Dan Black

Pos1B

B/TS/R

Born1987-07-02

Age (2027)40

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2016

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	27	AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs	529	.273/.371/.453	17	4	103	—	.231/.288/.360
2015	28	AAACWS	140	.324/.460/.568	6	0	135	—	.285/.367/.455
2016	29	AAA/INTL2 orgs	424	.298/.398/.442	12	2	91	—	.245/.306/.332

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	22	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	238	196	41	7	2	1	31	49	8	1	1	209	340	281	621	71	268	21	13	294	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	ROK	Bristol White Sox	—	236	208	60	15	2	6	23	47	3	1	0	288	368	466	834	178	344	20	10	367	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	573	510	146	41	6	18	50	109	7	7	5	286	358	496	854	210	329	19	9	372	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	573	500	157	29	2	17	64	92	3	5	2	314	394	482	876	168	354	16	11	386	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	551	449	130	28	1	17	91	98	4	7	2	290	414	470	884	180	334	18	17	391	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	145	122	33	11	0	5	21	31	0	2	0	270	378	484	861	213	318	21	14	376	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	189	165	44	8	0	6	21	42	0	0	0	267	349	424	774	158	317	22	11	342	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	196	169	44	11	0	5	22	34	1	3	1	260	349	414	763	154	293	17	11	336	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	144	116	35	11	0	6	24	22	2	1	0	302	430	552	981	250	322	15	17	424	173	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	140	111	36	5	2	6	27	24	1	0	0	324	460	568	1.028	243	366	17	19	447	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	339	292	89	13	0	10	45	59	0	2	0	305	398	452	850	147	351	17	13	379	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	INTL	Toros del Este	—	85	70	19	3	0	2	15	15	0	0	0	271	400	400	800	129	321	18	18	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	238	207	36	6	2	1	20	66	8	1	1	174	272	237	509	63	235	28	8	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	ROK MLE	Bristol White Sox	—	236	217	42	10	1	4	14	67	3	1	0	194	252	304	556	111	254	28	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	573	532	123	35	5	14	28	140	7	7	5	231	279	395	673	164	280	24	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	573	528	137	24	2	15	37	134	3	5	2	259	312	398	709	138	313	23	6	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	551	484	123	25	1	14	56	129	4	7	2	254	336	397	733	143	308	23	10	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	189	172	41	7	0	5	14	52	0	0	0	238	296	366	662	128	291	28	7	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	196	178	40	11	0	4	13	44	1	3	1	225	281	354	635	129	260	22	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	140	123	35	5	2	4	15	30	1	0	0	285	367	455	822	171	337	21	11	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	339	310	76	9	0	6	27	79	0	2	0	245	306	332	638	87	306	23	8	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	238	207	36	6	2	1	20	66	8	1	1	174	272	237	509	63	245	28	8	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	238	196	41	7	2	1	31	49	8	1	1	209	340	281	621	71	268	21	13	294	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	ROK MLE	Bristol White Sox	—	236	217	42	10	1	4	14	67	3	1	0	194	252	304	556	111	257	28	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	ROK RAW	Bristol White Sox	—	236	208	60	15	2	6	23	47	3	1	0	288	368	466	834	178	344	20	10	367	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	573	532	123	35	5	14	28	140	7	7	5	231	279	395	673	164	284	24	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A RAW	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	573	510	146	41	6	18	50	109	7	7	5	286	358	496	854	210	329	19	9	372	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	573	528	137	24	2	15	37	134	3	5	2	259	312	398	709	138	318	23	6	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	—	573	500	157	29	2	17	64	92	3	5	2	314	394	482	876	168	354	16	11	386	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	696	613	155	31	1	18	70	163	4	9	2	253	333	395	728	142	313	23	10	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	696	571	163	39	1	22	112	129	4	9	2	285	406	473	879	187	331	19	16	388	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	529	480	110	24	0	12	37	131	3	4	1	229	288	354	643	125	284	25	7	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AA RAW	3 teams	—	529	450	123	30	0	17	67	98	3	4	1	273	371	453	824	180	309	19	13	362	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	140	123	35	5	2	4	15	30	1	0	0	285	367	455	822	171	344	21	11	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	—	140	111	36	5	2	6	27	24	1	0	0	324	460	568	1.028	243	366	17	19	447	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	424	388	95	12	0	7	34	99	0	2	0	245	306	330	636	85	310	23	8	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	424	362	108	16	0	12	60	74	0	2	0	298	398	442	840	144	345	17	14	377	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	238	208	36	6	2	1	20	66	8	1	1	173	272	236	508	62	235	28	8	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	ROK MLE	Bristol White Sox	—	236	217	42	10	1	4	14	67	3	1	0	194	252	304	556	111	254	28	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	573	533	123	35	5	14	28	140	7	7	5	231	279	394	673	163	280	24	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	573	528	137	24	2	15	37	134	3	5	2	259	312	398	709	138	313	23	6	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	696	617	155	31	1	18	70	163	4	9	2	251	333	392	726	141	308	23	10	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	529	484	110	24	0	12	37	131	3	4	1	227	288	351	640	124	275	25	7	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	140	123	35	5	2	4	15	30	1	0	0	285	367	455	822	171	337	21	11	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	424	387	95	12	0	7	34	99	0	2	0	245	306	331	636	85	306	23	8	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3409	3088	733	147	13	75	255	830	29	29	11	237	302	366	668	129	297	24	7	295	86	-58	+1	+0	-61	+74	-4.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	139	28	2	14	49	158	6	6	2	236	302	362	663	126	296	24	8	295	86	-11	+0	+0	-12	+14	-0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 339 PAwOBA .367 → .287 (−80)K% 17.4% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.40%	÷0.894	×1.200	—	—	23.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.80%	÷1.001	×0.690	—	×0.982	7.98%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	28.33%	÷1.027	×0.930	×1.038	×0.982	26.15%
Doubles /BIP	5.58%	÷1.188	×0.830	×1.038	×0.982	3.98%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.038	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.29%	÷1.183	×0.700	—	×0.982	2.49%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 105, 2B 138, 3B 130, K 79, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .367 → .287; ISO .147 → .091; BABIP .351 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAACharlotte Knights · 140 PAwOBA .429 → .368 (−61)K% 17.1% → 21.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.14%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	21.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.71%	÷1.017	×0.690	—	×0.992	10.58%
HBP% /PA	0.71%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.67%
Singles /BIP	26.44%	÷0.973	×0.930	×1.025	×0.992	25.69%
Doubles /BIP	5.75%	÷0.993	×0.830	×1.025	×0.992	4.88%
Triples /BIP	2.30%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.025	×0.992	1.97%
Home runs /BIP	6.90%	÷1.306	×0.840	—	×0.992	4.40%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .429 → .368; ISO .243 → .188; BABIP .366 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AABirmingham Barons · 196 PAwOBA .329 → .279 (−50)K% 17.3% → 22.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.35%	÷0.955	×1.220	—	—	22.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.20%	÷1.057	×0.680	—	×0.978	6.42%
HBP% /PA	0.51%	—	×0.840	—	×0.978	0.42%
Singles /BIP	20.74%	÷1.021	×0.920	×0.981	×0.978	17.92%
Doubles /BIP	8.15%	÷0.903	×0.910	×0.981	×0.978	7.88%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.065	×0.880	×0.981	×0.978	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷0.967	×0.800	—	×0.978	3.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 104, 2B 81, 3B 113, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .329 → .279; ISO .154 → .139; BABIP .293 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAACharlotte Knights · 189 PAwOBA .338 → .283 (−56)K% 22.2% → 27.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.22%	÷0.975	×1.200	—	—	27.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.11%	÷1.012	×0.690	—	×1.003	7.60%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.39%	÷0.966	×0.930	×0.988	×1.003	23.29%
Doubles /BIP	6.50%	÷0.977	×0.830	×0.988	×1.003	5.48%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.910	×0.970	×0.988	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.88%	÷1.118	×0.840	—	×1.003	3.68%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 93, 2B 95, 3B 82, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .338 → .283; ISO .158 → .123; BABIP .317 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AABirmingham Barons · 551 PAwOBA .380 → .323 (−56)K% 17.8% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.79%	÷0.926	×1.220	—	—	23.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.06%	÷1.001	×0.680	—	×0.988	10.11%
HBP% /PA	0.73%	—	×0.840	—	×0.988	0.60%
Singles /BIP	23.93%	÷0.990	×0.920	×1.042	×0.988	22.91%
Doubles /BIP	7.98%	÷1.096	×0.910	×1.042	×0.988	6.82%
Triples /BIP	0.28%	÷1.150	×0.880	×1.042	×0.988	0.22%
Home runs /BIP	4.84%	÷0.991	×0.800	—	×0.988	3.86%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 119, 3B 130, K 85, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.

Result: wOBA .380 → .323; ISO .180 → .152; BABIP .334 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 573 PAwOBA .378 → .310 (−68)K% 16.1% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.06%	÷0.974	×1.420	—	—	23.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.65%	÷1.016	×0.630	—	×0.978	6.45%
HBP% /PA	0.52%	—	×0.860	—	×0.978	0.44%
Singles /BIP	26.72%	÷1.034	×0.940	×1.011	×0.978	24.01%
Doubles /BIP	7.11%	÷0.958	×0.830	×1.011	×0.978	6.09%
Triples /BIP	0.49%	÷1.030	×0.800	×1.011	×0.978	0.38%
Home runs /BIP	4.17%	÷0.960	×0.900	—	×0.978	3.82%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 106, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .378 → .310; ISO .168 → .146; BABIP .354 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AKannapolis Intimidators · 573 PAwOBA .362 → .293 (−70)K% 19.0% → 24.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.02%	÷1.042	×1.340	—	—	24.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.68%	÷1.032	×0.660	—	×0.980	4.81%
HBP% /PA	1.22%	—	×0.770	—	×0.980	0.92%
Singles /BIP	20.20%	÷1.055	×0.920	×1.003	×0.980	17.33%
Doubles /BIP	10.22%	÷0.945	×0.820	×1.003	×0.980	8.73%
Triples /BIP	1.50%	÷1.013	×0.940	×1.003	×0.980	1.37%
Home runs /BIP	4.49%	÷1.023	×0.820	—	×0.980	3.53%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 111, 2B 89, 3B 103, K 108, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .362 → .293; ISO .210 → .173; BABIP .329 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 ROKBristol White Sox · 236 PAwOBA .359 → .249 (−111)K% 19.9% → 28.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.92%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	28.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.32%	÷1.000	×0.640	—	×0.965	5.76%
HBP% /PA	1.27%	—	×0.740	—	×0.965	0.91%
Singles /BIP	22.98%	÷1.000	×0.840	×0.954	×0.965	17.77%
Doubles /BIP	9.32%	÷1.000	×0.740	×0.954	×0.965	6.35%
Triples /BIP	1.24%	÷1.000	×0.740	×0.954	×0.965	0.85%
Home runs /BIP	3.73%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.965	2.88%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .359 → .249; ISO .178 → .123; BABIP .344 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .