Danny Coulombe

P Boston Red Sox

Age 37 LHP 5'10" / 190 lbs MLB

Overview

MLBRP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	34	MIX2 levels	36	0	32	1.95	2.67	29.1%	4.3%	0.7	K 29.9% · BB 4.7% · FIP 2.72
2025	35	MIX3 levels	58	1	46	2.15	3.17	23.9%	9.6%	0.8	K 24.4% · BB 10.2% · FIP 3.20
2026	36	MIX3 levels	31	1	24	4.56	5.17	10.7%	14.6%	-0.2	K 10.4% · BB 15.6% · FIP 4.79
2027PROJ	37	MLBBOS	51	0	54	4.28	4.80	17.5%	11.8%	-0.2
2028PROJ86% MLB	38	MLBBOS	38	0	40	4.85	5.23	16.3%	12.5%	-0.3
2029PROJ72% MLB	39	MLBBOS	28	0	29	5.34	5.66	15.2%	13.2%	-0.4

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.3 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

xwOBA vs42

FB Velo10

Whiff%10

K%10

CompsBrian Shouse (age 37) · Hisanori Takahashi (age 37) · Scott Atchison (age 37)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 124

ERA4.28

FIP4.80

K%17.5%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%5.7%

Proj IP54

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.8

Whiff%

p1017.1%

p1010.4%

xwOBA vs

p420.321

SL (17%)

SI (30%)

CU (6%)

FB (40%)

CT (37%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2014	24	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	5	0	4	22	4	2	1	0%	0.9	18.2%	9.1%	9.1%	4.5%	4.15	5.21	-0.0
2014	24	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	5	0	4	22	4	2	1	0%	0.9	18.2%	9.1%	9.1%	4.5%	4.15	5.64	-0.1
2015	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	57	250	52	32	1	0%	1.1	18.8%	13.3%	5.6%	0.5%	3.92	3.47	+0.7
2015	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	57	250	52	32	1	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.8%	8.0%	0.4%	3.92	3.19	+0.9
2016	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	0	73	289	89	20	6	0%	1.3	29.3%	7.0%	22.3%	2.3%	3.34	2.76	+1.6
2016	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	0	73	289	89	20	6	0%	1.3	30.8%	6.9%	23.9%	2.1%	3.34	2.55	+1.8
2017	27	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	72	0	52	219	39	21	4	0%	0.7	17.8%	9.6%	8.2%	2.0%	3.48	3.91	+0.4
2017	27	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	72	0	52	219	39	21	4	0%	0.7	17.8%	9.6%	8.2%	1.8%	3.48	3.82	+0.4
2018	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	1	52	220	54	17	8	2%	1.0	23.0%	7.9%	15.2%	4.0%	3.46	4.36	+0.1
2018	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	1	52	220	54	17	8	2%	1.0	24.5%	7.7%	16.8%	3.6%	3.46	4.00	+0.3
2019	29	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	31	0	36	169	61	17	9	0%	1.2	31.8%	10.6%	21.2%	5.4%	4.71	4.71	—
2019	29	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	31	0	36	169	61	17	9	0%	1.2	36.1%	10.1%	26.0%	5.3%	4.71	4.37	—
2020	30	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	2	0	3	13	3	3	0	0%	1.3	23.1%	23.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.07	+0.0
2020	30	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	2	0	3	13	3	3	0	0%	1.3	23.1%	23.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.22	+0.0
2021	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	1	55	218	60	9	6	2%	1.3	26.0%	4.2%	21.8%	2.7%	2.96	2.93	+1.1
2021	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	1	55	218	60	9	6	2%	1.3	27.5%	4.1%	23.4%	2.8%	2.96	2.83	+1.1
2022	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	12	1	14	62	10	10	1	8%	1.2	17.0%	17.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.88	3.82	+0.1
2022	32	MIX RAW	3 levels	12	1	14	62	10	10	1	8%	1.2	16.1%	16.1%	0.0%	1.6%	1.88	4.70	-0.0
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	52	213	60	12	4	0%	0.8	27.6%	5.7%	21.9%	1.9%	2.75	2.54	+1.3
2023	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	62	0	52	213	60	12	4	0%	0.8	28.2%	5.6%	22.5%	1.9%	2.75	2.49	+1.3
2024	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	32	117	34	5	3	0%	0.9	29.9%	4.7%	25.2%	2.8%	1.95	2.72	+0.7
2024	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	32	117	34	5	3	0%	0.9	29.9%	4.7%	25.2%	2.8%	1.95	2.72	+0.7
2024	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	32	117	34	5	3	0%	0.9	29.1%	4.3%	24.8%	2.6%	1.95	2.67	+0.7
2025	35	MIX MLE	3 levels	58	1	46	188	45	18	3	2%	0.8	24.4%	10.2%	14.2%	1.6%	2.15	3.20	+0.7
2025	35	MIX MLE	3 levels	58	1	46	188	45	18	3	2%	0.8	24.4%	10.2%	14.2%	1.6%	2.15	3.20	+0.7
2025	35	MIX RAW	3 levels	58	1	46	188	45	18	3	2%	0.8	23.9%	9.6%	14.4%	1.6%	2.15	3.17	+0.8
2026	36	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	1	24	103	11	15	2	3%	0.8	10.4%	15.6%	-5.2%	1.1%	4.56	4.79	-0.1
2026	36	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	1	24	103	11	15	2	3%	0.8	10.4%	15.6%	-5.2%	1.1%	4.56	4.79	-0.1
2026	36	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	1	24	103	11	15	2	3%	0.8	10.7%	14.6%	-3.9%	1.9%	4.56	5.17	-0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			372	2	339	1398	322	126	32	1%	0.9	23.0%	9.0%	14.0%	2.3%	3.43	3.54	+4.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	37	MLB	BOS	51	0	54	228	40	27	5	0%	1.1	17.5%	11.8%	5.7%	2.4%	4.28	4.80	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	38	MLB MLE	BOS	45	0	47	198	32	25	6	0%	1.0	16.3%	12.5%	3.8%	2.8%	4.85	5.23	-0.4
2029	39	MLB MLE	BOS	38	0	40	170	26	22	6	0%	1.1	15.2%	13.2%	2.0%	3.3%	5.34	5.66	-0.5
2028	38	MLB CTX	BOS	38	0	40	169	28	21	5	0%	1.1	16.3%	12.5%	3.8%	2.8%	4.85	5.23	-0.3
2029	39	MLB CTX	BOS	28	0	29	122	19	16	4	0%	1.0	15.2%	13.2%	2.0%	3.3%	5.34	5.66	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		438	2	408	1691	368	163	41	0%	0.9	21.8%	9.7%	12.1%	2.4%	3.70	3.81	+3.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		215	1	200	829	180	80	20	0%	0.9	21.8%	9.7%	12.1%	2.4%	3.70	3.81	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		509	5	500	2083	500	187	49	1%	1.0	24.0%	9.0%	15.0%	2.3%	3.24	3.49	+3.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		203	2	200	833	200	75	19	1%	1.0	24.0%	9.0%	15.0%	2.3%	3.24	3.49	+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Danny Coulombe (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	17.5%	11.8%	2.4%	—	5.43	15.8%	3.0%	87	+0.63	—	—	—
Brian Shouse L 2006 · 4.19 FIP	37	SU	4.19	13.2%	7.5%	2.3%	.269	3.37	15.3%	11.0%	127	-0.82	2.32	339	66
Hisanori Takahashi L 2012 · 4.04 FIP	37	SU	4.04	24.5%	6.1%	4.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	240	50
Scott Atchison R 2013 · 3.80 FIP	37	SU	3.80	14.4%	6.2%	2.1%	.273	3.60	16.7%	12.9%	92	-0.20	2.52	340	35
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	35
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	34
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	32
Pete Walker R 2006 · 4.45 FIP	37	SU	4.45	19.6%	8.0%	3.6%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	327	29
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	29
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	3.93	194	28
Brian Sweeney R 2010 · 4.63 FIP	36	SU	4.63	9.5%	3.4%	3.5%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	108	25
Matt Bush R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	37	SU	3.79	26.2%	8.7%	3.3%	.225	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	249	24
Seunghwan Oh R 2019 · 5.75 FIP	37	SU	5.75	18.2%	6.8%	6.0%	.383	—	—	—	—	—	1.87	226	24
Chris Nichting R 2002 · 4.67 FIP	36	SU	4.67	16.6%	3.3%	4.6%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	103	24
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2020 · 5.02 FIP	36	SU	5.02	17.5%	12.7%	3.3%	.381	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	132	24
Jonathan Castellanos R 2019 · 5.24 FIP	37	SW	5.24	11.0%	9.0%	3.5%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	394	15
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	10

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	44	21.0%	10.3%	0.94	3.82
Ricardo Rincon ('08)	2.2	49	21.1%	10.6%	0.83	3.59
Neftalí Feliz ('21)	2.0	49	22.9%	9.7%	1.05	3.55
Rich Garces ('02)	1.7	49	20.1%	11.1%	0.84	3.74
Ray Searage ('81-'90, 4 WAR*)	1.4	41	21.0%*	10.8%*	0.84*	3.70*
Tony Fossas ('88-'99, 2 WAR*)	2.1	42	21.9%*	9.3%*	0.99*	3.88*
Mike Fetters ('89-'04, 6 WAR*)	3.6	55	20.3%*	10.4%*	0.83*	3.70*