Audry Pérez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 27 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 379 | .284/.333/.369 | 6 | 0 | 77 | — | .261/.299/.347 |
| 2017 | 28 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 254 | .309/.351/.415 | 2 | 0 | 87 | — | .264/.286/.350 |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 278 | .233/.268/.391 | 11 | 0 | 53 | — | .209/.243/.413 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 19 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 198 | 188 | 60 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 319 | 344 | 511 | 854 | 191 | 317 | 8 | 3 | 370 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 136 | 128 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 301 | 539 | 841 | 281 | 264 | 21 | 6 | 363 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 243 | 230 | 60 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 283 | 430 | 713 | 170 | 265 | 12 | 2 | 306 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 88 | 86 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 291 | 307 | 442 | 749 | 151 | 314 | 15 | 2 | 330 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 325 | 312 | 82 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 58 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 283 | 346 | 630 | 83 | 308 | 18 | 2 | 279 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 93 | 90 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 228 | 244 | 473 | 33 | 237 | 11 | 2 | 212 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 222 | 215 | 45 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 234 | 349 | 583 | 140 | 229 | 18 | 1 | 258 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 44 | 41 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 341 | 372 | 512 | 884 | 171 | 361 | 9 | 5 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 248 | 236 | 69 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 292 | 304 | 419 | 724 | 127 | 313 | 14 | 2 | 310 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 82 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 207 | 212 | 420 | 25 | 231 | 18 | 1 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 282 | 267 | 65 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 279 | 303 | 582 | 60 | 269 | 11 | 4 | 263 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | INTL | Estrellas de Oriente | — | 68 | 64 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 197 | 203 | 400 | 31 | 200 | 15 | 1 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 332 | 306 | 89 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 53 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 291 | 344 | 386 | 730 | 95 | 335 | 16 | 6 | 329 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 47 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 255 | 261 | 516 | 22 | 282 | 15 | 2 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 204 | 193 | 58 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 335 | 420 | 755 | 119 | 346 | 15 | 4 | 335 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 50 | 43 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 349 | 417 | 395 | 812 | 47 | 405 | 14 | 6 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 17 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 467 | 529 | 1.067 | 1.596 | 600 | 333 | 0 | 6 | 664 | 271 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 136 | 127 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 252 | 417 | 669 | 205 | 190 | 15 | 5 | 290 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL | Dominican Republic | — | 125 | 116 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 250 | 276 | 526 | 52 | 257 | 15 | 2 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 198 | 191 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 246 | 262 | 382 | 644 | 136 | 249 | 12 | 1 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 136 | 131 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 213 | 374 | 587 | 191 | 200 | 29 | 4 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 243 | 231 | 54 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 253 | 364 | 617 | 130 | 241 | 14 | 2 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 88 | 87 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 264 | 273 | 414 | 687 | 149 | 296 | 22 | 1 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 325 | 314 | 74 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 252 | 303 | 555 | 67 | 283 | 21 | 1 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 93 | 91 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 217 | 242 | 459 | 33 | 232 | 14 | 1 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 222 | 217 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 189 | 263 | 452 | 92 | 200 | 21 | 0 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 248 | 237 | 62 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 262 | 271 | 371 | 642 | 110 | 285 | 18 | 1 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 282 | 271 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 257 | 288 | 545 | 55 | 261 | 14 | 3 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 332 | 314 | 82 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 261 | 299 | 347 | 646 | 86 | 312 | 20 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 204 | 197 | 52 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 264 | 286 | 350 | 636 | 86 | 319 | 19 | 2 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 17 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 467 | 529 | 1.067 | 1.596 | 600 | 295 | 0 | 6 | 569 | 271 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 136 | 130 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 207 | 331 | 538 | 154 | 168 | 18 | 4 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 198 | 191 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 246 | 262 | 382 | 644 | 136 | 255 | 12 | 1 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Cardinals | — | 198 | 188 | 60 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 319 | 344 | 511 | 854 | 191 | 317 | 8 | 3 | 370 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 136 | 131 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 213 | 374 | 587 | 191 | 212 | 29 | 4 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK RAW | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 136 | 128 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 301 | 539 | 841 | 281 | 264 | 21 | 6 | 363 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 331 | 318 | 76 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 54 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 255 | 371 | 626 | 132 | 260 | 16 | 2 | 268 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 331 | 316 | 85 | 19 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 289 | 434 | 723 | 165 | 278 | 13 | 2 | 312 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 325 | 314 | 74 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 252 | 303 | 555 | 67 | 290 | 21 | 1 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA RAW | Springfield Cardinals | — | 325 | 312 | 82 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 58 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 283 | 346 | 630 | 83 | 308 | 18 | 2 | 279 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 359 | 350 | 64 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 67 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 183 | 199 | 263 | 462 | 80 | 212 | 19 | 1 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 359 | 346 | 78 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 249 | 341 | 590 | 116 | 248 | 15 | 2 | 261 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 330 | 317 | 83 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 262 | 273 | 366 | 639 | 104 | 298 | 18 | 1 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 330 | 316 | 84 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 280 | 367 | 647 | 101 | 293 | 15 | 2 | 281 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 350 | 334 | 77 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 257 | 281 | 539 | 51 | 263 | 14 | 3 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 350 | 331 | 76 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 263 | 284 | 547 | 54 | 256 | 12 | 4 | 246 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 379 | 359 | 95 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 74 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 265 | 302 | 354 | 655 | 89 | 315 | 20 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 379 | 352 | 100 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 60 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 284 | 333 | 369 | 703 | 85 | 328 | 16 | 6 | 318 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 254 | 242 | 65 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 47 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 295 | 364 | 658 | 95 | 323 | 19 | 2 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 254 | 236 | 73 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 309 | 351 | 415 | 766 | 106 | 357 | 15 | 5 | 339 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 278 | 260 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 239 | 388 | 627 | 185 | 186 | 17 | 4 | 261 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 278 | 258 | 60 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 268 | 391 | 660 | 159 | 230 | 14 | 4 | 286 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 198 | 192 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 245 | 262 | 380 | 642 | 135 | 249 | 12 | 1 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 136 | 130 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 185 | 213 | 377 | 590 | 192 | 200 | 29 | 4 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 331 | 321 | 76 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 54 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 255 | 368 | 623 | 131 | 256 | 16 | 2 | 268 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 325 | 315 | 74 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 252 | 302 | 554 | 67 | 283 | 21 | 1 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 359 | 349 | 64 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 67 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 183 | 199 | 264 | 462 | 80 | 209 | 19 | 1 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 330 | 322 | 83 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 258 | 273 | 360 | 634 | 102 | 285 | 18 | 1 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 350 | 335 | 77 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 257 | 281 | 538 | 51 | 261 | 14 | 3 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 379 | 357 | 95 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 74 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 302 | 356 | 657 | 90 | 312 | 20 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 254 | 243 | 65 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 47 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 295 | 362 | 657 | 95 | 319 | 19 | 2 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 278 | 264 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 239 | 383 | 622 | 182 | 182 | 17 | 4 | 261 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2940 | 2816 | 658 | 111 | 2 | 60 | 64 | 526 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 234 | 257 | 338 | 595 | 105 | 266 | 18 | 2 | 255 | 59 | -144 | -1 | +0 | +53 | +64 | -3.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 623 | 145 | 25 | 0 | 13 | 14 | 116 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 255 | 335 | 591 | 103 | 265 | 18 | 2 | 255 | 59 | -32 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AABowie Baysox · 136 PAwOBA .284 → .222 (−62)K% 14.7% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.71% | ÷0.960 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.15% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 3.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.89% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×0.994 | ×0.948 | 14.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.87% | ÷0.971 | ×0.860 | ×0.994 | ×0.948 | 1.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.994 | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.48% | ÷1.060 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 5.22% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 99, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 92, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .284 → .222; ISO .205 → .143; BABIP .190 → .168. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAANorfolk Tides · 17 PAwOBA .644 → .569 (−74)K% 0.0% → 0.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 0.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 3.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 5.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷0.984 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 24.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.063 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.964 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 16.94% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .644 → .569; ISO .600 → .522; BABIP .333 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AABowie Baysox · 204 PAwOBA .325 → .282 (−44)K% 14.7% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.71% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.92% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 2.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.49% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.958 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.93% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×1.039 | ×0.958 | 23.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.43% | ÷1.043 | ×0.860 | ×1.039 | ×0.958 | 8.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.950 | ×1.039 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.23% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.958 | 0.92% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 103, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .325 → .282; ISO .119 → .094; BABIP .346 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAANorfolk Tides · 332 PAwOBA .321 → .288 (−32)K% 16.0% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.96% | ÷0.983 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.02% | ÷1.046 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.46% | ÷1.027 | ×0.930 | ×1.048 | ×0.992 | 26.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.021 | ×0.830 | ×1.048 | ×0.992 | 3.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.048 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.37% | ÷0.776 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 2.55% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 55, 1B 105, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .321 → .288; ISO .095 → .093; BABIP .335 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAANorfolk Tides · 282 PAwOBA .256 → .234 (−22)K% 11.0% → 13.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.99% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.26% | ÷1.060 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 2.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.46% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×1.046 | ×1.003 | 22.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.24% | ÷0.979 | ×0.830 | ×1.046 | ×1.003 | 3.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.046 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.097 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.65% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .256 → .234; ISO .060 → .050; BABIP .269 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 248 PAwOBA .307 → .271 (−36)K% 13.7% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.71% | ÷0.997 | ×1.290 | — | — | 17.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.61% | ÷1.031 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 1.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.25% | ÷1.034 | ×0.900 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 23.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.94% | ÷0.917 | ×0.810 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.97% | ÷1.036 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 2.28% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 107, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .307 → .271; ISO .127 → .105; BABIP .313 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AASpringfield Cardinals · 222 PAwOBA .249 → .200 (−49)K% 17.6% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.57% | ÷1.032 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.90% | ÷1.030 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 0.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.80% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.34% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | ×0.998 | 14.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷1.184 | ×0.840 | ×1.027 | ×0.998 | 4.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.027 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.41% | ÷1.143 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.38% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 98, 2B 137, 3B 130, K 106, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .249 → .200; ISO .140 → .096; BABIP .229 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 93 PAwOBA .206 → .194 (−13)K% 10.8% → 13.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.75% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 13.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.15% | ÷1.020 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 1.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.900 | ×1.042 | ×1.033 | 19.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.75% | ÷1.002 | ×0.810 | ×1.042 | ×1.033 | 3.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.810 | ×1.042 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 97, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .206 → .194; ISO .033 → .029; BABIP .237 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .