Xavier Avery

PosLF

B/TL/L

Born1990-01-01

Age (2027)37

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2016	26	AAABAL	347	.248/.333/.363	6	18	57	—	.206/.269/.308
2017	27	AAAGwinnett Brav…	436	.259/.363/.456	14	21	84	—	.218/.294/.382
2018	28	AAAATL	278	.261/.357/.365	4	9	63	—	.214/.285/.294

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2008	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	192	175	49	8	1	0	10	51	4	13	3	280	333	337	670	57	395	27	5	302	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	509	473	124	15	8	2	27	111	4	30	10	262	308	340	648	78	337	22	5	290	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	120	107	25	6	0	3	7	34	2	10	0	234	293	374	667	140	306	28	6	290	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A+	Frederick Keys	—	498	447	125	25	6	4	42	96	6	28	14	280	349	389	739	110	348	19	8	332	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	85	69	13	2	2	0	9	16	1	6	1	188	291	275	567	87	245	19	11	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	627	557	144	31	2	4	49	156	5	36	14	259	324	343	666	84	352	25	8	297	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	127	111	32	4	5	0	16	25	0	9	1	288	378	414	792	126	372	20	13	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	107	94	21	6	1	1	11	23	0	6	3	223	305	340	645	117	286	21	10	288	80	-3	+0	-3	-6	+2	-0.9
2012	22	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	458	390	92	13	5	8	51	106	5	22	7	236	332	356	688	121	301	23	11	307	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	347	307	76	13	2	3	32	74	2	18	5	248	323	332	655	85	315	21	9	295	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	186	160	48	10	2	1	23	44	1	12	3	300	391	406	798	106	409	24	12	358	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	447	400	110	21	2	10	42	91	1	31	8	275	345	412	758	137	332	20	9	337	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	531	476	134	22	4	6	44	119	3	19	13	282	346	382	728	101	360	22	8	325	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	347	303	75	15	1	6	37	123	2	18	2	248	333	363	696	116	394	35	11	313	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	436	371	96	21	5	14	59	159	2	21	7	259	363	456	819	197	408	36	14	361	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	278	241	63	11	1	4	36	93	0	9	2	261	357	365	723	104	407	33	13	330	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	107	94	21	6	1	1	11	23	0	6	3	223	305	340	645	117	286	21	10	288	81	-2	+0	-3	-6	+2	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2008	18	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	—	192	179	37	5	1	0	6	74	4	13	3	207	249	246	494	39	337	39	3	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	509	481	114	12	8	2	19	149	4	30	10	237	272	308	580	71	332	29	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	120	109	25	6	0	2	5	43	2	10	0	229	276	339	615	110	319	36	4	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	498	461	116	22	6	3	28	133	6	28	14	252	303	345	648	93	342	27	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	627	573	152	29	2	3	34	184	5	36	14	265	312	339	651	73	370	29	5	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	107	94	21	6	1	1	11	23	0	6	3	223	305	340	645	117	286	21	10	286	80	-3	+0	-3	-6	+2	-0.9
2012	22	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	458	406	92	12	6	8	35	127	5	22	7	227	296	345	641	118	295	28	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	347	316	75	12	2	3	23	93	2	18	5	237	293	316	610	79	313	27	7	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	186	169	50	11	2	1	14	54	1	12	3	296	353	402	756	107	418	29	8	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	447	414	101	19	2	8	28	115	1	31	8	244	293	357	651	114	315	26	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	531	488	127	19	4	5	32	139	3	19	13	260	310	346	656	86	343	26	6	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	347	315	65	12	1	6	25	150	2	18	2	206	269	308	577	102	356	43	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	436	390	85	18	5	12	40	193	2	21	7	218	294	382	676	164	378	44	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	278	252	54	9	1	3	25	117	0	9	2	214	285	294	579	79	380	42	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	—	192	179	37	5	1	0	6	74	4	13	3	207	249	246	494	39	352	39	3	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK RAW	GCL Orioles	—	192	175	49	8	1	0	10	51	4	13	3	280	333	337	670	57	395	27	5	302	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	509	481	114	12	8	2	19	149	4	30	10	237	272	308	580	71	337	29	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	509	473	124	15	8	2	27	111	4	30	10	262	308	340	648	78	337	22	5	290	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	703	644	160	32	6	6	37	200	9	44	15	248	299	345	643	96	349	28	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	703	623	163	33	8	7	58	146	9	44	15	262	333	374	707	112	330	21	8	314	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	754	693	184	35	3	4	41	221	5	45	15	266	311	342	653	76	384	29	5	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	754	668	176	35	7	4	65	181	5	45	15	263	333	355	688	91	355	24	9	307	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	565	500	113	18	7	9	46	150	5	28	10	226	298	344	642	118	302	27	8	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	565	484	113	19	6	9	62	129	5	28	10	233	327	353	680	120	298	23	11	303	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	485	122	22	4	3	37	147	3	30	8	252	309	332	641	80	353	28	7	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	533	467	124	23	4	4	55	118	3	30	8	266	347	358	704	92	346	22	10	317	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	447	414	101	19	2	8	28	115	1	31	8	244	293	357	651	114	317	26	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	—	447	400	110	21	2	10	42	91	1	31	8	275	345	412	758	137	332	20	9	337	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	531	488	127	19	4	5	32	139	3	19	13	260	310	346	656	86	350	26	6	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	—	531	476	134	22	4	6	44	119	3	19	13	282	346	382	728	101	360	22	8	325	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	347	315	65	12	1	6	25	150	2	18	2	206	269	308	577	102	369	43	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	—	347	303	75	15	1	6	37	123	2	18	2	248	333	363	696	116	394	35	11	313	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	436	390	85	18	5	12	40	193	2	21	7	218	294	382	676	164	388	44	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Braves	—	436	371	96	21	5	14	59	159	2	21	7	259	363	456	819	197	408	36	14	361	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	278	252	54	9	1	3	25	117	0	9	2	214	285	294	579	79	383	42	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	—	278	241	63	11	1	4	36	93	0	9	2	261	357	365	723	104	407	33	13	330	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	—	192	180	37	5	1	0	6	74	4	13	3	206	249	244	493	39	337	39	3	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	509	481	114	12	8	2	19	149	4	30	10	237	272	308	580	71	332	29	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	703	651	160	32	6	6	37	200	9	44	15	246	299	341	640	95	338	28	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	754	702	184	35	3	4	41	221	5	45	15	262	311	338	649	75	370	29	5	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	565	509	113	18	7	9	46	150	5	28	10	222	298	338	636	116	293	27	8	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	488	122	22	4	3	37	147	3	30	8	250	309	330	638	80	350	28	7	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	447	415	101	19	2	8	28	115	1	31	8	243	293	357	650	113	315	26	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	531	491	127	19	4	5	32	139	3	19	13	259	310	344	654	86	343	26	6	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	347	317	65	12	1	6	25	150	2	18	2	205	269	306	575	101	356	43	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	436	391	85	18	5	12	40	193	2	21	7	217	294	381	675	164	378	44	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	278	251	54	9	1	3	25	117	0	9	2	215	285	295	580	80	380	42	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	107	94	21	6	1	1	11	23	0	6	3	223	305	340	645	117	286	21	10	288	72	-2	+0	-3	-6	+2	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	127	36	6	6	67	140	0	36	18	222	304	338	642	116	285	22	10	288	72	-15	+0	-18	-37	+14	-5.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5295	4841	1162	201	42	58	336	1655	38	288	93	240	295	335	629	95	350	31	6	275	72	-2	+0	-3	-6	+2	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	143	25	5	7	41	203	5	35	11	241	295	335	630	94	351	31	6	275	72	-15	+0	-18	-37	+14	-5.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 278 PAwOBA .322 → .261 (−61)K% 33.5% → 42.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.45%	÷0.952	×1.200	—	—	42.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.59%	÷0.947	×0.690	—	×0.992	9.10%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	31.76%	÷1.010	×0.930	×1.045	×0.992	30.33%
Doubles /BIP	7.43%	÷0.995	×0.830	×1.045	×0.992	6.43%
Triples /BIP	0.68%	÷1.116	×0.970	×1.045	×0.992	0.61%
Home runs /BIP	2.70%	÷0.970	×0.840	—	×0.992	2.32%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 123, K 90, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .322 → .261; ISO .104 → .082; BABIP .407 → .380. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAGwinnett Braves · 436 PAwOBA .354 → .292 (−62)K% 36.5% → 44.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	36.47%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	44.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.30%	÷0.999	×0.690	—	×1.003	9.21%
HBP% /PA	0.46%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.43%
Singles /BIP	26.42%	÷1.005	×0.930	×1.017	×1.003	24.95%
Doubles /BIP	9.91%	÷0.936	×0.830	×1.017	×1.003	8.96%
Triples /BIP	2.36%	÷1.005	×0.970	×1.017	×1.003	2.32%
Home runs /BIP	6.60%	÷0.972	×0.840	—	×1.003	5.72%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .354 → .292; ISO .197 → .167; BABIP .408 → .378. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAANorfolk Tides · 347 PAwOBA .306 → .253 (−53)K% 35.4% → 43.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.45%	÷0.983	×1.200	—	—	43.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.66%	÷1.046	×0.690	—	×1.018	7.16%
HBP% /PA	0.58%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.55%
Singles /BIP	29.44%	÷1.027	×0.930	×0.999	×1.018	27.13%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷1.021	×0.830	×0.999	×1.018	6.89%
Triples /BIP	0.56%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.999	×1.018	0.48%
Home runs /BIP	3.33%	÷0.776	×0.840	—	×1.018	3.67%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 55, 1B 105, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .306 → .253; ISO .116 → .106; BABIP .394 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAARochester Red Wings · 531 PAwOBA .319 → .290 (−29)K% 22.4% → 26.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.41%	÷1.030	×1.200	—	—	26.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.29%	÷0.980	×0.690	—	×1.033	6.03%
HBP% /PA	0.56%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.55%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷0.979	×0.930	×0.991	×1.033	27.77%
Doubles /BIP	6.16%	÷0.987	×0.830	×0.991	×1.033	5.30%
Triples /BIP	1.12%	÷0.932	×0.970	×0.991	×1.033	1.19%
Home runs /BIP	1.68%	÷0.956	×0.840	—	×1.033	1.52%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 97, 3B 86, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .319 → .290; ISO .101 → .092; BABIP .360 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAATacoma Rainiers · 447 PAwOBA .328 → .287 (−41)K% 20.4% → 25.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.36%	÷1.017	×1.290	—	—	25.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.95%	÷1.052	×0.710	—	×1.048	6.33%
HBP% /PA	0.22%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.23%
Singles /BIP	24.92%	÷1.016	×0.900	×1.033	×1.048	23.89%
Doubles /BIP	6.80%	÷0.937	×0.810	×1.033	×1.048	6.36%
Triples /BIP	0.65%	÷0.971	×0.810	×1.033	×1.048	0.58%
Home runs /BIP	3.24%	÷0.963	×0.780	—	×1.048	2.75%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 103, 2B 87, 3B 94, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .328 → .287; ISO .138 → .119; BABIP .332 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAATacoma Rainiers · 347 PAwOBA .290 → .264 (−26)K% 21.3% → 26.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.33%	÷1.030	×1.290	—	—	26.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.22%	÷1.049	×0.710	—	×1.050	6.55%
HBP% /PA	0.58%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	0.59%
Singles /BIP	24.89%	÷0.983	×0.900	×1.050	×1.050	25.12%
Doubles /BIP	5.58%	÷0.957	×0.810	×1.050	×1.050	5.21%
Triples /BIP	0.86%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.050	×1.050	0.85%
Home runs /BIP	1.29%	÷0.938	×0.780	—	×1.050	1.12%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 106, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .290 → .264; ISO .085 → .077; BABIP .315 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AABowie Baysox · 186 PAwOBA .349 → .322 (−28)K% 23.7% → 29.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.66%	÷0.991	×1.220	—	—	29.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.37%	÷1.189	×0.700	—	×1.027	7.47%
HBP% /PA	0.54%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	0.47%
Singles /BIP	30.17%	÷1.032	×0.970	×1.050	×1.027	30.58%
Doubles /BIP	8.62%	÷0.890	×0.860	×1.050	×1.027	8.98%
Triples /BIP	1.72%	÷0.900	×0.950	×1.050	×1.027	1.96%
Home runs /BIP	0.86%	÷1.140	×0.780	—	×1.027	0.61%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 106, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 98, BB 138 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .349 → .322; ISO .106 → .108; BABIP .409 → .418. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAANorfolk Tides · 458 PAwOBA .301 → .278 (−23)K% 23.1% → 27.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.14%	÷0.999	×1.200	—	—	27.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.14%	÷1.066	×0.690	—	×1.050	7.57%
HBP% /PA	1.09%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	1.08%
Singles /BIP	23.24%	÷1.001	×0.930	×1.008	×1.050	22.85%
Doubles /BIP	4.58%	÷0.984	×0.830	×1.008	×1.050	4.09%
Triples /BIP	1.76%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.008	×1.050	2.01%
Home runs /BIP	2.82%	÷0.870	×0.840	—	×1.050	2.85%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 100, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 100, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .301 → .278; ISO .121 → .124; BABIP .301 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).