John Hicks

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1989-08-31

Age (2027)37

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2021	31	AAATEX	268	.290/.338/.520	13	7	76	—	.229/.267/.395
2021	31	MLBTEX	31	.258/.258/.677	4	0	143	0.8
2022	32	AAACHC	387	.261/.314/.510	20	10	59	—	.199/.236/.368
2023	33	AAAPHI	206	.211/.294/.328	3	11	25	—	.161/.224/.237
2024	34	No MLB games played
2025	35	No MLB games played
2026	36	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.8

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2018-2021

Barrel%40

Avg EV36

Speed23

xwOBA16

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2011	21	A	Clinton LumberKings	—	148	139	43	9	2	2	5	17	1	2	3	309	338	446	784	137	333	11	3	340	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+	High Desert Mavericks	—	538	506	158	32	2	15	28	73	3	22	8	312	352	472	824	160	341	14	5	364	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA	Jackson Generals	—	327	296	70	14	1	4	22	62	6	13	4	236	302	331	634	95	284	19	7	287	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	112	101	28	2	1	2	7	24	2	1	0	277	336	376	713	99	338	21	6	317	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA	Jackson Generals	—	211	189	56	10	2	3	20	42	0	6	3	296	364	418	782	122	366	20	9	348	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	53	46	14	4	0	2	6	7	1	2	0	304	396	522	918	217	324	13	11	405	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	34	32	2	1	0	0	1	18	0	1	1	62	91	94	185	31	143	53	3	85	-56	-6	-0	+0	+6	+1	0.1
2015	25	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	320	298	73	15	1	6	17	71	0	9	2	245	286	362	648	117	298	22	5	286	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	298	274	81	22	0	9	18	64	3	3	1	296	346	474	820	179	358	21	6	359	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	54	49	19	1	1	1	4	9	0	1	0	388	434	510	944	122	450	17	7	412	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	190	173	46	12	0	6	13	51	3	2	1	266	328	439	767	173	342	27	7	340	120	+5	+0	+0	-7	+4	0.2
2017	27	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	218	208	56	10	1	7	4	54	1	5	3	269	286	428	714	159	325	25	2	307	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	312	288	75	12	1	9	22	84	0	0	1	260	313	403	716	142	337	27	7	318	105	+2	-0	-5	-6	+7	-0.2
2019	29	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	333	319	67	15	0	13	13	109	0	1	1	210	241	379	620	169	273	33	4	272	75	-10	-0	-3	+6	+7	0.0
2021	31	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	31	31	8	1	0	4	0	8	0	0	0	258	258	677	935	419	211	26	0	398	143	+2	+0	+0	+5	+1	0.8
2021	31	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	268	248	72	18	0	13	16	79	2	7	1	290	338	520	859	230	373	29	6	373	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	387	357	93	25	2	20	26	108	2	10	4	261	314	510	824	249	316	28	7	357	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	206	180	38	12	0	3	19	56	2	11	1	211	294	328	621	117	280	27	9	278	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	900	843	198	41	1	32	49	270	3	4	4	235	279	400	679	165	305	30	5	299	89	-12	-1	-7	+5	+20	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2011	21	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	148	141	39	8	2	2	3	22	1	2	3	277	297	404	701	128	299	15	2	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	High Desert Mavericks	—	538	516	130	22	1	10	18	102	3	22	8	252	281	357	638	105	298	19	3	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	327	303	61	12	1	3	15	76	6	13	4	201	253	277	530	76	251	23	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	112	103	25	2	1	2	5	30	2	1	0	243	291	340	631	97	305	27	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	211	197	50	9	2	3	12	53	0	6	3	254	297	365	662	112	328	25	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	34	32	2	1	0	0	1	18	0	1	1	62	91	94	185	31	143	53	3	86	-56	-6	-0	+0	+6	+1	0.1
2015	25	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	320	303	63	13	1	4	12	87	0	9	2	208	238	297	535	89	267	27	4	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	298	279	71	17	0	8	13	76	3	3	1	254	295	401	696	147	317	26	4	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	54	50	18	1	1	1	3	11	0	1	0	360	396	480	876	120	403	20	6	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	190	173	46	12	0	6	13	51	3	2	1	266	328	439	767	173	342	27	7	346	120	+5	+0	+0	-7	+4	0.2
2017	27	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	218	209	48	9	1	5	3	65	1	5	3	230	244	354	598	124	286	30	1	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	312	288	76	12	1	9	22	84	0	0	1	264	316	406	722	142	337	27	7	323	105	+2	-0	-5	-6	+7	-0.2
2019	29	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	333	319	68	15	0	14	13	109	0	1	1	213	244	392	636	179	273	33	4	279	75	-10	-0	-3	+6	+7	0.0
2021	31	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	31	31	8	1	0	4	0	8	0	0	0	258	258	677	935	419	211	26	0	380	143	+2	+0	+0	+5	+1	0.8
2021	31	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	268	253	58	15	0	9	11	88	2	7	1	229	267	395	662	166	304	33	4	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	387	367	73	19	2	13	16	131	2	10	4	199	236	368	604	169	261	34	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	206	186	30	8	0	2	13	68	2	11	1	161	224	237	460	75	221	33	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	148	141	39	8	2	2	3	22	1	2	3	277	297	404	701	128	308	15	2	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A RAW	Clinton LumberKings	—	148	139	43	9	2	2	5	17	1	2	3	309	338	446	784	137	333	11	3	340	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	High Desert Mavericks	—	538	516	130	22	1	10	18	102	3	22	8	252	281	357	638	105	296	19	3	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ RAW	High Desert Mavericks	—	538	506	158	32	2	15	28	73	3	22	8	312	352	472	824	160	341	14	5	364	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	327	303	61	12	1	3	15	76	6	13	4	201	253	277	530	76	257	23	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA RAW	Jackson Generals	—	327	296	70	14	1	4	22	62	6	13	4	236	302	331	634	95	284	19	7	287	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	376	349	87	13	3	5	20	97	3	9	3	249	296	347	642	97	328	26	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	376	336	98	16	3	7	33	73	3	9	3	292	360	420	780	128	351	19	9	347	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	354	335	65	14	1	4	13	105	0	10	3	194	224	278	502	84	265	30	4	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	354	330	75	16	1	6	18	89	0	10	3	227	267	336	604	109	289	25	5	266	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	352	330	89	18	1	9	15	87	3	4	1	270	307	412	720	142	340	25	4	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	352	323	100	23	1	10	22	73	3	4	1	310	359	480	839	170	373	21	6	367	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	408	382	95	21	1	12	16	116	4	7	4	249	286	403	689	154	320	28	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	408	381	102	22	1	13	17	105	4	7	4	268	306	433	739	165	332	26	4	322	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	312	288	76	12	1	9	22	84	0	0	1	264	316	406	722	142	342	27	7	323	105	+2	-0	-5	-6	+7	-0.2
2018	28	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	—	312	288	75	12	1	9	22	84	0	0	1	260	313	403	716	142	337	27	7	318	105	+2	-0	-5	-6	+7	-0.2
2019	29	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	333	319	68	15	0	14	13	109	0	1	1	213	244	392	636	179	274	33	4	279	75	-10	-0	-3	+6	+7	0.0
2019	29	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	—	333	319	67	15	0	13	13	109	0	1	1	210	241	379	620	169	273	33	4	272	75	-10	-0	-3	+6	+7	0.0
2021	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	299	284	66	16	0	13	11	96	2	7	1	232	266	426	692	194	299	32	4	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	299	279	80	19	0	17	16	87	2	7	1	287	330	538	868	251	356	29	5	375	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	387	367	73	19	2	13	16	131	2	10	4	199	236	368	604	169	267	34	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	—	387	357	93	25	2	20	26	108	2	10	4	261	314	510	824	249	316	28	7	357	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	206	186	30	8	0	2	13	68	2	11	1	161	224	237	460	75	233	33	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	206	180	38	12	0	3	19	56	2	11	1	211	294	328	621	117	280	27	9	278	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	148	143	39	8	2	2	3	22	1	2	3	273	297	399	695	126	299	15	2	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	High Desert Mavericks	—	538	512	130	22	1	10	18	102	3	22	8	254	281	359	641	105	298	19	3	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	327	303	61	12	1	3	15	76	6	13	4	201	253	277	530	76	251	23	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	376	350	87	13	3	5	20	97	3	9	3	249	296	346	641	97	320	26	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	354	338	65	14	1	4	13	105	0	10	3	192	224	275	499	83	255	30	4	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	352	331	89	18	1	9	15	87	3	4	1	269	307	411	718	142	330	25	4	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	408	385	95	21	1	12	16	116	4	7	4	247	286	400	686	153	312	28	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	312	287	76	12	1	9	22	84	0	0	1	265	316	408	724	143	337	27	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	333	317	68	15	0	14	13	109	0	1	1	215	244	394	638	180	273	33	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	299	284	66	16	0	13	11	96	2	7	1	232	266	426	692	194	294	32	4	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	387	366	73	19	2	13	16	131	2	10	4	199	236	369	605	169	261	34	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	206	189	30	8	0	2	13	68	2	11	1	159	224	233	457	74	221	33	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	900	843	198	41	1	32	49	270	3	4	4	235	279	400	679	165	305	30	5	299	71	-12	-1	-7	+5	+20	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	609	144	30	1	23	35	195	2	3	3	236	280	402	682	166	308	30	5	299	71	-9	-1	-5	+3	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4040	3800	879	178	13	96	175	1093	26	96	34	231	270	361	631	129	297	27	4	273	71	-12	-1	-7	+5	+20	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	611	141	29	2	15	28	176	4	15	5	231	269	358	627	128	296	27	4	273	71	-9	-1	-5	+3	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 206 PAwOBA .276 → .205 (−71)K% 27.2% → 32.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.18%	÷0.996	×1.200	—	—	32.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.22%	÷0.982	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.09%
HBP% /PA	0.97%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.86%
Singles /BIP	18.55%	÷1.016	×0.930	×0.987	×0.940	15.75%
Doubles /BIP	9.68%	÷1.117	×0.830	×0.987	×0.940	6.67%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.105	×0.970	×0.987	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.42%	÷1.028	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.55%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 103, 2B 123, 3B 121, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .276 → .205; ISO .117 → .078; BABIP .280 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAIowa Cubs · 387 PAwOBA .349 → .255 (−94)K% 27.9% → 33.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.91%	÷0.988	×1.200	—	—	33.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.72%	÷1.048	×0.690	—	×0.942	4.17%
HBP% /PA	0.52%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.46%
Singles /BIP	18.47%	÷0.985	×0.930	×0.991	×0.942	16.27%
Doubles /BIP	10.04%	÷0.967	×0.830	×0.991	×0.942	8.04%
Triples /BIP	0.80%	÷1.118	×0.970	×0.991	×0.942	0.65%
Home runs /BIP	8.03%	÷0.996	×0.700	—	×0.942	5.32%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 97, 2B 93, 3B 124, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .349 → .255; ISO .249 → .169; BABIP .316 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAARound Rock Express · 268 PAwOBA .365 → .281 (−83)K% 29.5% → 33.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.48%	÷1.072	×1.200	—	—	33.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.97%	÷0.975	×0.690	—	×0.952	4.02%
HBP% /PA	0.75%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.67%
Singles /BIP	24.26%	÷0.999	×0.930	×0.950	×0.952	20.43%
Doubles /BIP	10.65%	÷0.915	×0.830	×0.950	×0.952	8.74%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.950	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷0.958	×0.700	—	×0.952	5.35%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 100, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 114, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .365 → .281; ISO .230 → .167; BABIP .373 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 218 PAwOBA .304 → .255 (−48)K% 24.8% → 29.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.77%	÷1.004	×1.200	—	—	29.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	1.83%	÷0.996	×0.690	—	×0.992	1.26%
HBP% /PA	0.46%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.43%
Singles /BIP	24.68%	÷1.054	×0.930	×1.014	×0.992	21.91%
Doubles /BIP	6.49%	÷0.916	×0.830	×1.014	×0.992	5.92%
Triples /BIP	0.65%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.014	×0.992	0.55%
Home runs /BIP	4.55%	÷1.049	×0.840	—	×0.992	3.61%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 111, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .304 → .255; ISO .159 → .129; BABIP .325 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 298 PAwOBA .349 → .298 (−51)K% 21.5% → 25.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.48%	÷1.009	×1.200	—	—	25.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.04%	÷1.004	×0.690	—	×1.003	4.16%
HBP% /PA	1.01%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.95%
Singles /BIP	23.81%	÷1.001	×0.930	×1.009	×1.003	22.38%
Doubles /BIP	10.48%	÷1.092	×0.830	×1.009	×1.003	8.06%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.009	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.29%	÷0.899	×0.840	—	×1.003	4.02%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .349 → .298; ISO .179 → .152; BABIP .358 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAErie SeaWolves · 54 PAwOBA .409 → .350 (−59)K% 16.7% → 20.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.998	×1.220	—	—	20.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.41%	÷1.027	×0.700	—	×0.978	4.94%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.978	0.00%
Singles /BIP	40.00%	÷1.045	×0.970	—	×0.978	36.33%
Doubles /BIP	2.50%	÷0.973	×0.860	—	×0.978	2.16%
Triples /BIP	2.50%	÷1.127	×0.950	—	×0.978	2.06%
Home runs /BIP	2.50%	÷1.095	×0.780	—	×0.978	1.74%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 125, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .409 → .350; ISO .122 → .095; BABIP .450 → .403. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAATacoma Rainiers · 320 PAwOBA .281 → .233 (−48)K% 22.2% → 27.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.19%	÷1.049	×1.290	—	—	27.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.31%	÷1.046	×0.710	—	×1.018	3.67%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.47%	÷0.995	×0.900	×0.987	×1.018	20.41%
Doubles /BIP	6.61%	÷0.910	×0.810	×0.987	×1.018	5.91%
Triples /BIP	0.44%	÷0.900	×0.810	×0.987	×1.018	0.40%
Home runs /BIP	2.64%	÷1.127	×0.780	—	×1.018	1.86%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 99, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 110, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .281 → .233; ISO .117 → .091; BABIP .298 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAJackson Generals · 211 PAwOBA .340 → .285 (−56)K% 19.9% → 25.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.91%	÷0.968	×1.220	—	—	25.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.48%	÷1.083	×0.680	—	×0.998	5.94%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.89%	÷1.003	×0.920	×0.976	×0.998	24.91%
Doubles /BIP	6.80%	÷0.955	×0.910	×0.976	×0.998	6.31%
Triples /BIP	1.36%	÷0.975	×0.880	×0.976	×0.998	1.20%
Home runs /BIP	2.04%	÷0.930	×0.800	—	×0.998	1.75%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 95, K 94, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .340 → .285; ISO .122 → .107; BABIP .366 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).