Cord Phelps
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 26 | AAACLE | 287 | .267/.337/.443 | 9 | 4 | 86 | — | .243/.294/.388 |
| 2014 | 27 | AAABAL | 403 | .259/.363/.388 | 7 | 2 | 79 | — | .233/.308/.339 |
| 2015 | 28 | AAAPHI | 458 | .229/.322/.290 | 3 | 5 | 46 | — | .204/.264/.252 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A+ | Kinston Indians | — | 582 | 479 | 125 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 93 | 97 | 6 | 17 | 14 | 261 | 388 | 363 | 751 | 102 | 318 | 17 | 16 | 345 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 273 | 243 | 77 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 39 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 317 | 387 | 506 | 894 | 189 | 357 | 14 | 9 | 391 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA | Akron Aeros | — | 218 | 199 | 59 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 296 | 349 | 397 | 746 | 101 | 335 | 13 | 7 | 331 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 95 | 79 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 367 | 474 | 557 | 1.031 | 190 | 419 | 15 | 17 | 454 | 194 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 80 | 71 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 155 | 241 | 254 | 494 | 99 | 189 | 21 | 10 | 227 | 42 | -6 | +0 | -5 | +2 | +2 | -0.7 |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 434 | 378 | 111 | 25 | 4 | 14 | 51 | 89 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 294 | 379 | 492 | 871 | 198 | 348 | 21 | 12 | 381 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 34 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 235 | 303 | 538 | 91 | 273 | 29 | 3 | 241 | 49 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 582 | 503 | 139 | 34 | 3 | 16 | 71 | 94 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 276 | 370 | 451 | 822 | 175 | 311 | 16 | 12 | 364 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 287 | 255 | 68 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 49 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 267 | 337 | 443 | 780 | 176 | 295 | 17 | 9 | 341 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 403 | 343 | 89 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 60 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 259 | 363 | 388 | 751 | 128 | 294 | 15 | 13 | 339 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 458 | 397 | 91 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 81 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 229 | 322 | 290 | 611 | 60 | 278 | 18 | 12 | 282 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 114 | 104 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 173 | 239 | 269 | 508 | 96 | 213 | 24 | 8 | 231 | 43 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +2 | -0.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | Kinston Indians | — | 582 | 513 | 121 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 59 | 138 | 6 | 17 | 14 | 236 | 322 | 322 | 643 | 86 | 307 | 24 | 10 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 273 | 250 | 73 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 46 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 292 | 347 | 460 | 807 | 168 | 337 | 17 | 6 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | Akron Aeros | — | 218 | 204 | 61 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 299 | 335 | 392 | 727 | 93 | 343 | 17 | 5 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 80 | 71 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 155 | 241 | 254 | 494 | 99 | 189 | 21 | 10 | 230 | 42 | -6 | +0 | -5 | +2 | +2 | -0.7 |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 434 | 394 | 102 | 22 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 111 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 259 | 321 | 409 | 730 | 150 | 330 | 26 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 34 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 235 | 303 | 538 | 91 | 273 | 29 | 3 | 241 | 49 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 582 | 526 | 129 | 30 | 3 | 12 | 48 | 116 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 245 | 313 | 382 | 695 | 137 | 287 | 20 | 8 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 287 | 263 | 64 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 58 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 243 | 294 | 388 | 682 | 144 | 277 | 20 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 403 | 360 | 84 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 70 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 233 | 308 | 339 | 647 | 106 | 268 | 17 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 458 | 417 | 85 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 95 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 204 | 264 | 252 | 516 | 48 | 250 | 21 | 7 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | Kinston Indians | — | 582 | 513 | 121 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 59 | 138 | 6 | 17 | 14 | 236 | 322 | 322 | 643 | 86 | 314 | 24 | 10 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ RAW | Kinston Indians | — | 582 | 479 | 125 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 93 | 97 | 6 | 17 | 14 | 261 | 388 | 363 | 751 | 102 | 318 | 17 | 16 | 345 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 586 | 544 | 160 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 99 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 294 | 339 | 426 | 766 | 132 | 345 | 17 | 5 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 586 | 521 | 165 | 32 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 82 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 317 | 387 | 472 | 859 | 155 | 357 | 14 | 9 | 379 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 514 | 465 | 113 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 128 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 243 | 308 | 385 | 693 | 142 | 311 | 25 | 8 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 514 | 449 | 122 | 27 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 106 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 272 | 358 | 454 | 812 | 183 | 322 | 21 | 11 | 357 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 616 | 559 | 136 | 30 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 126 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 243 | 309 | 377 | 686 | 134 | 291 | 20 | 8 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 616 | 536 | 146 | 34 | 3 | 17 | 72 | 104 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 272 | 363 | 442 | 805 | 170 | 309 | 17 | 12 | 358 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 287 | 263 | 64 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 58 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 243 | 294 | 388 | 682 | 144 | 284 | 20 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 287 | 255 | 68 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 49 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 267 | 337 | 443 | 780 | 176 | 295 | 17 | 9 | 341 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 403 | 360 | 84 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 70 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 233 | 308 | 339 | 647 | 106 | 274 | 17 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA RAW | Norfolk Tides | — | 403 | 343 | 89 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 60 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 259 | 363 | 388 | 751 | 128 | 294 | 15 | 13 | 339 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 458 | 417 | 85 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 95 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 204 | 264 | 252 | 516 | 48 | 254 | 21 | 7 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 458 | 397 | 91 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 81 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 229 | 322 | 290 | 611 | 60 | 278 | 18 | 12 | 282 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | Kinston Indians | — | 582 | 512 | 121 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 59 | 138 | 6 | 17 | 14 | 236 | 322 | 322 | 644 | 86 | 307 | 24 | 10 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 586 | 544 | 160 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 99 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 294 | 339 | 426 | 766 | 132 | 340 | 17 | 5 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 514 | 465 | 113 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 128 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 243 | 308 | 385 | 693 | 142 | 308 | 25 | 8 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 616 | 558 | 136 | 30 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 126 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 244 | 309 | 378 | 687 | 134 | 286 | 20 | 8 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 287 | 266 | 64 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 58 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 241 | 294 | 383 | 678 | 143 | 277 | 20 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 403 | 361 | 84 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 70 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 233 | 308 | 338 | 646 | 105 | 268 | 17 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 458 | 421 | 85 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 95 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 202 | 264 | 249 | 513 | 48 | 250 | 21 | 7 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 114 | 104 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 173 | 239 | 269 | 508 | 96 | 213 | 24 | 8 | 231 | 84 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +2 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 102 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 154 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 172 | 238 | 266 | 504 | 94 | 213 | 24 | 8 | 231 | 84 | -44 | +1 | -21 | +23 | +14 | -2.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3446 | 3121 | 763 | 143 | 30 | 50 | 271 | 714 | 20 | 49 | 44 | 244 | 309 | 358 | 666 | 113 | 300 | 21 | 8 | 293 | 84 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +2 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 144 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 135 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 244 | 309 | 357 | 666 | 112 | 301 | 21 | 8 | 293 | 84 | -44 | +1 | -21 | +23 | +14 | -2.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 458 PAwOBA .275 → .236 (−39)K% 17.7% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.69% | ÷1.019 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.14% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.73% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.007 | ×0.992 | 22.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.48% | ÷1.314 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×0.992 | 2.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.63% | ÷0.921 | ×0.970 | ×1.007 | ×0.992 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.95% | ÷0.845 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.94% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 98, 2B 163, 3B 84, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .275 → .236; ISO .060 → .052; BABIP .278 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAANorfolk Tides · 403 PAwOBA .333 → .285 (−48)K% 14.9% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.89% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.90% | ÷1.025 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.61% | ÷1.027 | ×0.930 | ×1.006 | ×1.003 | 20.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.59% | ÷0.899 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.003 | 4.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.77% | ÷1.007 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×1.003 | 1.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.47% | ÷1.223 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 1.70% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 145, 1B 105, 2B 80, 3B 101, K 105, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .333 → .285; ISO .128 → .110; BABIP .294 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAColumbus Clippers · 287 PAwOBA .335 → .295 (−40)K% 17.1% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.07% | ÷1.013 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.41% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.39% | ÷0.980 | ×0.930 | ×0.998 | ×1.018 | 19.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.77% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×0.998 | ×1.018 | 7.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | ×1.018 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.37% | ÷1.111 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 96, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .335 → .295; ISO .176 → .149; BABIP .295 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAColumbus Clippers · 582 PAwOBA .355 → .304 (−51)K% 16.2% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.15% | ÷0.974 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.68% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.03% | ÷1.002 | ×0.930 | ×1.006 | ×1.033 | 20.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.31% | ÷0.999 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.033 | 7.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷1.101 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×1.033 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.91% | ÷1.178 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 2.88% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 120, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .355 → .304; ISO .175 → .141; BABIP .311 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAColumbus Clippers · 434 PAwOBA .374 → .316 (−58)K% 20.5% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.51% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.52% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 8.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.020 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×1.048 | 23.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.65% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×1.048 | 7.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.031 | ×1.048 | 1.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.84% | ÷1.378 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 3.10% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .374 → .316; ISO .198 → .153; BABIP .348 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAColumbus Clippers · 273 PAwOBA .381 → .347 (−34)K% 14.3% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.42% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.04% | ÷1.035 | ×0.930 | ×1.025 | ×1.050 | 22.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.80% | ÷1.038 | ×0.830 | ×1.025 | ×1.050 | 8.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.96% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.025 | ×1.050 | 2.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.038 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 2.50% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 107, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .381 → .347; ISO .189 → .174; BABIP .357 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAkron Aeros · 218 PAwOBA .325 → .312 (−13)K% 13.3% → 16.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.30% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.88% | ÷1.027 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 4.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.06% | ÷0.989 | ×0.970 | ×1.044 | ×1.027 | 28.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.71% | ÷1.004 | ×0.860 | ×1.044 | ×1.027 | 4.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.76% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.044 | ×1.027 | 1.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.18% | ÷0.928 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.02% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .325 → .312; ISO .101 → .090; BABIP .335 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+Kinston Indians · 582 PAwOBA .338 → .286 (−52)K% 16.7% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 10.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 23.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 6.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 0.95% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .338 → .286; ISO .102 → .090; BABIP .318 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .