Brad Glenn
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 26 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 572 | .257/.333/.453 | 22 | 2 | 82 | — | .233/.288/.397 | |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 557 | .265/.331/.422 | 16 | 4 | 78 | — | .235/.285/.371 | |
| 2014 | 27 | MLBTOR | 16 | .067/.125/.067 | 0 | 0 | -46 | -0.9 | ||
| 2015 | 28 | AAATOR | 246 | .239/.295/.372 | 5 | 0 | 51 | — | .207/.246/.315 | |
| 2016 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2017 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 23 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 447 | 398 | 108 | 21 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 100 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 271 | 345 | 477 | 823 | 206 | 319 | 22 | 9 | 360 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 458 | 418 | 110 | 25 | 1 | 26 | 30 | 123 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 322 | 514 | 836 | 251 | 308 | 27 | 7 | 362 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 460 | 422 | 101 | 29 | 0 | 19 | 29 | 120 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 239 | 295 | 443 | 738 | 204 | 285 | 26 | 6 | 322 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 70 | 61 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 333 | 508 | 842 | 262 | 227 | 19 | 10 | 364 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 477 | 425 | 112 | 28 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 104 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 264 | 337 | 459 | 796 | 195 | 308 | 22 | 9 | 349 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 25 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 261 | 150 | 411 | 214 | 24 | 12 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 125 | 67 | 192 | 100 | 31 | 6 | 100 | -46 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +0 | -0.9 | |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 244 | 221 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 54 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 303 | 360 | 452 | 812 | 149 | 377 | 22 | 8 | 358 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 206 | 182 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 314 | 445 | 759 | 214 | 270 | 26 | 10 | 333 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 107 | 99 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 242 | 299 | 313 | 612 | 71 | 338 | 28 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 246 | 226 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 60 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 295 | 372 | 667 | 133 | 301 | 24 | 7 | 297 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 125 | 67 | 192 | 100 | 31 | 6 | 100 | -46 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +0 | -0.9 | |||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 447 | 412 | 84 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 135 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 204 | 260 | 359 | 619 | 155 | 261 | 30 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 458 | 426 | 83 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 22 | 176 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 244 | 380 | 625 | 185 | 267 | 38 | 5 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 460 | 429 | 87 | 24 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 141 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 203 | 248 | 357 | 605 | 154 | 257 | 31 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 70 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 304 | 492 | 796 | 254 | 210 | 23 | 7 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 477 | 439 | 102 | 23 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 131 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 232 | 286 | 383 | 669 | 150 | 292 | 27 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 125 | 67 | 192 | 100 | 31 | 6 | 100 | -46 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +0 | -0.9 | |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 244 | 228 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 272 | 314 | 395 | 709 | 123 | 362 | 28 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 206 | 189 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 250 | 344 | 594 | 153 | 245 | 32 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 246 | 232 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 246 | 315 | 561 | 108 | 270 | 29 | 4 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 447 | 412 | 84 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 135 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 204 | 260 | 359 | 619 | 155 | 262 | 30 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 447 | 398 | 108 | 21 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 100 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 271 | 345 | 477 | 823 | 206 | 319 | 22 | 9 | 360 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 458 | 426 | 83 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 22 | 176 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 244 | 380 | 625 | 185 | 272 | 38 | 5 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ RAW | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 458 | 418 | 110 | 25 | 1 | 26 | 30 | 123 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 322 | 514 | 836 | 251 | 308 | 27 | 7 | 362 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 460 | 429 | 87 | 24 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 141 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 203 | 248 | 357 | 605 | 154 | 262 | 31 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA RAW | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 460 | 422 | 101 | 29 | 0 | 19 | 29 | 120 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 239 | 295 | 443 | 738 | 204 | 285 | 26 | 6 | 322 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 572 | 524 | 122 | 25 | 2 | 19 | 36 | 154 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 233 | 287 | 397 | 684 | 164 | 289 | 27 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 572 | 506 | 130 | 29 | 2 | 22 | 54 | 123 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 257 | 333 | 453 | 786 | 196 | 295 | 22 | 9 | 344 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 573 | 533 | 122 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 172 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 229 | 278 | 360 | 638 | 131 | 309 | 30 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA RAW | 4 teams | — | 573 | 517 | 134 | 27 | 2 | 16 | 48 | 142 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 259 | 325 | 412 | 737 | 153 | 326 | 25 | 8 | 327 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 246 | 232 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 246 | 315 | 561 | 108 | 277 | 29 | 4 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 246 | 226 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 60 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 295 | 372 | 667 | 133 | 301 | 24 | 7 | 297 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 447 | 413 | 84 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 135 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 203 | 260 | 358 | 618 | 155 | 261 | 30 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 458 | 427 | 83 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 22 | 176 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 244 | 379 | 624 | 185 | 267 | 38 | 5 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 460 | 431 | 87 | 24 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 141 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 202 | 248 | 355 | 603 | 153 | 257 | 31 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 572 | 527 | 122 | 25 | 2 | 19 | 36 | 154 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 231 | 287 | 395 | 682 | 163 | 282 | 27 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 573 | 532 | 122 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 172 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 229 | 278 | 361 | 639 | 132 | 301 | 30 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 246 | 232 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 246 | 315 | 561 | 108 | 270 | 29 | 4 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 125 | 67 | 192 | 100 | 31 | 6 | 100 | 70 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +0 | -0.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 609 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 126 | 67 | 193 | 101 | 31 | 6 | 100 | 70 | -113 | +0 | -18 | -249 | +14 | -37.4 | ||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2756 | 2556 | 546 | 118 | 10 | 84 | 151 | 849 | 22 | 27 | 13 | 214 | 263 | 366 | 630 | 153 | 281 | 31 | 5 | 272 | 70 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +0 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 129 | 28 | 2 | 20 | 36 | 200 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 214 | 264 | 367 | 630 | 153 | 281 | 31 | 6 | 272 | 70 | -113 | +0 | -18 | -249 | +14 | -37.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAABuffalo Bisons · 246 PAwOBA .289 → .244 (−45)K% 24.4% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.39% | ÷1.008 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.50% | ÷1.040 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 4.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.08% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | ×0.976 | ×0.992 | 19.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.83% | ÷0.944 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×0.992 | 6.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.976 | ×0.992 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.01% | ÷0.966 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 2.60% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .289 → .244; ISO .133 → .113; BABIP .301 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAABuffalo Bisons · 244 PAwOBA .350 → .305 (−45)K% 22.1% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.13% | ÷0.942 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.79% | ÷1.041 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.14% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×1.034 | ×1.003 | 28.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.78% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | ×1.003 | 6.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.034 | ×1.003 | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.59% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 3.01% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 94, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 88, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .350 → .305; ISO .149 → .123; BABIP .377 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 206 PAwOBA .327 → .258 (−69)K% 25.7% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.73% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.71% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 6.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.05% | ÷1.012 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×0.978 | 16.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.75% | ÷0.952 | ×0.860 | ×1.004 | ×0.978 | 6.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.921 | ×0.950 | ×1.004 | ×0.978 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.98% | ÷1.066 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 4.99% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 84, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .327 → .258; ISO .214 → .161; BABIP .270 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 477 PAwOBA .341 → .289 (−52)K% 21.8% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.80% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.01% | ÷1.007 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.25% | ÷0.986 | ×0.970 | ×1.037 | ×0.988 | 20.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.72% | ÷1.042 | ×0.860 | ×1.037 | ×0.988 | 7.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.068 | ×0.950 | ×1.037 | ×0.988 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.30% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.19% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 114, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .341 → .289; ISO .195 → .156; BABIP .308 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAABuffalo Bisons · 70 PAwOBA .359 → .328 (−30)K% 18.6% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.57% | ÷0.987 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | ×0.973 | ×1.018 | 17.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.094 | ×0.830 | ×0.973 | ×1.018 | 1.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.973 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.42% | ÷0.853 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 10.45% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 95, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .359 → .328; ISO .262 → .261; BABIP .227 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 460 PAwOBA .316 → .261 (−55)K% 26.1% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.09% | ÷1.037 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.30% | ÷0.943 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.55% | ÷0.994 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 16.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.60% | ÷0.987 | ×0.860 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 8.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.29% | ÷1.019 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 4.81% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 99, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 107, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .316 → .261; ISO .204 → .157; BABIP .285 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 458 PAwOBA .354 → .268 (−86)K% 26.9% → 38.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.86% | ÷0.989 | ×1.420 | — | — | 38.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.33% | ÷0.993 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 4.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.66% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | ×0.965 | ×0.988 | 17.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.47% | ÷1.004 | ×0.960 | ×0.965 | ×0.988 | 7.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷0.969 | ×0.810 | ×0.965 | ×0.988 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.81% | ÷1.008 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 7.60% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 102, 2B 101, 3B 94, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .354 → .268; ISO .251 → .189; BABIP .308 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ALansing Lugnuts · 447 PAwOBA .353 → .270 (−83)K% 22.4% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.37% | ÷1.003 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.17% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 6.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.81% | ÷1.039 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | ×0.990 | 18.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.05% | ÷1.116 | ×0.830 | ×0.972 | ×0.990 | 5.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.68% | ÷0.992 | ×0.910 | ×0.972 | ×0.990 | 1.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.70% | ÷0.891 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 5.07% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 108, 2B 123, 3B 98, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .353 → .270; ISO .206 → .164; BABIP .319 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .