Francisco Martinez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 23 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 359 | .214/.256/.259 | 1 | 21 | 24 | — | .201/.232/.245 |
| 2015 | 24 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 579 | .263/.296/.390 | 10 | 21 | 50 | — | .219/.239/.327 |
| 2016 | 25 | INTLLeones del Ca… | 18 | .294/.294/.294 | 0 | 0 | 56 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 17 | ROK | VSL Tigers | — | 280 | 249 | 80 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 28 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 321 | 394 | 349 | 744 | 28 | 359 | 10 | 10 | 343 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 18 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 167 | 167 | 333 | 200 | 17 | 0 | 151 | -26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK | GCL Tigers | — | 168 | 153 | 34 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 222 | 261 | 320 | 581 | 98 | 276 | 23 | 3 | 251 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 374 | 340 | 92 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 71 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 271 | 332 | 353 | 684 | 82 | 332 | 19 | 7 | 309 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | INTL | Surprise Rafters | — | 56 | 54 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 278 | 304 | 389 | 692 | 111 | 366 | 23 | 4 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 509 | 477 | 138 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 104 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 289 | 323 | 426 | 749 | 136 | 349 | 20 | 5 | 327 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 92 | 84 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 274 | 322 | 321 | 644 | 48 | 354 | 23 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 402 | 352 | 80 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 85 | 2 | 27 | 7 | 227 | 315 | 295 | 610 | 68 | 294 | 21 | 11 | 281 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK | AZL Mariners | — | 31 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 333 | 500 | 833 | 214 | 348 | 19 | 3 | 350 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 33 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 273 | 300 | 573 | 100 | 250 | 18 | 9 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 136 | 126 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 43 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 206 | 242 | 254 | 496 | 48 | 313 | 32 | 4 | 221 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 314 | 288 | 85 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 55 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 295 | 349 | 378 | 728 | 83 | 353 | 18 | 7 | 328 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 340 | 317 | 71 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 72 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 224 | 268 | 271 | 539 | 47 | 283 | 21 | 5 | 245 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 19 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 53 | 53 | 105 | 100 | 47 | 0 | 48 | -82 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 533 | 508 | 137 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 103 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 270 | 301 | 404 | 705 | 134 | 320 | 19 | 4 | 312 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 46 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 186 | 239 | 233 | 472 | 47 | 235 | 20 | 7 | 219 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 18 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 294 | 294 | 588 | 385 | 28 | 0 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Tigers | — | 280 | 257 | 58 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 34 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 226 | 287 | 237 | 524 | 12 | 256 | 12 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 18 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 167 | 167 | 333 | 193 | 22 | 0 | 130 | -26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 168 | 155 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 55 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 161 | 193 | 219 | 412 | 58 | 221 | 33 | 2 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 374 | 347 | 80 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 104 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 231 | 280 | 305 | 586 | 75 | 314 | 28 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 509 | 485 | 126 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 123 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 260 | 283 | 363 | 646 | 103 | 326 | 24 | 3 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 402 | 366 | 79 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 107 | 2 | 27 | 7 | 216 | 277 | 273 | 550 | 57 | 292 | 27 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 31 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 179 | 233 | 286 | 519 | 107 | 261 | 29 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 136 | 128 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 180 | 205 | 219 | 423 | 39 | 295 | 39 | 3 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 314 | 294 | 75 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 77 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 255 | 298 | 327 | 625 | 71 | 328 | 25 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 340 | 323 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 86 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 201 | 232 | 245 | 477 | 43 | 264 | 25 | 4 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 533 | 517 | 113 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 152 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 219 | 239 | 327 | 566 | 108 | 289 | 29 | 2 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Tigers | — | 280 | 257 | 58 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 34 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 226 | 287 | 237 | 524 | 12 | 260 | 12 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | ROK RAW | VSL Tigers | — | 280 | 249 | 80 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 28 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 321 | 394 | 349 | 744 | 28 | 359 | 10 | 10 | 343 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 186 | 173 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 59 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 162 | 190 | 214 | 404 | 52 | 233 | 32 | 2 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 186 | 171 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 216 | 251 | 304 | 555 | 88 | 267 | 22 | 3 | 242 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 430 | 399 | 92 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 120 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 231 | 281 | 308 | 589 | 78 | 318 | 28 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 430 | 394 | 107 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 84 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 272 | 328 | 358 | 686 | 86 | 337 | 20 | 7 | 309 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 601 | 572 | 149 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 145 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 260 | 284 | 367 | 651 | 107 | 330 | 24 | 3 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 601 | 561 | 161 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 125 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 287 | 323 | 410 | 733 | 123 | 350 | 21 | 5 | 321 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 466 | 425 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 124 | 3 | 29 | 7 | 214 | 274 | 273 | 547 | 59 | 297 | 27 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 466 | 410 | 94 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 97 | 3 | 29 | 7 | 229 | 313 | 310 | 623 | 80 | 295 | 21 | 10 | 284 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 450 | 422 | 98 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 129 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 232 | 270 | 294 | 564 | 62 | 328 | 29 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 450 | 414 | 111 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 98 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 268 | 318 | 341 | 658 | 72 | 343 | 22 | 6 | 295 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 359 | 341 | 68 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 91 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 199 | 231 | 240 | 471 | 41 | 266 | 25 | 4 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 359 | 336 | 72 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 214 | 256 | 259 | 515 | 45 | 276 | 23 | 5 | 234 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 579 | 562 | 122 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 165 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 217 | 237 | 326 | 563 | 109 | 290 | 28 | 2 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 579 | 551 | 145 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 112 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 263 | 296 | 390 | 687 | 127 | 313 | 19 | 4 | 304 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL MLE | Leones del Caracas | — | 18 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 294 | 294 | 588 | 385 | 28 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL RAW | Leones del Caracas | — | 18 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 294 | 294 | 588 | 385 | 28 | 0 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2008 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Tigers | — | 280 | 256 | 58 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 34 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 227 | 287 | 238 | 525 | 12 | 256 | 12 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 186 | 178 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 59 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 157 | 190 | 208 | 398 | 51 | 218 | 32 | 2 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 430 | 399 | 92 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 120 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 231 | 281 | 308 | 589 | 78 | 314 | 28 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 601 | 577 | 149 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 145 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 258 | 284 | 364 | 648 | 106 | 326 | 24 | 3 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 466 | 428 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 124 | 3 | 29 | 7 | 213 | 274 | 271 | 545 | 58 | 290 | 27 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 450 | 425 | 98 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 129 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 231 | 270 | 292 | 562 | 61 | 318 | 29 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 359 | 342 | 68 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 91 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 199 | 231 | 240 | 471 | 41 | 264 | 25 | 4 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 579 | 559 | 122 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 165 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 218 | 237 | 327 | 565 | 109 | 289 | 28 | 2 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3369 | 3168 | 711 | 120 | 13 | 28 | 144 | 872 | 17 | 145 | 49 | 224 | 262 | 297 | 559 | 73 | 299 | 26 | 4 | 244 | 52 | -194 | +9 | +0 | +12 | +73 | -10.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 611 | 137 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 168 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 224 | 262 | 296 | 558 | 72 | 299 | 26 | 4 | 244 | 52 | -37 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 533 PAwOBA .303 → .244 (−59)K% 19.3% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.32% | ÷0.962 | ×1.420 | — | — | 28.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.75% | ÷1.116 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 2.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 0.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.96% | ÷0.976 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×0.978 | 20.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷0.973 | ×0.960 | ×0.976 | ×0.978 | 6.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷0.913 | ×0.810 | ×0.976 | ×0.978 | 0.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.47% | ÷0.981 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 2.17% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 95, 2B 95, 3B 83, K 92, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .303 → .244; ISO .134 → .109; BABIP .320 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAErie SeaWolves · 340 PAwOBA .239 → .212 (−28)K% 21.2% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.18% | ÷1.020 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.29% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.67% | ÷1.042 | ×0.970 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 22.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.90% | ÷0.945 | ×0.860 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 4.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.41% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.33% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 108, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 104, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .239 → .212; ISO .047 → .042; BABIP .283 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 314 PAwOBA .321 → .273 (−48)K% 17.5% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.52% | ÷1.018 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.69% | ÷1.045 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 4.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.18% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×0.998 | 26.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.58% | ÷0.944 | ×0.960 | ×1.007 | ×0.998 | 5.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.007 | ×0.998 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.29% | ÷1.067 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.06% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 104, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .321 → .273; ISO .083 → .072; BABIP .353 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAJackson Generals · 136 PAwOBA .215 → .186 (−29)K% 31.6% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.62% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.41% | ÷1.020 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 3.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.10% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 22.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.23% | ÷1.065 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 6.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.144 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.069 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 109, 2B 113, 3B 129, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .215 → .186; ISO .048 → .042; BABIP .313 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAJackson Generals · 402 PAwOBA .272 → .244 (−28)K% 21.1% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.14% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.20% | ÷0.997 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 7.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.85% | ÷0.943 | ×0.920 | ×1.032 | ×1.042 | 23.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.99% | ÷1.228 | ×0.910 | ×1.032 | ×1.042 | 4.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.032 | ×1.042 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.75% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 0.65% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 89, 2B 146, 3B 130, K 95, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .272 → .244; ISO .068 → .055; BABIP .294 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKAZL Mariners · 31 PAwOBA .352 → .247 (−105)K% 19.4% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.35% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 1.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 14.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 6.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 6.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .352 → .247; ISO .214 → .144; BABIP .348 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAJackson Generals · 509 PAwOBA .320 → .281 (−40)K% 20.4% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.43% | ÷1.031 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.52% | ÷1.063 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 3.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.81% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×0.979 | ×1.050 | 25.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.63% | ÷1.028 | ×0.910 | ×0.979 | ×1.050 | 5.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.88% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.979 | ×1.050 | 1.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.68% | ÷1.130 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.99% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 106, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .320 → .281; ISO .136 → .109; BABIP .349 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 374 PAwOBA .302 → .261 (−41)K% 19.0% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.98% | ÷0.967 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.22% | ÷0.987 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.042 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.042 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.39% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.042 | 24.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.32% | ÷1.063 | ×0.960 | ×1.023 | ×1.042 | 6.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×1.042 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.12% | ÷0.772 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 1.32% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 54, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .302 → .261; ISO .082 → .077; BABIP .332 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .