Drew Gagnon

P Syracuse Mets

Age 37 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPLAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2017	27	AAALAA	31	10	86	6.25	3.40	21.7%	9.9%	—	K 19.1% · BB 10.4% · FIP 3.77
2018	28	MIX3 levels	33	29	176	4.46	3.72	24.8%	6.6%	3.6	K 22.0% · BB 7.0% · FIP 4.24
2019	29	MIX2 levels	33	15	112	3.61	4.79	18.6%	4.8%	-0.3	K 16.8% · BB 5.0% · FIP 5.15
2020	30	No MLB games played
2021	31	No MLB games played
2022	32	No MLB games played
2023	33	No MLB games played
2024	34	No MLB games played
2025	35	No MLB games played
2026	36	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 3.2

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2019

FB Velo16

K%10

xwOBA vs10

ERA—

FIP—

K%—

BB%—

K-BB%—

Proj IP—

Statcast · Contract

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1692.1

Whiff%

p4023.8%

p1014.5%

xwOBA vs

p100.377

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
2015	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	19	111	511	69	61	14	73%	4.3	11.6%	12.6%	-1.0%	3.3%	6.67	5.56	—
2015	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	19	111	511	69	61	14	73%	4.3	13.5%	11.9%	1.6%	2.7%	6.67	5.15	—
2016	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	5	68	285	63	23	4	14%	1.9	17.7%	8.4%	9.4%	1.9%	4.48	3.71	—
2016	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	5	68	285	63	23	4	14%	1.9	22.1%	8.1%	14.0%	1.4%	4.48	3.03	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	31	10	86	383	83	38	6	32%	2.8	19.1%	10.4%	8.7%	1.7%	6.25	3.77	—
2017	27	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	31	10	86	383	83	38	6	32%	2.8	21.7%	9.9%	11.7%	1.6%	6.25	3.40	—
2018	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	29	176	725	180	48	25	88%	5.3	22.0%	7.0%	15.1%	3.9%	4.46	4.24	+2.4
2018	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	29	176	725	180	48	25	88%	5.3	24.8%	6.6%	18.2%	3.4%	4.46	3.72	+3.6
2019	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	15	112	479	89	23	23	45%	3.4	16.8%	5.0%	11.8%	5.2%	3.61	5.15	-0.8
2019	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	15	112	479	89	23	23	45%	3.4	18.6%	4.8%	13.8%	4.8%	3.61	4.79	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			23	1	36	173	25	12	13	4%	1.6	14.5%	6.9%	7.5%	7.5%	7.32	7.45	-1.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		23	1	36	173	25	12	13	4%	1.6	14.5%	6.9%	7.5%	7.5%	7.32	6.88	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		129	6	200	970	140	67	73	4%	1.6	14.5%	6.9%	7.5%	7.5%	7.32	6.88	-5.3
Career	—	MLE		159	78	553	2383	423	203	82	49%	3.5	17.8%	8.5%	9.3%	3.4%	5.01	4.56	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	28	200	861	153	73	30	49%	3.5	17.8%	8.5%	9.3%	3.4%	5.01	4.56	-6.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAASyracuse Mets · 89 IPFIP 3.80 → 4.29 (+0.50)K% 19.9% → 17.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	19.89%	—	×0.880	17.50%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	4.42%	—	×1.050	4.64%
HR / BF /BF	3.31%	÷0.960	×1.100	3.80%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 92).

Result: FIP 3.80 → 4.29, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAALas Vegas 51s · 158 IPFIP 3.69 → 4.17 (+0.48)K% 25.8% → 22.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	25.81%	—	×0.880	22.71%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.49%	—	×1.050	6.82%
HR / BF /BF	3.55%	÷1.009	×1.100	3.88%

Result: FIP 3.69 → 4.17, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 6 IPFIP 1.76 → 2.18 (+0.42)K% 22.7% → 18.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	22.73%	—	×0.810	18.41%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	4.55%	—	×1.100	5.00%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.013	×1.200	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 103).

Result: FIP 1.76 → 2.18, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAASalt Lake Bees · 86 IPFIP 3.39 → 3.77 (+0.38)K% 21.7% → 19.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	21.67%	—	×0.880	19.07%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.92%	—	×1.050	10.42%
HR / BF /BF	1.57%	÷0.989	×1.100	1.74%

Result: FIP 3.39 → 3.77, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 55 IPFIP 3.33 → 3.71 (+0.38)K% 20.2% → 17.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	20.17%	—	×0.880	17.75%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.98%	—	×1.050	8.38%
HR / BF /BF	1.68%	÷0.973	×1.100	1.90%

Result: FIP 3.33 → 3.71, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AABiloxi Shuckers · 13 IPFIP 1.48 → 2.10 (+0.62)K% 31.9% → 25.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	31.91%	—	×0.810	25.85%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.51%	—	×1.100	9.36%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.243	×1.200	0.00%

Result: FIP 1.48 → 2.10, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 90 IPFIP 5.21 → 5.79 (+0.59)K% 12.3% → 10.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	12.29%	—	×0.880	10.81%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.29%	—	×1.050	12.90%
HR / BF /BF	2.89%	÷0.886	×1.100	3.59%

Result: FIP 5.21 → 5.79, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AABiloxi Shuckers · 21 IPFIP 3.98 → 4.54 (+0.56)K% 18.8% → 15.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	18.75%	—	×0.810	15.19%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.42%	—	×1.100	11.46%
HR / BF /BF	2.08%	÷1.084	×1.200	2.31%

Result: FIP 3.98 → 4.54, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).