281 | 387 | 668 | 129 | 298 | 28 | 0 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 111 | 103 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 291 | 336 | 398 | 734 | 107 | 362 | 20 | 5 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 111 | 99 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 293 | 364 | 404 | 768 | 111 | 346 | 15 | 8 | 343 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 22 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 227 | 211 | 438 | 105 | 200 | 41 | 14 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA RAW | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 22 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 273 | 222 | 495 | 111 | 182 | 32 | 18 | 241 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 154 | 144 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 52 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 215 | 257 | 319 | 576 | 104 | 326 | 34 | 4 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA RAW | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 154 | 141 | 36 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 255 | 309 | 404 | 713 | 149 | 340 | 26 | 6 | 312 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 310 | 281 | 87 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 77 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 310 | 355 | 431 | 786 | 121 | 411 | 25 | 6 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 310 | 271 | 85 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 58 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 314 | 382 | 487 | 869 | 173 | 381 | 19 | 10 | 373 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 503 | 439 | 124 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 144 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 282 | 344 | 355 | 699 | 73 | 402 | 29 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 503 | 431 | 128 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 45 | 113 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 297 | 369 | 404 | 772 | 107 | 378 | 22 | 9 | 334 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 231 | 217 | 59 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 49 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 272 | 313 | 382 | 696 | 111 | 337 | 21 | 4 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 231 | 209 | 66 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 316 | 378 | 474 | 852 | 158 | 377 | 19 | 8 | 377 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 204 | 199 | 46 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 231 | 239 | 317 | 555 | 85 | 298 | 26 | 0 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 204 | 177 | 59 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 35 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 333 | 413 | 441 | 854 | 107 | 407 | 17 | 11 | 379 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL MLE | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 167 | 136 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 265 | 371 | 301 | 673 | 37 | 350 | 20 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL RAW | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 167 | 136 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 265 | 371 | 301 | 673 | 37 | 350 | 20 | 11 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | INTL MLE | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 30 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 269 | 345 | 269 | 614 | 368 | 23 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 31 | INTL RAW | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 30 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 269 | 345 | 269 | 614 | 368 | 23 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 32 | INTL MLE | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 205 | 181 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 243 | 308 | 337 | 645 | 94 | 302 | 20 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 32 | INTL RAW | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 205 | 181 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 243 | 308 | 337 | 645 | 94 | 302 | 20 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 111 | 103 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 291 | 336 | 398 | 734 | 107 | 354 | 20 | 5 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 22 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 227 | 211 | 438 | 105 | 167 | 41 | 14 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 154 | 145 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 52 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 214 | 257 | 317 | 574 | 103 | 316 | 34 | 4 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 310 | 287 | 87 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 77 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 303 | 355 | 422 | 777 | 118 | 396 | 25 | 6 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 503 | 457 | 124 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 144 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 271 | 344 | 341 | 685 | 70 | 375 | 29 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 231 | 216 | 59 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 49 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 273 | 313 | 384 | 697 | 111 | 339 | 21 | 4 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 204 | 200 | 46 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 230 | 239 | 315 | 554 | 85 | 298 | 26 | 0 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1937 | 1745 | 466 | 69 | 14 | 20 | 113 | 488 | 24 | 44 | 37 | 267 | 320 | 357 | 677 | 90 | 357 | 25 | 6 | 238 | 47 | -122 | -6 | +0 | -21 | +42 | -10.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 157 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 164 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 268 | 322 | 360 | 682 | 92 | 358 | 25 | 6 | 238 | 47 | -41 | -2 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -3.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAAcereros del Norte · 32 PAwOBA .317 → .249 (−68)K% 21.9% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.88% | ÷0.988 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.960 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.17% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 25.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.048 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 3.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.922 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.015 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.82% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 107, 2B 110, 3B 84, K 98, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .317 → .249; ISO .129 → .085; BABIP .348 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 182 PAwOBA .403 → .315 (−88)K% 17.0% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.03% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.59% | ÷1.003 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.82% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | ×0.976 | ×1.003 | 24.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.78% | ÷1.143 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×1.003 | 9.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.093 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.01% | ÷1.080 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.96% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 107, 2B 129, 3B 119, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .403 → .315; ISO .177 → .121; BABIP .415 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 411 PAwOBA .354 → .303 (−51)K% 21.4% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.41% | ÷0.894 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.46% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.98% | ÷1.027 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 32.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.47% | ÷1.188 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 4.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.73% | ÷1.183 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.65% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 105, 2B 138, 3B 130, K 79, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .354 → .303; ISO .113 → .078; BABIP .406 → .375. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 190 PAwOBA .398 → .345 (−54)K% 20.0% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.47% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.75% | ÷1.059 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 30.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.117 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 7.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.17% | ÷1.244 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.85% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 112, 2B 123, 3B 103, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .398 → .345; ISO .171 → .130; BABIP .435 → .396. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 154 PAwOBA .304 → .252 (−52)K% 26.0% → 33.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.97% | ÷0.931 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.19% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.76% | ÷1.039 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 23.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.183 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 3.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 4.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.98% | ÷1.180 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 1.23% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 108, 2B 137, 3B 130, K 86, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .304 → .252; ISO .149 → .109; BABIP .340 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 22 PAwOBA .237 → .177 (−59)K% 31.8% → 41.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.82% | ÷0.920 | ×1.200 | — | — | 41.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.068 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 12.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 9.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 7.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.277 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 96, 2B 125, 3B 130, K 84, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .237 → .177; ISO .111 → .086; BABIP .182 → .167. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 111 PAwOBA .331 → .314 (−17)K% 15.3% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.32% | ÷0.931 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.21% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.80% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.05% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 29.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.118 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 2.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.66% | ÷0.961 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 3.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.045 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.86% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 97, 2B 124, 3B 92, K 86, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .331 → .314; ISO .111 → .101; BABIP .346 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .