Michael Crouse
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 26 | INTLMelbourne Aces | 121 | .252/.364/.505 | 6 | 7 | 145 | — | |
| 2018 | 27 | INTLCanberra Cava… | 49 | .429/.500/.714 | 4 | 3 | 234 | — | |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 285 | .237/.333/.470 | 14 | 13 | 84 | — | .190/.270/.365 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 17 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | — | 20 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 133 | 316 | 267 | 582 | 133 | 250 | 35 | 15 | 267 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | — | 214 | 188 | 41 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 53 | 2 | 25 | 5 | 218 | 310 | 340 | 650 | 122 | 291 | 25 | 11 | 295 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 105 | 88 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 216 | 330 | 386 | 716 | 170 | 327 | 33 | 13 | 318 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | — | 107 | 96 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 333 | 402 | 594 | 996 | 260 | 467 | 30 | 8 | 432 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 421 | 364 | 95 | 26 | 5 | 14 | 44 | 113 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 261 | 355 | 475 | 830 | 214 | 336 | 27 | 10 | 364 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 231 | 202 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 73 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 203 | 300 | 347 | 647 | 144 | 282 | 32 | 11 | 294 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 141 | 124 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 194 | 286 | 315 | 600 | 121 | 260 | 31 | 11 | 275 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 347 | 300 | 75 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 92 | 5 | 21 | 9 | 250 | 346 | 403 | 749 | 153 | 330 | 27 | 11 | 335 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 164 | 135 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 38 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 289 | 396 | 496 | 893 | 207 | 337 | 23 | 14 | 384 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 390 | 346 | 84 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 104 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 243 | 323 | 405 | 728 | 162 | 319 | 27 | 9 | 323 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 121 | 103 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 252 | 364 | 505 | 868 | 252 | 299 | 25 | 12 | 382 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 49 | 42 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 429 | 500 | 714 | 1.214 | 286 | 467 | 16 | 10 | 515 | 234 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA | Algodoneros Union Laguna | — | 152 | 130 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 49 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 254 | 362 | 523 | 885 | 269 | 333 | 32 | 14 | 387 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 133 | 119 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 46 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 218 | 301 | 412 | 713 | 193 | 309 | 35 | 11 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 20 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 125 | 263 | 250 | 513 | 125 | 197 | 50 | 10 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 214 | 197 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 76 | 2 | 25 | 5 | 152 | 216 | 228 | 444 | 76 | 233 | 36 | 7 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 105 | 92 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 163 | 252 | 304 | 557 | 141 | 282 | 45 | 10 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 107 | 99 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 46 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 212 | 271 | 384 | 655 | 172 | 360 | 43 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 421 | 379 | 76 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 160 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 201 | 273 | 356 | 630 | 156 | 298 | 38 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 231 | 209 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 103 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 153 | 230 | 268 | 498 | 115 | 254 | 45 | 8 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 141 | 129 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 63 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 132 | 200 | 217 | 417 | 85 | 217 | 45 | 7 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 347 | 312 | 59 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 130 | 5 | 21 | 9 | 189 | 265 | 298 | 563 | 109 | 290 | 37 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 390 | 358 | 76 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 130 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 212 | 271 | 338 | 609 | 126 | 309 | 33 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Algodoneros Union Laguna | — | 152 | 137 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 61 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 190 | 270 | 365 | 635 | 175 | 282 | 40 | 10 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 20 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 125 | 263 | 250 | 513 | 125 | 333 | 50 | 10 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | ROK RAW | GCL Blue Jays | — | 20 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 133 | 316 | 267 | 582 | 133 | 250 | 35 | 15 | 267 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 214 | 197 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 76 | 2 | 25 | 5 | 152 | 216 | 228 | 444 | 76 | 240 | 36 | 7 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Blue Jays | — | 214 | 188 | 41 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 53 | 2 | 25 | 5 | 218 | 310 | 340 | 650 | 122 | 291 | 25 | 11 | 295 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 212 | 192 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 94 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 182 | 252 | 318 | 570 | 135 | 326 | 44 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 212 | 184 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 277 | 367 | 495 | 861 | 217 | 402 | 32 | 11 | 375 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 421 | 379 | 76 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 160 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 201 | 273 | 356 | 630 | 156 | 307 | 38 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 421 | 364 | 95 | 26 | 5 | 14 | 44 | 113 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 261 | 355 | 475 | 830 | 214 | 336 | 27 | 10 | 364 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 338 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 167 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 145 | 219 | 249 | 467 | 104 | 248 | 45 | 8 | 206 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 372 | 326 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 117 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 199 | 295 | 334 | 629 | 135 | 274 | 31 | 11 | 287 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 511 | 457 | 86 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 191 | 6 | 32 | 12 | 188 | 262 | 298 | 560 | 109 | 295 | 37 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 511 | 435 | 114 | 22 | 2 | 16 | 62 | 130 | 6 | 32 | 12 | 262 | 362 | 432 | 794 | 170 | 332 | 25 | 12 | 351 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 390 | 358 | 76 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 130 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 212 | 271 | 338 | 609 | 126 | 312 | 33 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 390 | 346 | 84 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 104 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 243 | 323 | 405 | 728 | 162 | 319 | 27 | 9 | 323 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | INTL MLE | Melbourne Aces | — | 121 | 103 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 252 | 364 | 505 | 868 | 252 | 299 | 25 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | INTL RAW | Melbourne Aces | — | 121 | 103 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 252 | 364 | 505 | 868 | 252 | 299 | 25 | 12 | 382 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL MLE | Canberra Cavalry | — | 49 | 42 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 429 | 500 | 714 | 1.214 | 286 | 467 | 16 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL RAW | Canberra Cavalry | — | 49 | 42 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 429 | 500 | 714 | 1.214 | 286 | 467 | 16 | 10 | 515 | 234 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 257 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 115 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 187 | 267 | 354 | 621 | 167 | 282 | 40 | 10 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 285 | 249 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 95 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 237 | 333 | 470 | 803 | 233 | 321 | 33 | 13 | 354 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 20 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 118 | 263 | 235 | 498 | 118 | 197 | 50 | 10 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 214 | 196 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 76 | 2 | 25 | 5 | 153 | 216 | 230 | 446 | 77 | 233 | 36 | 7 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 212 | 192 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 94 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 182 | 252 | 318 | 570 | 135 | 321 | 44 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 421 | 380 | 76 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 160 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 200 | 273 | 355 | 629 | 155 | 298 | 38 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 337 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 167 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 145 | 219 | 249 | 468 | 104 | 240 | 45 | 8 | 206 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 511 | 460 | 86 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 191 | 6 | 32 | 12 | 187 | 262 | 296 | 558 | 109 | 290 | 37 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 390 | 358 | 76 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 130 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 212 | 271 | 338 | 609 | 126 | 309 | 33 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 255 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 115 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 188 | 267 | 357 | 624 | 169 | 282 | 40 | 10 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2595 | 2339 | 446 | 92 | 22 | 59 | 202 | 981 | 32 | 163 | 53 | 191 | 264 | 324 | 589 | 134 | 294 | 38 | 8 | 232 | 43 | -175 | +11 | +0 | -28 | +56 | -13.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 112 | 23 | 6 | 15 | 51 | 246 | 8 | 41 | 13 | 191 | 266 | 328 | 593 | 137 | 295 | 38 | 8 | 232 | 43 | -44 | +3 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -3.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAAlgodoneros Union Laguna · 152 PAwOBA .376 → .270 (−107)K% 32.2% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.24% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.47% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 9.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.99% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 19.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 5.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.116 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.982 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 7.43% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 123, K 91, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .376 → .270; ISO .269 → .174; BABIP .333 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 390 PAwOBA .316 → .268 (−49)K% 26.7% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.49% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.49% | ÷1.012 | ×0.970 | ×1.014 | ×1.012 | 21.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.02% | ÷0.952 | ×0.860 | ×1.014 | ×1.012 | 6.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.48% | ÷0.921 | ×0.950 | ×1.014 | ×1.012 | 2.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.72% | ÷1.066 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.75% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 84, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .316 → .268; ISO .162 → .134; BABIP .319 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 347 PAwOBA .329 → .251 (−77)K% 26.5% → 37.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.51% | ÷1.007 | ×1.420 | — | — | 37.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.95% | ÷1.032 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 7.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.60% | ÷1.025 | ×0.920 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 19.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.65% | ÷1.023 | ×0.960 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 7.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.160 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 2.91% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 105, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .329 → .251; ISO .153 → .113; BABIP .330 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 231 PAwOBA .288 → .217 (−71)K% 31.6% → 44.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.60% | ÷1.001 | ×1.420 | — | — | 44.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.26% | ÷1.020 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 8.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.38% | ÷1.034 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×1.012 | 17.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷1.111 | ×0.960 | ×1.016 | ×1.012 | 6.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.014 | ×0.810 | ×1.016 | ×1.012 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.65% | ÷0.944 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 4.39% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 103, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .288 → .217; ISO .144 → .109; BABIP .282 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ALansing Lugnuts · 141 PAwOBA .270 → .187 (−82)K% 31.2% → 44.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.21% | ÷0.946 | ×1.360 | — | — | 44.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.64% | ÷1.057 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.25% | ÷1.039 | ×0.920 | ×0.966 | — | 18.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.75% | ÷1.028 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | — | 2.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.051 | ×0.910 | ×0.966 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.800 | — | — | 4.27% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 108, 2B 106, 3B 110, K 89, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .270 → .187; ISO .121 → .085; BABIP .260 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ALansing Lugnuts · 421 PAwOBA .356 → .275 (−81)K% 26.8% → 37.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.84% | ÷0.963 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.98% | ÷1.007 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 6.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.14% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.92% | ÷1.001 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×1.015 | 18.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.36% | ÷1.103 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×1.015 | 8.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.99% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | ×1.017 | ×1.015 | 1.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.58% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 4.92% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 100, 2B 121, 3B 96, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .356 → .275; ISO .214 → .165; BABIP .336 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ROKGCL Blue Jays · 107 PAwOBA .420 → .273 (−147)K% 29.9% → 43.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 43.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.87% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.004 | ×0.995 | 23.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.004 | ×0.995 | 7.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.004 | ×0.995 | 3.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 4.85% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .420 → .273; ISO .260 → .164; BABIP .467 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ALansing Lugnuts · 105 PAwOBA .313 → .235 (−78)K% 33.3% → 45.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.003 | ×1.360 | — | — | 45.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 9.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.87% | ÷1.039 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×1.030 | 17.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.43% | ÷1.116 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×1.030 | 7.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.77% | ÷0.992 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×1.030 | 3.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.77% | ÷0.891 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 3.49% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 108, 2B 123, 3B 98, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .313 → .235; ISO .170 → .132; BABIP .327 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .