Francisco Lugo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 31 | INTLNaranjeros de… | 60 | .305/.317/.508 | 1 | 0 | 128 | — |
| 2024 | 32 | INTLNaranjeros de… | 70 | .131/.185/.131 | 0 | 0 | -17 | — |
| 2025 | 33 | INTLNaranjeros de… | 24 | .227/.261/.409 | 1 | 1 | 77 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 175 | 143 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 245 | 357 | 273 | 630 | 28 | 259 | 6 | 11 | 290 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers | — | 216 | 185 | 47 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 254 | 341 | 346 | 687 | 92 | 283 | 9 | 10 | 307 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | AAA | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 58 | 55 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 273 | 298 | 382 | 680 | 109 | 280 | 7 | 3 | 298 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 201 | 187 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 203 | 224 | 299 | 523 | 96 | 237 | 17 | 2 | 222 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 57 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 135 | 167 | 173 | 340 | 38 | 146 | 9 | 4 | 149 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 429 | 391 | 122 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 58 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 312 | 347 | 368 | 715 | 56 | 360 | 14 | 4 | 311 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 250 | 228 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 250 | 302 | 294 | 596 | 44 | 293 | 16 | 6 | 269 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Vaqueros Union Laguna | — | 397 | 365 | 125 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 44 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 342 | 381 | 449 | 831 | 107 | 371 | 11 | 5 | 364 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 29 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 250 | 222 | 472 | 240 | 10 | 3 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 175 | 170 | 52 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 306 | 326 | 382 | 708 | 76 | 342 | 10 | 1 | 317 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 44 | 42 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 333 | 349 | 452 | 801 | 119 | 378 | 11 | 0 | 348 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 113 | 107 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 383 | 411 | 467 | 878 | 84 | 432 | 12 | 4 | 389 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 88 | 84 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 224 | 286 | 509 | 71 | 243 | 15 | 1 | 219 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 60 | 59 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 305 | 317 | 508 | 825 | 203 | 354 | 17 | 2 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 32 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 70 | 61 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 131 | 185 | 131 | 316 | 154 | 16 | 6 | 143 | -17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 33 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 24 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 261 | 409 | 670 | 182 | 211 | 12 | 4 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 175 | 149 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 181 | 274 | 201 | 475 | 20 | 184 | 7 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 216 | 192 | 34 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 177 | 251 | 240 | 491 | 62 | 195 | 11 | 7 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 58 | 56 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 286 | 298 | 393 | 691 | 107 | 293 | 9 | 2 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 201 | 188 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 197 | 214 | 287 | 501 | 90 | 234 | 21 | 2 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 57 | 52 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 185 | 192 | 377 | 38 | 149 | 11 | 4 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 429 | 397 | 119 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 66 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 300 | 325 | 355 | 680 | 55 | 339 | 15 | 3 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 250 | 233 | 56 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 51 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 240 | 278 | 279 | 557 | 39 | 292 | 20 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Union Laguna | — | 397 | 370 | 120 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 324 | 356 | 419 | 775 | 95 | 352 | 13 | 3 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 175 | 171 | 42 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 263 | 304 | 567 | 58 | 284 | 13 | 1 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 175 | 149 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 181 | 274 | 201 | 475 | 20 | 194 | 7 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 175 | 143 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 245 | 357 | 273 | 630 | 28 | 259 | 6 | 11 | 290 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 216 | 192 | 34 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 177 | 251 | 240 | 491 | 62 | 201 | 11 | 7 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers | — | 216 | 185 | 47 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 254 | 341 | 346 | 687 | 92 | 283 | 9 | 10 | 307 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 58 | 56 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 286 | 298 | 393 | 691 | 107 | 300 | 9 | 2 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | AAA RAW | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 58 | 55 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 273 | 298 | 382 | 680 | 109 | 280 | 7 | 3 | 298 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 201 | 188 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 197 | 214 | 287 | 501 | 90 | 241 | 21 | 2 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 201 | 187 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 203 | 224 | 299 | 523 | 96 | 237 | 17 | 2 | 222 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 57 | 52 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 185 | 192 | 377 | 38 | 170 | 11 | 4 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 57 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 135 | 167 | 173 | 340 | 38 | 146 | 9 | 4 | 149 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 429 | 397 | 119 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 66 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 300 | 325 | 355 | 680 | 55 | 353 | 15 | 3 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 429 | 391 | 122 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 58 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 312 | 347 | 368 | 715 | 56 | 360 | 14 | 4 | 311 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 250 | 233 | 56 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 51 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 240 | 278 | 279 | 557 | 39 | 299 | 20 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 250 | 228 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 250 | 302 | 294 | 596 | 44 | 293 | 16 | 6 | 269 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 426 | 397 | 129 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 57 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 325 | 356 | 416 | 771 | 91 | 363 | 13 | 3 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 426 | 392 | 131 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 47 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 334 | 373 | 434 | 806 | 99 | 362 | 11 | 4 | 353 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 175 | 171 | 42 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 263 | 304 | 567 | 58 | 284 | 13 | 1 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 175 | 170 | 52 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 306 | 326 | 382 | 708 | 76 | 342 | 10 | 1 | 317 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | INTL MLE | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 44 | 42 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 333 | 349 | 452 | 801 | 119 | 378 | 11 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | INTL RAW | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 44 | 42 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 333 | 349 | 452 | 801 | 119 | 378 | 11 | 0 | 348 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | INTL MLE | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 113 | 107 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 383 | 411 | 467 | 878 | 84 | 432 | 12 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | INTL RAW | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 113 | 107 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 383 | 411 | 467 | 878 | 84 | 432 | 12 | 4 | 389 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | INTL MLE | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 88 | 84 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 224 | 286 | 509 | 71 | 243 | 15 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | INTL RAW | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 88 | 84 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 224 | 286 | 509 | 71 | 243 | 15 | 1 | 219 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | INTL MLE | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 60 | 59 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 305 | 317 | 508 | 825 | 203 | 354 | 17 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | INTL RAW | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 60 | 59 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 305 | 317 | 508 | 825 | 203 | 354 | 17 | 2 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 32 | INTL MLE | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 70 | 61 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 131 | 185 | 131 | 316 | 154 | 16 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 32 | INTL RAW | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 70 | 61 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 131 | 185 | 131 | 316 | 154 | 16 | 6 | 143 | -17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 33 | INTL MLE | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 24 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 261 | 409 | 670 | 182 | 211 | 12 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 33 | INTL RAW | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 24 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 261 | 409 | 670 | 182 | 211 | 12 | 4 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 175 | 154 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 175 | 274 | 195 | 469 | 19 | 184 | 7 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 216 | 195 | 34 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 174 | 251 | 236 | 487 | 62 | 195 | 11 | 7 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 58 | 57 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 281 | 298 | 386 | 684 | 105 | 293 | 9 | 2 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 201 | 195 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 190 | 214 | 277 | 490 | 87 | 234 | 21 | 2 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 57 | 55 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 185 | 182 | 367 | 36 | 149 | 11 | 4 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 429 | 411 | 119 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 66 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 290 | 325 | 343 | 668 | 54 | 339 | 15 | 3 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 250 | 236 | 56 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 51 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 237 | 278 | 275 | 553 | 38 | 292 | 20 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 426 | 404 | 129 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 57 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 319 | 356 | 408 | 764 | 89 | 352 | 13 | 3 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 175 | 169 | 42 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 263 | 308 | 571 | 59 | 284 | 13 | 1 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2386 | 2210 | 572 | 79 | 13 | 16 | 85 | 341 | 23 | 44 | 29 | 259 | 293 | 328 | 621 | 69 | 297 | 14 | 4 | 218 | 34 | -187 | -3 | +0 | -26 | +52 | -16.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 156 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 93 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 259 | 293 | 329 | 622 | 70 | 298 | 14 | 4 | 218 | 34 | -51 | -1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -4.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 175 PAwOBA .308 → .249 (−59)K% 10.3% → 13.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.29% | ÷0.936 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.14% | ÷1.051 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 0.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.71% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.63% | ÷1.050 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 23.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.61% | ÷0.954 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 3.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.97% | ÷1.065 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 1.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.115 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 110, 2B 91, 3B 113, K 87, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .308 → .249; ISO .076 → .061; BABIP .342 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAVaqueros Union Laguna · 397 PAwOBA .356 → .329 (−26)K% 11.1% → 13.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.08% | ÷0.993 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.53% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.09% | ÷1.039 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 30.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.05% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 3.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.31% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.49% | ÷0.879 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.02% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .356 → .329; ISO .107 → .092; BABIP .371 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAALeones de Yucatan · 250 PAwOBA .265 → .247 (−19)K% 15.6% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.60% | ÷0.924 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.40% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.46% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 26.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.65% | ÷1.104 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 2.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.53% | ÷0.834 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.46% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 98, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 85, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .265 → .247; ISO .044 → .037; BABIP .293 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 429 PAwOBA .305 → .290 (−15)K% 13.5% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.52% | ÷1.049 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.96% | ÷1.102 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 2.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.53% | ÷1.095 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 29.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.20% | ÷0.934 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 4.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷0.907 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.60% | ÷0.867 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.51% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 119, 2B 87, 3B 81, K 110, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .305 → .290; ISO .056 → .056; BABIP .360 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAALeones de Yucatan · 57 PAwOBA .148 → .150 (+2)K% 8.8% → 10.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.77% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 10.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.51% | ÷0.921 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 2.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.64% | ÷0.969 | ×0.930 | ×1.045 | ×1.050 | 11.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | ×1.045 | ×1.050 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.045 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 94, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .148 → .150; ISO .038 → .038; BABIP .146 → .149. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAALeones de Yucatan · 201 PAwOBA .217 → .210 (−7)K% 16.9% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.92% | ÷0.964 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.49% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 1.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.99% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 17.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.23% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 4.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.31% | ÷0.955 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 1.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.31% | ÷0.866 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.11% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 91, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .217 → .210; ISO .096 → .091; BABIP .237 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 58 PAwOBA .290 → .287 (−2)K% 6.9% → 8.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.90% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 8.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.45% | ÷1.081 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 2.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.57% | ÷0.963 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 22.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.915 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 5.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.059 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.018 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.42% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 93, 2B 83, 3B 112, K 98, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .290 → .287; ISO .109 → .095; BABIP .280 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 DSLDSL Rangers · 216 PAwOBA .301 → .214 (−87)K% 9.3% → 11.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.26% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 6.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 14.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 3.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 1.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .301 → .214; ISO .092 → .061; BABIP .283 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .