Juan Silverio
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 23 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 368 | .265/.298/.424 | 11 | 2 | 71 | — | .243/.267/.383 |
| 2016 | 25 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 169 | .266/.319/.416 | 5 | 2 | 65 | — | .229/.271/.344 |
| 2019 | 28 | INTLLeones del Ca… | 178 | .283/.381/.368 | 1 | 3 | 117 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 17 | ROK | Bristol White Sox | — | 234 | 215 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 56 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 228 | 268 | 321 | 588 | 93 | 285 | 24 | 3 | 259 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK | DSL White Sox | — | 265 | 243 | 78 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 321 | 370 | 547 | 918 | 226 | 366 | 18 | 6 | 395 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 236 | 220 | 44 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 200 | 238 | 336 | 574 | 136 | 250 | 24 | 3 | 250 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 94 | 87 | 26 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 299 | 344 | 506 | 850 | 207 | 354 | 21 | 6 | 369 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 187 | 170 | 47 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 276 | 319 | 441 | 760 | 165 | 341 | 22 | 5 | 329 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 363 | 329 | 95 | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 81 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 289 | 345 | 459 | 804 | 170 | 364 | 22 | 5 | 350 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 286 | 263 | 64 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 67 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 243 | 288 | 433 | 722 | 190 | 292 | 23 | 5 | 311 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 533 | 510 | 146 | 30 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 109 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 286 | 306 | 473 | 778 | 186 | 329 | 20 | 2 | 336 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 41 | 38 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 368 | 359 | 526 | 885 | 158 | 371 | 7 | 0 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 87 | 85 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 264 | 353 | 617 | 106 | 323 | 25 | 2 | 274 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 281 | 259 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 270 | 308 | 448 | 756 | 178 | 299 | 18 | 4 | 326 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 169 | 154 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 266 | 319 | 416 | 735 | 149 | 330 | 24 | 7 | 322 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 178 | 152 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 283 | 381 | 368 | 749 | 86 | 339 | 16 | 12 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 17 | ROK MLE | Bristol White Sox | — | 234 | 219 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 80 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 178 | 211 | 247 | 457 | 68 | 247 | 34 | 2 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 265 | 248 | 48 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 57 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 194 | 237 | 315 | 551 | 121 | 230 | 22 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 236 | 222 | 35 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 78 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 158 | 190 | 261 | 452 | 104 | 218 | 33 | 2 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 94 | 89 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 213 | 247 | 348 | 596 | 135 | 275 | 31 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 187 | 176 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 61 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 243 | 318 | 561 | 114 | 292 | 33 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 363 | 336 | 83 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 104 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 247 | 291 | 393 | 684 | 146 | 331 | 29 | 3 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 286 | 270 | 53 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 98 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 196 | 228 | 348 | 576 | 152 | 270 | 34 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 533 | 516 | 120 | 22 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 150 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 233 | 249 | 374 | 623 | 141 | 291 | 28 | 1 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 87 | 86 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 218 | 291 | 509 | 81 | 299 | 33 | 1 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 281 | 265 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 61 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 253 | 283 | 411 | 694 | 158 | 285 | 22 | 3 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 169 | 157 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 49 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 229 | 271 | 344 | 615 | 115 | 299 | 29 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | ROK MLE | Bristol White Sox | — | 234 | 219 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 80 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 178 | 211 | 247 | 457 | 68 | 259 | 34 | 2 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | ROK RAW | Bristol White Sox | — | 234 | 215 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 56 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 228 | 268 | 321 | 588 | 93 | 285 | 24 | 3 | 259 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 265 | 248 | 48 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 57 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 194 | 237 | 315 | 551 | 121 | 232 | 22 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL White Sox | — | 265 | 243 | 78 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 321 | 370 | 547 | 918 | 226 | 366 | 18 | 6 | 395 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 330 | 311 | 54 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 107 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 174 | 207 | 286 | 493 | 113 | 244 | 32 | 2 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 330 | 307 | 70 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 77 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 228 | 269 | 384 | 653 | 156 | 280 | 23 | 4 | 284 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 550 | 512 | 121 | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 165 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 236 | 279 | 373 | 652 | 137 | 330 | 30 | 3 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 550 | 499 | 142 | 39 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 122 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 285 | 336 | 453 | 789 | 168 | 357 | 22 | 5 | 343 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 286 | 270 | 53 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 98 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 196 | 228 | 348 | 576 | 152 | 272 | 34 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ RAW | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 286 | 263 | 64 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 67 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 243 | 288 | 433 | 722 | 190 | 292 | 23 | 5 | 311 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 574 | 555 | 129 | 24 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 161 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 232 | 247 | 373 | 620 | 141 | 295 | 28 | 1 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 574 | 548 | 160 | 33 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 112 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 292 | 309 | 476 | 785 | 184 | 333 | 20 | 2 | 338 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 368 | 351 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 90 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 239 | 264 | 370 | 635 | 131 | 294 | 24 | 2 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 368 | 344 | 91 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 73 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 265 | 298 | 424 | 722 | 160 | 304 | 20 | 4 | 314 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 169 | 157 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 49 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 229 | 271 | 344 | 615 | 115 | 308 | 29 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 169 | 154 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 266 | 319 | 416 | 735 | 149 | 330 | 24 | 7 | 322 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL MLE | Leones del Caracas | — | 178 | 152 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 283 | 381 | 368 | 749 | 86 | 339 | 16 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL RAW | Leones del Caracas | — | 178 | 152 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 283 | 381 | 368 | 749 | 86 | 339 | 16 | 12 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | ROK MLE | Bristol White Sox | — | 234 | 223 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 80 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 175 | 211 | 242 | 453 | 67 | 247 | 34 | 2 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 265 | 249 | 48 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 57 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 193 | 237 | 313 | 550 | 120 | 230 | 22 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 330 | 314 | 54 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 107 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 172 | 207 | 283 | 490 | 111 | 234 | 32 | 2 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 550 | 515 | 121 | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 165 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 235 | 279 | 371 | 649 | 136 | 318 | 30 | 3 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 286 | 273 | 53 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 98 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 194 | 228 | 344 | 572 | 150 | 270 | 34 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 574 | 558 | 129 | 24 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 161 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 231 | 247 | 371 | 618 | 140 | 291 | 28 | 1 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 368 | 353 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 90 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 238 | 264 | 368 | 633 | 130 | 288 | 24 | 2 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 169 | 158 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 49 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 228 | 271 | 342 | 613 | 114 | 299 | 29 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2954 | 2775 | 607 | 130 | 24 | 56 | 97 | 836 | 36 | 38 | 37 | 219 | 254 | 343 | 598 | 125 | 288 | 28 | 3 | 237 | 47 | -188 | -7 | +0 | +11 | +64 | -12.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 611 | 133 | 29 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 184 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 218 | 253 | 340 | 594 | 123 | 287 | 28 | 3 | 237 | 47 | -41 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 169 PAwOBA .311 → .265 (−46)K% 23.7% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.67% | ÷0.977 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.92% | ÷0.933 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.56% | ÷1.022 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×1.033 | 23.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.02% | ÷1.142 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×1.033 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.39% | ÷0.872 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.64% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 100, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .311 → .265; ISO .149 → .118; BABIP .330 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 281 PAwOBA .320 → .290 (−31)K% 18.1% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.15% | ÷1.014 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.27% | ÷1.051 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 2.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.12% | ÷0.971 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×1.027 | 21.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | ×1.003 | ×1.027 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.003 | ×1.027 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.81% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 4.07% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .320 → .290; ISO .178 → .154; BABIP .299 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAALouisville Bats · 87 PAwOBA .266 → .220 (−47)K% 25.3% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.29% | ÷0.926 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.30% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 1.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.010 | ×1.050 | 21.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.108 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×1.050 | 7.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.010 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.59% | ÷0.928 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 1.51% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 100, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 85, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .266 → .220; ISO .106 → .081; BABIP .323 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 533 PAwOBA .329 → .265 (−64)K% 20.5% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.45% | ÷0.977 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.06% | ÷1.101 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 1.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.19% | ÷0.991 | ×0.910 | ×0.996 | ×1.012 | 21.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.48% | ÷1.034 | ×0.820 | ×0.996 | ×1.012 | 5.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷0.964 | ×0.760 | ×0.996 | ×1.012 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.74% | ÷1.107 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 3.98% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 93, K 95, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .329 → .265; ISO .186 → .143; BABIP .329 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 286 PAwOBA .305 → .251 (−55)K% 23.4% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.43% | ÷0.974 | ×1.420 | — | — | 34.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.90% | ÷1.016 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.027 | 3.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.84% | ÷1.034 | ×0.940 | ×1.020 | ×1.027 | 16.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.20% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×1.027 | 9.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.030 | ×0.800 | ×1.020 | ×1.027 | 1.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.08% | ÷0.960 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.027 | 3.93% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 106, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .305 → .251; ISO .190 → .159; BABIP .292 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AKannapolis Intimidators · 363 PAwOBA .343 → .292 (−51)K% 22.3% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.31% | ÷1.042 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.68% | ÷1.032 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 3.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.75% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 2.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.18% | ÷1.055 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×1.030 | 20.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.69% | ÷0.945 | ×0.820 | ×1.013 | ×1.030 | 10.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.42% | ÷1.013 | ×0.940 | ×1.013 | ×1.030 | 2.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.023 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 1.66% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 111, 2B 89, 3B 103, K 108, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .343 → .292; ISO .170 → .148; BABIP .364 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 187 PAwOBA .322 → .248 (−74)K% 21.9% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.93% | ÷0.954 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.35% | ÷0.985 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.042 | 3.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.042 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.26% | ÷1.054 | ×0.940 | ×0.957 | ×1.042 | 20.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.75% | ÷1.038 | ×0.830 | ×0.957 | ×1.042 | 6.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.032 | ×0.800 | ×0.957 | ×1.042 | 1.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.10% | ÷1.057 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.042 | 2.75% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 111, 2B 108, 3B 106, K 91, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .322 → .248; ISO .165 → .125; BABIP .341 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AKannapolis Intimidators · 236 PAwOBA .244 → .192 (−52)K% 24.2% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.15% | ÷0.976 | ×1.340 | — | — | 33.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.54% | ÷1.048 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.045 | 1.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.12% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.045 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.34% | ÷1.058 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×1.045 | 13.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.36% | ÷0.968 | ×0.820 | ×0.978 | ×1.045 | 6.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.84% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.978 | ×1.045 | 1.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.45% | ÷1.050 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.045 | 2.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 112, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .244 → .192; ISO .136 → .105; BABIP .250 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .