Richard Bleier
P
Rochester Red Wings
Age 39
LHP
6'3" / 238 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION9 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.29
FIP4.61
xFIP4.50
SIERA4.26
K%17.7%
BB%7.7%
K-BB%10.0%
IP10
K†4040
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p1088.9
Whiff%
p1017.9%
K%
p1012.1%
xwOBA vs
p340.331
CT+2.4
FB-1.1
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | 28 | 26 | 172 | 682 | 65 | 15 | 6 | 8.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.57 | 3.32 | +4.2 |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB | New York Yankees | 35 | 10 | 81 | 332 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 10.5% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 3.22 | 3.17 | +1.7 |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 65 | 0 | 78 | 317 | 41 | 10 | 6 | 12.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.73 | 3.42 | +1.4 |
| 2018 | 31 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 31 | 0 | 33 | 133 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 11.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 2.43 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 32 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 57 | 2 | 59 | 252 | 32 | 7 | 6 | 12.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.16 | 3.65 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 33 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 21 | 0 | 17 | 67 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 16.4% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 2.16 | 2.28 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 34 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 68 | 0 | 58 | 225 | 44 | 3 | 4 | 19.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.95 | 2.65 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 35 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 57 | 2 | 53 | 232 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 14.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 3.40 | 3.07 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 36 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 36 | 1 | 41 | 177 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 12.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.83 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 37 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 15 | 0 | 17 | 68 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 12.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.32 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | MLB | WSH | 10 | — | 10 | 41 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 40 | MLB | WSH | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 4.74 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 413 | 41 | 608 | 2485 | 294 | 72 | 38 | 11.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 3.06 | 3.30 | +15.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 136 | 13 | 200 | 817 | 97 | 24 | 12 | 11.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 3.06 | 3.30 | +4.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Richard Bleier (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 17.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% | — | 5.04 | 16.5% | 8.2% | 20 | +0.43 | — | — | — |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.62 | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 199 | 60 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2023 · 3.84 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 101 | 49 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2023 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.65 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 109 | 46 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2024 · 4.15 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.15 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.7% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 149 | 44 |
| Mauricio Lara L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SP- | 3.73 | 12.0% | 6.3% | 1.5% | .301 | 4.73 | 12.3% | 5.5% | 111 | +1.00 | 3.57 | 444 | 43 |
| Rich Hill L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 39 | SW | 3.83 | 29.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | .264 | 3.90 | 21.6% | 13.5% | 322 | +0.07 | 2.10 | 1,030 | 42 |
| CC Sabathia L 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 39 | SP- | 5.17 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 756 | 39 |
| Matt Belisle R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.59 | 15.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 174 | 38 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2025 · 5.49 FIP | 38 | SW | 5.49 | 15.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 225 | 37 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.77 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 3.1% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 174 | 36 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2024 · 5.53 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.53 | 14.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.98 | 211 | 34 |
| Chris Young R 2025 · 5.65 FIP | 38 | SU | 5.65 | 14.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | .374 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 242 | 34 |
| Brad Ziegler R 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.88 | 16.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.61 | 257 | 34 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.72 | 25.5% | 11.3% | 2.5% | .258 | 4.35 | 21.6% | 11.7% | 50 | +0.63 | 3.72 | 164 | 33 |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.66 | 13.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | .388 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 119 | 32 |
| Logan Duran R 2024 · 3.58 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.58 | 15.5% | 8.9% | 1.2% | .427 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 187 | 32 |
| Luis Ayala R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.94 | 15.9% | 11.7% | 1.3% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 119 | 32 |
| Darren O'Day R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.59 | 27.7% | 8.5% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.04 | 215 | 32 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 39 | SW | 3.44 | 26.1% | 12.0% | 1.9% | .288 | 3.51 | 25.4% | 14.2% | 167 | +0.07 | 2.67 | 295 | 31 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.08 | 16.8% | 15.2% | 0.9% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 219 | 30 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.