Rio Ruiz
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 25 | MLBBAL | 413 | .232/.307/.376 | 12 | 0 | 89 | 0.1 | ||
| 2020 | 26 | MLBBAL | 204 | .222/.287/.427 | 9 | 1 | 89 | 0.4 | ||
| 2021 | 27 | AAACOL | 249 | .304/.366/.496 | 7 | 3 | 84 | — | .242/.289/.377 | |
| 2021 | 27 | MLBCOL | 141 | .168/.246/.272 | 3 | 2 | 40 | -0.4 | ||
| 2022 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | — | 152 | 135 | 34 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 336 | 400 | 736 | 148 | 324 | 21 | 11 | 330 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 472 | 416 | 108 | 33 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 92 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 260 | 339 | 430 | 769 | 171 | 303 | 19 | 11 | 339 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 602 | 516 | 151 | 37 | 2 | 11 | 82 | 91 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 293 | 390 | 436 | 826 | 143 | 335 | 15 | 14 | 369 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 89 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 187 | 299 | 227 | 526 | 40 | 233 | 19 | 13 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 489 | 420 | 98 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 63 | 94 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 233 | 335 | 324 | 659 | 90 | 288 | 19 | 13 | 303 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 533 | 465 | 126 | 24 | 3 | 10 | 61 | 116 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 271 | 358 | 400 | 758 | 129 | 337 | 22 | 11 | 340 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 173 | 150 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 193 | 288 | 307 | 595 | 113 | 231 | 24 | 11 | 271 | 67 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 432 | 388 | 96 | 25 | 2 | 16 | 42 | 110 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 247 | 323 | 446 | 768 | 198 | 304 | 25 | 10 | 339 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 267 | 83 | 350 | 143 | 33 | 13 | 202 | 23 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.1 | |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 541 | 498 | 134 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 269 | 323 | 390 | 713 | 120 | 311 | 17 | 7 | 318 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 413 | 370 | 86 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 232 | 307 | 376 | 683 | 143 | 272 | 21 | 10 | 306 | 89 | -6 | -0 | -4 | +2 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 15 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 357 | 357 | 571 | 929 | 214 | 364 | 20 | 0 | 380 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 204 | 185 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 222 | 287 | 427 | 714 | 205 | 244 | 23 | 8 | 312 | 89 | -3 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 141 | 125 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 38 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 168 | 246 | 272 | 518 | 104 | 209 | 27 | 9 | 235 | 40 | -10 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 249 | 224 | 68 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 304 | 366 | 496 | 861 | 192 | 337 | 16 | 8 | 375 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 946 | 842 | 178 | 33 | 2 | 28 | 90 | 218 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 211 | 290 | 355 | 645 | 144 | 248 | 23 | 10 | 289 | 81 | -21 | -0 | -1 | +8 | +20 | 0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 152 | 141 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 45 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 191 | 250 | 298 | 548 | 106 | 273 | 30 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 472 | 430 | 97 | 31 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 121 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 226 | 285 | 365 | 651 | 140 | 284 | 26 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 602 | 538 | 138 | 33 | 2 | 8 | 60 | 129 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 257 | 331 | 370 | 701 | 113 | 317 | 21 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 489 | 437 | 101 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 46 | 111 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 231 | 306 | 323 | 628 | 92 | 292 | 23 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 533 | 485 | 124 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 41 | 133 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 256 | 316 | 363 | 679 | 107 | 328 | 25 | 8 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 173 | 151 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 282 | 305 | 587 | 113 | 231 | 24 | 10 | 267 | 67 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 432 | 400 | 87 | 22 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 133 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 217 | 274 | 388 | 661 | 170 | 288 | 31 | 7 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 267 | 83 | 350 | 143 | 33 | 13 | 202 | 23 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.1 | |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 541 | 510 | 124 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 114 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 243 | 283 | 347 | 630 | 104 | 293 | 21 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 413 | 370 | 84 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 302 | 362 | 665 | 135 | 272 | 21 | 10 | 299 | 89 | -6 | -0 | -4 | +2 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 15 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 357 | 357 | 571 | 929 | 214 | 338 | 27 | 0 | 384 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 204 | 186 | 40 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 215 | 277 | 403 | 680 | 188 | 244 | 23 | 8 | 300 | 89 | -3 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 141 | 125 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 38 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 168 | 246 | 272 | 518 | 104 | 209 | 27 | 9 | 228 | 40 | -10 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 249 | 231 | 56 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 49 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 242 | 289 | 377 | 665 | 134 | 286 | 20 | 5 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 152 | 141 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 45 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 191 | 250 | 298 | 548 | 106 | 274 | 30 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | Greeneville Astros | — | 152 | 135 | 34 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 336 | 400 | 736 | 148 | 324 | 21 | 11 | 330 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 472 | 430 | 97 | 31 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 121 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 226 | 285 | 365 | 651 | 140 | 289 | 26 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A RAW | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 472 | 416 | 108 | 33 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 92 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 260 | 339 | 430 | 769 | 171 | 303 | 19 | 11 | 339 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 691 | 616 | 158 | 37 | 2 | 10 | 69 | 148 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 256 | 331 | 372 | 703 | 115 | 319 | 21 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 691 | 591 | 165 | 40 | 2 | 11 | 94 | 108 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 279 | 378 | 409 | 788 | 130 | 322 | 16 | 14 | 354 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 489 | 437 | 101 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 46 | 111 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 231 | 306 | 323 | 628 | 92 | 297 | 23 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 489 | 420 | 98 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 63 | 94 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 233 | 335 | 324 | 659 | 90 | 288 | 19 | 13 | 303 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 533 | 485 | 124 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 41 | 133 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 256 | 316 | 363 | 679 | 107 | 332 | 25 | 8 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Braves | — | 533 | 465 | 126 | 24 | 3 | 10 | 61 | 116 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 271 | 358 | 400 | 758 | 129 | 337 | 22 | 11 | 340 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 605 | 551 | 116 | 27 | 2 | 18 | 48 | 174 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 211 | 276 | 365 | 641 | 154 | 270 | 29 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 605 | 538 | 125 | 30 | 2 | 20 | 61 | 151 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 232 | 313 | 407 | 720 | 175 | 283 | 25 | 10 | 320 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 556 | 522 | 125 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 119 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 282 | 341 | 623 | 102 | 294 | 21 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 556 | 510 | 135 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 95 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 265 | 322 | 382 | 704 | 118 | 308 | 17 | 8 | 315 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 428 | 384 | 89 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 92 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 232 | 304 | 370 | 674 | 138 | 272 | 21 | 9 | 302 | 91 | -5 | -0 | -4 | +2 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 428 | 384 | 91 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 91 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 309 | 383 | 692 | 146 | 276 | 21 | 9 | 308 | 91 | -5 | -0 | -4 | +2 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 204 | 186 | 40 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 215 | 277 | 403 | 680 | 188 | 241 | 23 | 8 | 300 | 89 | -3 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB RAW | Baltimore Orioles | — | 204 | 185 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 222 | 287 | 427 | 714 | 205 | 244 | 23 | 8 | 312 | 89 | -3 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 390 | 356 | 77 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 87 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 216 | 273 | 340 | 613 | 124 | 262 | 22 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 390 | 349 | 89 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 77 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 255 | 323 | 415 | 738 | 160 | 296 | 20 | 8 | 325 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 152 | 140 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 45 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 193 | 250 | 300 | 550 | 107 | 273 | 30 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 472 | 433 | 97 | 31 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 121 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 224 | 285 | 363 | 648 | 139 | 284 | 26 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 691 | 617 | 158 | 37 | 2 | 10 | 69 | 148 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 256 | 331 | 371 | 703 | 115 | 317 | 21 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 489 | 439 | 101 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 46 | 111 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 230 | 306 | 321 | 627 | 91 | 292 | 23 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 533 | 485 | 124 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 41 | 133 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 256 | 316 | 363 | 679 | 107 | 328 | 25 | 8 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 605 | 550 | 116 | 27 | 2 | 18 | 48 | 174 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 211 | 276 | 365 | 642 | 155 | 272 | 29 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 556 | 520 | 125 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 119 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 282 | 342 | 624 | 102 | 289 | 21 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 428 | 385 | 89 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 92 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 304 | 369 | 673 | 138 | 274 | 21 | 9 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 204 | 186 | 40 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 215 | 277 | 403 | 680 | 188 | 244 | 23 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 390 | 359 | 77 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 87 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 214 | 273 | 337 | 610 | 123 | 258 | 22 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 946 | 842 | 178 | 33 | 2 | 28 | 90 | 218 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 211 | 290 | 355 | 645 | 144 | 248 | 23 | 10 | 289 | 81 | -21 | -0 | -1 | +8 | +20 | 0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 579 | 122 | 23 | 1 | 19 | 62 | 150 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 211 | 289 | 352 | 642 | 142 | 248 | 23 | 10 | 289 | 81 | -14 | -0 | -1 | +5 | +14 | 0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4520 | 4108 | 954 | 214 | 18 | 86 | 361 | 1076 | 10 | 31 | 21 | 232 | 296 | 356 | 652 | 124 | 291 | 24 | 8 | 288 | 81 | -21 | -0 | -1 | +8 | +20 | 0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 137 | 31 | 3 | 12 | 52 | 155 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 232 | 295 | 355 | 650 | 124 | 291 | 24 | 8 | 288 | 81 | -14 | -0 | -1 | +5 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 249 PAwOBA .370 → .293 (−77)K% 15.7% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.66% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.03% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.62% | ÷1.110 | ×0.930 | ×1.025 | ×1.003 | 18.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.81% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×1.025 | ×1.003 | 9.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | ×1.003 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.78% | ÷1.172 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.27% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 122, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .370 → .293; ISO .192 → .140; BABIP .337 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAANorfolk Tides · 15 PAwOBA .395 → .384 (−11)K% 20.0% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.973 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.103 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.36% | ÷1.033 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 33.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.954 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.889 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 8.88% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 107, 2B 98, 3B 91, K 95, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .395 → .384; ISO .214 → .215; BABIP .364 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 541 PAwOBA .309 → .275 (−34)K% 16.6% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.64% | ÷0.952 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.84% | ÷0.947 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×0.998 | ×1.048 | 22.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.13% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×0.998 | ×1.048 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.116 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | ×1.048 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.21% | ÷0.970 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 2.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 123, K 90, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .309 → .275; ISO .120 → .105; BABIP .311 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAGwinnett Braves · 432 PAwOBA .330 → .287 (−44)K% 25.5% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.46% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.49% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.06% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×0.991 | ×1.050 | 18.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.99% | ÷0.936 | ×0.830 | ×0.991 | ×1.050 | 8.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.005 | ×0.970 | ×0.991 | ×1.050 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.76% | ÷0.972 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 5.22% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .330 → .287; ISO .198 → .175; BABIP .304 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAGwinnett Braves · 533 PAwOBA .332 → .301 (−31)K% 21.8% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.76% | ÷1.046 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.88% | ÷1.022 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 7.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.50% | ÷1.017 | ×0.930 | ×1.038 | ×1.050 | 25.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.88% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×1.038 | ×1.050 | 6.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.86% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.038 | ×1.050 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.87% | ÷1.132 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 2.23% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 109, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .332 → .301; ISO .129 → .112; BABIP .337 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAMississippi Braves · 489 PAwOBA .296 → .281 (−15)K% 19.2% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.22% | ÷1.031 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.68% | ÷0.965 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 9.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.78% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 21.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.44% | ÷0.927 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 6.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.31% | ÷1.005 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.53% | ÷0.784 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.64% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 104, 2B 85, 3B 101, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .296 → .281; ISO .090 → .098; BABIP .288 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 602 PAwOBA .361 → .311 (−51)K% 15.1% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.12% | ÷0.948 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.29% | ÷0.987 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 9.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.76% | ÷0.999 | ×0.910 | ×1.022 | ×1.042 | 23.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.71% | ÷0.963 | ×0.820 | ×1.022 | ×1.042 | 7.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷0.915 | ×0.760 | ×1.022 | ×1.042 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.59% | ÷1.234 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.042 | 2.01% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 100, 2B 93, 3B 83, K 90, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .361 → .311; ISO .143 → .118; BABIP .335 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AQuad Cities River Bandits · 472 PAwOBA .334 → .285 (−49)K% 19.5% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.49% | ÷1.032 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.59% | ÷0.993 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 7.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.14% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×1.045 | 17.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.19% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×1.045 | 9.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.31% | ÷1.070 | ×0.910 | ×1.018 | ×1.045 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.034 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.99% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 109, 2B 84, 3B 114, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .334 → .285; ISO .171 → .146; BABIP .303 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .