Tommy Milone prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Tommy Milone P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 39 LHP 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 165 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 124

ERA4.56

FIP4.76

K%19.4%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP165

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 165 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL6565

CMD5050

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1086.6

Whiff%

p1014.4%

p107.2%

xwOBA vs

p100.361

SL+0.9

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2011	24	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	5	5	26	110	15	2	2	100%	5.2	13.6%	1.8%	11.8%	1.8%	3.81	3.18	+0.6
2011	24	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	5	5	26	110	15	2	2	100%	5.2	13.6%	1.8%	11.8%	1.8%	3.81	3.18	+0.6
2012	25	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	31	31	190	791	137	34	24	100%	6.1	17.3%	4.3%	13.0%	3.3%	3.74	4.01	+2.0
2012	25	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	31	31	190	791	137	34	24	100%	6.1	17.3%	4.3%	13.0%	3.0%	3.74	3.84	+2.4
2013	26	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	28	26	156	667	126	37	25	93%	5.6	18.9%	5.5%	13.3%	4.1%	4.14	4.47	+0.8
2013	26	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	28	26	156	667	126	37	25	93%	5.6	18.9%	5.5%	13.3%	3.7%	4.14	4.28	+1.1
2014	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	22	21	118	519	75	35	16	95%	5.4	14.5%	6.7%	7.7%	3.1%	4.19	4.42	+0.7
2014	27	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	22	21	118	519	75	35	16	95%	5.4	14.5%	6.7%	7.7%	3.1%	4.19	4.48	+0.6
2015	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	28	167	683	138	38	19	97%	5.8	19.4%	5.6%	13.8%	2.8%	3.17	3.72	+2.4
2015	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	28	167	683	138	38	19	97%	5.8	20.2%	5.6%	14.6%	2.8%	3.17	3.61	+2.6
2016	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	19	118	499	90	23	19	73%	4.5	17.1%	4.6%	12.4%	3.9%	4.04	4.40	+0.7
2016	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	19	118	499	90	23	19	73%	4.5	18.0%	4.6%	13.4%	3.8%	4.04	4.25	+0.9
2017	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	13	70	316	52	14	23	59%	3.2	15.2%	4.3%	10.9%	7.2%	6.94	6.29	-1.1
2017	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	13	70	316	52	14	23	59%	3.2	16.5%	4.4%	12.0%	7.3%	6.94	6.49	-1.2
2018	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	25	138	575	138	26	18	96%	5.3	21.6%	4.6%	17.0%	3.0%	4.43	3.51	+2.3
2018	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	25	138	575	138	26	18	96%	5.3	24.0%	4.5%	19.5%	3.1%	4.43	3.36	+2.6
2019	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	14	161	664	137	33	31	44%	5.0	19.9%	5.1%	14.8%	4.8%	4.47	4.71	-0.3
2019	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	14	161	664	137	33	31	44%	5.0	20.6%	5.0%	15.7%	4.7%	4.47	4.52	+0.1
2020	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	9	9	39	181	40	6	9	100%	4.3	22.1%	3.3%	18.8%	5.0%	6.69	4.38	+0.2
2020	33	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	9	9	39	181	40	6	9	100%	4.3	22.1%	3.3%	18.8%	5.0%	6.69	4.51	+0.2
2021	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	8	33	147	36	11	6	47%	1.9	22.9%	7.8%	15.2%	4.1%	6.06	4.40	+0.1
2021	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	8	33	147	36	11	6	47%	1.9	24.5%	7.5%	17.0%	4.1%	6.06	4.29	+0.1
2022	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	10	57	225	43	17	7	56%	3.2	17.1%	7.8%	9.3%	3.1%	3.47	4.35	+0.4
2022	35	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	10	57	225	43	17	7	56%	3.2	19.1%	7.6%	11.6%	3.1%	3.47	4.08	+0.6
2023	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	105	453	93	44	23	100%	4.6	18.7%	8.3%	10.5%	5.1%	5.06	5.35	-0.5
2023	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	105	453	93	44	23	100%	4.6	18.7%	8.3%	10.5%	5.1%	5.06	5.35	-0.5
2023	36	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	105	453	93	44	23	100%	4.6	20.5%	9.7%	10.8%	5.1%	5.06	5.43	-0.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			198	148	953	4088	713	216	162	75%	4.8	17.4%	5.3%	12.2%	4.0%	4.58	4.49	+4.5
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	39	MLB	SEA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.4%	9.0%	10.4%	3.2%	4.56	4.76	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	40	MLB MLE	SEA	24	24	142	599	109	58	22	100%	5.9	18.2%	9.7%	8.6%	3.7%	4.94	5.19	-0.5
2027	40	MLB CTX	SEA	24	24	142	600	109	58	22	100%	5.9	18.2%	9.7%	8.6%	3.7%	4.94	5.19	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		222	172	1095	4687	822	274	184	77%	4.9	17.5%	5.8%	11.7%	3.9%	4.63	4.52	+4.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		40	31	200	856	150	50	34	77%	4.9	17.5%	5.8%	11.7%	3.9%	4.63	4.52	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		288	232	1378	5830	1072	316	227	81%	4.8	18.4%	5.4%	13.0%	3.9%	4.33	4.37	+4.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		42	34	200	846	156	46	33	81%	4.8	18.4%	5.4%	13.0%	3.9%	4.33	4.37	+0.7

	Profile at Match Age	Next 3 Yrs	Career
Tommy Milone (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	19.4%	9.0%	3.2%	—	5.19	18.2%	8.6%	142	+0.43	—	—	—
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	51
Mauricio Lara L 2017 · 3.70 FIP	38	SP	3.70	12.0%	6.3%	1.5%	.301	4.96	12.3%	5.5%	111	+1.26	3.62	444	47
Jason Lane L 2015 · 5.56 FIP	38	SP	5.56	8.4%	6.2%	4.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	5.56	164	46
Yasutomo Kubo R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	38	SP	3.98	20.4%	4.7%	3.6%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	152	26
Francisco Campos R 2015 · 4.77 FIP	42	SP	4.77	11.5%	7.9%	3.0%	.303	4.08	12.2%	7.0%	197	-0.69	4.06	332	23
Walter Silva R 2016 · 4.22 FIP	39	SP	4.22	10.3%	5.5%	2.4%	.294	4.35	10.0%	1.8%	235	+0.13	3.67	453	21
Pablo Ortega R 2016 · 4.01 FIP	39	SP	4.01	8.9%	4.8%	1.9%	.262	4.49	13.3%	7.1%	148	+0.48	4.01	375	19
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	5

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 465 starter careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	6.3	105	17.8%	6.6%	1.49	4.62
Phil Hughes ('18)	6.5	108	18.9%	5.7%	1.33	4.52
Colby Lewis ('16)	6.1	135	18.4%	7.2%	1.32	4.70
Chase Anderson ('24)	5.5	101	19.7%	8.1%	1.48	4.41
Wei-Yin Chen ('19)	5.3	133	18.9%	6.0%	1.32	4.18
Rodrigo Lopez ('12)	6.8	135	14.7%	7.1%	1.35	4.82
Mike Fiers ('21)	5.8	128	20.5%	7.0%	1.44	4.07

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tommy Milone (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	19.4%	9.0%	3.2%	—	5.19	18.2%	8.6%	142	+0.43	—	—	—
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	51
Mauricio Lara L 2017 · 3.70 FIP	38	SP	3.70	12.0%	6.3%	1.5%	.301	4.96	12.3%	5.5%	111	+1.26	3.62	444	47
Jason Lane L 2015 · 5.56 FIP	38	SP	5.56	8.4%	6.2%	4.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	5.56	164	46
Yasutomo Kubo R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	38	SP	3.98	20.4%	4.7%	3.6%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	152	26
Francisco Campos R 2015 · 4.77 FIP	42	SP	4.77	11.5%	7.9%	3.0%	.303	4.08	12.2%	7.0%	197	-0.69	4.06	332	23
Walter Silva R 2016 · 4.22 FIP	39	SP	4.22	10.3%	5.5%	2.4%	.294	4.35	10.0%	1.8%	235	+0.13	3.67	453	21
Pablo Ortega R 2016 · 4.01 FIP	39	SP	4.01	8.9%	4.8%	1.9%	.262	4.49	13.3%	7.1%	148	+0.48	4.01	375	19
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	5

Tommy Milone

Contract

Career Stats + Projections

Career Path Comps

Career Comps