Jarek Cunningham
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 23 | AAPIT | 515 | .217/.276/.394 | 19 | 12 | 48 | — | .184/.229/.334 |
| 2014 | 24 | AAPIT | 354 | .246/.323/.401 | 8 | 3 | 68 | — | .219/.273/.353 |
| 2015 | 25 | AA/A+2 orgs | 331 | .239/.323/.426 | 8 | 3 | 51 | — | .184/.249/.321 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | — | 174 | 148 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 318 | 399 | 507 | 906 | 189 | 341 | 15 | 8 | 388 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 533 | 488 | 126 | 37 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 132 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 258 | 312 | 436 | 748 | 178 | 327 | 25 | 6 | 326 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 348 | 310 | 80 | 23 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 82 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 258 | 324 | 516 | 840 | 258 | 300 | 24 | 5 | 358 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 104 | 90 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 307 | 389 | 696 | 167 | 224 | 13 | 10 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 415 | 358 | 77 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 111 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 215 | 303 | 335 | 638 | 120 | 290 | 27 | 9 | 284 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 515 | 469 | 102 | 18 | 4 | 19 | 29 | 127 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 217 | 276 | 394 | 671 | 177 | 255 | 25 | 6 | 294 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 354 | 309 | 76 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 69 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 246 | 323 | 401 | 724 | 155 | 288 | 19 | 8 | 316 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 242 | 209 | 44 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 76 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 211 | 301 | 397 | 698 | 187 | 287 | 31 | 10 | 304 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 89 | 80 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 312 | 382 | 500 | 882 | 188 | 436 | 27 | 10 | 387 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 174 | 153 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 242 | 310 | 386 | 695 | 144 | 257 | 21 | 5 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 533 | 499 | 99 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 173 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 198 | 240 | 331 | 570 | 132 | 271 | 32 | 4 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 348 | 316 | 62 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 114 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 196 | 253 | 389 | 642 | 193 | 252 | 33 | 3 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 415 | 368 | 67 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 138 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 182 | 253 | 277 | 530 | 95 | 254 | 33 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 515 | 479 | 88 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 19 | 171 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 184 | 229 | 334 | 563 | 150 | 234 | 33 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 354 | 320 | 70 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 85 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 219 | 273 | 353 | 626 | 134 | 258 | 24 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 242 | 216 | 37 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 94 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 171 | 242 | 310 | 552 | 139 | 251 | 39 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 89 | 83 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 217 | 270 | 349 | 619 | 133 | 330 | 37 | 7 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 174 | 153 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 242 | 310 | 386 | 695 | 144 | 280 | 21 | 5 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Pirates | — | 174 | 148 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 318 | 399 | 507 | 906 | 189 | 341 | 15 | 8 | 388 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 533 | 499 | 99 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 173 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 198 | 240 | 331 | 570 | 132 | 277 | 32 | 4 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A RAW | West Virginia Power | — | 533 | 488 | 126 | 37 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 132 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 258 | 312 | 436 | 748 | 178 | 327 | 25 | 6 | 326 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 452 | 412 | 79 | 23 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 148 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 192 | 245 | 379 | 624 | 187 | 253 | 33 | 3 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 452 | 400 | 100 | 27 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 96 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 250 | 320 | 487 | 807 | 237 | 280 | 21 | 6 | 345 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 415 | 368 | 67 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 138 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 182 | 253 | 277 | 530 | 95 | 271 | 33 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA RAW | Altoona Curve | — | 415 | 358 | 77 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 111 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 215 | 303 | 335 | 638 | 120 | 290 | 27 | 9 | 284 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 515 | 479 | 88 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 19 | 171 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 184 | 229 | 334 | 563 | 150 | 241 | 33 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA RAW | Altoona Curve | — | 515 | 469 | 102 | 18 | 4 | 19 | 29 | 127 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 217 | 276 | 394 | 671 | 177 | 255 | 25 | 6 | 294 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 354 | 320 | 70 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 85 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 219 | 273 | 353 | 626 | 134 | 268 | 24 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA RAW | Altoona Curve | — | 354 | 309 | 76 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 69 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 246 | 323 | 401 | 724 | 155 | 288 | 19 | 8 | 316 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 331 | 299 | 54 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 127 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 181 | 246 | 318 | 564 | 137 | 284 | 38 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 331 | 289 | 69 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 100 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 239 | 323 | 426 | 749 | 187 | 332 | 30 | 10 | 327 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 174 | 157 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 236 | 310 | 376 | 685 | 140 | 257 | 21 | 5 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 533 | 501 | 99 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 173 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 198 | 240 | 329 | 569 | 132 | 271 | 32 | 4 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 452 | 420 | 79 | 23 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 148 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 188 | 245 | 371 | 616 | 183 | 252 | 33 | 3 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 415 | 377 | 67 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 138 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 178 | 253 | 271 | 524 | 93 | 254 | 33 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 515 | 482 | 88 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 19 | 171 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 183 | 229 | 332 | 561 | 149 | 234 | 33 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 354 | 327 | 70 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 85 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 214 | 273 | 346 | 619 | 131 | 258 | 24 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 331 | 302 | 54 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 127 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 179 | 246 | 315 | 561 | 136 | 272 | 38 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2774 | 2530 | 494 | 112 | 26 | 64 | 130 | 879 | 54 | 39 | 28 | 195 | 250 | 336 | 586 | 141 | 266 | 32 | 5 | 252 | 57 | -143 | -3 | +0 | +10 | +60 | -7.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 115 | 26 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 206 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 194 | 248 | 334 | 582 | 140 | 264 | 32 | 5 | 252 | 57 | -34 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AATulsa Drillers · 242 PAwOBA .300 → .239 (−61)K% 31.4% → 38.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.40% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.33% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.54% | ÷0.938 | ×0.920 | ×0.958 | ×0.988 | 15.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.02% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | ×0.958 | ×0.988 | 7.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.26% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.958 | ×0.988 | 2.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.039 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 4.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 88, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .300 → .239; ISO .187 → .145; BABIP .287 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 89 PAwOBA .377 → .256 (−122)K% 27.0% → 37.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.97% | ÷0.970 | ×1.340 | — | — | 37.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.11% | ÷0.958 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 7.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.79% | ÷1.046 | ×0.910 | ×0.963 | ×0.968 | 21.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.71% | ÷1.109 | ×0.820 | ×0.963 | ×0.968 | 7.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.963 | ×0.968 | 3.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.898 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 1.77% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 109, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 94, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .377 → .256; ISO .188 → .119; BABIP .436 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAltoona Curve · 354 PAwOBA .309 → .269 (−40)K% 19.5% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.49% | ÷0.986 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.06% | ÷1.078 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.26% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×0.976 | ×0.998 | 18.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.020 | ×0.860 | ×0.976 | ×0.998 | 5.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.976 | ×0.998 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.833 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.11% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 103, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 97, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .309 → .269; ISO .155 → .139; BABIP .288 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAltoona Curve · 515 PAwOBA .287 → .239 (−48)K% 24.7% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.66% | ÷0.905 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.63% | ÷1.073 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.84% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 16.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.933 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 4.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.17% | ÷1.006 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.836 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 5.24% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 81, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .287 → .239; ISO .177 → .152; BABIP .255 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAltoona Curve · 415 PAwOBA .278 → .229 (−49)K% 26.7% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.75% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.92% | ÷0.943 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.84% | ÷1.018 | ×0.970 | ×0.963 | ×1.027 | 18.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.173 | ×0.860 | ×0.963 | ×1.027 | 5.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.21% | ÷1.026 | ×0.950 | ×0.963 | ×1.027 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.43% | ÷1.042 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.87% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 104, 2B 135, 3B 105, K 96, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .278 → .229; ISO .120 → .091; BABIP .290 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Bradenton Marauders · 348 PAwOBA .350 → .274 (−77)K% 23.6% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.56% | ÷1.019 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.60% | ÷1.049 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 3.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.74% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 3.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷1.067 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 13.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.09% | ÷1.104 | ×0.960 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 8.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 2.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.58% | ÷1.114 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 5.26% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 113, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 104, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .350 → .274; ISO .258 → .197; BABIP .300 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AWest Virginia Power · 533 PAwOBA .320 → .245 (−76)K% 24.8% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.77% | ÷1.025 | ×1.340 | — | — | 32.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.63% | ÷1.066 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 3.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.66% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 17.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.39% | ÷1.045 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 7.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.97% | ÷1.135 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 1.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.37% | ÷0.962 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 2.92% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 127, K 105, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .320 → .245; ISO .178 → .136; BABIP .327 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 ROKGCL Pirates · 174 PAwOBA .391 → .290 (−101)K% 14.9% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.94% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 5.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 19.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 6.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 3.22% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .391 → .290; ISO .189 → .142; BABIP .341 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .