Jermaine Curtis
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 29 | AAACIN | 346 | .291/.408/.435 | 9 | 6 | 116 | — | .277/.364/.407 |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 370 | .284/.402/.366 | 1 | 2 | 76 | — | .234/.326/.301 |
| 2018 | 31 | AAAWSH | 165 | .200/.358/.254 | 1 | 3 | 51 | — | .173/.290/.216 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 369 | 314 | 62 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 52 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 197 | 304 | 229 | 533 | 32 | 231 | 14 | 9 | 255 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 136 | 112 | 34 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 304 | 426 | 438 | 864 | 134 | 367 | 15 | 14 | 393 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 65 | 55 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 344 | 291 | 635 | 55 | 289 | 15 | 11 | 296 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 238 | 191 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 267 | 397 | 319 | 716 | 52 | 300 | 11 | 12 | 332 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 329 | 276 | 87 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 315 | 415 | 435 | 850 | 120 | 340 | 9 | 12 | 378 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 271 | 214 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 294 | 421 | 336 | 758 | 42 | 337 | 11 | 13 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 447 | 310 | 758 | 34 | 320 | 11 | 24 | 366 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 440 | 368 | 115 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 47 | 51 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 312 | 417 | 378 | 795 | 65 | 360 | 12 | 11 | 363 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 238 | 191 | 57 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 27 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 298 | 410 | 366 | 776 | 68 | 337 | 11 | 13 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 436 | 370 | 95 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 52 | 53 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 257 | 359 | 349 | 708 | 92 | 284 | 12 | 12 | 322 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 116 | 96 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 302 | 417 | 333 | 751 | 31 | 341 | 9 | 15 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 279 | 225 | 57 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 253 | 389 | 289 | 678 | 36 | 278 | 8 | 15 | 322 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 260 | 227 | 62 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 273 | 363 | 344 | 707 | 70 | 299 | 10 | 8 | 327 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 346 | 285 | 83 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 43 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 291 | 408 | 435 | 843 | 144 | 314 | 12 | 12 | 377 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 79 | 67 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 359 | 284 | 643 | 30 | 327 | 19 | 11 | 302 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 250 | 203 | 63 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 310 | 433 | 404 | 837 | 94 | 380 | 17 | 15 | 381 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 41 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 293 | 306 | 598 | 111 | 259 | 22 | 7 | 278 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 31 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 165 | 130 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 33 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 200 | 358 | 254 | 612 | 54 | 253 | 20 | 15 | 296 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 369 | 322 | 60 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 74 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 186 | 276 | 217 | 494 | 31 | 227 | 20 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 136 | 119 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 29 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 261 | 353 | 370 | 723 | 109 | 328 | 21 | 9 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 65 | 57 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 312 | 281 | 593 | 53 | 272 | 18 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 238 | 200 | 50 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 36 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 250 | 353 | 305 | 658 | 55 | 286 | 15 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 329 | 289 | 87 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 375 | 398 | 773 | 97 | 326 | 12 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 38 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 368 | 281 | 650 | 31 | 301 | 13 | 16 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 440 | 385 | 113 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 61 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 294 | 373 | 351 | 724 | 57 | 336 | 14 | 7 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 436 | 387 | 92 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 68 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 238 | 312 | 313 | 625 | 75 | 269 | 16 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 279 | 238 | 55 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 231 | 335 | 265 | 599 | 34 | 255 | 10 | 10 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 260 | 234 | 60 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 256 | 328 | 321 | 649 | 64 | 285 | 12 | 5 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 346 | 300 | 83 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 53 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 277 | 364 | 407 | 770 | 130 | 299 | 15 | 8 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 79 | 70 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 308 | 257 | 565 | 29 | 300 | 24 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 250 | 216 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 54 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 236 | 332 | 315 | 647 | 79 | 298 | 22 | 10 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 31 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 165 | 139 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 173 | 290 | 216 | 506 | 43 | 223 | 24 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 505 | 441 | 90 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 102 | 19 | 19 | 6 | 204 | 295 | 256 | 551 | 52 | 259 | 20 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 505 | 426 | 96 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 53 | 73 | 19 | 19 | 6 | 225 | 337 | 284 | 621 | 59 | 266 | 14 | 10 | 292 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 303 | 257 | 63 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 49 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 245 | 345 | 300 | 644 | 54 | 297 | 16 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 303 | 246 | 64 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 35 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 260 | 385 | 313 | 698 | 53 | 298 | 12 | 12 | 324 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 600 | 517 | 160 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 69 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 309 | 389 | 416 | 805 | 106 | 342 | 12 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 600 | 490 | 150 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 73 | 61 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 306 | 418 | 392 | 810 | 86 | 339 | 10 | 12 | 363 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 716 | 621 | 180 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 55 | 98 | 23 | 15 | 3 | 290 | 369 | 343 | 712 | 53 | 340 | 14 | 8 | 318 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 716 | 588 | 180 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 88 | 82 | 23 | 15 | 3 | 306 | 416 | 371 | 787 | 65 | 350 | 11 | 12 | 357 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 552 | 490 | 116 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 45 | 86 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 237 | 312 | 310 | 623 | 73 | 275 | 16 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 552 | 466 | 124 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 69 | 64 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 266 | 371 | 345 | 717 | 79 | 296 | 12 | 12 | 328 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 279 | 238 | 55 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 231 | 335 | 265 | 599 | 34 | 259 | 10 | 10 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 279 | 225 | 57 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 253 | 389 | 289 | 678 | 36 | 278 | 8 | 15 | 322 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 260 | 234 | 60 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 256 | 328 | 321 | 649 | 64 | 286 | 12 | 5 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | Louisville Bats | — | 260 | 227 | 62 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 273 | 363 | 344 | 707 | 70 | 299 | 10 | 8 | 327 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 346 | 300 | 83 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 53 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 277 | 364 | 407 | 770 | 130 | 307 | 15 | 8 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA RAW | Louisville Bats | — | 346 | 285 | 83 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 43 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 291 | 408 | 435 | 843 | 144 | 314 | 12 | 12 | 377 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 370 | 321 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 83 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 234 | 328 | 296 | 624 | 62 | 308 | 22 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 370 | 306 | 87 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 284 | 402 | 366 | 768 | 82 | 355 | 18 | 13 | 353 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 31 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 165 | 139 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 173 | 290 | 216 | 506 | 43 | 228 | 24 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 31 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 165 | 130 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 33 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 200 | 358 | 254 | 612 | 54 | 253 | 20 | 15 | 296 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 505 | 443 | 90 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 102 | 19 | 19 | 6 | 203 | 295 | 255 | 550 | 52 | 254 | 20 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 303 | 261 | 63 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 49 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 241 | 345 | 295 | 640 | 54 | 283 | 16 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 600 | 528 | 160 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 69 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 303 | 389 | 407 | 796 | 104 | 326 | 12 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 716 | 632 | 180 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 55 | 98 | 23 | 15 | 3 | 285 | 369 | 337 | 706 | 52 | 333 | 14 | 8 | 318 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 552 | 493 | 116 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 45 | 86 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 235 | 312 | 308 | 621 | 73 | 269 | 16 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 279 | 240 | 55 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 229 | 335 | 263 | 597 | 33 | 255 | 10 | 10 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 260 | 233 | 60 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 258 | 328 | 322 | 650 | 64 | 285 | 12 | 5 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 346 | 302 | 83 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 53 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 275 | 364 | 404 | 768 | 129 | 299 | 15 | 8 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 370 | 322 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 83 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 328 | 295 | 623 | 62 | 298 | 22 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 31 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 165 | 141 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 170 | 290 | 213 | 503 | 43 | 223 | 24 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4096 | 3558 | 906 | 142 | 10 | 29 | 327 | 638 | 139 | 83 | 22 | 255 | 341 | 325 | 666 | 70 | 300 | 16 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -62 | +8 | -0 | -44 | +89 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 565 | 145 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 52 | 101 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 257 | 343 | 331 | 674 | 74 | 302 | 16 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -10 | +1 | -0 | -7 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAARochester Red Wings · 165 PAwOBA .293 → .244 (−49)K% 20.0% → 24.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.94% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 9.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.85% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 4.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.65% | ÷1.023 | ×0.930 | ×1.023 | ×0.962 | 19.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.12% | ÷1.009 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×0.962 | 3.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.023 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.03% | ÷0.879 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.962 | 0.95% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 105, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .293 → .244; ISO .054 → .049; BABIP .253 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAMidland RockHounds · 250 PAwOBA .375 → .290 (−85)K% 16.8% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.80% | ÷0.939 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.40% | ÷0.990 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 9.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.80% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.948 | 2.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.19% | ÷1.142 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×0.948 | 22.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷0.987 | ×0.840 | ×1.008 | ×0.948 | 7.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.977 | ×0.940 | ×1.008 | ×0.948 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.862 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.948 | 0.55% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 128, 2B 97, 3B 95, K 88, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .375 → .290; ISO .094 → .080; BABIP .380 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAANashville Sounds · 79 PAwOBA .295 → .251 (−45)K% 19.0% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.99% | ÷1.003 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.39% | ÷1.029 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 7.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.53% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 2.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.85% | ÷0.984 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 26.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.021 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 3.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.868 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 97, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .295 → .251; ISO .030 → .024; BABIP .327 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAALouisville Bats · 346 PAwOBA .368 → .339 (−30)K% 12.4% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.43% | ÷0.984 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.27% | ÷0.978 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.05% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 3.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.79% | ÷0.952 | ×0.930 | ×1.034 | ×0.982 | 24.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.79% | ÷1.053 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | ×0.982 | 4.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.034 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.72% | ÷0.882 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 3.48% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 90, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .368 → .339; ISO .144 → .134; BABIP .314 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAALouisville Bats · 260 PAwOBA .320 → .290 (−30)K% 9.6% → 11.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.62% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.08% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 3.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.75% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 24.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.95% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 4.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.922 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.99% | ÷1.009 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.82% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 84, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .320 → .290; ISO .070 → .062; BABIP .299 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 279 PAwOBA .317 → .278 (−39)K% 7.9% → 10.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.89% | ÷0.997 | ×1.290 | — | — | 10.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.05% | ÷1.031 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 10.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.87% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 2.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.14% | ÷1.034 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 22.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.94% | ÷0.917 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 3.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.036 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 107, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .317 → .278; ISO .036 → .035; BABIP .278 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 436 PAwOBA .316 → .282 (−34)K% 12.2% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.16% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 15.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.47% | ÷1.020 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 8.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.71% | ÷0.970 | ×0.900 | ×1.031 | ×1.018 | 22.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.002 | ×0.810 | ×1.031 | ×1.018 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷0.984 | ×0.810 | ×1.031 | ×1.018 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.58% | ÷0.988 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 1.27% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 97, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .316 → .282; ISO .092 → .078; BABIP .284 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AASpringfield Cardinals · 440 PAwOBA .354 → .319 (−35)K% 11.6% → 13.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.59% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.23% | ÷1.043 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.32% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 3.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.65% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.042 | ×0.998 | 28.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.99% | ÷1.054 | ×0.840 | ×1.042 | ×0.998 | 4.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.042 | ×0.998 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.238 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.20% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 105, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .354 → .319; ISO .065 → .057; BABIP .360 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .