Alberto Carreon

PosSS

B/TR/R

Born1988-05-01

Age (2027)39

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2021	33	INTLSultanes de M…	181	.269/.356/.385	3	2	110	—
2022	34	INTLSultanes de M…	268	.300/.361/.392	2	3	100	—
2023	35	INTLSultanes de M…	56	.152/.264/.174	0	1	28	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	21	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	50	43	8	1	0	1	3	4	3	0	2	186	286	279	565	93	179	8	6	262	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	128	112	31	2	1	0	5	16	3	1	1	277	325	312	637	36	316	12	4	275	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	82	72	20	2	2	0	7	14	1	0	2	278	350	361	711	83	345	17	9	316	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	275	234	72	15	3	1	18	44	8	7	6	308	377	410	787	103	372	16	7	337	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	425	367	112	18	4	8	31	68	16	9	5	305	384	441	825	136	355	16	7	362	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	109	95	23	9	2	0	10	21	2	0	0	242	327	379	706	137	311	19	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	467	409	136	29	4	11	37	76	11	9	4	333	402	504	905	171	385	16	8	393	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	89	80	19	3	0	0	4	21	1	2	1	237	282	275	557	38	317	24	4	246	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	418	361	100	19	5	7	35	62	9	3	2	277	356	416	771	139	317	15	8	336	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	306	266	75	18	3	2	30	57	1	4	5	282	357	395	752	113	353	19	10	330	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	104	84	16	3	2	3	13	17	3	0	2	190	320	381	701	190	197	16	12	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	453	407	129	18	2	5	23	52	6	12	9	317	362	408	770	91	347	11	5	334	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	80	69	18	4	1	0	7	9	1	2	0	261	338	348	685	87	286	11	9	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	47	40	8	3	0	2	5	10	1	0	1	200	304	425	729	225	214	21	11	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	498	440	128	23	2	6	26	72	21	5	1	291	359	393	753	102	332	14	5	335	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	65	59	15	0	1	1	4	11	1	0	1	254	312	339	651	85	298	17	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	32	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	174	163	47	9	0	3	3	26	4	6	1	288	318	399	716	110	326	15	2	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	33	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	181	156	42	5	2	3	13	24	8	2	0	269	356	385	741	115	300	13	7	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	34	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	268	227	68	9	3	2	21	25	1	3	6	300	361	392	754	93	327	9	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	35	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	56	46	7	1	0	0	4	7	3	1	0	152	264	174	438	22	179	12	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	21	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	50	44	8	1	0	1	2	5	3	0	2	182	265	273	538	91	178	10	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	128	113	30	2	1	0	4	22	3	1	1	265	308	301	609	35	293	17	3	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	82	74	20	2	2	0	5	18	1	0	2	270	325	351	676	81	340	22	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	275	240	74	13	3	1	12	55	8	7	6	308	362	400	762	92	363	20	4	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	425	377	100	16	3	5	21	90	16	9	5	265	331	363	694	98	325	21	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	467	423	119	23	3	8	24	100	11	9	4	281	336	407	743	125	341	21	5	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	418	374	87	15	4	5	22	82	9	3	2	233	291	334	626	102	272	20	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	306	277	67	15	3	1	19	74	1	4	5	242	293	329	621	87	311	24	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	453	415	115	16	2	4	15	68	6	12	9	277	312	354	666	77	302	15	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	498	450	106	18	1	4	16	89	21	5	1	236	294	307	600	71	274	18	3	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	50	44	8	1	0	1	2	5	3	0	2	182	265	273	538	91	179	10	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	AAA RAW	Pericos de Puebla	—	50	43	8	1	0	1	3	4	3	0	2	186	286	279	565	93	179	8	6	262	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	128	113	30	2	1	0	4	22	3	1	1	265	308	301	609	35	323	17	3	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AAA RAW	Pericos de Puebla	—	128	112	31	2	1	0	5	16	3	1	1	277	325	312	637	36	316	12	4	275	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	82	74	20	2	2	0	5	18	1	0	2	270	325	351	676	81	357	22	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AAA RAW	Pericos de Puebla	—	82	72	20	2	2	0	7	14	1	0	2	278	350	361	711	83	345	17	9	316	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	275	240	74	13	3	1	12	55	8	7	6	308	362	400	762	92	392	20	4	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA RAW	Pericos de Puebla	—	275	234	72	15	3	1	18	44	8	7	6	308	377	410	787	103	372	16	7	337	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	534	476	127	21	4	7	27	113	18	9	5	267	330	372	702	105	335	21	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	534	462	135	27	6	8	41	89	18	9	5	292	372	429	801	136	346	17	8	352	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	556	502	142	27	4	10	29	119	12	11	5	283	337	412	749	129	350	21	5	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	556	489	155	32	4	11	41	97	12	11	5	317	383	466	849	149	374	17	7	370	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	418	374	87	15	4	5	22	82	9	3	2	233	291	334	626	102	285	20	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA RAW	Pericos de Puebla	—	418	361	100	19	5	7	35	62	9	3	2	277	356	416	771	139	317	15	8	336	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	410	368	90	19	4	2	25	100	4	4	7	245	300	334	634	90	328	24	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	410	350	91	21	5	5	43	74	4	4	7	260	348	391	739	131	315	18	10	324	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	488	136	19	2	5	18	80	7	14	9	279	314	357	670	78	317	15	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	533	476	147	22	3	5	30	61	7	14	9	309	359	399	758	90	338	11	6	329	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	INTL MLE	Charros de Jalisco	—	47	40	8	3	0	2	5	10	1	0	1	200	304	425	729	225	214	21	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	INTL RAW	Charros de Jalisco	—	47	40	8	3	0	2	5	10	1	0	1	200	304	425	729	225	214	21	11	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	563	511	121	21	2	4	18	101	22	5	2	237	292	309	601	72	284	18	3	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	563	499	143	23	3	7	30	83	22	5	2	287	354	387	741	100	328	15	5	330	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	32	INTL MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	174	163	47	9	0	3	3	26	4	6	1	288	318	399	716	110	326	15	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	32	INTL RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	174	163	47	9	0	3	3	26	4	6	1	288	318	399	716	110	326	15	2	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	33	INTL MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	181	156	42	5	2	3	13	24	8	2	0	269	356	385	741	115	300	13	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	33	INTL RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	181	156	42	5	2	3	13	24	8	2	0	269	356	385	741	115	300	13	7	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	34	INTL MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	268	227	68	9	3	2	21	25	1	3	6	300	361	392	754	93	327	9	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	34	INTL RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	268	227	68	9	3	2	21	25	1	3	6	300	361	392	754	93	327	9	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	35	INTL MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	56	46	7	1	0	0	4	7	3	1	0	152	264	174	438	22	179	12	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	35	INTL RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	56	46	7	1	0	0	4	7	3	1	0	152	264	174	438	22	179	12	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	50	45	8	1	0	1	2	5	3	0	2	178	265	267	532	89	178	10	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	128	120	30	2	1	0	4	22	3	1	1	250	308	283	592	33	293	17	3	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	82	76	20	2	2	0	5	18	1	0	2	263	325	342	667	79	340	22	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	275	253	74	13	3	1	12	55	8	7	6	292	362	379	741	87	363	20	4	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	534	484	127	21	4	7	27	113	18	9	5	262	330	366	696	103	325	21	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	556	510	142	27	4	10	29	119	12	11	5	278	337	406	743	127	341	21	5	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	418	384	87	15	4	5	22	82	9	3	2	227	291	326	617	99	272	20	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	410	378	90	19	4	2	25	100	4	4	7	238	300	325	625	87	311	24	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	503	136	19	2	5	18	80	7	14	9	270	314	346	660	76	302	15	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	563	518	121	21	2	4	18	101	22	5	2	234	292	305	597	71	274	18	3	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4275	3822	1007	167	31	45	208	787	104	66	49	263	319	359	678	95	318	18	5	239	48	-266	-6	+0	+46	+93	-13.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	153	25	5	7	32	120	16	10	7	263	320	360	679	96	318	18	5	239	48	-41	-1	+0	+7	+14	-2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAPericos de Puebla · 498 PAwOBA .329 → .265 (−64)K% 14.5% → 17.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.46%	÷0.970	×1.200	—	—	17.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.02%	÷1.043	×0.690	—	×0.962	3.19%
HBP% /PA	4.22%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	3.81%
Singles /BIP	26.36%	÷1.008	×0.930	×0.950	×0.962	22.22%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷0.964	×0.830	×0.950	×0.962	4.92%
Triples /BIP	0.54%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.950	×0.962	0.40%
Home runs /BIP	1.63%	÷1.144	×0.700	—	×0.962	0.96%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 94, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .329 → .265; ISO .102 → .073; BABIP .332 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAPericos de Puebla · 453 PAwOBA .330 → .284 (−46)K% 11.5% → 15.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.48%	÷0.920	×1.200	—	—	14.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.08%	÷1.033	×0.690	—	×0.982	3.33%
HBP% /PA	1.32%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.22%
Singles /BIP	29.30%	÷1.055	×0.930	×1.007	×0.982	25.55%
Doubles /BIP	5.07%	÷0.946	×0.830	×1.007	×0.982	4.40%
Triples /BIP	0.56%	÷1.114	×0.920	×1.007	×0.982	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	1.41%	÷0.910	×0.700	—	×0.982	1.06%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 111, 2B 89, 3B 123, K 84, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .330 → .284; ISO .091 → .076; BABIP .347 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAPericos de Puebla · 306 PAwOBA .321 → .266 (−55)K% 18.6% → 24.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.63%	÷0.921	×1.200	—	—	24.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.80%	÷1.091	×0.690	—	×0.992	6.15%
HBP% /PA	0.33%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.30%
Singles /BIP	24.88%	÷1.048	×0.930	×1.038	×0.992	22.73%
Doubles /BIP	8.61%	÷1.075	×0.830	×1.038	×0.992	6.84%
Triples /BIP	1.44%	÷1.008	×0.920	×1.038	×0.992	1.35%
Home runs /BIP	0.96%	÷1.024	×0.700	—	×0.992	0.65%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 115, 3B 102, K 84, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .321 → .266; ISO .113 → .092; BABIP .353 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAPericos de Puebla · 418 PAwOBA .327 → .268 (−60)K% 14.8% → 19.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.83%	÷0.913	×1.200	—	—	19.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.13%	÷1.080	×0.690	—	×1.003	5.21%
HBP% /PA	2.15%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	2.03%
Singles /BIP	23.08%	÷1.075	×0.930	×1.026	×1.003	20.54%
Doubles /BIP	6.35%	÷1.100	×0.830	×1.026	×1.003	4.93%
Triples /BIP	1.67%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.026	×1.003	1.38%
Home runs /BIP	2.34%	÷1.062	×0.700	—	×1.003	1.55%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 115, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 83, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .327 → .268; ISO .139 → .105; BABIP .317 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAPericos de Puebla · 467 PAwOBA .385 → .323 (−63)K% 16.3% → 21.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.27%	÷0.914	×1.200	—	—	21.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.92%	÷1.071	×0.690	—	×1.018	5.19%
HBP% /PA	2.36%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	2.25%
Singles /BIP	27.63%	÷1.068	×0.930	×1.046	×1.018	25.61%
Doubles /BIP	8.71%	÷1.108	×0.830	×1.046	×1.018	6.95%
Triples /BIP	1.20%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.046	×1.018	1.02%
Home runs /BIP	3.30%	÷0.957	×0.700	—	×1.018	2.46%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 114, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 83, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .385 → .323; ISO .171 → .133; BABIP .385 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAPericos de Puebla · 425 PAwOBA .354 → .306 (−48)K% 16.0% → 21.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.00%	÷0.905	×1.200	—	—	21.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.29%	÷1.047	×0.690	—	×1.033	4.96%
HBP% /PA	3.76%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	3.66%
Singles /BIP	27.42%	÷1.081	×0.930	×1.046	×1.033	25.48%
Doubles /BIP	6.02%	÷0.984	×0.830	×1.046	×1.033	5.49%
Triples /BIP	1.34%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.046	×1.033	1.16%
Home runs /BIP	2.68%	÷1.055	×0.700	—	×1.033	1.83%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 116, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 81, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .354 → .306; ISO .136 → .108; BABIP .355 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAPericos de Puebla · 275 PAwOBA .330 → .317 (−14)K% 16.0% → 20.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.00%	÷0.957	×1.200	—	—	20.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.55%	÷1.070	×0.690	—	×1.048	4.42%
HBP% /PA	2.91%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	2.87%
Singles /BIP	27.89%	÷1.002	×0.930	×1.050	×1.048	28.49%
Doubles /BIP	7.89%	÷1.085	×0.830	×1.050	×1.048	6.64%
Triples /BIP	1.58%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.050	×1.048	1.39%
Home runs /BIP	0.53%	÷1.044	×0.700	—	×1.048	0.37%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 100, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 91, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .330 → .317; ISO .103 → .090; BABIP .372 → .363. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAPericos de Puebla · 82 PAwOBA .308 → .286 (−22)K% 17.1% → 21.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.07%	÷0.956	×1.200	—	—	21.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.54%	÷1.064	×0.690	—	×1.050	5.81%
HBP% /PA	1.22%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	1.20%
Singles /BIP	27.59%	÷1.012	×0.930	×1.050	×1.050	27.96%
Doubles /BIP	3.45%	÷1.040	×0.830	×1.050	×1.050	3.03%
Triples /BIP	3.45%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.050	×1.050	3.04%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.013	×0.700	—	×1.050	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 91, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .308 → .286; ISO .083 → .074; BABIP .345 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .