Travis Shaw

Pos3B

B/TL/R

Born1990-04-16

Age (2027)37

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2022

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2020	30	MLBTOR	180	.239/.307/.411	6	0	101	0.5
2021	31	AAAMIL	41	.273/.415/.485	2	0	103	—	.257/.366/.457
2021	31	MLBBOS	250	.200/.287/.373	9	0	81	-0.3
2022	32	MLBBOS	19	.000/.000/.000	0	0	-114	-0.7
2023	33	No MLB games played
2024	34	No MLB games played
2025	35	No MLB games played
2026	36	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.5

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2020-2022

Barrel%50

xwOBA43

Avg EV43

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2012	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	133	110	25	13	0	3	21	34	1	1	1	227	356	427	783	200	297	26	16	349	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+	Salem Red Sox	—	423	354	108	31	3	16	59	81	7	11	2	305	414	545	959	240	354	19	14	418	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	529	444	98	21	4	16	78	117	5	7	3	221	343	394	738	173	262	22	15	333	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	73	61	22	6	0	5	10	14	1	0	0	361	458	705	1.163	344	395	19	14	490	218	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	346	313	82	21	1	10	28	76	1	2	0	262	325	431	756	169	312	22	8	332	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	208	177	54	8	1	11	29	23	1	5	3	305	406	548	954	243	301	11	14	416	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	248	226	61	10	0	13	18	57	2	0	1	270	329	487	816	217	304	23	7	356	122	+6	-0	-0	-10	+5	0.1
2015	25	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	322	289	72	12	2	5	26	54	4	0	1	249	320	356	676	107	289	17	8	305	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	530	480	116	34	2	16	43	133	3	5	1	242	308	421	729	179	299	25	8	321	94	-4	+1	-3	+2	+11	0.8
2017	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	606	538	147	34	1	31	60	138	4	10	0	273	350	513	864	240	312	23	10	376	136	+26	+2	+12	+2	+13	5.6
2018	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	587	498	120	23	0	32	78	108	4	5	2	241	348	480	828	239	242	18	13	362	125	+18	+0	+4	+2	+13	3.8
2019	29	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	270	230	36	5	0	7	36	89	4	0	0	157	281	270	551	113	216	33	13	262	58	-14	+0	-2	+2	+6	-0.8
2019	29	AAA	San Antonio Missions	—	174	133	38	4	0	12	36	37	2	3	1	286	444	586	1.031	301	299	21	21	440	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	180	163	39	10	0	6	16	50	0	0	0	239	307	411	718	172	306	28	9	318	101	+0	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.5
2021	31	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	250	220	44	11	0	9	24	68	3	0	0	200	287	373	660	173	243	27	10	294	81	-6	+0	-4	+1	+5	-0.3
2021	31	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	41	33	9	1	0	2	7	8	1	0	0	273	415	485	899	212	304	20	17	402	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	19	19	0	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0							37	0		-114	-5	+0	-2	-0	+0	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2690	2374	563	127	3	114	275	650	20	20	4	237	321	437	759	200	276	24	10	335	113	+41	+2	+6	-1	+58	10.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2012	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	133	116	21	10	0	2	15	43	1	1	1	181	280	319	599	138	257	32	11	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	423	378	91	23	2	15	35	114	7	11	2	241	317	431	748	190	295	27	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	529	466	90	18	4	12	56	144	5	7	3	193	287	326	613	133	249	27	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	346	324	75	19	1	7	17	93	1	2	0	231	272	361	633	130	292	27	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	208	187	53	7	1	9	19	29	1	5	3	283	353	476	829	193	295	14	9	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	248	227	59	9	0	13	17	57	2	0	1	260	317	471	788	211	304	23	7	348	122	+6	-0	-0	-10	+5	0.1
2015	25	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	322	297	69	12	2	4	18	68	4	0	1	232	285	327	612	94	280	21	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	530	484	111	30	2	16	39	133	3	5	1	229	291	399	690	169	299	25	7	308	94	-4	+1	-3	+2	+11	0.8
2017	27	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	606	544	148	36	1	30	54	138	4	10	0	272	342	507	850	235	312	23	9	370	136	+26	+2	+12	+2	+13	5.6
2018	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	587	504	120	25	0	30	72	108	4	5	2	238	338	466	804	228	242	18	12	353	125	+18	+0	+4	+2	+13	3.8
2019	29	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	270	233	36	5	0	7	33	89	4	0	0	155	270	266	536	112	216	33	12	254	58	-14	+0	-2	+2	+6	-0.8
2019	29	AAA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	174	145	32	3	0	10	24	49	2	3	1	221	339	448	787	228	240	28	14	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	180	163	39	10	0	6	16	50	0	0	0	239	307	411	718	172	306	28	9	318	101	+0	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.5
2021	31	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	250	220	43	10	0	9	24	68	3	0	0	195	283	364	647	168	243	27	10	288	81	-6	+0	-4	+1	+5	-0.3
2021	31	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	41	35	9	1	0	2	5	9	1	0	0	257	366	457	823	200	269	22	12	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	19	19	0	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0							37	0		-114	-5	+0	-2	-0	+0	-0.7
2012	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	556	494	111	33	2	17	50	158	8	12	3	225	306	403	709	178	291	28	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	556	464	133	44	3	19	80	115	8	12	3	287	400	517	918	231	341	21	14	401	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	602	529	103	21	5	14	64	164	6	7	3	195	289	333	622	138	251	27	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	602	505	120	27	4	21	88	131	6	7	3	238	357	432	789	194	278	22	15	352	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	554	511	128	26	2	16	36	122	2	7	3	250	302	403	705	153	297	22	6	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	554	490	136	29	2	21	57	99	2	7	3	278	355	473	829	196	307	18	10	364	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	570	524	129	21	2	18	35	125	6	0	2	246	301	397	698	151	288	22	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	570	515	133	22	2	18	44	111	6	0	2	258	324	414	737	155	295	19	8	327	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	530	484	111	30	2	16	39	133	3	5	1	229	291	399	690	169	280	25	7	308	94	-4	+1	-3	+2	+11	0.8
2016	26	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	530	480	116	34	2	16	43	133	3	5	1	242	308	421	729	179	299	25	8	321	94	-4	+1	-3	+2	+11	0.8
2017	27	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	606	544	148	36	1	30	54	138	4	10	0	272	342	507	850	235	311	23	9	370	136	+26	+2	+12	+2	+13	5.6
2017	27	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	606	538	147	34	1	31	60	138	4	10	0	273	350	513	864	240	312	23	10	376	136	+26	+2	+12	+2	+13	5.6
2018	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	587	504	120	25	0	30	72	108	4	5	2	238	338	466	804	228	242	18	12	353	125	+18	+0	+4	+2	+13	3.8
2018	28	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	587	498	120	23	0	32	78	108	4	5	2	241	348	480	828	239	242	18	13	362	125	+18	+0	+4	+2	+13	3.8
2019	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	444	378	67	8	0	16	57	138	6	3	1	177	295	325	620	148	225	31	13	287	81	-10	+0	-2	+2	+10	-0.1
2019	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	444	363	74	9	0	19	72	126	6	3	1	204	345	386	730	182	249	28	16	332	81	-10	+0	-2	+2	+10	-0.1
2020	30	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	180	163	39	10	0	6	16	50	0	0	0	239	307	411	718	172	306	28	9	318	101	+0	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.5
2020	30	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	—	180	163	39	10	0	6	16	50	0	0	0	239	307	411	718	172	306	28	9	318	101	+0	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.5
2021	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	291	255	51	11	0	11	29	77	4	0	0	200	292	373	664	173	238	26	10	293	84	-5	+0	-4	+1	+6	-0.2
2021	31	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	291	253	53	12	0	11	31	76	4	0	0	209	306	387	693	178	251	26	11	309	84	-5	+0	-4	+1	+6	-0.2
2022	32	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	19	19	0	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0							37	0		-114	-5	+0	-2	-0	+0	-0.7
2022	32	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	19	19	0	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0							37	0		-114	-5	+0	-2	-0	+0	-0.7
2012	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	556	493	111	33	2	17	50	158	8	12	3	225	306	404	710	178	286	28	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	602	527	103	21	5	14	64	164	6	7	3	195	289	334	623	139	249	27	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	554	511	128	26	2	16	36	122	2	7	3	250	302	403	705	153	293	22	6	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	570	524	129	21	2	18	35	125	6	0	2	246	301	397	698	151	290	22	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	530	483	111	30	2	16	39	133	3	5	1	230	291	400	690	170	299	25	7	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	606	543	148	36	1	30	54	138	4	10	0	273	342	508	850	236	312	23	9	370	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	587	506	120	25	0	30	72	108	4	5	2	237	338	464	802	227	242	18	12	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	444	378	67	8	0	16	57	138	6	3	1	177	295	325	620	148	226	31	13	287	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	180	162	39	10	0	6	16	50	0	0	0	241	307	414	721	173	306	28	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	291	256	51	11	0	11	29	77	4	0	0	199	292	371	663	172	247	26	10	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2690	2374	563	127	3	114	275	650	20	20	4	237	321	437	759	200	276	24	10	335	98	+41	+2	+6	-1	+58	10.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	137	31	1	28	66	157	5	5	1	239	322	443	765	204	277	24	10	335	98	+10	+1	+1	-0	+14	2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4939	4405	1007	221	14	174	452	1220	43	49	15	229	307	404	710	175	274	25	9	313	98	+41	+2	+6	-1	+58	10.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	133	29	2	23	59	161	6	6	2	229	307	405	712	176	275	25	9	313	98	+10	+1	+1	-0	+14	2.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAANashville Sounds · 41 PAwOBA .392 → .320 (−72)K% 19.5% → 22.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.51%	÷1.024	×1.200	—	—	22.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.07%	÷0.946	×0.690	—	×0.962	11.98%
HBP% /PA	2.44%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	2.21%
Singles /BIP	24.00%	÷0.966	×0.930	—	×0.962	22.22%
Doubles /BIP	4.00%	÷1.030	×0.830	—	×0.962	3.10%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	—	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.00%	÷0.915	×0.700	—	×0.962	5.89%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 93, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 105, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .392 → .320; ISO .212 → .162; BABIP .304 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAASan Antonio Missions · 174 PAwOBA .437 → .339 (−97)K% 21.3% → 28.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.26%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	28.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.69%	÷1.055	×0.710	—	×0.982	13.67%
HBP% /PA	1.15%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	1.11%
Singles /BIP	22.92%	÷0.995	×0.900	×0.950	×0.982	19.34%
Doubles /BIP	4.17%	÷1.045	×0.810	×0.950	×0.982	3.01%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.930	×0.810	×0.950	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	12.50%	÷0.977	×0.780	—	×0.982	9.80%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 86, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .437 → .339; ISO .301 → .243; BABIP .299 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 322 PAwOBA .297 → .270 (−28)K% 16.8% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.77%	÷0.956	×1.200	—	—	21.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.76%	÷0.996	×0.690	—	×1.033	5.56%
HBP% /PA	1.24%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.21%
Singles /BIP	22.55%	÷0.989	×0.930	×0.999	×1.033	21.88%
Doubles /BIP	5.11%	÷0.867	×0.830	×0.999	×1.033	5.05%
Triples /BIP	0.85%	÷1.012	×0.970	×0.999	×1.033	0.84%
Home runs /BIP	2.13%	÷1.012	×0.840	—	×1.033	1.82%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 73, 3B 102, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .297 → .270; ISO .107 → .098; BABIP .289 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 346 PAwOBA .325 → .275 (−49)K% 22.0% → 26.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.97%	÷0.980	×1.200	—	—	26.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.51%	÷1.084	×0.690	—	×1.048	5.01%
HBP% /PA	0.29%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.28%
Singles /BIP	21.10%	÷0.976	×0.930	×0.970	×1.048	20.43%
Doubles /BIP	8.86%	÷0.937	×0.830	×0.970	×1.048	7.98%
Triples /BIP	0.42%	÷1.104	×0.970	×0.970	×1.048	0.38%
Home runs /BIP	4.22%	÷1.240	×0.840	—	×1.048	2.99%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 95, 2B 87, 3B 121, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .325 → .275; ISO .169 → .133; BABIP .312 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 208 PAwOBA .404 → .362 (−41)K% 11.1% → 13.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.06%	÷0.975	×1.220	—	—	13.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.46%	÷1.041	×0.700	—	×1.012	9.16%
HBP% /PA	0.48%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.41%
Singles /BIP	22.08%	÷1.014	×0.970	×1.050	×1.012	22.44%
Doubles /BIP	5.19%	÷1.025	×0.860	×1.050	×1.012	4.63%
Triples /BIP	0.65%	÷0.900	×0.950	×1.050	×1.012	0.73%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷0.959	×0.780	—	×1.012	5.88%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 103, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 95, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .404 → .362; ISO .243 → .214; BABIP .301 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 529 PAwOBA .325 → .276 (−49)K% 22.1% → 27.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.12%	÷0.989	×1.220	—	—	27.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.37%	÷0.975	×0.700	—	×1.027	10.59%
HBP% /PA	0.95%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	0.83%
Singles /BIP	17.43%	÷0.980	×0.970	×0.970	×1.027	17.19%
Doubles /BIP	6.42%	÷0.987	×0.860	×0.970	×1.027	5.57%
Triples /BIP	1.22%	÷0.900	×0.950	×0.970	×1.027	1.29%
Home runs /BIP	4.89%	÷1.026	×0.780	—	×1.027	3.82%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 96, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .325 → .276; ISO .173 → .143; BABIP .262 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+Salem Red Sox · 423 PAwOBA .408 → .323 (−85)K% 19.1% → 27.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.15%	÷1.008	×1.420	—	—	26.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.24%	÷1.035	×0.630	—	×1.012	8.16%
HBP% /PA	1.65%	—	×0.860	—	×1.012	1.44%
Singles /BIP	21.25%	÷1.041	×0.940	×0.972	×1.012	18.88%
Doubles /BIP	11.36%	÷1.089	×0.830	×0.972	×1.012	8.52%
Triples /BIP	1.10%	÷1.150	×0.800	×0.972	×1.012	0.75%
Home runs /BIP	5.86%	÷0.944	×0.900	—	×1.012	5.66%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 108, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .408 → .323; ISO .240 → .205; BABIP .354 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 133 PAwOBA .343 → .269 (−74)K% 25.6% → 32.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.56%	÷0.958	×1.220	—	—	32.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.79%	÷1.001	×0.700	—	×1.042	11.50%
HBP% /PA	0.75%	—	×0.850	—	×1.042	0.67%
Singles /BIP	11.84%	÷1.007	×0.970	×0.976	×1.042	11.61%
Doubles /BIP	17.11%	÷1.095	×0.860	×0.976	×1.042	13.66%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.950	×0.976	×1.042	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.95%	÷1.098	×0.780	—	×1.042	2.92%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 101, 2B 119, 3B 130, K 92, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .343 → .269; ISO .200 → .150; BABIP .297 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .