Daniel Nava
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 33 | AAAKC | 103 | .348/.417/.457 | 1 | 1 | 109 | — | .305/.359/.400 | |
| 2016 | 33 | MLBKC | 148 | .223/.303/.292 | 1 | 0 | 72 | -1.0 | ||
| 2017 | 34 | MLBPHI | 214 | .301/.396/.421 | 4 | 1 | 133 | 1.1 | ||
| 2019 | 36 | INTLAlgodoneros d… | 28 | .148/.179/.148 | 0 | 0 | -9 | — | ||
| 2020 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 42 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 43 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 25 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 379 | 323 | 110 | 27 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 70 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 341 | 429 | 523 | 952 | 183 | 405 | 18 | 11 | 415 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 144 | 118 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 479 | 568 | 1.047 | 203 | 382 | 8 | 17 | 460 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 130 | 109 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 339 | 438 | 495 | 933 | 156 | 409 | 16 | 14 | 409 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 188 | 161 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 242 | 351 | 360 | 711 | 118 | 333 | 24 | 10 | 328 | 98 | -0 | -0 | -7 | -5 | +4 | -0.9 |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 325 | 284 | 82 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 64 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 289 | 375 | 458 | 832 | 169 | 340 | 20 | 9 | 370 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 522 | 441 | 118 | 27 | 2 | 10 | 70 | 88 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 268 | 375 | 406 | 781 | 138 | 311 | 17 | 13 | 351 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 317 | 267 | 65 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 63 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 243 | 355 | 390 | 744 | 146 | 295 | 20 | 12 | 335 | 105 | +2 | +1 | -1 | -5 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 120 | 99 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 313 | 429 | 525 | 954 | 212 | 333 | 12 | 13 | 419 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 536 | 458 | 139 | 29 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 93 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 303 | 391 | 445 | 837 | 142 | 352 | 17 | 10 | 368 | 128 | +18 | -1 | -9 | -6 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2014 | 31 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 408 | 363 | 98 | 21 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 81 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 270 | 347 | 361 | 708 | 91 | 336 | 20 | 8 | 323 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +6 | -5 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 98 | 83 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 253 | 354 | 398 | 752 | 145 | 295 | 21 | 12 | 334 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 166 | 139 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 317 | 245 | 562 | 50 | 252 | 22 | 12 | 270 | 68 | -6 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 42 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 357 | 361 | 718 | 111 | 333 | 26 | 10 | 332 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 148 | 130 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 303 | 292 | 596 | 69 | 275 | 20 | 7 | 273 | 72 | -5 | +0 | -6 | -3 | +3 | -1.0 |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 103 | 92 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 348 | 417 | 457 | 874 | 109 | 388 | 11 | 9 | 394 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 34 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 214 | 183 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 301 | 396 | 421 | 817 | 120 | 357 | 18 | 12 | 367 | 133 | +8 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +5 | 1.1 |
| 2019 | 36 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 28 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 179 | 148 | 327 | 174 | 14 | 4 | 154 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1977 | 1701 | 452 | 103 | 2 | 29 | 196 | 387 | 55 | 10 | 5 | 266 | 360 | 380 | 740 | 114 | 325 | 20 | 10 | 334 | 112 | +29 | +0 | -17 | -29 | +43 | 2.7 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 25 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 379 | 337 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 94 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 273 | 343 | 421 | 765 | 148 | 333 | 25 | 8 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 144 | 126 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 325 | 410 | 484 | 894 | 159 | 344 | 10 | 12 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 130 | 116 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 276 | 344 | 397 | 740 | 121 | 348 | 23 | 8 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 188 | 162 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 228 | 335 | 333 | 668 | 105 | 333 | 24 | 10 | 313 | 98 | -0 | -0 | -7 | -5 | +4 | -0.9 |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 325 | 293 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 77 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 242 | 313 | 382 | 695 | 140 | 295 | 24 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 522 | 465 | 105 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 46 | 109 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 226 | 304 | 340 | 643 | 114 | 272 | 21 | 9 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 317 | 268 | 62 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 63 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 231 | 342 | 369 | 711 | 138 | 295 | 20 | 11 | 323 | 105 | +2 | +1 | -1 | -5 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 120 | 104 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 279 | 370 | 442 | 812 | 163 | 302 | 15 | 9 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 536 | 460 | 135 | 26 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 93 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 293 | 380 | 428 | 808 | 135 | 352 | 17 | 9 | 357 | 128 | +18 | -1 | -9 | -6 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2014 | 31 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 408 | 364 | 95 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 81 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 261 | 337 | 346 | 684 | 85 | 336 | 20 | 8 | 312 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +6 | -5 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 98 | 88 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 227 | 292 | 330 | 621 | 102 | 270 | 27 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 166 | 139 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 317 | 245 | 562 | 50 | 252 | 22 | 12 | 268 | 68 | -6 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 42 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 216 | 310 | 324 | 634 | 108 | 296 | 33 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 148 | 130 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 303 | 292 | 596 | 69 | 275 | 20 | 7 | 275 | 72 | -5 | +0 | -6 | -3 | +3 | -1.0 |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 103 | 95 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 305 | 359 | 400 | 759 | 95 | 349 | 14 | 6 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 34 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 214 | 183 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 301 | 396 | 421 | 817 | 120 | 357 | 18 | 12 | 365 | 133 | +8 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +5 | 1.1 |
| 2008 | 25 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 379 | 337 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 94 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 273 | 343 | 421 | 765 | 148 | 349 | 25 | 8 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | A+ RAW | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 379 | 323 | 110 | 27 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 70 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 341 | 429 | 523 | 952 | 183 | 405 | 18 | 11 | 415 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 274 | 243 | 72 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 296 | 371 | 436 | 808 | 140 | 347 | 16 | 10 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 274 | 227 | 80 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 352 | 460 | 533 | 993 | 181 | 395 | 12 | 16 | 436 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 455 | 108 | 25 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 123 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 237 | 321 | 367 | 688 | 130 | 302 | 24 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 513 | 445 | 121 | 30 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 110 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 272 | 366 | 422 | 788 | 151 | 337 | 21 | 9 | 355 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 522 | 465 | 105 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 46 | 109 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 226 | 304 | 340 | 643 | 114 | 274 | 21 | 9 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA RAW | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 522 | 441 | 118 | 27 | 2 | 10 | 70 | 88 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 268 | 375 | 406 | 781 | 138 | 311 | 17 | 13 | 351 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 372 | 91 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 47 | 81 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 245 | 350 | 390 | 739 | 145 | 288 | 19 | 11 | 329 | 109 | +5 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2012 | 29 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 437 | 366 | 96 | 28 | 1 | 10 | 53 | 78 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 262 | 375 | 426 | 801 | 164 | 306 | 18 | 12 | 358 | 109 | +5 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2013 | 30 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 536 | 460 | 135 | 26 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 93 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 293 | 380 | 428 | 808 | 135 | 339 | 17 | 9 | 357 | 128 | +18 | -1 | -9 | -6 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2013 | 30 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 536 | 458 | 139 | 29 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 93 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 303 | 391 | 445 | 837 | 142 | 352 | 17 | 10 | 368 | 128 | +18 | -1 | -9 | -6 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2014 | 31 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 452 | 114 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 107 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 252 | 327 | 338 | 665 | 86 | 315 | 21 | 8 | 304 | 92 | -5 | +0 | +6 | -5 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2014 | 31 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 506 | 446 | 119 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 102 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 267 | 349 | 368 | 716 | 101 | 328 | 20 | 9 | 325 | 92 | -5 | +0 | +6 | -5 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2015 | 32 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 208 | 176 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 50 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 199 | 316 | 261 | 577 | 62 | 264 | 24 | 11 | 267 | 67 | -8 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2015 | 32 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 208 | 175 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 47 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 206 | 325 | 269 | 594 | 63 | 268 | 23 | 12 | 282 | 67 | -8 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2016 | 33 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 251 | 225 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 258 | 327 | 338 | 664 | 80 | 308 | 18 | 6 | 297 | 87 | -4 | -0 | -6 | -3 | +5 | -0.7 |
| 2016 | 33 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 251 | 222 | 61 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 275 | 351 | 360 | 711 | 86 | 324 | 16 | 8 | 322 | 87 | -4 | -0 | -6 | -3 | +5 | -0.7 |
| 2017 | 34 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 214 | 183 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 301 | 396 | 421 | 817 | 120 | 357 | 18 | 12 | 365 | 133 | +8 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +5 | 1.1 |
| 2017 | 34 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 214 | 183 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 301 | 396 | 421 | 817 | 120 | 357 | 18 | 12 | 367 | 133 | +8 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +5 | 1.1 |
| 2019 | 36 | INTL MLE | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 28 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 179 | 148 | 327 | 174 | 14 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 36 | INTL RAW | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 28 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 179 | 148 | 327 | 174 | 14 | 4 | 154 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2008 | 25 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 379 | 340 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 94 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 271 | 343 | 418 | 761 | 147 | 333 | 25 | 8 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 274 | 243 | 72 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 296 | 371 | 436 | 808 | 140 | 346 | 16 | 10 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 452 | 108 | 25 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 123 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 239 | 321 | 369 | 690 | 131 | 309 | 24 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 522 | 465 | 105 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 46 | 109 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 226 | 304 | 340 | 643 | 114 | 272 | 21 | 9 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 374 | 91 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 47 | 81 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 243 | 350 | 388 | 737 | 144 | 297 | 19 | 11 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 536 | 467 | 135 | 26 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 93 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 289 | 380 | 422 | 802 | 133 | 352 | 17 | 9 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 451 | 114 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 107 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 253 | 327 | 339 | 666 | 86 | 323 | 21 | 8 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 208 | 176 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 50 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 199 | 316 | 261 | 577 | 62 | 261 | 24 | 11 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 251 | 226 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 257 | 327 | 336 | 663 | 80 | 305 | 18 | 6 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 34 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 214 | 183 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 301 | 396 | 421 | 817 | 120 | 357 | 18 | 12 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1977 | 1701 | 452 | 103 | 2 | 29 | 196 | 387 | 55 | 10 | 5 | 266 | 360 | 380 | 740 | 114 | 325 | 20 | 10 | 334 | 101 | +29 | +0 | -17 | -29 | +43 | 2.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 559 | 150 | 34 | 1 | 10 | 64 | 127 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 268 | 361 | 386 | 748 | 118 | 327 | 20 | 10 | 334 | 101 | +10 | +0 | -5 | -9 | +14 | 0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3868 | 3395 | 869 | 183 | 9 | 67 | 340 | 787 | 90 | 34 | 19 | 256 | 340 | 374 | 714 | 118 | 312 | 20 | 9 | 317 | 101 | +29 | +0 | -17 | -29 | +43 | 2.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 571 | 147 | 31 | 2 | 11 | 57 | 132 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 257 | 341 | 377 | 717 | 119 | 314 | 20 | 9 | 317 | 101 | +10 | +0 | -5 | -9 | +14 | 0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 103 PAwOBA .383 → .329 (−54)K% 10.7% → 13.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.68% | ÷1.040 | ×1.290 | — | — | 13.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.74% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.942 | 5.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.942 | 1.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.63% | ÷0.968 | ×0.900 | ×1.049 | ×0.942 | 27.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.64% | ÷0.929 | ×0.810 | ×1.049 | ×0.942 | 7.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.068 | ×0.810 | ×1.049 | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.054 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.942 | 0.86% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 94, 2B 86, 3B 114, K 108, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .383 → .329; ISO .109 → .089; BABIP .388 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 42 PAwOBA .324 → .260 (−64)K% 26.2% → 32.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.19% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷0.996 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 6.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 4.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.952 | 25.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.867 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.952 | 3.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.952 | 3.16% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 73, 3B 102, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .324 → .260; ISO .111 → .087; BABIP .333 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 98 PAwOBA .329 → .271 (−58)K% 21.4% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷0.980 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.22% | ÷1.084 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 6.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.19% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | ×1.025 | ×0.962 | 22.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.84% | ÷0.937 | ×0.830 | ×1.025 | ×0.962 | 4.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.104 | ×0.970 | ×1.025 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.84% | ÷1.240 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.962 | 3.15% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 95, 2B 87, 3B 121, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .329 → .271; ISO .145 → .107; BABIP .295 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 120 PAwOBA .411 → .346 (−65)K% 12.5% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷0.974 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 9.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 3.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.62% | ÷0.975 | ×0.930 | ×1.024 | ×0.982 | 21.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.031 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×0.982 | 6.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷0.982 | ×0.970 | ×1.024 | ×0.982 | 1.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.280 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 3.07% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 95, 2B 106, 3B 96, K 97, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .411 → .346; ISO .212 → .161; BABIP .333 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 522 PAwOBA .343 → .289 (−53)K% 16.9% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.86% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.64% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.38% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×0.994 | ×0.992 | 20.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.65% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | ×0.994 | ×0.992 | 6.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.994 | ×0.992 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.83% | ÷0.955 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 2.47% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .343 → .289; ISO .138 → .122; BABIP .311 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 325 PAwOBA .363 → .307 (−56)K% 19.7% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.69% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.62% | ÷1.037 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 3.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×0.971 | ×1.003 | 22.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.27% | ÷1.030 | ×0.830 | ×0.971 | ×1.003 | 5.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.971 | ×1.003 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.898 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 4.26% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 99, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .363 → .307; ISO .169 → .150; BABIP .340 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 144 PAwOBA .447 → .387 (−60)K% 8.3% → 10.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 10.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 11.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.977 | ×0.988 | 24.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.977 | ×0.988 | 7.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.977 | ×0.988 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.91% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .447 → .387; ISO .203 → .173; BABIP .382 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+Salem Red Sox · 130 PAwOBA .402 → .318 (−84)K% 16.2% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.15% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.968 | 8.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.978 | ×0.968 | 23.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×0.968 | 10.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | ×0.978 | ×0.968 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.968 | 0.99% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .402 → .318; ISO .156 → .125; BABIP .409 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .