Keon Broxton

PosCF

B/TR/R

Born1990-05-07

Age (2027)37

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2022

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2019	29	MLBSEA	228	.167/.244/.275	6	10	48	-0.3
2021	31	AAAMIL	299	.175/.284/.304	9	12	22	—	.131/.216/.213
2022	32	INTLCharros de Ja…	22	.050/.136/.050	0	0	-43	—
2023	33	No MLB games played
2024	34	No MLB games played
2025	35	No MLB games played
2026	36	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.3

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2017-2019

Speed90

Barrel%57

xwOBA31

Avg EV25

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	19	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	297	272	67	11	9	11	19	93	3	6	1	246	303	474	777	228	331	31	6	335	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	603	531	121	17	19	5	65	172	3	21	13	228	316	360	675	132	328	29	11	303	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A+	Visalia Rawhide	—	483	406	102	14	5	7	62	142	3	27	8	251	355	362	717	111	360	29	13	321	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	85	78	18	0	2	0	7	30	0	6	4	231	294	282	576	51	375	35	8	266	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+	Visalia Rawhide	—	536	490	131	24	1	19	40	136	4	21	8	267	328	437	764	169	332	25	7	339	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA	Mobile BayBears	—	372	334	77	13	3	8	30	116	2	5	1	231	298	359	657	129	325	31	8	292	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	INTL	Sydney Blue Sox	—	166	147	34	7	1	2	17	35	1	11	1	231	315	333	648	102	288	21	10	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	471	407	112	22	9	15	59	122	3	25	6	275	371	484	855	209	357	26	13	376	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	367	312	80	15	8	7	47	105	2	28	9	256	357	423	780	167	356	29	13	344	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA	Altoona Curve	—	204	179	54	12	4	3	19	51	1	11	6	302	372	464	836	162	395	25	9	362	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	244	207	50	10	1	9	36	88	0	23	4	242	354	430	784	188	373	36	15	350	124	+7	+3	+5	+2	+5	2.2
2016	26	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	199	178	51	11	7	8	20	60	1	18	8	287	362	562	924	275	391	30	10	399	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	463	414	91	15	4	20	40	175	7	21	7	220	299	420	720	200	323	38	9	318	100	+0	+1	+6	+2	+10	2.0
2017	27	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	34	26	10	2	0	1	7	8	0	4	0	385	515	577	1.092	192	500	24	21	467	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	89	78	14	2	2	4	11	28	0	5	1	179	281	410	691	231	217	31	12	306	92	-1	+1	+7	+2	+2	1.0
2018	28	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	334	299	76	16	2	10	30	119	2	27	4	254	326	421	748	167	382	36	9	331	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	228	204	34	4	0	6	20	104	1	10	6	167	244	275	519	108	292	46	9	237	48	-14	-0	+6	+1	+5	-0.3
2021	31	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	299	257	45	6	0	9	35	135	4	12	2	175	284	304	587	128	310	45	12	271	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	2	13	0	0	0	50	136	50	186		143	59	9	105	-43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1024	903	189	31	7	39	107	395	8	59	18	209	299	389	687	179	318	39	10	307	94	-8	+5	+23	+6	+22	4.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	19	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	297	279	46	7	6	7	12	134	3	6	1	165	207	308	516	143	270	45	4	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A MLE	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	603	554	98	13	17	4	42	244	3	21	13	177	239	283	522	106	301	40	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	483	424	85	11	3	6	44	186	3	27	8	200	280	283	563	83	316	39	9	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A MLE	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	85	80	13	0	1	0	5	42	0	6	4	163	212	188	399	25	353	49	6	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	536	502	105	16	1	16	28	178	4	21	8	209	257	341	597	131	286	33	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	Mobile BayBears	—	372	343	68	11	3	6	21	142	2	5	1	198	249	300	549	102	306	38	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	471	431	105	19	8	14	35	151	3	25	6	244	305	422	727	179	336	32	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	367	328	75	13	8	7	31	129	2	28	9	229	299	381	680	152	332	35	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	204	185	51	11	3	3	13	62	1	11	6	276	327	416	743	141	371	30	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	244	207	51	11	1	9	36	88	0	23	4	246	358	440	798	193	373	36	15	351	124	+7	+3	+5	+2	+5	2.2
2016	26	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	199	184	36	7	4	6	14	80	1	18	8	196	256	375	631	179	310	40	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	463	415	91	16	4	19	39	175	7	21	7	219	297	414	712	195	323	38	8	316	100	+0	+1	+6	+2	+10	2.0
2017	27	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	34	28	8	1	0	1	5	11	0	4	0	286	394	429	823	143	419	32	15	376	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	89	78	14	2	2	4	11	28	0	5	1	179	281	410	691	231	217	31	12	305	92	-1	+1	+7	+2	+2	1.0
2018	28	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	334	308	52	10	1	6	21	166	2	27	4	169	227	266	493	97	324	50	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	228	204	34	4	0	6	20	104	1	10	6	167	244	275	519	108	292	46	9	239	48	-14	-0	+6	+1	+5	-0.3
2021	31	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	299	267	35	4	0	6	25	158	4	12	2	131	216	213	430	82	270	53	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	297	279	46	7	6	7	12	134	3	6	1	165	207	308	516	143	281	45	4	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	ROK RAW	Missoula Osprey	—	297	272	67	11	9	11	19	93	3	6	1	246	303	474	777	228	331	31	6	335	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A MLE	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	603	554	98	13	17	4	42	244	3	21	13	177	239	283	522	106	307	40	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A RAW	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	603	531	121	17	19	5	65	172	3	21	13	228	316	360	675	132	328	29	11	303	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	568	504	100	11	5	6	49	228	3	33	12	198	273	276	549	77	339	40	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	568	484	120	14	7	7	69	172	3	33	12	248	345	349	694	101	362	30	12	312	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	536	502	105	16	1	16	28	178	4	21	8	209	257	341	597	131	287	33	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	536	490	131	24	1	19	40	136	4	21	8	267	328	437	764	169	332	25	7	339	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	538	497	98	16	4	8	31	206	3	16	2	197	249	294	542	97	315	38	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	538	481	111	20	4	10	47	151	3	16	2	231	303	351	655	121	313	28	9	293	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	471	431	105	19	8	14	35	151	3	25	6	244	305	422	727	179	340	32	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	—	471	407	112	22	9	15	59	122	3	25	6	275	371	484	855	209	357	26	13	376	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	571	513	125	23	11	10	44	191	3	39	15	244	307	390	697	146	358	33	8	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	571	491	134	27	12	10	66	156	3	39	15	273	362	438	800	165	371	27	12	350	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	443	391	85	17	5	14	50	168	1	41	12	217	308	394	702	176	340	38	11	315	100	-0	+3	+5	+2	+10	1.9
2016	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	443	385	101	21	8	17	56	148	1	41	12	262	357	491	848	229	382	33	13	372	100	-0	+3	+5	+2	+10	1.9
2017	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	497	443	100	17	4	20	44	186	7	25	7	226	306	418	723	192	335	37	9	320	103	+2	+2	+6	+2	+11	2.3
2017	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	497	440	101	17	4	21	47	183	7	25	7	230	314	430	743	200	336	37	9	329	103	+2	+2	+6	+2	+11	2.3
2018	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	423	386	66	13	3	9	32	194	2	32	5	171	238	290	528	119	306	46	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	423	377	90	18	4	14	41	147	2	32	5	239	317	419	736	180	347	35	10	325	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	228	204	34	4	0	6	20	104	1	10	6	167	244	275	519	108	292	46	9	239	48	-14	-0	+6	+1	+5	-0.3
2019	29	MLB RAW	Seattle Mariners	—	228	204	34	4	0	6	20	104	1	10	6	167	244	275	519	108	292	46	9	237	48	-14	-0	+6	+1	+5	-0.3
2021	31	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	299	267	35	4	0	6	25	158	4	12	2	131	216	213	430	82	274	53	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	299	257	45	6	0	9	35	135	4	12	2	175	284	304	587	128	310	45	12	271	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	INTL MLE	Charros de Jalisco	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	2	13	0	0	0	50	136	50	186		143	59	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	INTL RAW	Charros de Jalisco	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	2	13	0	0	0	50	136	50	186		143	59	9	105	-43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	297	280	46	7	6	7	12	134	3	6	1	164	207	307	515	143	270	45	4	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A MLE	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	603	553	98	13	17	4	42	244	3	21	13	177	239	284	523	107	301	40	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	568	511	100	11	5	6	49	228	3	33	12	196	273	272	545	76	322	40	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	536	499	105	16	1	16	28	178	4	21	8	210	257	343	599	132	286	33	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	538	499	98	16	4	8	31	206	3	16	2	196	249	293	541	96	306	38	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	471	430	105	19	8	14	35	151	3	25	6	244	305	423	728	179	336	32	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	571	519	125	23	11	10	44	191	3	39	15	241	307	385	692	145	346	33	8	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	443	389	85	17	5	14	50	168	1	41	12	219	308	396	704	177	345	38	11	315	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	497	443	100	17	4	20	44	186	7	25	7	226	306	418	723	192	329	37	9	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	423	386	66	13	3	9	32	194	2	32	5	171	238	290	528	119	302	46	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	228	205	34	4	0	6	20	104	1	10	6	166	244	273	518	107	292	46	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	299	268	35	4	0	6	25	158	4	12	2	131	216	213	429	82	270	53	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1024	903	189	31	7	39	107	395	8	59	18	209	299	389	687	179	318	39	10	307	64	-8	+5	+23	+6	+22	4.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	120	20	4	25	68	251	5	37	11	209	299	389	688	180	318	39	10	307	64	-5	+3	+15	+4	+14	3.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5496	4991	998	160	64	120	414	2155	37	281	89	200	266	330	596	130	319	39	8	262	64	-8	+5	+23	+6	+22	4.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	118	19	8	14	49	255	4	33	11	200	266	331	596	131	320	39	8	262	64	-5	+3	+15	+4	+14	3.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAANashville Sounds · 299 PAwOBA .267 → .201 (−66)K% 45.2% → 52.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	45.15%	÷1.024	×1.200	—	—	52.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.71%	÷0.946	×0.690	—	×0.962	8.21%
HBP% /PA	1.34%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.21%
Singles /BIP	24.59%	÷0.966	×0.930	×0.988	×0.962	22.50%
Doubles /BIP	4.92%	÷1.030	×0.830	×0.988	×0.962	3.77%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.988	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.38%	÷0.915	×0.700	—	×0.962	5.43%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 93, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 105, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .267 → .201; ISO .128 → .088; BABIP .310 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 334 PAwOBA .325 → .219 (−106)K% 35.6% → 49.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.63%	÷0.925	×1.290	—	—	49.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.98%	÷0.985	×0.710	—	×0.992	6.42%
HBP% /PA	0.60%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	0.58%
Singles /BIP	26.67%	÷1.014	×0.900	×1.018	×0.992	23.88%
Doubles /BIP	8.89%	÷1.014	×0.810	×1.018	×0.992	7.17%
Triples /BIP	1.11%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.018	×0.992	0.79%
Home runs /BIP	5.56%	÷1.124	×0.780	—	×0.992	3.82%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 85, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .325 → .219; ISO .167 → .098; BABIP .382 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 34 PAwOBA .469 → .376 (−93)K% 23.5% → 31.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.53%	÷0.953	×1.290	—	—	31.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.59%	÷0.995	×0.710	—	×1.003	14.73%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	38.89%	÷1.018	×0.900	—	×1.003	34.48%
Doubles /BIP	11.11%	÷1.163	×0.810	—	×1.003	7.76%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.56%	÷0.933	×0.780	—	×1.003	4.66%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 104, 2B 133, 3B 130, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .469 → .376; ISO .192 → .152; BABIP .500 → .419. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 199 PAwOBA .388 → .272 (−117)K% 30.2% → 40.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.15%	÷0.964	×1.290	—	—	40.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.05%	÷1.052	×0.710	—	×1.018	6.91%
HBP% /PA	0.50%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.50%
Singles /BIP	21.19%	÷1.046	×0.900	×1.002	×1.018	18.60%
Doubles /BIP	9.32%	÷1.196	×0.810	×1.002	×1.018	6.44%
Triples /BIP	5.93%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.002	×1.018	4.26%
Home runs /BIP	6.78%	÷0.973	×0.780	—	×1.018	5.53%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 109, 2B 139, 3B 130, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .388 → .272; ISO .275 → .184; BABIP .391 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 367 PAwOBA .340 → .294 (−46)K% 28.6% → 35.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.61%	÷0.977	×1.200	—	—	35.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.81%	÷1.077	×0.690	—	×1.033	8.48%
HBP% /PA	0.54%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.53%
Singles /BIP	24.15%	÷1.044	×0.930	×1.031	×1.033	22.91%
Doubles /BIP	7.25%	÷1.050	×0.830	×1.031	×1.033	6.10%
Triples /BIP	3.86%	÷1.041	×0.970	×1.031	×1.033	3.83%
Home runs /BIP	3.38%	÷0.847	×0.840	—	×1.033	3.47%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 109, 2B 110, 3B 108, K 95, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .340 → .294; ISO .167 → .159; BABIP .356 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAltoona Curve · 204 PAwOBA .359 → .317 (−42)K% 25.0% → 30.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷1.005	×1.220	—	—	30.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.31%	÷1.004	×0.700	—	×0.998	6.48%
HBP% /PA	0.49%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.42%
Singles /BIP	27.34%	÷0.997	×0.970	×0.999	×0.998	26.53%
Doubles /BIP	9.38%	÷0.953	×0.860	×0.999	×0.998	8.44%
Triples /BIP	3.12%	÷1.150	×0.950	×0.999	×0.998	2.57%
Home runs /BIP	2.34%	÷0.912	×0.780	—	×0.998	2.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .359 → .317; ISO .162 → .140; BABIP .395 → .371. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAltoona Curve · 471 PAwOBA .364 → .316 (−48)K% 25.9% → 32.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.90%	÷0.986	×1.220	—	—	32.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.25%	÷1.078	×0.700	—	×1.012	7.39%
HBP% /PA	0.64%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.55%
Singles /BIP	23.16%	÷1.017	×0.970	×1.018	×1.012	22.76%
Doubles /BIP	7.72%	÷1.020	×0.860	×1.018	×1.012	6.71%
Triples /BIP	3.16%	÷1.150	×0.950	×1.018	×1.012	2.69%
Home runs /BIP	5.26%	÷0.833	×0.780	—	×1.012	4.99%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 103, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 97, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .364 → .316; ISO .209 → .188; BABIP .357 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAMobile BayBears · 372 PAwOBA .286 → .238 (−48)K% 31.2% → 38.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.18%	÷0.993	×1.220	—	—	38.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.06%	÷0.994	×0.680	—	×1.027	5.67%
HBP% /PA	0.54%	—	×0.840	—	×1.027	0.46%
Singles /BIP	24.31%	÷1.022	×0.920	×1.042	×1.027	23.43%
Doubles /BIP	5.96%	÷1.089	×0.910	×1.042	×1.027	5.33%
Triples /BIP	1.38%	÷1.023	×0.880	×1.042	×1.027	1.27%
Home runs /BIP	3.67%	÷1.071	×0.800	—	×1.027	2.81%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 104, 2B 118, 3B 105, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.

Result: wOBA .286 → .238; ISO .129 → .101; BABIP .325 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .