Jose Manuel Orozco

PosLF

B/TL/L

Born1990-10-17

Age (2027)36

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLPROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR
2024	33	INTLSultanes de M…	66	.217/.288/.283	1	66	—
2025	34	INTLJaguares de N…	70	.197/.232/.394	4	69	—
2026	35	INTLJaguares de N…	49	.238/.333/.571	4	144	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	18	ROK	DSL Angels	—	170	149	25	6	5	2	15	29	1	3	2	168	248	315	564	148	192	17	9	247	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	127	112	26	5	1	3	12	28	1	1	2	232	312	375	687	143	284	22	9	305	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	172	158	43	6	0	4	12	49	0	1	0	272	324	386	710	114	371	28	7	315	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	213	188	51	8	0	8	18	64	2	4	2	271	341	441	783	170	371	30	8	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	259	231	62	11	1	7	21	60	2	8	1	268	335	416	750	147	331	23	8	330	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	185	170	41	8	2	9	9	49	2	2	3	241	287	471	758	229	286	26	5	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	320	297	74	13	1	8	19	87	2	0	1	249	299	380	679	131	325	27	6	302	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	112	105	20	2	1	1	7	29	0	1	1	190	241	257	498	67	253	26	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	356	323	97	19	3	8	29	86	1	7	4	300	360	452	812	152	385	24	8	358	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	77	61	9	2	1	1	11	17	1	1	2	148	284	262	546	115	186	22	14	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	367	316	82	20	2	11	44	90	0	6	3	259	350	440	790	180	327	25	12	346	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	122	108	26	4	3	1	11	27	2	1	1	241	322	361	683	120	312	22	9	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	227	201	52	6	1	10	22	61	1	2	1	259	335	448	783	189	318	27	10	343	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	97	91	25	3	2	5	3	28	2	1	1	275	312	516	829	242	345	29	3	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	312	278	75	15	2	7	29	74	3	6	3	270	345	414	759	144	345	24	9	339	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	79	72	17	2	1	0	7	25	0	1	1	236	304	292	595	56	362	32	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	99	88	34	2	2	2	8	26	1	3	2	386	443	523	966	136	525	26	8	420	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	256	230	70	16	1	11	20	74	3	3	2	304	368	526	894	222	401	29	8	388	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	97	80	15	3	0	1	12	31	3	0	0	188	316	263	578	75	286	32	12	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	78	70	8	1	1	0	6	22	1	0	0	114	195	157	352	43	163	28	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	55	51	17	4	1	1	4	17	0	0	1	333	382	510	892	176	485	31	7	392	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	99	88	20	2	1	3	10	36	1	1	3	227	313	375	688	148	347	36	10	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	28	22	2	1	0	0	5	10	1	0	0	91	286	136	422	45	167	36	18	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	66	60	13	1	0	1	6	21	0	0	1	217	288	283	571	67	316	32	9	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL	Jaguares de Nayarit	—	70	66	13	1	0	4	3	18	0	0	0	197	232	394	626	197	200	26	4	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	35	INTL	Jaguares de Nayarit	—	49	42	10	0	1	4	5	13	1	0	0	238	333	571	905	333	231	27	10	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	170	154	16	4	3	1	10	35	1	3	2	104	164	188	352	84	119	21	6	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	127	117	24	4	1	2	7	32	1	1	2	205	256	308	564	103	255	25	6	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	172	162	42	6	0	3	8	58	0	1	0	259	294	352	646	93	377	34	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	259	240	61	9	1	5	12	72	2	8	1	254	295	362	658	108	327	28	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	320	304	66	11	1	6	12	108	2	0	1	217	252	319	571	102	312	34	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA MLE	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	356	335	87	16	3	6	17	107	1	7	4	260	297	379	677	119	352	30	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA MLE	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	367	334	73	17	2	8	26	113	0	6	3	219	275	353	628	135	293	31	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA MLE	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	227	210	49	5	1	8	13	74	1	2	1	233	281	381	662	148	306	33	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	312	290	63	13	2	4	17	92	3	6	3	217	268	317	585	100	295	29	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	256	238	55	12	1	7	12	90	3	3	2	231	277	378	655	147	328	35	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	170	154	16	4	3	1	10	35	1	3	2	104	164	188	352	84	125	21	6	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	—	170	149	25	6	5	2	15	29	1	3	2	168	248	315	564	148	192	17	9	247	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	127	117	24	4	1	2	7	32	1	1	2	205	256	308	564	103	265	25	6	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	AAA RAW	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	127	112	26	5	1	3	12	28	1	1	2	232	312	375	687	143	284	22	9	305	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	385	358	93	12	0	6	18	129	2	5	2	260	299	344	643	84	390	34	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	385	346	94	14	0	12	30	113	2	5	2	272	333	416	750	145	371	29	8	330	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	444	411	104	15	2	9	20	123	4	10	4	253	294	365	659	112	338	28	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	444	401	103	19	3	16	30	109	4	10	4	257	315	439	754	182	313	25	7	327	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	432	412	90	15	1	9	16	146	2	1	2	218	251	325	576	107	314	34	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	432	402	94	15	2	9	26	116	2	1	2	234	284	348	632	114	306	27	6	283	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	433	404	105	19	4	7	21	130	2	8	6	260	300	379	678	119	364	30	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	433	384	106	21	4	9	40	103	2	8	6	276	347	422	768	146	354	24	9	339	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	489	444	98	23	2	11	35	151	2	7	4	221	281	356	637	135	306	31	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	489	424	108	24	5	12	55	117	2	7	4	255	343	420	763	165	323	24	11	336	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	324	299	69	7	1	11	18	106	3	3	2	231	281	371	652	140	315	33	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	324	292	77	9	3	15	25	89	3	3	2	264	328	469	797	205	326	27	8	347	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	391	365	79	16	2	6	21	116	3	7	4	216	265	321	585	104	300	30	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	391	350	92	17	3	7	36	99	3	7	4	263	337	389	725	126	348	25	9	326	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	99	88	34	2	2	2	8	26	1	3	2	386	443	523	966	136	525	26	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	99	88	34	2	2	2	8	26	1	3	2	386	443	523	966	136	525	26	8	420	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	353	325	76	17	1	10	17	125	6	3	2	234	284	385	669	151	342	35	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	353	310	85	19	1	12	32	105	6	3	2	274	353	458	812	184	372	30	9	356	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	INTL MLE	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	78	70	8	1	1	0	6	22	1	0	0	114	195	157	352	43	163	28	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	INTL RAW	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	78	70	8	1	1	0	6	22	1	0	0	114	195	157	352	43	163	28	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	55	51	17	4	1	1	4	17	0	0	1	333	382	510	892	176	485	31	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	55	51	17	4	1	1	4	17	0	0	1	333	382	510	892	176	485	31	7	392	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL MLE	Venados de Mazatlan	—	99	88	20	2	1	3	10	36	1	1	3	227	313	375	688	148	347	36	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL RAW	Venados de Mazatlan	—	99	88	20	2	1	3	10	36	1	1	3	227	313	375	688	148	347	36	10	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	INTL MLE	Venados de Mazatlan	—	28	22	2	1	0	0	5	10	1	0	0	91	286	136	422	45	167	36	18	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	INTL RAW	Venados de Mazatlan	—	28	22	2	1	0	0	5	10	1	0	0	91	286	136	422	45	167	36	18	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	INTL MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	66	60	13	1	0	1	6	21	0	0	1	217	288	283	571	67	316	32	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	INTL RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	66	60	13	1	0	1	6	21	0	0	1	217	288	283	571	67	316	32	9	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL MLE	Jaguares de Nayarit	—	70	66	13	1	0	4	3	18	0	0	0	197	232	394	626	197	200	26	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL RAW	Jaguares de Nayarit	—	70	66	13	1	0	4	3	18	0	0	0	197	232	394	626	197	200	26	4	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	35	INTL MLE	Jaguares de Nayarit	—	49	42	10	0	1	4	5	13	1	0	0	238	333	571	905	333	231	27	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	35	INTL RAW	Jaguares de Nayarit	—	49	42	10	0	1	4	5	13	1	0	0	238	333	571	905	333	231	27	10	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	170	157	16	4	3	1	10	35	1	3	2	102	164	185	348	83	119	21	6	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	127	118	24	4	1	2	7	32	1	1	2	203	256	305	561	102	255	25	6	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	385	362	93	12	0	6	18	129	2	5	2	257	299	340	639	83	377	34	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	444	417	104	15	2	9	20	123	4	10	4	249	294	360	654	110	327	28	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	432	411	90	15	1	9	16	146	2	1	2	219	251	326	577	107	312	34	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	433	407	105	19	4	7	21	130	2	8	6	258	300	376	676	118	352	30	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	489	449	98	23	2	11	35	151	2	7	4	218	281	352	633	134	293	31	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	324	300	69	7	1	11	18	106	3	3	2	230	281	370	651	140	306	33	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	391	364	79	16	2	6	21	116	3	7	4	217	265	321	586	104	295	30	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	353	327	76	17	1	10	17	125	6	3	2	232	284	382	667	150	328	35	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4092	3776	871	144	23	87	230	1256	31	52	37	231	280	350	631	119	320	31	6	233	44	-273	-4	+0	-44	+89	-23.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	139	23	4	14	37	200	5	8	6	232	282	353	636	122	321	31	6	233	44	-43	-1	+0	-7	+14	-3.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 256 PAwOBA .377 → .284 (−93)K% 28.9% → 35.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.91%	÷0.984	×1.200	—	—	35.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.03%	÷0.986	×0.690	—	×0.982	4.83%
HBP% /PA	1.17%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.08%
Singles /BIP	26.92%	÷1.007	×0.930	×0.950	×0.982	23.19%
Doubles /BIP	10.26%	÷0.984	×0.830	×0.950	×0.982	8.07%
Triples /BIP	0.64%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.950	×0.982	0.48%
Home runs /BIP	7.05%	÷1.040	×0.700	—	×0.982	4.66%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .377 → .284; ISO .222 → .151; BABIP .401 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 312 PAwOBA .324 → .257 (−67)K% 23.7% → 29.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.72%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	29.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.69%	÷0.994	×0.690	—	×1.003	5.36%
HBP% /PA	0.96%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.91%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.067	×0.930	×0.997	×1.003	21.80%
Doubles /BIP	7.35%	÷0.972	×0.830	×0.997	×1.003	6.28%
Triples /BIP	0.98%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.997	×1.003	0.78%
Home runs /BIP	3.43%	÷1.093	×0.700	—	×1.003	2.21%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 113, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 92, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .324 → .257; ISO .144 → .104; BABIP .345 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 227 PAwOBA .332 → .284 (−48)K% 26.9% → 32.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.87%	÷0.986	×1.200	—	—	32.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.37%	÷1.051	×0.690	—	×1.018	5.59%
HBP% /PA	0.44%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.42%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.963	×0.930	×1.016	×1.018	24.98%
Doubles /BIP	4.29%	÷0.992	×0.830	×1.016	×1.018	3.71%
Triples /BIP	0.71%	÷1.046	×0.920	×1.016	×1.018	0.65%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷0.929	×0.700	—	×1.018	5.48%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 93, 2B 98, 3B 109, K 97, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .332 → .284; ISO .189 → .148; BABIP .318 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 367 PAwOBA .335 → .273 (−61)K% 24.5% → 30.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.52%	÷0.955	×1.200	—	—	30.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.90%	÷1.084	×0.690	—	×1.033	7.17%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.68%	÷1.049	×0.930	×1.024	×1.033	20.33%
Doubles /BIP	8.85%	÷1.046	×0.830	×1.024	×1.033	7.42%
Triples /BIP	0.88%	÷1.080	×0.920	×1.024	×1.033	0.80%
Home runs /BIP	4.87%	÷1.006	×0.700	—	×1.033	3.50%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 110, 2B 109, 3B 116, K 91, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .335 → .273; ISO .180 → .141; BABIP .327 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 356 PAwOBA .346 → .293 (−52)K% 24.2% → 30.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.16%	÷0.966	×1.200	—	—	30.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.74%	÷1.025	×0.690	—	×1.048	4.76%
HBP% /PA	0.28%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.28%
Singles /BIP	28.27%	÷1.055	×0.930	×1.019	×1.048	26.61%
Doubles /BIP	8.02%	÷1.060	×0.830	×1.019	×1.048	6.71%
Triples /BIP	1.27%	÷0.953	×0.920	×1.019	×1.048	1.31%
Home runs /BIP	3.38%	÷0.976	×0.700	—	×1.048	2.54%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 111, 2B 112, 3B 91, K 93, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .346 → .293; ISO .152 → .121; BABIP .385 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAALeones de Yucatan · 320 PAwOBA .291 → .253 (−38)K% 27.2% → 33.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.19%	÷0.964	×1.200	—	—	33.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.00%	÷0.987	×0.690	—	×1.050	3.67%
HBP% /PA	0.62%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.62%
Singles /BIP	24.76%	÷1.019	×0.930	×1.025	×1.050	24.31%
Doubles /BIP	6.19%	÷0.992	×0.830	×1.025	×1.050	5.57%
Triples /BIP	0.48%	÷0.955	×0.920	×1.025	×1.050	0.49%
Home runs /BIP	3.81%	÷0.866	×0.700	—	×1.050	3.23%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 91, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .291 → .253; ISO .131 → .108; BABIP .325 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 259 PAwOBA .319 → .287 (−32)K% 23.2% → 27.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.17%	÷1.004	×1.200	—	—	27.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.95%	÷1.087	×0.690	—	×1.050	4.63%
HBP% /PA	0.77%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.76%
Singles /BIP	25.15%	÷0.959	×0.930	×1.030	×1.050	26.38%
Doubles /BIP	6.43%	÷1.125	×0.830	×1.030	×1.050	5.13%
Triples /BIP	0.58%	÷1.027	×0.920	×1.030	×1.050	0.57%
Home runs /BIP	4.09%	÷1.014	×0.700	—	×1.050	2.97%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 92, 2B 125, 3B 105, K 101, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .319 → .287; ISO .147 → .114; BABIP .331 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 172 PAwOBA .305 → .278 (−27)K% 28.5% → 33.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.49%	÷1.017	×1.200	—	—	33.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.40%	÷1.016	×0.690	—	×1.050	4.56%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.28%	÷0.963	×0.930	×1.025	×1.050	31.47%
Doubles /BIP	5.50%	÷0.941	×0.830	×1.025	×1.050	5.22%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.920	×1.025	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.67%	÷1.007	×0.700	—	×1.050	2.68%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .305 → .278; ISO .114 → .089; BABIP .371 → .377. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .