Nicky Delmonico
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 27 | AAACWS | 76 | .286/.392/.540 | 3 | 1 | 109 | — | .239/.311/.433 | |
| 2019 | 27 | MLBCWS | 68 | .206/.265/.286 | 1 | 0 | 57 | -0.8 | ||
| 2020 | 28 | MLBCWS | 22 | .150/.227/.150 | 0 | 0 | 13 | -0.2 | ||
| 2021 | 29 | AAACIN | 77 | .221/.312/.382 | 2 | 0 | 34 | — | .169/.234/.268 | |
| 2022 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 393 | 338 | 84 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 73 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 249 | 352 | 411 | 763 | 163 | 286 | 19 | 12 | 344 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 350 | 298 | 69 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 48 | 80 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 232 | 346 | 423 | 769 | 191 | 273 | 23 | 14 | 346 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 150 | 141 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 262 | 302 | 404 | 706 | 142 | 317 | 23 | 5 | 312 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 253 | 223 | 53 | 24 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 52 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 238 | 317 | 386 | 703 | 148 | 292 | 21 | 10 | 311 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 22 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 429 | 700 | 1.129 | 300 | 438 | 18 | 5 | 464 | 173 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 76 | 68 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 162 | 240 | 279 | 519 | 118 | 184 | 24 | 7 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 295 | 260 | 64 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 74 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 246 | 324 | 388 | 713 | 142 | 311 | 25 | 10 | 316 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 159 | 142 | 48 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 338 | 397 | 676 | 1.073 | 338 | 384 | 21 | 8 | 451 | 155 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 166 | 141 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 262 | 373 | 482 | 856 | 220 | 277 | 19 | 14 | 380 | 142 | +8 | +0 | -3 | -6 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 429 | 378 | 99 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 73 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 262 | 348 | 421 | 769 | 159 | 296 | 17 | 11 | 344 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 318 | 284 | 61 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 80 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 215 | 297 | 373 | 670 | 158 | 269 | 25 | 8 | 301 | 87 | -5 | -1 | -3 | -4 | +7 | -0.5 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 24 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 500 | 600 | 1.100 | 200 | 500 | 17 | 17 | 481 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 250 | 200 | 450 | 250 | 19 | 6 | 213 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 68 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 265 | 286 | 550 | 79 | 324 | 37 | 6 | 253 | 57 | -3 | -0 | -4 | -2 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 76 | 63 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 392 | 540 | 932 | 254 | 300 | 16 | 13 | 397 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 22 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 227 | 150 | 377 | 167 | 9 | 9 | 187 | 13 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.2 | |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 77 | 68 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 312 | 382 | 694 | 162 | 302 | 30 | 12 | 313 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 574 | 508 | 114 | 17 | 5 | 18 | 56 | 138 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 224 | 312 | 384 | 696 | 159 | 272 | 24 | 10 | 314 | 98 | -1 | -1 | -10 | -12 | +12 | -1.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 393 | 354 | 73 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 31 | 95 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 206 | 283 | 345 | 628 | 138 | 246 | 24 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 350 | 311 | 59 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 118 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 190 | 280 | 347 | 627 | 158 | 262 | 34 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 150 | 143 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 51 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 210 | 242 | 322 | 563 | 112 | 294 | 34 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 253 | 231 | 49 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 65 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 269 | 342 | 611 | 130 | 277 | 26 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 22 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 350 | 381 | 650 | 1.031 | 300 | 399 | 27 | 5 | 424 | 173 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 295 | 268 | 58 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 84 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 216 | 276 | 347 | 623 | 131 | 275 | 28 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 159 | 146 | 47 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 322 | 365 | 637 | 1.002 | 315 | 368 | 26 | 6 | 397 | 155 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 166 | 141 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 262 | 373 | 482 | 856 | 220 | 277 | 19 | 14 | 378 | 142 | +8 | +0 | -3 | -6 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 429 | 394 | 94 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 92 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 239 | 299 | 365 | 665 | 127 | 286 | 21 | 7 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 318 | 285 | 61 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 80 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 214 | 293 | 372 | 665 | 158 | 269 | 25 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -5 | -1 | -3 | -4 | +7 | -0.5 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 24 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 417 | 476 | 893 | 143 | 426 | 21 | 12 | 384 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 16 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 188 | 133 | 321 | 213 | 25 | 6 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 68 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 265 | 286 | 550 | 79 | 324 | 37 | 6 | 252 | 57 | -3 | -0 | -4 | -2 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 76 | 67 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 311 | 433 | 744 | 194 | 263 | 20 | 8 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 22 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 227 | 150 | 377 | 167 | 9 | 9 | 187 | 13 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.2 | |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 77 | 71 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 234 | 268 | 501 | 99 | 255 | 38 | 8 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 393 | 354 | 73 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 31 | 95 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 206 | 283 | 345 | 628 | 138 | 249 | 24 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A RAW | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 393 | 338 | 84 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 73 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 249 | 352 | 411 | 763 | 163 | 286 | 19 | 12 | 344 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 350 | 311 | 59 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 118 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 190 | 280 | 347 | 627 | 158 | 264 | 34 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ RAW | Brevard County Manatees | — | 350 | 298 | 69 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 48 | 80 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 232 | 346 | 423 | 769 | 191 | 273 | 23 | 14 | 346 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 150 | 143 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 51 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 210 | 242 | 322 | 563 | 112 | 300 | 34 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ RAW | Brevard County Manatees | — | 150 | 141 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 262 | 302 | 404 | 706 | 142 | 317 | 23 | 5 | 312 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 351 | 319 | 72 | 32 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 90 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 226 | 284 | 370 | 654 | 144 | 296 | 26 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 351 | 311 | 72 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 232 | 307 | 383 | 690 | 151 | 280 | 21 | 9 | 305 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 454 | 414 | 103 | 28 | 2 | 15 | 30 | 125 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 249 | 303 | 435 | 737 | 186 | 317 | 28 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 454 | 402 | 112 | 30 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 107 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 279 | 350 | 490 | 840 | 211 | 337 | 24 | 9 | 363 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 595 | 535 | 131 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 53 | 123 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 245 | 320 | 396 | 716 | 151 | 286 | 21 | 9 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 595 | 519 | 136 | 22 | 3 | 21 | 69 | 104 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 262 | 355 | 437 | 793 | 175 | 291 | 17 | 12 | 354 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 358 | 322 | 70 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 89 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 217 | 294 | 366 | 661 | 149 | 274 | 25 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -5 | -1 | -3 | -4 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 358 | 319 | 72 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 87 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 226 | 308 | 379 | 687 | 154 | 284 | 24 | 9 | 309 | 87 | -5 | -1 | -3 | -4 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 144 | 130 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 223 | 289 | 362 | 650 | 138 | 292 | 28 | 7 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 144 | 126 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 331 | 413 | 744 | 167 | 310 | 26 | 10 | 329 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 22 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 227 | 150 | 377 | 167 | 9 | 9 | 187 | 13 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.2 | |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB RAW | Chicago White Sox | — | 22 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 227 | 150 | 377 | 167 | 9 | 9 | 187 | 13 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.2 | |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 77 | 71 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 234 | 268 | 501 | 99 | 268 | 38 | 8 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA RAW | Louisville Bats | — | 77 | 68 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 312 | 382 | 694 | 162 | 302 | 30 | 12 | 313 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 393 | 352 | 73 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 31 | 95 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 207 | 283 | 347 | 630 | 139 | 246 | 24 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 350 | 308 | 59 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 118 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 192 | 280 | 351 | 631 | 159 | 262 | 34 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 150 | 143 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 51 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 210 | 242 | 322 | 563 | 112 | 294 | 34 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 351 | 322 | 72 | 32 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 90 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 224 | 284 | 366 | 651 | 143 | 287 | 26 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 454 | 419 | 103 | 28 | 2 | 15 | 30 | 125 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 246 | 303 | 430 | 732 | 184 | 308 | 28 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 595 | 531 | 131 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 53 | 123 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 247 | 320 | 399 | 719 | 153 | 284 | 21 | 9 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 358 | 320 | 70 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 89 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 219 | 294 | 369 | 663 | 150 | 277 | 25 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 144 | 131 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 221 | 289 | 359 | 648 | 137 | 292 | 28 | 7 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 22 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 227 | 150 | 377 | 167 | 9 | 9 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 77 | 71 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 234 | 268 | 501 | 99 | 255 | 38 | 8 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 574 | 508 | 114 | 17 | 5 | 18 | 56 | 138 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 224 | 312 | 384 | 696 | 159 | 272 | 24 | 10 | 314 | 83 | -1 | -1 | -10 | -12 | +12 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 575 | 129 | 19 | 6 | 20 | 63 | 156 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 224 | 311 | 383 | 694 | 158 | 273 | 24 | 10 | 314 | 83 | -1 | -1 | -11 | -14 | +14 | -1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2894 | 2619 | 582 | 145 | 12 | 74 | 224 | 762 | 31 | 30 | 12 | 222 | 291 | 372 | 663 | 149 | 283 | 26 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -1 | -1 | -10 | -12 | +12 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 132 | 33 | 3 | 17 | 50 | 171 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 224 | 293 | 378 | 670 | 153 | 285 | 26 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -1 | -1 | -11 | -14 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAALouisville Bats · 77 PAwOBA .305 → .219 (−86)K% 29.9% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.87% | ÷0.949 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.69% | ÷1.099 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.78% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | ×0.955 | ×0.982 | 15.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.945 | ×0.830 | ×0.955 | ×0.982 | 9.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.44% | ÷1.088 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.81% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 90, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .305 → .219; ISO .162 → .110; BABIP .302 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAACharlotte Knights · 76 PAwOBA .393 → .330 (−63)K% 15.8% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.962 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.84% | ÷1.077 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 7.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.32% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.69% | ÷1.061 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 13.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.73% | ÷0.921 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 12.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.212 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 4.09% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 112, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 92, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .393 → .330; ISO .254 → .213; BABIP .300 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAACharlotte Knights · 24 PAwOBA .469 → .384 (−86)K% 16.7% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 11.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 22.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.077 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 19.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.319 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 106, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .469 → .384; ISO .200 → .161; BABIP .500 → .426. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AABirmingham Barons · 16 PAwOBA .208 → .167 (−41)K% 18.8% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.954 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 4.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.069 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 21.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.969 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 114, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 101, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .208 → .167; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAACharlotte Knights · 429 PAwOBA .334 → .292 (−42)K% 17.0% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.02% | ÷0.952 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.02% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.64% | ÷1.012 | ×0.930 | ×1.041 | ×1.033 | 21.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.90% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×1.041 | ×1.033 | 5.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.077 | ×0.970 | ×1.041 | ×1.033 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.93% | ÷1.150 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 2.97% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 115, K 90, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .334 → .292; ISO .159 → .131; BABIP .296 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAACharlotte Knights · 295 PAwOBA .312 → .270 (−42)K% 25.1% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.08% | ÷1.053 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.83% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.04% | ÷1.031 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 19.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.60% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 7.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.76% | ÷0.950 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 3.49% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .312 → .270; ISO .142 → .129; BABIP .311 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AABirmingham Barons · 159 PAwOBA .438 → .397 (−41)K% 20.8% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.75% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.18% | ÷0.990 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 5.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.18% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×1.012 | 19.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.84% | ÷0.897 | ×0.910 | ×1.016 | ×1.012 | 13.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.83% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.016 | ×1.012 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.17% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 8.09% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 79, 3B 130, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .438 → .397; ISO .338 → .310; BABIP .384 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AABirmingham Barons · 253 PAwOBA .307 → .270 (−37)K% 20.6% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.55% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.88% | ÷1.019 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 6.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.20% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 13.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.04% | ÷0.875 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 14.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.087 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.102 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.31% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 101, 2B 75, 3B 117, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .307 → .270; ISO .148 → .139; BABIP .292 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).