Adam Conley

P Durham Bulls
Age 37 LHP 6'3" / 209 lbs AAA
Overview
AAARPLAST SEASON 2021
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
201828MIX2 levels608914.574.0519.8%8.2%0.5K 19.0% · BB 8.4% · FIP 4.32
201929MLBMIA600616.534.6318.7%8.1%-0.1
202131MIX2 levels440513.554.0924.5%11.8%0.3K 22.5% · BB 12.2% · FIP 4.42
202232No MLB games played
202333No MLB games played
202434No MLB games played
202535No MLB games played
202636No MLB games played
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.8
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2021
xwOBA vs75
FB Velo67
K%43
ERA—
FIP—
K%—
BB%—
K-BB%—
Proj IP—
Statcast · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6795.7
Whiff%
p5626.2%
K%
p4321.1%
xwOBA vs
p750.288

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
201525MIX MLE2 levels3429174717140591185%5.118.2%8.5%9.7%1.7%3.003.55+3.9
201525MIX RAW2 levels3429174717140591185%5.119.5%8.2%11.3%1.5%3.003.33+4.4
201626MLB MLEMiami Marlins25251335841245513100%5.321.2%9.4%11.8%2.3%3.853.79+2.6
201626MLB RAWMiami Marlins25251335841245513100%5.321.2%9.4%11.8%2.2%3.853.75+2.7
201727MIX MLE2 levels3432165738113632694%4.914.6%8.7%5.9%3.8%5.895.07+0.6
201727MIX RAW2 levels3432165738113632694%4.915.3%8.5%6.8%3.5%5.894.92+0.9
201828MIX MLE2 levels6089137875311113%1.519.0%8.4%10.7%3.2%4.574.32+0.2
201828MIX RAW2 levels6089137875311113%1.519.8%8.2%11.6%2.9%4.574.05+0.5
201929MLB MLEMiami Marlins600612835323100%1.018.7%8.1%10.6%3.7%6.534.59-0.0
201929MLB RAWMiami Marlins600612835323100%1.018.7%8.1%10.6%3.5%6.534.63-0.1
202131MIX MLE2 levels44051204502460%1.222.5%12.2%10.3%3.0%3.554.42+0.1
202131MIX RAW2 levels44051204502460%1.224.5%11.8%12.7%2.9%3.554.09+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career—1915643418893741595629%2.319.8%8.4%11.4%3.0%4.714.15+2.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— RAW1915643418893741595629%2.319.8%8.4%11.4%3.0%4.714.12+2.2
/ 200 IP— RAW8826200871172732629%2.319.8%8.4%11.4%3.0%4.714.12+1.0
Career— MLE2579467429045332608337%2.618.4%8.9%9.4%2.9%4.444.25+2.0
/ 200 IP— MLE7628200861158772537%2.618.4%8.9%9.4%2.9%4.444.25+0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAADurham Bulls · 31 IPFIP 4.35 → 4.78 (+0.42)K% 26.6% → 23.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF26.56%—×0.88023.38%
BB% (unintentional) /BF14.06%—×1.05014.77%
HR / BF /BF3.12%÷1.059×1.1003.25%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 112).

Result: FIP 4.35 → 4.78, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 40 IPFIP 4.78 → 5.26 (+0.48)K% 14.2% → 12.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF14.20%—×0.88012.50%
BB% (unintentional) /BF7.95%—×1.0508.35%
HR / BF /BF3.41%÷0.952×1.1003.94%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 90).

Result: FIP 4.78 → 5.26, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 62 IPFIP 4.39 → 4.86 (+0.47)K% 14.9% → 13.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF14.91%—×0.88013.12%
BB% (unintentional) /BF9.09%—×1.0509.55%
HR / BF /BF2.55%÷0.928×1.1003.02%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 86).

Result: FIP 4.39 → 4.86, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 107 IPFIP 3.17 → 3.48 (+0.31)K% 18.6% → 16.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF18.58%—×0.88016.35%
BB% (unintentional) /BF8.94%—×1.0509.39%
HR / BF /BF0.92%÷0.975×1.1001.04%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 95).

Result: FIP 3.17 → 3.48, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).