Anthony Bass projections, WAR, contract

Anthony Bass P Toronto Blue Jays

Age 38 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 98

ERA4.29

FIP4.29

K%23.8%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%14.7%

ROS IP47

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4894.4

Whiff%

p8530.8%

p4621.6%

xwOBA vs

p200.347

SL+3.4

FB-4.8

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2011	23	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	27	3	48	198	24	20	3	11%	1.8	12.1%	10.1%	2.0%	1.5%	1.68	4.17	+0.2
2011	23	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	27	3	48	198	24	20	3	11%	1.8	12.1%	10.1%	2.0%	1.5%	1.68	4.16	+0.2
2012	24	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	24	15	97	411	80	36	10	62%	4.0	19.5%	8.8%	10.7%	2.4%	4.73	3.87	+1.2
2012	24	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	24	15	97	411	80	36	10	62%	4.0	19.5%	8.8%	10.7%	2.4%	4.73	3.90	+1.2
2013	25	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	24	0	42	193	31	16	4	0%	1.8	16.1%	8.3%	7.8%	2.0%	5.36	3.90	+0.3
2013	25	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	24	0	42	193	31	16	4	0%	1.8	16.1%	8.3%	7.8%	2.1%	5.36	4.00	+0.3
2014	26	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	21	0	27	119	7	6	6	0%	1.3	5.9%	5.0%	0.8%	5.2%	6.33	6.09	-0.5
2014	26	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	21	0	27	119	7	6	6	0%	1.3	5.9%	5.0%	0.8%	5.0%	6.33	6.14	-0.5
2015	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	68	294	48	20	5	0%	2.0	16.5%	7.0%	9.6%	1.8%	4.87	3.56	+0.8
2015	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	68	294	48	20	5	0%	2.0	16.3%	6.8%	9.5%	1.7%	4.87	3.52	+0.8
2017	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	14	90	393	97	30	9	61%	3.9	23.6%	9.1%	14.6%	2.1%	4.80	3.42	+1.6
2017	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	14	90	393	97	30	9	61%	3.9	24.7%	7.6%	17.0%	2.3%	4.80	3.24	+1.8
2018	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	47	197	39	9	4	0%	1.1	18.3%	4.7%	13.6%	2.4%	3.23	3.44	+0.6
2018	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	47	197	39	9	4	0%	1.1	19.8%	4.6%	15.2%	2.0%	3.23	3.12	+0.8
2019	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	0	68	269	62	20	6	0%	1.1	22.2%	7.5%	14.7%	2.3%	3.16	3.46	+0.9
2019	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	63	0	68	269	62	20	6	0%	1.1	23.0%	7.4%	15.6%	2.2%	3.16	3.30	+1.0
2020	32	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	26	0	26	100	21	7	2	0%	1.0	21.0%	7.0%	14.0%	2.0%	3.51	3.31	+0.4
2020	32	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	26	0	26	100	21	7	2	0%	1.0	21.0%	7.0%	14.0%	2.0%	3.51	3.29	+0.4
2021	33	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	70	1	61	260	58	18	11	1%	0.9	22.3%	6.9%	15.4%	4.5%	3.82	4.54	+0.0
2021	33	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	70	1	61	260	58	18	11	1%	0.9	22.3%	6.9%	15.4%	4.2%	3.82	4.42	+0.1
2022	34	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	73	0	70	275	73	19	6	0%	1.0	26.5%	6.9%	19.6%	2.2%	1.54	2.93	+1.4
2022	34	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	73	0	70	275	73	19	6	0%	1.0	26.5%	6.9%	19.6%	2.2%	1.54	2.94	+1.3
2023	35	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	22	0	20	88	19	7	3	0%	0.9	21.6%	8.0%	13.6%	3.4%	4.95	4.16	+0.1
2023	35	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	22	0	20	88	19	7	3	0%	0.9	21.6%	8.0%	13.6%	3.4%	4.95	4.16	+0.1
2023	35	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	22	0	20	88	19	7	3	0%	0.9	21.6%	8.0%	13.6%	3.4%	4.95	4.20	+0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			382	19	525	2198	416	166	57	5%	1.4	18.9%	7.6%	11.4%	2.6%	3.91	3.88	+4.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	38	MLB	TOR	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.8%	9.1%	14.7%	3.0%	4.29	4.29	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	39	MLB MLE	TOR	38	0	40	169	38	17	6	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.8%	12.8%	3.5%	4.55	4.72	-0.1
2027	39	MLB CTX	TOR	38	0	40	169	38	17	6	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.8%	12.8%	3.5%	4.55	4.72	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		420	19	565	2367	454	183	63	5%	1.3	19.2%	7.7%	11.5%	2.7%	3.96	3.91	+4.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		149	7	200	838	161	65	22	5%	1.3	19.2%	7.7%	11.5%	2.7%	3.96	3.91	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		451	33	666	2797	550	215	70	7%	1.5	19.7%	7.7%	12.0%	2.5%	3.91	3.78	+4.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	10	200	840	165	65	21	7%	1.5	19.7%	7.7%	12.0%	2.5%	3.91	3.78	+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Bass (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.29	23.8%	9.1%	3.0%	—	4.72	22.6%	12.8%	40	+0.43	—	—	—
Juan Sandoval R 2019 · 5.41 FIP	38	SU	5.41	15.9%	7.2%	5.0%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	225	70
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	68
Keiichi Yabu R 2008 · 3.48 FIP	39	SU	3.48	15.9%	9.3%	1.0%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	126	68
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	66
Chris Nichting R 2002 · 4.67 FIP	36	SU	4.67	16.6%	3.3%	4.6%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	103	65
Billy Taylor R 2000 · 4.53 FIP	38	SU	4.53	21.0%	11.3%	3.2%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	323	64
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	58
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	56
Brian Sweeney R 2010 · 4.63 FIP	36	SU	4.63	9.5%	3.4%	3.5%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	108	51
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2020 · 5.02 FIP	36	SU	5.02	17.5%	12.7%	3.3%	.381	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	132	51
Tony Pena Jr. R 2017 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	10.9%	4.3%	1.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	128	50
Jonathan Castellanos R 2019 · 5.24 FIP	37	SW	5.24	11.0%	9.0%	3.5%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	394	39
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	38
Hisanori Takahashi L 2012 · 4.04 FIP	37	SU	4.04	24.5%	6.1%	4.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	240	36

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	51	19.5%	8.7%	1.04	3.98
Guillermo Mota ('12)	4.3	61	19.3%	9.2%	0.95	3.94
Darren Holmes ('03)	3.4	62	19.6%	8.6%	0.83	4.25
Matt Albers ('19)	3.8	63	17.4%	9.5%	1.03	4.35
Stan Belinda ('00)	3.4	61	21.3%	9.9%	1.13	4.12
Joe Borowski ('08)	2.3	57	18.9%	9.0%	1.05	4.18
Joba Chamberlain ('16)	2.8	56	22.8%	9.4%	0.92	3.81