Eliezer Ortiz
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 30 | AAARieleros de A… | 363 | .300/.339/.398 | 3 | 11 | 70 | — | .260/.291/.333 |
| 2019 | 32 | AAARieleros de A… | 321 | .286/.361/.393 | 5 | 5 | 57 | — | .220/.284/.293 |
| 2021 | 34 | INTLCaneros de lo… | 32 | .167/.219/.167 | 0 | 0 | 13 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 21 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 151 | 146 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 240 | 260 | 308 | 568 | 68 | 266 | 13 | 1 | 254 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 131 | 120 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 258 | 299 | 350 | 649 | 92 | 316 | 18 | 2 | 284 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 79 | 66 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 288 | 373 | 515 | 888 | 227 | 333 | 19 | 6 | 372 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 106 | 94 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 277 | 346 | 351 | 697 | 74 | 338 | 16 | 5 | 315 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 134 | 121 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 322 | 369 | 405 | 774 | 83 | 422 | 24 | 4 | 340 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 451 | 417 | 135 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 80 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 324 | 363 | 458 | 821 | 134 | 383 | 18 | 4 | 359 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 234 | 207 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 280 | 335 | 411 | 745 | 130 | 351 | 23 | 4 | 321 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 419 | 377 | 101 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 85 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 268 | 317 | 398 | 715 | 130 | 326 | 20 | 4 | 308 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 387 | 338 | 98 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 80 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 290 | 351 | 393 | 745 | 104 | 358 | 21 | 5 | 323 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 363 | 337 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 62 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 300 | 339 | 398 | 737 | 98 | 358 | 17 | 4 | 325 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 321 | 280 | 80 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 60 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 286 | 361 | 393 | 754 | 107 | 342 | 19 | 6 | 335 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 34 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 32 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 219 | 167 | 385 | 238 | 28 | 0 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 21 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 151 | 146 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 219 | 240 | 267 | 507 | 48 | 253 | 16 | 1 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 131 | 121 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 248 | 283 | 331 | 614 | 83 | 309 | 22 | 2 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 79 | 67 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 239 | 320 | 403 | 723 | 164 | 294 | 27 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 106 | 96 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 260 | 317 | 323 | 640 | 62 | 329 | 20 | 3 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 134 | 123 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 293 | 331 | 366 | 697 | 73 | 398 | 30 | 2 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 451 | 424 | 118 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 278 | 309 | 384 | 694 | 106 | 348 | 24 | 2 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 234 | 210 | 56 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 64 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 267 | 312 | 376 | 689 | 110 | 335 | 27 | 3 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 419 | 382 | 89 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 113 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 233 | 275 | 322 | 597 | 89 | 299 | 27 | 3 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 387 | 344 | 85 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 102 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 247 | 300 | 314 | 614 | 67 | 313 | 26 | 3 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 363 | 342 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 77 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 260 | 291 | 333 | 625 | 73 | 323 | 21 | 2 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 321 | 287 | 63 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 77 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 220 | 284 | 293 | 577 | 73 | 271 | 24 | 3 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 151 | 146 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 219 | 240 | 267 | 507 | 48 | 256 | 16 | 1 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 151 | 146 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 240 | 260 | 308 | 568 | 68 | 266 | 13 | 1 | 254 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 131 | 121 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 248 | 283 | 331 | 614 | 83 | 319 | 22 | 2 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 131 | 120 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 258 | 299 | 350 | 649 | 92 | 316 | 18 | 2 | 284 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 79 | 67 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 239 | 320 | 403 | 723 | 164 | 318 | 27 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 79 | 66 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 288 | 373 | 515 | 888 | 227 | 333 | 19 | 6 | 372 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 106 | 96 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 260 | 317 | 323 | 640 | 62 | 333 | 20 | 3 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 106 | 94 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 277 | 346 | 351 | 697 | 74 | 338 | 16 | 5 | 315 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 134 | 123 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 293 | 331 | 366 | 697 | 73 | 417 | 30 | 2 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 134 | 121 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 322 | 369 | 405 | 774 | 83 | 422 | 24 | 4 | 340 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 451 | 424 | 118 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 278 | 309 | 384 | 694 | 106 | 356 | 24 | 2 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 451 | 417 | 135 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 80 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 324 | 363 | 458 | 821 | 134 | 383 | 18 | 4 | 359 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 234 | 210 | 56 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 64 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 267 | 312 | 376 | 689 | 110 | 361 | 27 | 3 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA RAW | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 234 | 207 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 280 | 335 | 411 | 745 | 130 | 351 | 23 | 4 | 321 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 419 | 382 | 89 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 113 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 233 | 275 | 322 | 597 | 89 | 317 | 27 | 3 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 419 | 377 | 101 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 85 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 268 | 317 | 398 | 715 | 130 | 326 | 20 | 4 | 308 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 387 | 344 | 85 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 102 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 247 | 300 | 314 | 614 | 67 | 336 | 26 | 3 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 387 | 338 | 98 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 80 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 290 | 351 | 393 | 745 | 104 | 358 | 21 | 5 | 323 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 363 | 342 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 77 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 260 | 291 | 333 | 625 | 73 | 328 | 21 | 2 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 363 | 337 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 62 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 300 | 339 | 398 | 737 | 98 | 358 | 17 | 4 | 325 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 321 | 287 | 63 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 77 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 220 | 284 | 293 | 577 | 73 | 284 | 24 | 3 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 321 | 280 | 80 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 60 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 286 | 361 | 393 | 754 | 107 | 342 | 19 | 6 | 335 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 34 | INTL MLE | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 32 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 219 | 167 | 385 | 238 | 28 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 34 | INTL RAW | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 32 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 219 | 167 | 385 | 238 | 28 | 0 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 151 | 146 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 219 | 240 | 267 | 507 | 48 | 253 | 16 | 1 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 131 | 124 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 242 | 283 | 323 | 606 | 81 | 309 | 22 | 2 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 79 | 71 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 225 | 320 | 380 | 700 | 155 | 294 | 27 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 106 | 97 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 258 | 317 | 320 | 637 | 62 | 329 | 20 | 3 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 134 | 126 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 286 | 331 | 357 | 688 | 71 | 398 | 30 | 2 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 451 | 429 | 118 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 275 | 309 | 380 | 689 | 105 | 348 | 24 | 2 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 234 | 218 | 56 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 64 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 257 | 312 | 362 | 675 | 106 | 335 | 27 | 3 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 419 | 394 | 89 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 113 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 226 | 275 | 312 | 587 | 86 | 299 | 27 | 3 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 387 | 358 | 85 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 102 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 237 | 300 | 302 | 602 | 64 | 313 | 26 | 3 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 363 | 345 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 77 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 258 | 291 | 330 | 622 | 72 | 323 | 21 | 2 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 321 | 292 | 63 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 77 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 216 | 284 | 288 | 572 | 72 | 271 | 24 | 3 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2808 | 2572 | 644 | 113 | 13 | 25 | 74 | 683 | 83 | 96 | 53 | 250 | 294 | 334 | 627 | 83 | 328 | 24 | 3 | 268 | 68 | -109 | -2 | +0 | -30 | +61 | -8.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 149 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 158 | 19 | 22 | 12 | 250 | 293 | 334 | 628 | 84 | 327 | 24 | 3 | 268 | 68 | -25 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 321 PAwOBA .330 → .253 (−77)K% 18.7% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.69% | ÷0.936 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.61% | ÷1.051 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 3.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 4.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.050 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 21.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷0.954 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 5.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.065 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.115 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 1.36% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 110, 2B 91, 3B 113, K 87, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .330 → .253; ISO .107 → .074; BABIP .342 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 363 PAwOBA .318 → .272 (−46)K% 17.1% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.08% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.86% | ÷1.059 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 2.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.00% | ÷1.026 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 25.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.55% | ÷1.008 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 5.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.050 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.71% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 105, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 93, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .318 → .272; ISO .098 → .076; BABIP .358 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 387 PAwOBA .319 → .265 (−53)K% 20.7% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.67% | ÷0.941 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.65% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 2.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.62% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 3.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.46% | ÷1.053 | ×0.930 | ×1.035 | ×0.982 | 26.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷1.035 | ×0.830 | ×1.035 | ×0.982 | 4.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.39% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.035 | ×0.982 | 0.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.236 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.29% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 111, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 88, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .319 → .265; ISO .104 → .071; BABIP .358 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 419 PAwOBA .304 → .253 (−51)K% 20.3% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.29% | ÷0.903 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.06% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 2.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.39% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 2.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.63% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 22.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.19% | ÷1.046 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 5.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.71% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 1.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.05% | ÷1.488 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.96% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 81, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .304 → .253; ISO .130 → .088; BABIP .326 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 234 PAwOBA .315 → .286 (−29)K% 22.6% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.65% | ÷0.988 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.85% | ÷1.041 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 2.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 3.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.62% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 25.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.79% | ÷0.945 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 7.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.25% | ÷1.006 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.27% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 101, 2B 89, 3B 100, K 98, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .315 → .286; ISO .130 → .106; BABIP .351 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAPericos de Puebla · 451 PAwOBA .351 → .299 (−52)K% 17.7% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.74% | ÷0.905 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.33% | ÷1.047 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 2.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.78% | ÷1.081 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 26.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.01% | ÷0.984 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 7.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.055 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.40% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 116, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 81, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .351 → .299; ISO .134 → .105; BABIP .383 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAPericos de Puebla · 134 PAwOBA .336 → .298 (−38)K% 23.9% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.88% | ÷0.957 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.73% | ÷1.070 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 2.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.99% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.96% | ÷1.002 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×1.033 | 35.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.62% | ÷1.085 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×1.033 | 4.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×1.033 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.044 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.78% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 100, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 91, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .336 → .298; ISO .083 → .062; BABIP .422 → .398. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAPericos de Puebla · 106 PAwOBA .307 → .285 (−21)K% 16.0% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.04% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.72% | ÷1.064 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.72% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 4.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.68% | ÷1.012 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 24.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 7.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 91, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .307 → .285; ISO .074 → .065; BABIP .338 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .