John Ruettiger
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 23 | AA/A+2 orgs | 532 | .250/.331/.291 | 2 | 44 | 52 | — | .232/.282/.263 |
| 2014 | 24 | AA/A+2 orgs | 329 | .257/.323/.311 | 1 | 23 | 60 | — | .248/.292/.301 |
| 2015 | 25 | AA/A+2 orgs | 246 | .266/.318/.315 | 0 | 10 | 48 | — | .240/.272/.284 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 85 | 77 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 273 | 325 | 351 | 676 | 78 | 323 | 15 | 7 | 300 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 29 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 240 | 345 | 240 | 585 | 273 | 10 | 14 | 283 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 281 | 234 | 64 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 32 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 274 | 366 | 329 | 695 | 56 | 313 | 11 | 12 | 316 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 119 | 105 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 305 | 381 | 362 | 743 | 57 | 372 | 17 | 11 | 339 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 65 | 53 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 283 | 406 | 321 | 727 | 38 | 375 | 20 | 15 | 339 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 467 | 415 | 102 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 45 | 71 | 1 | 43 | 7 | 246 | 321 | 287 | 608 | 41 | 291 | 15 | 10 | 280 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 164 | 149 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 282 | 335 | 336 | 671 | 54 | 331 | 13 | 7 | 301 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 165 | 147 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 20 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 231 | 311 | 286 | 597 | 54 | 260 | 12 | 10 | 277 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 27 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 296 | 308 | 604 | 38 | 368 | 26 | 4 | 275 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 219 | 196 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 31 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 265 | 321 | 316 | 637 | 51 | 313 | 14 | 7 | 283 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 85 | 79 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 266 | 301 | 342 | 643 | 76 | 320 | 20 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 29 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 231 | 310 | 231 | 541 | 265 | 14 | 10 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 281 | 252 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 45 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 254 | 319 | 302 | 620 | 48 | 299 | 16 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 119 | 110 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 255 | 305 | 291 | 596 | 36 | 328 | 22 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 65 | 58 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 328 | 293 | 621 | 34 | 358 | 25 | 8 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 467 | 433 | 99 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 105 | 1 | 43 | 7 | 229 | 275 | 259 | 534 | 30 | 291 | 22 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 164 | 153 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 288 | 323 | 340 | 663 | 52 | 341 | 16 | 4 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 165 | 153 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 209 | 262 | 261 | 524 | 52 | 244 | 17 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 27 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 259 | 269 | 528 | 38 | 341 | 33 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 219 | 203 | 49 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 241 | 274 | 286 | 559 | 44 | 293 | 21 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 85 | 79 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 266 | 301 | 342 | 643 | 76 | 333 | 20 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A RAW | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 85 | 77 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 273 | 325 | 351 | 676 | 78 | 323 | 15 | 7 | 300 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 429 | 387 | 98 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 74 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 253 | 317 | 297 | 614 | 44 | 310 | 17 | 8 | 272 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 429 | 364 | 102 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 52 | 55 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 280 | 369 | 332 | 701 | 52 | 327 | 13 | 12 | 320 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 532 | 491 | 114 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 121 | 2 | 44 | 7 | 232 | 282 | 263 | 545 | 31 | 305 | 23 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 532 | 468 | 117 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 55 | 84 | 2 | 44 | 7 | 250 | 331 | 291 | 622 | 41 | 299 | 16 | 10 | 287 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 329 | 306 | 75 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 56 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 245 | 289 | 294 | 583 | 49 | 296 | 17 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 329 | 296 | 76 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 42 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 257 | 323 | 311 | 634 | 54 | 295 | 13 | 9 | 289 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 229 | 55 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 53 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 240 | 272 | 284 | 556 | 44 | 311 | 22 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 246 | 222 | 59 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 38 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 266 | 318 | 315 | 633 | 50 | 319 | 15 | 7 | 282 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 85 | 81 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 259 | 301 | 333 | 635 | 74 | 320 | 20 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 429 | 390 | 98 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 74 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 251 | 317 | 295 | 612 | 44 | 305 | 17 | 8 | 272 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 532 | 493 | 114 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 121 | 2 | 44 | 7 | 231 | 282 | 262 | 544 | 30 | 299 | 23 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 329 | 307 | 75 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 56 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 244 | 289 | 293 | 582 | 49 | 292 | 17 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 234 | 55 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 53 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 235 | 272 | 278 | 550 | 43 | 298 | 22 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1621 | 1492 | 363 | 42 | 6 | 3 | 98 | 321 | 5 | 106 | 31 | 243 | 292 | 286 | 578 | 42 | 307 | 20 | 6 | 256 | 59 | -79 | +9 | +0 | -17 | +35 | -5.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 145 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 129 | 2 | 43 | 12 | 242 | 291 | 283 | 573 | 40 | 306 | 20 | 6 | 256 | 59 | -32 | +4 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 A+Frederick Keys · 219 PAwOBA .275 → .241 (−34)K% 14.2% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.16% | ÷0.985 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.85% | ÷0.999 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.968 | 4.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.001 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 25.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.64% | ÷1.021 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 3.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.21% | ÷0.935 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.184 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 100, 2B 104, 3B 87, K 97, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .275 → .241; ISO .051 → .043; BABIP .313 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AABowie Baysox · 27 PAwOBA .267 → .224 (−43)K% 25.9% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.93% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.70% | ÷1.014 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 2.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.58% | ÷1.023 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 29.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.999 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 4.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.123 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.197 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 125, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .267 → .224; ISO .038 → .030; BABIP .368 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Frederick Keys · 165 PAwOBA .272 → .229 (−42)K% 12.1% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.12% | ÷0.999 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.30% | ÷0.985 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 6.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.83% | ÷1.014 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 21.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.36% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 2.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.984 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.076 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 0.64% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .272 → .229; ISO .054 → .046; BABIP .260 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABowie Baysox · 164 PAwOBA .294 → .286 (−7)K% 13.4% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.41% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.71% | ÷1.082 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.56% | ÷0.972 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 28.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.72% | ÷0.969 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 4.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .294 → .286; ISO .054 → .053; BABIP .331 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Frederick Keys · 467 PAwOBA .275 → .239 (−36)K% 15.2% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.20% | ÷0.964 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.64% | ÷1.028 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 5.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.21% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.45% | ÷0.958 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 26.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.03% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 1.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.324 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 0.39% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 165, 1B 92, 2B 110, 3B 84, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .275 → .239; ISO .041 → .031; BABIP .291 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AABowie Baysox · 65 PAwOBA .326 → .290 (−36)K% 20.0% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.85% | ÷1.189 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.50% | ÷1.032 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 30.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.890 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.140 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 106, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 98, BB 138 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .326 → .290; ISO .038 → .039; BABIP .375 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Frederick Keys · 281 PAwOBA .308 → .275 (−34)K% 11.4% → 15.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.39% | ÷1.019 | ×1.420 | — | — | 15.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.46% | ÷0.980 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 7.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.24% | ÷1.019 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 25.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.95% | ÷0.963 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 4.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.50% | ÷1.408 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 0.32% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 182, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 104, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .308 → .275; ISO .056 → .049; BABIP .313 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 119 PAwOBA .333 → .272 (−61)K% 16.8% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.81% | ÷1.032 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.92% | ÷1.023 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 6.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.59% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 28.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.06% | ÷1.160 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 5.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.931 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.836 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 109, 2B 132, 3B 86, K 106, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .333 → .272; ISO .057 → .042; BABIP .372 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).