Alfredo González
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 27 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 329 | .234/.341/.327 | 4 | 1 | 63 | — | .199/.272/.272 |
| 2020 | 28 | INTLLeones del Ca… | 39 | .257/.316/.400 | 1 | 0 | 97 | — | |
| 2021 | 29 | INTLLeones del Ca… | 38 | .194/.194/.417 | 2 | 0 | 54 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK | DSL Astros | — | 104 | 90 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 167 | 279 | 222 | 501 | 56 | 217 | 20 | 12 | 243 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK | GCL Astros | — | 102 | 93 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 172 | 206 | 269 | 475 | 97 | 213 | 20 | 3 | 202 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK | GCL Astros | — | 98 | 90 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 244 | 299 | 300 | 599 | 56 | 275 | 10 | 3 | 273 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | — | 120 | 104 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 240 | 342 | 356 | 697 | 115 | 295 | 20 | 12 | 320 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 121 | 100 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 402 | 320 | 722 | 20 | 370 | 17 | 14 | 329 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 116 | 106 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 340 | 391 | 425 | 816 | 85 | 410 | 19 | 8 | 365 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 57 | 43 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 326 | 482 | 395 | 877 | 70 | 400 | 14 | 19 | 402 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 314 | 281 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 62 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 224 | 297 | 270 | 567 | 46 | 285 | 20 | 8 | 262 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 28 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 286 | 240 | 526 | 40 | 250 | 18 | 11 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 249 | 216 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 41 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 208 | 308 | 301 | 609 | 93 | 238 | 16 | 12 | 282 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 126 | 109 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 290 | 211 | 501 | 18 | 288 | 29 | 10 | 240 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 112 | 104 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 298 | 342 | 413 | 756 | 115 | 382 | 23 | 5 | 336 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 49 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 286 | 295 | 581 | 91 | 258 | 24 | 10 | 269 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 195 | 164 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 238 | 342 | 317 | 659 | 79 | 304 | 21 | 13 | 299 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 85 | 70 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 369 | 371 | 740 | 129 | 300 | 21 | 14 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 39 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 316 | 400 | 716 | 143 | 242 | 5 | 8 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 38 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 194 | 417 | 611 | 222 | 192 | 24 | 0 | 249 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros | — | 104 | 94 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 117 | 202 | 160 | 361 | 43 | 153 | 25 | 9 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 102 | 94 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 128 | 155 | 191 | 346 | 64 | 165 | 28 | 2 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 98 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 187 | 237 | 231 | 468 | 44 | 215 | 14 | 2 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 120 | 109 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 174 | 250 | 248 | 498 | 73 | 231 | 28 | 8 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 121 | 105 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 359 | 305 | 664 | 19 | 359 | 22 | 10 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 116 | 109 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 294 | 330 | 367 | 697 | 73 | 391 | 28 | 5 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 57 | 47 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 298 | 411 | 362 | 772 | 64 | 366 | 19 | 12 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 314 | 288 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 76 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 271 | 264 | 535 | 49 | 279 | 24 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 249 | 225 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 51 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 196 | 267 | 284 | 552 | 89 | 224 | 20 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 126 | 113 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 250 | 195 | 445 | 18 | 274 | 36 | 7 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 112 | 106 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 264 | 297 | 377 | 675 | 113 | 345 | 28 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 49 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 224 | 261 | 485 | 87 | 225 | 31 | 6 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 195 | 171 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 205 | 284 | 275 | 559 | 70 | 258 | 25 | 10 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros | — | 104 | 94 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 117 | 202 | 160 | 361 | 43 | 162 | 25 | 9 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Astros | — | 104 | 90 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 167 | 279 | 222 | 501 | 56 | 217 | 20 | 12 | 243 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 102 | 94 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 128 | 155 | 191 | 346 | 64 | 179 | 28 | 2 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Astros | — | 102 | 93 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 172 | 206 | 269 | 475 | 97 | 213 | 20 | 3 | 202 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 98 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 187 | 237 | 231 | 468 | 44 | 221 | 14 | 2 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK RAW | GCL Astros | — | 98 | 90 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 244 | 299 | 300 | 599 | 56 | 275 | 10 | 3 | 273 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 120 | 109 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 174 | 250 | 248 | 498 | 73 | 243 | 28 | 8 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK RAW | Greeneville Astros | — | 120 | 104 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 240 | 342 | 356 | 697 | 115 | 295 | 20 | 12 | 320 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 294 | 260 | 76 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 70 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 292 | 361 | 342 | 703 | 50 | 387 | 24 | 9 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 294 | 249 | 80 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 51 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 321 | 413 | 378 | 791 | 56 | 392 | 17 | 13 | 357 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 342 | 315 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 83 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 213 | 266 | 260 | 527 | 48 | 286 | 24 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 342 | 306 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 67 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 296 | 268 | 564 | 46 | 282 | 20 | 8 | 261 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 249 | 225 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 51 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 196 | 267 | 284 | 552 | 89 | 234 | 20 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 249 | 216 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 41 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 208 | 308 | 301 | 609 | 93 | 238 | 16 | 12 | 282 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 238 | 219 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 76 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 268 | 274 | 542 | 59 | 317 | 32 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 238 | 213 | 52 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 63 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 315 | 310 | 625 | 66 | 336 | 26 | 8 | 285 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 329 | 292 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 85 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 192 | 269 | 257 | 526 | 65 | 261 | 26 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 329 | 278 | 65 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 43 | 70 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 234 | 341 | 327 | 668 | 94 | 296 | 21 | 13 | 305 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | INTL MLE | Leones del Caracas | — | 39 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 316 | 400 | 716 | 143 | 242 | 5 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | INTL RAW | Leones del Caracas | — | 39 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 316 | 400 | 716 | 143 | 242 | 5 | 8 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | INTL MLE | Leones del Caracas | — | 38 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 194 | 417 | 611 | 222 | 192 | 24 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | INTL RAW | Leones del Caracas | — | 38 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 194 | 417 | 611 | 222 | 192 | 24 | 0 | 249 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros | — | 104 | 93 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 118 | 202 | 161 | 363 | 43 | 153 | 25 | 9 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 102 | 98 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 122 | 155 | 184 | 338 | 61 | 165 | 28 | 2 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 98 | 92 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 185 | 237 | 228 | 465 | 43 | 215 | 14 | 2 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 120 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 176 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 74 | 231 | 28 | 8 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 294 | 264 | 76 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 70 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 288 | 361 | 337 | 698 | 49 | 373 | 24 | 9 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 342 | 316 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 83 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 266 | 259 | 526 | 47 | 279 | 24 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 249 | 225 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 51 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 196 | 267 | 284 | 552 | 89 | 224 | 20 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 238 | 220 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 76 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 268 | 273 | 541 | 59 | 307 | 32 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 329 | 295 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 85 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 190 | 269 | 254 | 524 | 64 | 251 | 26 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1953 | 1770 | 365 | 55 | 9 | 14 | 131 | 479 | 22 | 32 | 17 | 206 | 269 | 271 | 541 | 65 | 272 | 25 | 7 | 226 | 39 | -141 | -0 | -0 | +35 | +42 | -6.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 122 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 159 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 207 | 270 | 273 | 544 | 66 | 273 | 24 | 7 | 226 | 39 | -47 | -0 | -0 | +12 | +14 | -2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AABirmingham Barons · 195 PAwOBA .296 → .243 (−52)K% 20.5% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.51% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷0.929 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 9.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 19.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.06% | ÷1.009 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 6.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.81% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.64% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 100, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .296 → .243; ISO .079 → .068; BABIP .304 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAACharlotte Knights · 49 PAwOBA .262 → .201 (−61)K% 24.5% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.49% | ÷0.962 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.20% | ÷1.077 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.88% | ÷1.061 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 19.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.921 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 2.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.212 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 2.17% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 112, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 92, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .262 → .201; ISO .091 → .065; BABIP .258 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAACharlotte Knights · 126 PAwOBA .237 → .202 (−35)K% 29.4% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.37% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.32% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.39% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 25.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.077 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 2.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.319 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 106, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .237 → .202; ISO .018 → .015; BABIP .288 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AABirmingham Barons · 112 PAwOBA .327 → .279 (−48)K% 23.2% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.21% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.36% | ÷0.954 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 3.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.49% | ÷1.069 | ×0.920 | ×1.048 | ×0.988 | 26.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.969 | ×0.910 | ×1.048 | ×0.988 | 7.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.048 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.949 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.14% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 114, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 101, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .327 → .279; ISO .115 → .101; BABIP .382 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AABirmingham Barons · 249 PAwOBA .276 → .238 (−38)K% 16.5% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.47% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.65% | ÷1.001 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 7.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.43% | ÷1.009 | ×0.920 | ×1.042 | ×0.998 | 18.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.43% | ÷1.021 | ×0.910 | ×1.042 | ×0.998 | 3.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷1.086 | ×0.880 | ×1.042 | ×0.998 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.29% | ÷0.894 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.04% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 117, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .276 → .238; ISO .093 → .084; BABIP .238 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AABirmingham Barons · 314 PAwOBA .257 → .234 (−23)K% 19.7% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.75% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.64% | ÷0.990 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 5.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.29% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×1.038 | ×1.012 | 22.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.02% | ÷0.897 | ×0.910 | ×1.038 | ×1.012 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.038 | ×1.012 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 79, 3B 130, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .257 → .234; ISO .046 → .047; BABIP .285 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 121 PAwOBA .327 → .300 (−26)K% 17.4% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.36% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.05% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 10.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.44% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 34.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.53% | ÷0.963 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 2.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.059 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .327 → .300; ISO .020 → .020; BABIP .370 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 116 PAwOBA .359 → .306 (−52)K% 19.0% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.97% | ÷0.924 | ×1.340 | — | — | 27.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.76% | ÷1.031 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.90% | ÷0.985 | ×0.910 | ×1.048 | ×0.998 | 35.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.005 | ×0.820 | ×1.048 | ×0.998 | 3.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.048 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.964 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 2.27% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 85, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .359 → .306; ISO .085 → .072; BABIP .410 → .391. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .