Joey Butler
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 29 | AAATB | 137 | .333/.416/.575 | 6 | 0 | 124 | — | .286/.343/.476 | |
| 2015 | 29 | MLBTB | 276 | .276/.326/.416 | 8 | 5 | 110 | 0.6 | ||
| 2016 | 30 | AAACLE | 465 | .240/.318/.344 | 8 | 4 | 48 | — | .204/.255/.282 | |
| 2017 | 31 | AAASyracuse Chie… | 90 | .215/.311/.329 | 2 | 0 | 40 | — | .181/.244/.277 | |
| 2018 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 23 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 574 | 522 | 146 | 33 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 146 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 280 | 344 | 416 | 760 | 136 | 367 | 25 | 8 | 340 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 573 | 516 | 143 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 120 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 277 | 343 | 409 | 752 | 132 | 340 | 21 | 8 | 335 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | INTL | Surprise Rafters | — | 63 | 57 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 290 | 404 | 694 | 175 | 256 | 21 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 474 | 426 | 137 | 27 | 5 | 12 | 43 | 138 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 322 | 389 | 493 | 882 | 171 | 451 | 29 | 9 | 390 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 55 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 227 | 382 | 386 | 768 | 159 | 308 | 29 | 13 | 356 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 75 | 63 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 238 | 360 | 365 | 725 | 127 | 333 | 27 | 13 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 584 | 493 | 143 | 28 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 128 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 290 | 396 | 473 | 868 | 183 | 351 | 22 | 14 | 384 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 104 | 87 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 207 | 330 | 299 | 629 | 92 | 274 | 23 | 13 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 15 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 467 | 500 | 967 | 167 | 667 | 40 | 20 | 431 | 163 | +1 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +0 | -0.4 |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 505 | 426 | 124 | 26 | 0 | 12 | 69 | 119 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 291 | 397 | 437 | 834 | 146 | 376 | 24 | 14 | 374 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 106 | 86 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 360 | 481 | 547 | 1.028 | 186 | 409 | 15 | 18 | 455 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 276 | 257 | 71 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 82 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 276 | 326 | 416 | 742 | 140 | 377 | 30 | 6 | 332 | 110 | +3 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 137 | 120 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 416 | 575 | 991 | 242 | 410 | 23 | 10 | 433 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 465 | 413 | 99 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 45 | 106 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 240 | 318 | 344 | 662 | 104 | 303 | 23 | 10 | 300 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 90 | 79 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 311 | 329 | 640 | 114 | 268 | 23 | 12 | 295 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 291 | 269 | 75 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 88 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 279 | 333 | 420 | 753 | 141 | 387 | 30 | 7 | 337 | 114 | +5 | +0 | +1 | -10 | +6 | 0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 574 | 535 | 121 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 196 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 226 | 277 | 333 | 610 | 107 | 332 | 34 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 573 | 534 | 134 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 144 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 251 | 296 | 354 | 650 | 103 | 323 | 25 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 474 | 439 | 114 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 182 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 260 | 313 | 378 | 691 | 118 | 424 | 38 | 6 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 55 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 174 | 309 | 261 | 570 | 87 | 278 | 36 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 584 | 515 | 135 | 26 | 1 | 18 | 57 | 158 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 262 | 344 | 421 | 765 | 159 | 334 | 27 | 10 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 15 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 467 | 500 | 967 | 167 | 667 | 40 | 20 | 409 | 163 | +1 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +0 | -0.4 |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 505 | 445 | 105 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 50 | 157 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 236 | 321 | 351 | 672 | 115 | 331 | 31 | 10 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 106 | 93 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 387 | 441 | 828 | 140 | 362 | 20 | 11 | 368 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 276 | 257 | 70 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 82 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 272 | 322 | 412 | 735 | 140 | 377 | 30 | 6 | 331 | 110 | +3 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 137 | 126 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 343 | 476 | 819 | 190 | 365 | 26 | 6 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 465 | 432 | 88 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 132 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 204 | 255 | 282 | 538 | 79 | 276 | 28 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 90 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 244 | 277 | 522 | 96 | 231 | 28 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 574 | 535 | 121 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 196 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 226 | 277 | 333 | 610 | 107 | 336 | 34 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ RAW | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 574 | 522 | 146 | 33 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 146 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 280 | 344 | 416 | 760 | 136 | 367 | 25 | 8 | 340 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 636 | 592 | 148 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 160 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 250 | 295 | 351 | 647 | 101 | 327 | 25 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 636 | 573 | 156 | 28 | 7 | 12 | 51 | 133 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 272 | 338 | 408 | 746 | 136 | 332 | 21 | 8 | 332 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 604 | 553 | 141 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 40 | 231 | 10 | 20 | 5 | 255 | 317 | 376 | 693 | 121 | 417 | 38 | 7 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 604 | 533 | 162 | 31 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 174 | 10 | 20 | 5 | 304 | 385 | 469 | 854 | 165 | 426 | 29 | 10 | 380 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 688 | 606 | 159 | 31 | 1 | 21 | 67 | 186 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 262 | 345 | 421 | 765 | 158 | 342 | 27 | 10 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 688 | 580 | 161 | 33 | 1 | 21 | 93 | 152 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 278 | 386 | 447 | 832 | 169 | 340 | 22 | 14 | 371 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 520 | 457 | 109 | 23 | 0 | 10 | 53 | 163 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 239 | 326 | 354 | 680 | 116 | 345 | 31 | 10 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 520 | 438 | 128 | 28 | 0 | 12 | 72 | 125 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 292 | 399 | 438 | 838 | 146 | 382 | 24 | 14 | 375 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 106 | 93 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 387 | 441 | 828 | 140 | 362 | 20 | 11 | 368 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 106 | 86 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 360 | 481 | 547 | 1.028 | 186 | 409 | 15 | 18 | 455 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 413 | 383 | 107 | 20 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 118 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 279 | 332 | 439 | 770 | 159 | 373 | 29 | 6 | 338 | 115 | +7 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +9 | 1.3 |
| 2015 | 29 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 413 | 377 | 111 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 113 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 294 | 356 | 467 | 823 | 172 | 388 | 27 | 7 | 365 | 115 | +7 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +9 | 1.3 |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 465 | 432 | 88 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 132 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 204 | 255 | 282 | 538 | 79 | 278 | 28 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 465 | 413 | 99 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 45 | 106 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 240 | 318 | 344 | 662 | 104 | 303 | 23 | 10 | 300 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 90 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 244 | 277 | 522 | 96 | 232 | 28 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA RAW | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 90 | 79 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 311 | 329 | 640 | 114 | 268 | 23 | 12 | 295 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 574 | 531 | 121 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 196 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 228 | 277 | 335 | 613 | 107 | 332 | 34 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 636 | 593 | 148 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 160 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 250 | 295 | 351 | 646 | 101 | 323 | 25 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 604 | 549 | 141 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 40 | 231 | 10 | 20 | 5 | 257 | 317 | 379 | 696 | 122 | 409 | 38 | 7 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 688 | 607 | 159 | 31 | 1 | 21 | 67 | 186 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 262 | 345 | 420 | 765 | 158 | 334 | 27 | 10 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 520 | 456 | 109 | 23 | 0 | 10 | 53 | 163 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 239 | 326 | 355 | 681 | 116 | 341 | 31 | 10 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 106 | 92 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 387 | 446 | 832 | 141 | 362 | 20 | 11 | 368 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 413 | 380 | 107 | 20 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 118 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 282 | 332 | 442 | 774 | 161 | 373 | 29 | 6 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 465 | 432 | 88 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 132 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 204 | 255 | 282 | 538 | 79 | 276 | 28 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 90 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 244 | 277 | 522 | 96 | 231 | 28 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 291 | 269 | 75 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 88 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 279 | 333 | 420 | 753 | 141 | 387 | 30 | 7 | 337 | 86 | +5 | +0 | +1 | -10 | +6 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 601 | 167 | 31 | 0 | 18 | 42 | 197 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 278 | 332 | 419 | 752 | 141 | 386 | 30 | 6 | 337 | 86 | +11 | +0 | +1 | -22 | +14 | 0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4096 | 3734 | 916 | 170 | 15 | 83 | 295 | 1232 | 46 | 55 | 28 | 245 | 308 | 366 | 674 | 120 | 342 | 30 | 7 | 296 | 86 | +5 | +0 | +1 | -10 | +6 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 145 | 27 | 2 | 13 | 47 | 196 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 245 | 308 | 363 | 671 | 118 | 341 | 30 | 7 | 296 | 86 | +11 | +0 | +1 | -22 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 90 PAwOBA .288 → .227 (−61)K% 23.3% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.33% | ÷1.005 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.22% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 7.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×0.962 | 18.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.17% | ÷1.081 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×0.962 | 3.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.980 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.962 | 2.84% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .288 → .227; ISO .114 → .091; BABIP .268 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAColumbus Clippers · 465 PAwOBA .292 → .239 (−52)K% 22.8% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.80% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.25% | ÷1.077 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.10% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 22.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.89% | ÷1.043 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 3.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷0.901 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.61% | ÷1.113 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 1.91% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 93, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .292 → .239; ISO .104 → .082; BABIP .303 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAADurham Bulls · 137 PAwOBA .421 → .351 (−71)K% 22.6% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.63% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.22% | ÷1.148 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.97% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×1.049 | ×0.982 | 25.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.11% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | ×1.049 | ×0.982 | 8.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.049 | ×0.982 | 1.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.74% | ÷1.039 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 5.35% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 105, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .421 → .351; ISO .242 → .199; BABIP .410 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 106 PAwOBA .442 → .368 (−73)K% 15.1% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.09% | ÷0.997 | ×1.290 | — | — | 19.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.98% | ÷1.031 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 11.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.86% | ÷1.034 | ×0.900 | ×1.039 | ×0.992 | 29.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷0.917 | ×0.810 | ×1.039 | ×0.992 | 5.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.039 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.036 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 4.27% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 107, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .442 → .368; ISO .186 → .151; BABIP .409 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAARound Rock Express · 505 PAwOBA .367 → .297 (−70)K% 23.6% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.56% | ÷0.978 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.66% | ÷0.984 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 9.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.01% | ÷1.056 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 25.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.47% | ÷1.009 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 7.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.91% | ÷0.915 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 3.34% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 111, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .367 → .297; ISO .146 → .118; BABIP .376 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAARound Rock Express · 584 PAwOBA .376 → .335 (−41)K% 21.9% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.92% | ÷1.046 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.01% | ÷0.963 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 9.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.75% | ÷0.997 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 24.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.67% | ÷0.925 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 7.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.27% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.48% | ÷0.883 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 4.93% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 99, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 109, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .376 → .335; ISO .183 → .164; BABIP .351 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAARound Rock Express · 474 PAwOBA .379 → .305 (−74)K% 29.1% → 38.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.11% | ÷0.976 | ×1.290 | — | — | 38.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.65% | ÷1.004 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 6.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.29% | ÷1.002 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 31.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷0.970 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 8.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.74% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.087 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 3.09% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .379 → .305; ISO .171 → .123; BABIP .451 → .424. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 55 PAwOBA .348 → .276 (−72)K% 29.1% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.09% | ÷0.993 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.73% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 9.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.27% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 6.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 23.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.968 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 3.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.067 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.132 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 5.04% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 113, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .348 → .276; ISO .159 → .111; BABIP .308 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .