Roberto Lopez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 31 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 403 | .273/.350/.411 | 12 | 4 | 73 | — | .235/.282/.346 |
| 2019 | 33 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 392 | .257/.340/.360 | 9 | 4 | 58 | — | .210/.260/.293 |
| 2020 | 34 | INTLYaquis de Obr… | 146 | .242/.372/.375 | 4 | 0 | 118 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 319 | 270 | 108 | 28 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 400 | 486 | 667 | 1.152 | 267 | 397 | 7 | 11 | 493 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 420 | 354 | 96 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 40 | 52 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 271 | 372 | 415 | 788 | 144 | 284 | 12 | 10 | 350 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 325 | 276 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 239 | 331 | 370 | 701 | 130 | 265 | 16 | 9 | 309 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 211 | 182 | 63 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 346 | 420 | 544 | 963 | 198 | 392 | 17 | 6 | 413 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 34 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 167 | 265 | 200 | 465 | 33 | 179 | 6 | 9 | 227 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 376 | 331 | 91 | 30 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 59 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 275 | 355 | 480 | 835 | 205 | 302 | 16 | 9 | 366 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 580 | 524 | 135 | 36 | 1 | 16 | 38 | 69 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 258 | 323 | 422 | 745 | 164 | 268 | 12 | 7 | 330 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 476 | 432 | 125 | 26 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 74 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 289 | 347 | 438 | 784 | 148 | 325 | 16 | 7 | 345 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 117 | 102 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 322 | 314 | 635 | 78 | 286 | 21 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 440 | 400 | 117 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 70 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 292 | 345 | 438 | 782 | 145 | 326 | 16 | 6 | 343 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 19 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 316 | 500 | 816 | 222 | 333 | 26 | 5 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 359 | 312 | 92 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 295 | 375 | 446 | 821 | 151 | 312 | 12 | 9 | 361 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 39 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 308 | 206 | 514 | 269 | 21 | 13 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 175 | 156 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 269 | 333 | 474 | 808 | 205 | 293 | 19 | 9 | 348 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 311 | 277 | 81 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 55 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 292 | 364 | 448 | 811 | 155 | 330 | 18 | 9 | 359 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 92 | 78 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 303 | 282 | 585 | 77 | 221 | 10 | 10 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 33 | AAA | Tecos de los Dos Laredos | — | 340 | 304 | 78 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 56 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 257 | 325 | 372 | 697 | 115 | 285 | 16 | 8 | 312 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 33 | INTL | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 52 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 440 | 263 | 703 | 286 | 8 | 21 | 336 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2020 | 34 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 146 | 120 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 242 | 372 | 375 | 747 | 133 | 250 | 12 | 16 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 319 | 285 | 86 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 33 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 302 | 368 | 495 | 863 | 193 | 298 | 10 | 6 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 420 | 368 | 84 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 71 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 228 | 309 | 342 | 651 | 114 | 241 | 17 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 325 | 287 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 62 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 209 | 277 | 331 | 608 | 122 | 226 | 19 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 211 | 186 | 55 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 296 | 361 | 468 | 829 | 172 | 334 | 22 | 4 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 34 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 161 | 235 | 194 | 429 | 32 | 163 | 6 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 376 | 343 | 82 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 72 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 239 | 298 | 417 | 715 | 178 | 265 | 19 | 5 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 580 | 538 | 119 | 29 | 1 | 15 | 24 | 84 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 221 | 271 | 362 | 634 | 141 | 228 | 14 | 4 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 476 | 442 | 104 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 99 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 235 | 281 | 348 | 629 | 113 | 275 | 21 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 440 | 408 | 96 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 92 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 235 | 278 | 336 | 614 | 100 | 274 | 21 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 359 | 327 | 82 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 50 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 251 | 304 | 361 | 665 | 110 | 263 | 14 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 175 | 162 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 263 | 340 | 603 | 117 | 262 | 21 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 311 | 289 | 68 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 66 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 235 | 282 | 346 | 628 | 111 | 276 | 21 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 33 | AAA MLE | Tecos de los Dos Laredos | — | 340 | 314 | 66 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 68 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 210 | 260 | 293 | 553 | 83 | 239 | 20 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 319 | 285 | 86 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 33 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 302 | 368 | 495 | 863 | 193 | 306 | 10 | 6 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | ROK RAW | Orem Owlz | — | 319 | 270 | 108 | 28 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 400 | 486 | 667 | 1.152 | 267 | 397 | 7 | 11 | 493 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 420 | 368 | 84 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 71 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 228 | 309 | 342 | 651 | 114 | 253 | 17 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 420 | 354 | 96 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 40 | 52 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 271 | 372 | 415 | 788 | 144 | 284 | 12 | 10 | 350 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 536 | 473 | 115 | 27 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 109 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 243 | 310 | 385 | 695 | 142 | 282 | 20 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 536 | 458 | 129 | 32 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 88 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 282 | 366 | 439 | 805 | 157 | 315 | 16 | 8 | 350 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 374 | 87 | 27 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 75 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 233 | 293 | 398 | 691 | 166 | 262 | 18 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 410 | 361 | 96 | 31 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 266 | 347 | 457 | 804 | 191 | 290 | 15 | 9 | 354 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 580 | 538 | 119 | 29 | 1 | 15 | 24 | 84 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 221 | 271 | 362 | 634 | 141 | 234 | 14 | 4 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 580 | 524 | 135 | 36 | 1 | 16 | 38 | 69 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 258 | 323 | 422 | 745 | 164 | 268 | 12 | 7 | 330 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 593 | 547 | 128 | 25 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 123 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 234 | 284 | 346 | 629 | 112 | 280 | 21 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 593 | 534 | 149 | 28 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 98 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 279 | 342 | 414 | 756 | 135 | 318 | 17 | 7 | 334 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 459 | 427 | 101 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 95 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 237 | 277 | 342 | 619 | 105 | 282 | 21 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 459 | 418 | 122 | 22 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 75 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 292 | 344 | 440 | 784 | 148 | 326 | 16 | 6 | 343 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 398 | 364 | 89 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 56 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 245 | 297 | 346 | 643 | 102 | 269 | 14 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 398 | 346 | 99 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 51 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 286 | 368 | 422 | 790 | 136 | 308 | 13 | 10 | 350 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 175 | 162 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 263 | 340 | 603 | 117 | 262 | 21 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA RAW | Toros de Tijuana | — | 175 | 156 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 269 | 333 | 474 | 808 | 205 | 293 | 19 | 9 | 348 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 403 | 371 | 89 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 85 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 240 | 290 | 356 | 645 | 116 | 283 | 21 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 403 | 355 | 97 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 64 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 273 | 350 | 411 | 761 | 138 | 304 | 16 | 9 | 338 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 392 | 360 | 76 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 78 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 211 | 262 | 294 | 557 | 83 | 245 | 20 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 33 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 392 | 342 | 88 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 60 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 257 | 340 | 360 | 700 | 102 | 285 | 15 | 10 | 315 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 34 | INTL MLE | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 146 | 120 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 242 | 372 | 375 | 747 | 133 | 250 | 12 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 34 | INTL RAW | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 146 | 120 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 242 | 372 | 375 | 747 | 133 | 250 | 12 | 16 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 319 | 286 | 86 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 33 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 301 | 368 | 493 | 861 | 192 | 298 | 10 | 6 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 420 | 374 | 84 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 71 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 225 | 309 | 337 | 646 | 112 | 241 | 17 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 536 | 485 | 115 | 27 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 109 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 237 | 310 | 375 | 685 | 138 | 269 | 20 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 375 | 87 | 27 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 75 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 232 | 293 | 397 | 690 | 165 | 257 | 18 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 580 | 538 | 119 | 29 | 1 | 15 | 24 | 84 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 221 | 271 | 362 | 634 | 141 | 228 | 14 | 4 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 593 | 550 | 128 | 25 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 123 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 233 | 284 | 344 | 627 | 111 | 275 | 21 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 459 | 432 | 101 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 95 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 234 | 277 | 338 | 615 | 104 | 274 | 21 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 398 | 368 | 89 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 56 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 242 | 297 | 342 | 639 | 101 | 263 | 14 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 175 | 164 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 220 | 263 | 335 | 599 | 116 | 262 | 21 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 403 | 374 | 89 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 85 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 238 | 290 | 353 | 643 | 115 | 276 | 21 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 392 | 364 | 76 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 78 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 209 | 262 | 291 | 554 | 82 | 239 | 20 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4831 | 4389 | 1039 | 199 | 12 | 110 | 259 | 863 | 103 | 47 | 49 | 237 | 295 | 363 | 658 | 126 | 268 | 18 | 5 | 275 | 72 | -161 | -10 | +0 | -52 | +105 | -12.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 141 | 27 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 116 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 239 | 297 | 367 | 665 | 129 | 269 | 18 | 5 | 275 | 72 | -22 | -2 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAATecos de los Dos Laredos · 340 PAwOBA .306 → .242 (−64)K% 16.5% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.47% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.94% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.60% | ÷0.956 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 21.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.103 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 2.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.63% | ÷0.919 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.60% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 91, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .306 → .242; ISO .115 → .083; BABIP .285 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAToros de Tijuana · 311 PAwOBA .349 → .279 (−70)K% 17.7% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.68% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.36% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 5.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.48% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×0.959 | ×0.952 | 23.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.60% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | ×0.959 | ×0.952 | 2.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | ×0.952 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.95% | ÷0.892 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 3.70% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 98, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .349 → .279; ISO .155 → .118; BABIP .330 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAToros de Tijuana · 175 PAwOBA .340 → .269 (−72)K% 18.9% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.86% | ÷1.062 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.57% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 5.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.14% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×0.962 | 19.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.50% | ÷0.926 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×0.962 | 5.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.50% | ÷1.278 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 3.43% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 93, 2B 85, 3B 88, K 112, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .340 → .269; ISO .205 → .131; BABIP .293 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 359 PAwOBA .353 → .286 (−67)K% 12.0% → 14.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.98% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.91% | ÷1.132 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.54% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×0.961 | ×0.972 | 21.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.58% | ÷0.981 | ×0.830 | ×0.961 | ×0.972 | 4.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×0.961 | ×0.972 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.72% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 2.37% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 105, BB 126 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .353 → .286; ISO .151 → .111; BABIP .312 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAASalt Lake Bees · 440 PAwOBA .338 → .267 (−71)K% 15.9% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.91% | ÷0.986 | ×1.290 | — | — | 20.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.68% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 3.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.15% | ÷1.013 | ×0.900 | ×0.992 | ×0.982 | 21.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.36% | ÷1.005 | ×0.810 | ×0.992 | ×0.982 | 5.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷0.958 | ×0.810 | ×0.992 | ×0.982 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.139 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 2.24% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 103, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .338 → .267; ISO .145 → .103; BABIP .326 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAASalt Lake Bees · 476 PAwOBA .340 → .272 (−68)K% 15.5% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.55% | ÷0.964 | ×1.290 | — | — | 20.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.016 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 4.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.74% | ÷0.997 | ×0.900 | ×0.976 | ×0.992 | 20.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.26% | ÷0.977 | ×0.810 | ×0.976 | ×0.992 | 5.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.976 | ×0.992 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.79% | ÷0.973 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 2.22% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .340 → .272; ISO .148 → .113; BABIP .325 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAArkansas Travelers · 580 PAwOBA .323 → .273 (−50)K% 11.9% → 14.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.90% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.38% | ÷1.076 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 4.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.24% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.02% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×0.978 | 15.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.91% | ÷1.046 | ×0.840 | ×0.996 | ×0.978 | 6.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.22% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.996 | ×0.978 | 0.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.52% | ÷0.819 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 102, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 101, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .323 → .273; ISO .164 → .146; BABIP .268 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAArkansas Travelers · 376 PAwOBA .356 → .307 (−49)K% 15.7% → 19.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.69% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.98% | ÷1.071 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.39% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 2.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×0.988 | 15.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.03% | ÷0.999 | ×0.840 | ×1.017 | ×0.988 | 9.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.048 | ×0.940 | ×1.017 | ×0.988 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.41% | ÷0.849 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 4.11% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 110, K 100, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .356 → .307; ISO .205 → .187; BABIP .302 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .