Adrian Nieto
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 26 | AAANew Orleans Z… | 129 | .195/.289/.257 | 1 | 1 | 24 | — | .161/.227/.212 |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 235 | .230/.283/.323 | 3 | 0 | 31 | — | .193/.227/.260 |
| 2019 | 29 | AA/A+MIA | 87 | .188/.235/.288 | 2 | 1 | 12 | — | .158/.188/.256 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 18 | ROK | GCL Nationals | — | 26 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 308 | 348 | 656 | 130 | 312 | 27 | 8 | 300 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK | GCL Nationals | — | 163 | 136 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 228 | 344 | 287 | 631 | 59 | 284 | 18 | 12 | 294 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 203 | 174 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 195 | 293 | 253 | 546 | 57 | 248 | 22 | 11 | 253 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 107 | 98 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 318 | 449 | 767 | 194 | 344 | 29 | 8 | 338 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 299 | 257 | 66 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 64 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 257 | 350 | 393 | 743 | 136 | 314 | 21 | 12 | 331 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | ROK | GCL Nationals | — | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 290 | 308 | 598 | 154 | 167 | 23 | 16 | 279 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 452 | 390 | 111 | 29 | 1 | 11 | 53 | 82 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 285 | 376 | 449 | 825 | 164 | 332 | 18 | 12 | 365 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 55 | 48 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 271 | 352 | 333 | 685 | 62 | 333 | 18 | 11 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 118 | 106 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 296 | 340 | 635 | 104 | 348 | 32 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -3 | -0 | -5 | +3 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2014 | 24 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 71 | 65 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 354 | 408 | 508 | 916 | 154 | 553 | 35 | 8 | 407 | 161 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 315 | 256 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 52 | 77 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 345 | 316 | 662 | 109 | 274 | 24 | 17 | 306 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 129 | 113 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 195 | 289 | 257 | 546 | 62 | 280 | 29 | 12 | 256 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 101 | 93 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 204 | 253 | 237 | 489 | 32 | 247 | 17 | 5 | 223 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 134 | 124 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 306 | 387 | 693 | 137 | 341 | 29 | 7 | 310 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 65 | 59 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 169 | 222 | 271 | 493 | 102 | 174 | 18 | 6 | 218 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 22 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 273 | 333 | 606 | 95 | 294 | 18 | 5 | 272 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 118 | 106 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 296 | 340 | 635 | 104 | 348 | 32 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -3 | -0 | -5 | +3 | +3 | -0.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 26 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 192 | 208 | 401 | 83 | 239 | 38 | 4 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 163 | 144 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 174 | 256 | 215 | 472 | 42 | 235 | 26 | 7 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 203 | 181 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 177 | 247 | 215 | 463 | 39 | 241 | 28 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 107 | 101 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 234 | 317 | 550 | 129 | 299 | 39 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 299 | 268 | 57 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 89 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 213 | 282 | 310 | 592 | 97 | 287 | 30 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 31 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 194 | 250 | 444 | 143 | 125 | 32 | 10 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 452 | 410 | 95 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 125 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 232 | 295 | 366 | 661 | 134 | 296 | 28 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 118 | 106 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 296 | 340 | 635 | 104 | 348 | 32 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -3 | -0 | -5 | +3 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 315 | 274 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 96 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 274 | 270 | 544 | 91 | 250 | 30 | 11 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 129 | 118 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 227 | 212 | 438 | 51 | 255 | 37 | 8 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 101 | 95 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 212 | 200 | 412 | 21 | 226 | 21 | 3 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 134 | 128 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 239 | 305 | 543 | 102 | 308 | 37 | 4 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 65 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 148 | 175 | 246 | 421 | 98 | 149 | 23 | 3 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 22 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 227 | 286 | 513 | 95 | 260 | 27 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 26 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 192 | 208 | 401 | 83 | 214 | 38 | 4 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Nationals | — | 26 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 308 | 348 | 656 | 130 | 312 | 27 | 8 | 300 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 163 | 144 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 174 | 256 | 215 | 472 | 42 | 240 | 26 | 7 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Nationals | — | 163 | 136 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 228 | 344 | 287 | 631 | 59 | 284 | 18 | 12 | 294 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 203 | 181 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 177 | 247 | 215 | 463 | 39 | 250 | 28 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A RAW | Hagerstown Suns | — | 203 | 174 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 195 | 293 | 253 | 546 | 57 | 248 | 22 | 11 | 253 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 107 | 101 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 234 | 317 | 550 | 129 | 298 | 39 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A RAW | Hagerstown Suns | — | 107 | 98 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 318 | 449 | 767 | 194 | 344 | 29 | 8 | 338 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 330 | 296 | 60 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 99 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 203 | 274 | 301 | 575 | 98 | 281 | 30 | 8 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 330 | 283 | 70 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 71 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 247 | 345 | 385 | 730 | 138 | 301 | 22 | 12 | 327 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 460 | 106 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 140 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 230 | 293 | 363 | 656 | 133 | 303 | 28 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 507 | 438 | 124 | 30 | 2 | 11 | 59 | 92 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 283 | 373 | 436 | 809 | 153 | 332 | 18 | 12 | 359 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 189 | 172 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 233 | 290 | 331 | 622 | 99 | 343 | 32 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -5 | -0 | -5 | +3 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 189 | 171 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 63 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 281 | 339 | 404 | 742 | 123 | 423 | 33 | 7 | 328 | 76 | -5 | -0 | -5 | +3 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 315 | 274 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 96 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 274 | 270 | 544 | 91 | 257 | 30 | 11 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 315 | 256 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 52 | 77 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 345 | 316 | 662 | 109 | 274 | 24 | 17 | 306 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 129 | 118 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 227 | 212 | 438 | 51 | 257 | 37 | 8 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA RAW | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 129 | 113 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 195 | 289 | 257 | 546 | 62 | 280 | 29 | 12 | 256 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 235 | 222 | 44 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 69 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 198 | 236 | 270 | 506 | 72 | 276 | 29 | 4 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 235 | 217 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 283 | 323 | 606 | 92 | 296 | 24 | 6 | 273 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 87 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 159 | 188 | 256 | 444 | 98 | 180 | 23 | 3 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 87 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 287 | 523 | 100 | 206 | 18 | 6 | 232 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 26 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 192 | 208 | 401 | 83 | 239 | 38 | 4 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 163 | 146 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 171 | 256 | 212 | 469 | 41 | 235 | 26 | 7 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 203 | 184 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 174 | 247 | 212 | 459 | 38 | 241 | 28 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 107 | 100 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 234 | 320 | 554 | 130 | 299 | 39 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 330 | 298 | 60 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 99 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 201 | 274 | 299 | 573 | 97 | 272 | 30 | 8 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 461 | 106 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 140 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 230 | 293 | 362 | 656 | 132 | 296 | 28 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 189 | 173 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 290 | 329 | 620 | 98 | 348 | 32 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 315 | 276 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 96 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 274 | 268 | 542 | 91 | 250 | 30 | 11 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 129 | 118 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 227 | 212 | 438 | 51 | 255 | 37 | 8 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 235 | 222 | 44 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 69 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 198 | 236 | 270 | 506 | 72 | 273 | 29 | 4 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 87 | 84 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 155 | 188 | 250 | 438 | 95 | 177 | 23 | 3 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 118 | 106 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 296 | 340 | 635 | 104 | 348 | 32 | 7 | 281 | 52 | -3 | -0 | -5 | +3 | +3 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 138 | 28 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 209 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 236 | 297 | 341 | 638 | 104 | 349 | 32 | 7 | 281 | 52 | -18 | -2 | -26 | +19 | +14 | -1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2291 | 2074 | 410 | 83 | 7 | 31 | 168 | 685 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 198 | 263 | 289 | 553 | 92 | 276 | 30 | 7 | 245 | 52 | -3 | -0 | -5 | +3 | +3 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 117 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 48 | 194 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 199 | 265 | 293 | 558 | 94 | 277 | 30 | 7 | 245 | 52 | -18 | -2 | -26 | +19 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 65 PAwOBA .208 → .175 (−33)K% 18.5% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.46% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.62% | ÷1.015 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.948 | 2.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.02% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.948 | 14.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.948 | 3.51% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .208 → .175; ISO .102 → .087; BABIP .174 → .149. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 22 PAwOBA .265 → .215 (−50)K% 18.2% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.007 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷0.998 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.940 | 3.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 14.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.931 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.940 | 11.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.120 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.803 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 61, 1B 109, 2B 86, 3B 124, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .265 → .215; ISO .095 → .085; BABIP .294 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 134 PAwOBA .302 → .231 (−71)K% 29.1% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.10% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.72% | ÷1.095 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 4.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.88% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×0.968 | 23.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.71% | ÷0.997 | ×0.910 | ×1.043 | ×0.968 | 4.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.35% | ÷0.943 | ×0.880 | ×1.043 | ×0.968 | 2.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.53% | ÷1.399 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 1.95% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 180, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 89, K 96, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .302 → .231; ISO .137 → .093; BABIP .341 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAALouisville Bats · 101 PAwOBA .220 → .192 (−28)K% 16.8% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.83% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.95% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.038 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 19.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.95% | ÷1.051 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 3.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.113 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 108, 2B 110, 3B 123, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .220 → .192; ISO .032 → .027; BABIP .247 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 129 PAwOBA .249 → .204 (−44)K% 29.5% → 37.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.46% | ÷1.027 | ×1.290 | — | — | 36.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.85% | ÷0.964 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 8.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.67% | ÷1.041 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 20.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.33% | ÷0.929 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 4.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.057 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.33% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 1.13% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 108, 2B 86, 3B 111, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .249 → .204; ISO .062 → .052; BABIP .280 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AABirmingham Barons · 315 PAwOBA .299 → .244 (−55)K% 24.4% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.44% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.19% | ÷1.019 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 10.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.67% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×0.988 | 18.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.03% | ÷0.875 | ×0.910 | ×0.997 | ×0.988 | 5.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.087 | ×0.880 | ×0.997 | ×0.988 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.79% | ÷1.102 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 101, 2B 75, 3B 117, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .299 → .244; ISO .109 → .093; BABIP .274 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Potomac Nationals · 452 PAwOBA .358 → .286 (−72)K% 18.1% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.14% | ÷0.932 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.50% | ÷0.991 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 7.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.031 | ×0.940 | ×1.018 | ×0.988 | 20.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.42% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×0.988 | 7.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×1.018 | ×0.988 | 0.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.936 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 3.39% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 106, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 86, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .358 → .286; ISO .164 → .138; BABIP .332 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AHagerstown Suns · 299 PAwOBA .328 → .262 (−65)K% 21.4% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.40% | ÷0.970 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.71% | ÷0.960 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 7.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.28% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×0.990 | 21.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.81% | ÷1.009 | ×0.820 | ×1.036 | ×0.990 | 7.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.036 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.11% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 2.19% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 97, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 94, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .328 → .262; ISO .136 → .100; BABIP .314 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .