Gift Ngoepe

Pos2B

B/TR/R

Born1990-01-18

Age (2027)37

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2020

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2018	28	AAA/INTL2 orgs	311	.274/.382/.449	8	11	115	—	.130/.236/.181
2018	28	MLBTOR	19	.056/.105/.056	0	0	-57	-0.2
2019	29	AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs	259	.237/.335/.402	7	5	75	—	.151/.225/.262
2020	30	INTLMelbourne Aces	97	.208/.365/.273	1	6	93	—
2021	31	No MLB games played
2022	32	No MLB games played
2023	33	No MLB games played
2024	34	No MLB games played
2025	35	No MLB games played
2026	36	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	19	ROK	GCL Pirates	—	193	160	38	4	0	1	21	52	4	13	9	237	341	281	622	44	346	27	11	283	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A	West Virginia Power	—	93	85	26	5	1	2	7	14	0	3	3	306	359	459	818	153	348	15	8	359	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	539	457	106	11	5	9	63	130	5	22	14	232	331	337	668	105	302	24	12	300	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	55	46	12	2	1	1	7	15	1	2	1	261	370	413	783	152	367	27	13	348	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	259	220	39	10	2	3	29	81	3	11	3	177	282	282	564	105	259	31	11	257	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	123	96	28	7	3	0	21	35	1	7	1	292	424	427	851	135	459	28	17	370	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	58	51	4	1	0	0	6	19	0	2	0	78	175	98	273	20	121	33	10	141	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	499	437	104	17	9	9	51	135	2	13	8	238	320	380	700	142	322	27	10	310	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	71	61	15	4	0	0	6	15	0	1	2	246	313	311	625	66	326	21	8	272	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA	Altoona Curve	—	280	246	64	12	2	3	24	66	5	3	6	260	338	362	700	102	345	24	9	314	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	373	332	72	20	1	8	31	130	3	5	2	217	290	355	645	139	328	35	8	286	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	63	54	12	2	1	0	8	26	0	0	0	222	323	296	619	74	429	41	13	284	78	-2	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.2
2017	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	299	264	58	15	5	6	28	91	3	2	4	220	302	383	684	163	306	30	9	303	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	19	18	1	0	0	0	1	12	0	0	0	56	105	56	161		167	63	5	84	-57	-4	+0	+0	+1	+0	-0.2
2018	28	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	159	131	22	3	1	2	25	63	1	2	1	168	306	252	558	84	299	40	16	266	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	INTL	Sydney Blue Sox	—	152	132	50	9	4	6	20	33	0	9	1	379	461	644	1.104	265	473	22	13	477	209	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	135	122	27	8	0	5	12	56	1	1	0	221	296	410	706	189	361	41	9	314	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AA	Altoona Curve	—	38	30	3	0	0	0	8	14	0	2	1	100	289	100	389		188	37	21	218	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	INTL	Sydney Blue Sox	—	86	72	23	6	1	2	12	18	0	2	0	319	417	514	931	194	396	21	14	401	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	97	77	16	2	0	1	19	28	0	6	1	208	365	273	637	65	306	29	20	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	82	72	13	2	1	0	9	38	0	0	0	181	272	236	508	56	382	46	11	238	47	-5	+0	+1	+2	+2	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	19	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	—	193	168	31	3	0	1	13	75	4	13	9	185	259	220	480	36	295	39	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	93	87	24	4	1	1	5	19	0	3	3	276	315	379	695	103	334	20	5	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	539	480	89	10	4	5	40	192	5	22	14	185	255	254	509	69	281	36	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	259	230	36	9	2	3	19	109	3	11	3	157	230	252	482	96	258	42	7	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	123	103	25	6	3	0	14	50	1	7	1	243	339	359	698	117	420	41	11	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	499	455	99	15	8	8	33	167	2	13	8	218	273	338	612	121	310	33	7	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	71	63	15	4	0	0	4	18	0	1	2	238	284	302	585	63	300	25	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	280	254	62	11	2	3	16	80	5	3	6	244	302	339	640	94	327	29	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	373	343	66	17	1	7	20	154	3	5	2	192	243	309	552	117	307	41	5	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	63	54	12	2	1	0	8	26	0	0	0	222	323	296	619	74	429	41	13	283	78	-2	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.2
2017	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	299	272	53	12	4	6	20	106	3	2	4	195	258	335	592	140	279	35	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	19	18	1	0	0	0	1	12	0	0	0	56	105	56	161		167	63	5	84	-57	-4	+0	+0	+1	+0	-0.2
2018	28	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	159	138	18	2	1	1	18	76	1	2	1	130	236	181	417	51	272	48	11	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	135	126	21	6	0	4	8	67	1	1	0	167	222	310	532	143	305	50	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	38	32	3	0	0	0	6	18	0	2	1	94	237	94	331		173	47	16	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	—	193	168	31	3	0	1	13	75	4	13	9	185	259	220	480	36	326	39	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	ROK RAW	GCL Pirates	—	193	160	38	4	0	1	21	52	4	13	9	237	341	281	622	44	346	27	11	283	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	93	87	24	4	1	1	5	19	0	3	3	276	315	379	695	103	343	20	5	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A RAW	West Virginia Power	—	93	85	26	5	1	2	7	14	0	3	3	306	359	459	818	153	348	15	8	359	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	594	528	99	12	4	6	45	211	6	24	15	188	259	259	519	72	296	36	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	594	503	118	13	6	10	70	145	6	24	15	235	335	344	679	109	308	24	12	305	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	440	384	69	17	5	3	39	183	4	20	4	180	262	273	536	94	327	42	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	440	367	71	18	5	3	56	135	4	20	4	193	307	294	601	101	292	31	13	273	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	499	455	99	15	8	8	33	167	2	13	8	218	273	338	612	121	323	33	7	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	—	499	437	104	17	9	9	51	135	2	13	8	238	320	380	700	142	322	27	10	310	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	351	317	76	14	2	3	20	98	5	4	8	240	295	325	620	85	338	28	6	264	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	351	307	79	16	2	3	30	81	5	4	8	257	333	352	685	94	341	23	9	305	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	373	343	66	17	1	7	20	154	3	5	2	192	243	309	552	117	322	41	5	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	—	373	332	72	20	1	8	31	130	3	5	2	217	290	355	645	139	328	35	8	286	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	362	326	65	14	5	6	28	132	3	2	4	199	269	328	597	129	309	36	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	362	318	70	17	6	6	36	117	3	2	4	220	305	368	673	148	323	32	10	300	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	330	292	36	4	1	3	35	163	1	11	2	123	220	175	394	51	260	49	11	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	330	281	73	12	5	8	46	108	1	11	2	260	366	423	789	164	392	33	14	353	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	259	236	34	8	0	6	20	127	1	5	1	144	214	254	468	110	269	49	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	259	224	53	14	1	7	32	88	1	5	1	237	335	402	736	165	354	34	12	329	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	INTL MLE	Melbourne Aces	—	97	77	16	2	0	1	19	28	0	6	1	208	365	273	637	65	306	29	20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	INTL RAW	Melbourne Aces	—	97	77	16	2	0	1	19	28	0	6	1	208	365	273	637	65	306	29	20	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	—	193	174	31	3	0	1	13	75	4	13	9	178	259	213	472	34	295	39	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	93	88	24	4	1	1	5	19	0	3	3	273	315	375	690	102	334	20	5	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	594	538	99	12	4	6	45	211	6	24	15	184	259	255	514	71	281	36	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	440	394	69	17	5	3	39	183	4	20	4	175	262	266	529	91	310	42	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	499	461	99	15	8	8	33	167	2	13	8	215	273	334	608	119	310	33	7	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	351	323	76	14	2	3	20	98	5	4	8	235	295	319	614	84	322	28	6	264	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	373	347	66	17	1	7	20	154	3	5	2	190	243	305	549	115	307	41	5	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	362	328	65	14	5	6	28	132	3	2	4	198	269	326	595	128	305	36	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	330	291	36	4	1	3	35	163	1	11	2	124	220	175	395	52	261	49	11	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	259	236	34	8	0	6	20	127	1	5	1	144	214	254	468	110	276	49	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	82	72	13	2	1	0	9	38	0	0	0	181	272	236	508	56	382	46	11	238	44	-5	+0	+1	+2	+2	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	103	16	8	0	71	301	0	0	0	180	271	236	507	56	381	46	11	238	44	-41	+0	+10	+20	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3591	3213	615	110	27	45	277	1357	29	106	57	191	262	284	546	93	312	38	8	233	44	-5	+0	+1	+2	+2	0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	111	20	5	8	50	246	5	19	10	191	261	284	544	93	311	38	8	233	44	-41	+0	+10	+20	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 135 PAwOBA .303 → .234 (−69)K% 41.5% → 49.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	41.48%	÷0.999	×1.200	—	—	49.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.15%	÷0.948	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.82%
HBP% /PA	0.74%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.68%
Singles /BIP	21.21%	÷1.032	×0.930	—	×0.982	18.77%
Doubles /BIP	12.12%	÷1.033	×0.830	—	×0.982	9.56%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.061	×0.970	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.58%	÷0.866	×0.840	—	×0.982	7.22%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 112, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .303 → .234; ISO .189 → .151; BABIP .361 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAltoona Curve · 38 PAwOBA .215 → .160 (−55)K% 36.8% → 46.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	36.84%	÷0.959	×1.220	—	—	46.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.05%	÷0.958	×0.700	—	×0.958	14.73%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.958	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.75%	÷1.009	×0.970	—	×0.958	17.27%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.038	×0.860	—	×0.958	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.950	—	×0.958	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.783	×0.780	—	×0.958	0.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 92, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .215 → .160; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .188 → .173. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAABuffalo Bisons · 159 PAwOBA .262 → .206 (−56)K% 39.6% → 47.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	39.62%	÷0.993	×1.200	—	—	47.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.72%	÷0.954	×0.690	—	×0.992	11.28%
HBP% /PA	0.63%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.59%
Singles /BIP	23.53%	÷0.970	×0.930	×0.990	×0.992	22.16%
Doubles /BIP	4.41%	÷0.987	×0.830	×0.990	×0.992	3.64%
Triples /BIP	1.47%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.990	×0.992	1.22%
Home runs /BIP	2.94%	÷1.080	×0.840	—	×0.992	2.27%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 94, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 99, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .262 → .206; ISO .084 → .063; BABIP .299 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 299 PAwOBA .298 → .256 (−41)K% 30.4% → 35.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.43%	÷1.030	×1.200	—	—	35.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.36%	÷0.952	×0.690	—	×1.003	6.81%
HBP% /PA	1.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.95%
Singles /BIP	18.50%	÷0.950	×0.930	×0.997	×1.003	18.12%
Doubles /BIP	8.67%	÷1.046	×0.830	×0.997	×1.003	6.88%
Triples /BIP	2.89%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.997	×1.003	2.44%
Home runs /BIP	3.47%	÷0.850	×0.840	—	×1.003	3.44%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 90, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 106, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .298 → .256; ISO .163 → .142; BABIP .306 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 373 PAwOBA .278 → .238 (−40)K% 34.9% → 41.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	34.85%	÷1.015	×1.200	—	—	41.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.04%	÷1.054	×0.690	—	×1.018	5.36%
HBP% /PA	0.80%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.77%
Singles /BIP	21.29%	÷0.998	×0.930	×1.023	×1.018	20.67%
Doubles /BIP	9.90%	÷1.010	×0.830	×1.023	×1.018	8.48%
Triples /BIP	0.50%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.023	×1.018	0.56%
Home runs /BIP	3.96%	÷0.933	×0.840	—	×1.018	3.63%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .278 → .238; ISO .139 → .121; BABIP .328 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAltoona Curve · 280 PAwOBA .304 → .270 (−34)K% 23.6% → 28.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.57%	÷1.005	×1.220	—	—	28.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.21%	÷1.004	×0.700	—	×0.998	5.71%
HBP% /PA	1.79%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	1.51%
Singles /BIP	26.11%	÷0.997	×0.970	×1.000	×0.998	25.36%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷0.953	×0.860	×1.000	×0.998	6.01%
Triples /BIP	1.11%	÷1.150	×0.950	×1.000	×0.998	0.92%
Home runs /BIP	1.67%	÷0.912	×0.780	—	×0.998	1.42%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .304 → .270; ISO .102 → .088; BABIP .345 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 71 PAwOBA .265 → .238 (−27)K% 21.1% → 25.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.13%	÷0.977	×1.200	—	—	25.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.45%	÷1.077	×0.690	—	×1.033	5.59%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.91%	÷1.044	×0.930	×1.031	×1.033	22.68%
Doubles /BIP	8.70%	÷1.050	×0.830	×1.031	×1.033	7.32%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.041	×0.970	×1.031	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.847	×0.840	—	×1.033	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 109, 2B 110, 3B 108, K 95, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .265 → .238; ISO .066 → .058; BABIP .326 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAltoona Curve · 499 PAwOBA .303 → .264 (−39)K% 27.1% → 33.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.05%	÷0.986	×1.220	—	—	33.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.22%	÷1.078	×0.700	—	×1.012	6.72%
HBP% /PA	0.40%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.34%
Singles /BIP	22.85%	÷1.017	×0.970	×1.035	×1.012	22.82%
Doubles /BIP	5.63%	÷1.020	×0.860	×1.035	×1.012	4.97%
Triples /BIP	2.98%	÷1.150	×0.950	×1.035	×1.012	2.58%
Home runs /BIP	2.98%	÷0.833	×0.780	—	×1.012	2.82%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 103, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 97, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.

Result: wOBA .303 → .264; ISO .142 → .126; BABIP .322 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .