Dean Espy
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 22 | AKane County C… | 311 | .255/.301/.338 | 3 | 6 | 37 | — | .207/.243/.268 |
| 2014 | 24 | A+Modesto Nuts | 279 | .213/.238/.373 | 9 | 2 | 21 | — | .163/.184/.285 |
| 2015 | 25 | AANew Britain R… | 231 | .207/.267/.317 | 5 | 4 | 30 | — | .180/.231/.256 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 21 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 268 | 233 | 74 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 318 | 394 | 489 | 883 | 172 | 394 | 22 | 7 | 387 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 311 | 290 | 74 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 62 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 255 | 301 | 338 | 639 | 83 | 314 | 20 | 5 | 288 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 279 | 268 | 57 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 61 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 213 | 238 | 373 | 611 | 160 | 242 | 22 | 3 | 267 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 231 | 208 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 45 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 207 | 267 | 317 | 584 | 111 | 236 | 19 | 5 | 259 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 21 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 268 | 243 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 85 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 230 | 292 | 350 | 641 | 119 | 308 | 32 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 311 | 295 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 84 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 207 | 243 | 268 | 511 | 61 | 274 | 27 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 279 | 270 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 84 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 163 | 184 | 285 | 469 | 122 | 203 | 30 | 2 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 231 | 211 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 56 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 180 | 231 | 256 | 487 | 76 | 213 | 24 | 4 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 268 | 243 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 85 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 230 | 292 | 350 | 641 | 119 | 327 | 32 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | ROK RAW | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 268 | 233 | 74 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 318 | 394 | 489 | 883 | 172 | 394 | 22 | 7 | 387 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 311 | 295 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 84 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 207 | 243 | 268 | 511 | 61 | 281 | 27 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A RAW | Kane County Cougars | — | 311 | 290 | 74 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 62 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 255 | 301 | 338 | 639 | 83 | 314 | 20 | 5 | 288 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 279 | 270 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 84 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 163 | 184 | 285 | 469 | 122 | 207 | 30 | 2 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ RAW | Modesto Nuts | — | 279 | 268 | 57 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 61 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 213 | 238 | 373 | 611 | 160 | 242 | 22 | 3 | 267 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 231 | 211 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 56 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 180 | 231 | 256 | 487 | 76 | 226 | 24 | 4 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA RAW | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 231 | 208 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 45 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 207 | 267 | 317 | 584 | 111 | 236 | 19 | 5 | 259 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 268 | 245 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 85 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 229 | 292 | 347 | 639 | 118 | 308 | 32 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 311 | 294 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 84 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 207 | 243 | 269 | 511 | 61 | 274 | 27 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 279 | 270 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 84 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 163 | 184 | 285 | 469 | 122 | 203 | 30 | 2 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 231 | 215 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 56 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 177 | 231 | 251 | 482 | 74 | 213 | 24 | 4 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1089 | 1019 | 199 | 41 | 2 | 17 | 36 | 309 | 20 | 14 | 2 | 195 | 237 | 289 | 527 | 94 | 260 | 28 | 3 | 227 | 39 | -78 | +2 | +0 | -19 | +24 | -7.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 608 | 118 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 184 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 194 | 235 | 286 | 521 | 92 | 258 | 28 | 3 | 227 | 39 | -47 | +1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -4.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 231 PAwOBA .256 → .213 (−42)K% 19.5% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.48% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.19% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 3.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.16% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.40% | ÷1.024 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | ×0.988 | 17.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.91% | ÷1.016 | ×0.860 | ×0.998 | ×0.988 | 4.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.07% | ÷1.133 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.09% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .256 → .213; ISO .111 → .080; BABIP .236 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Modesto Nuts · 279 PAwOBA .259 → .199 (−61)K% 21.9% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.86% | ÷0.977 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.51% | ÷0.947 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 1.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.94% | ÷1.004 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×0.978 | 14.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.76% | ÷1.047 | ×0.820 | ×0.993 | ×0.978 | 5.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.993 | ×0.978 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 3.84% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 95, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .259 → .199; ISO .160 → .122; BABIP .242 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AKane County Cougars · 311 PAwOBA .281 → .223 (−58)K% 19.9% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.94% | ÷1.009 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.14% | ÷1.040 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 3.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.56% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×0.990 | 21.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.58% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×0.990 | 5.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.063 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.030 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.01% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 106, 2B 98, 3B 113, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .281 → .223; ISO .083 → .063; BABIP .314 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars · 268 PAwOBA .380 → .271 (−109)K% 22.0% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.01% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.975 | 4.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.73% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.024 | ×0.975 | 23.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.024 | ×0.975 | 7.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.024 | ×0.975 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.975 | 2.94% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .380 → .271; ISO .172 → .118; BABIP .394 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).