Carlos Ibarra

PosRF
B/TL/R
Born1983-10-06
Age (2027)43
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
AAALAST SEASON 2016
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
201430AAAOlmecas de Ta…282.236/.292/.3314135—.199/.237/.272
201531AAARieleros de A…188.262/.319/.3332042—.223/.253/.269
201632AAARieleros de A…141.242/.302/.3592033—.188/.223/.263
Contract
No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201026 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco — 10388 23800 11121 21 261350352702 91303 1211 313 76 — — — — — —
201127 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco — 265242 731316 7562 01 302327438765 136370 213 321 81 — — — — — —
201228 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz — 266244 701029 14625 14 287338455793 168353 235 348 79 — — — — — —
201329 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz — 285260 6610113 18542 13 254307450757 196273 196 328 70 — — — — — —
201430 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco — 282254 601014 20630 12 236292331623 94295 227 275 35 — — — — — —
201531 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes — 188168 44602 12292 00 262319333652 71302 156 289 42 — — — — — —
201632 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes — 141128 31902 11190 02 242302359662 117271 138 294 33 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201026 AAA MLEOlmecas de Tabasco — 10393 23800 6151 21 247300333633 86290 156 281 76 — — — — — —
201127 AAA MLEOlmecas de Tabasco — 265246 701215 3692 01 285299402701 118344 261 288 81 — — — — — —
201228 AAA MLERojos del Aguila de Veracruz — 266250 63726 8745 14 252289368657 116332 283 285 79 — — — — — —
201329 AAA MLERojos del Aguila de Veracruz — 285267 598110 11622 13 221257371628 150246 224 272 70 — — — — — —
201430 AAA MLEOlmecas de Tabasco — 282261 52813 13800 12 199237272509 73259 285 220 35 — — — — — —
201531 AAA MLERieleros de Aguascalientes — 188175 39501 5392 00 223253269521 46264 213 230 42 — — — — — —
201632 AAA MLERieleros de Aguascalientes — 141133 25701 6240 02 188223263486 75222 174 217 33 — — — — — —
201026 AAA MLEOlmecas de Tabasco — 10393 23800 6151 21 247300333633 86295 156 281 76 — — — — — —
201026 AAA RAWOlmecas de Tabasco — 10388 23800 11121 21 261350352702 91303 1211 313 76 — — — — — —
201127 AAA MLEOlmecas de Tabasco — 265246 701215 3692 01 285299402701 118376 261 288 81 — — — — — —
201127 AAA RAWOlmecas de Tabasco — 265242 731316 7562 01 302327438765 136370 213 321 81 — — — — — —
201228 AAA MLERojos del Aguila de Veracruz — 266250 63726 8745 14 252289368657 116335 283 285 79 — — — — — —
201228 AAA RAWRojos del Aguila de Veracruz — 266244 701029 14625 14 287338455793 168353 235 348 79 — — — — — —
201329 AAA MLERojos del Aguila de Veracruz — 285267 598110 11622 13 221257371628 150250 224 272 70 — — — — — —
201329 AAA RAWRojos del Aguila de Veracruz — 285260 6610113 18542 13 254307450757 196273 196 328 70 — — — — — —
201430 AAA MLEOlmecas de Tabasco — 282261 52813 13800 12 199237272509 73271 285 220 35 — — — — — —
201430 AAA RAWOlmecas de Tabasco — 282254 601014 20630 12 236292331623 94295 227 275 35 — — — — — —
201531 AAA MLERieleros de Aguascalientes — 188175 39501 5392 00 223253269521 46277 213 230 42 — — — — — —
201531 AAA RAWRieleros de Aguascalientes — 188168 44602 12292 00 262319333652 71302 156 289 42 — — — — — —
201632 AAA MLERieleros de Aguascalientes — 141133 25701 6240 02 188223263486 75222 174 217 33 — — — — — —
201632 AAA RAWRieleros de Aguascalientes — 141128 31902 11190 02 242302359662 117271 138 294 33 — — — — — —
201026 AAA MLEOlmecas de Tabasco — 10395 23800 6151 21 242300326626 84290 156 281 76 — — — — — —
201127 AAA MLEOlmecas de Tabasco — 265258 701215 3692 01 271299384683 112344 261 288 81 — — — — — —
201228 AAA MLERojos del Aguila de Veracruz — 266251 63726 8745 14 251289367656 116332 283 285 79 — — — — — —
201329 AAA MLERojos del Aguila de Veracruz — 285270 598110 11622 13 219257367624 148246 224 272 70 — — — — — —
201430 AAA MLEOlmecas de Tabasco — 282267 52813 13800 12 195237266503 71259 285 220 35 — — — — — —
201531 AAA MLERieleros de Aguascalientes — 188179 39501 5392 00 218253263515 45264 213 230 42 — — — — — —
201632 AAA MLERieleros de Aguascalientes — 141134 25701 6240 02 187223261484 75222 174 217 33 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
Career— MLE — 15301425 33155526 5236312 513 232265333598 100292 243 258 61 -72 -4 +0 -16 +33 -6.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650605 14023211 221545 26 231264331594 99291 243 258 61 -30 -2 +0 -7 +14 -2.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 141 PAwOBA .284 → .217 (−67)K% 13.5% → 17.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.48%÷0.941×1.200——17.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.09%÷1.053×0.690—×0.9424.38%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9420.00%
Singles /BIP18.35%÷1.053×0.930×1.021×0.94215.58%
Doubles /BIP8.26%÷1.035×0.830×1.021×0.9426.37%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.920×1.021×0.9420.00%
Home runs /BIP1.83%÷1.236×0.700—×0.9420.98%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 111, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 88, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .284 → .217; ISO .117 → .080; BABIP .271 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 188 PAwOBA .275 → .230 (−45)K% 15.4% → 20.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.43%÷0.903×1.200——20.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.26%÷0.997×0.690—×0.9522.80%
HBP% /PA1.06%—×0.940—×0.9520.95%
Singles /BIP25.90%÷1.007×0.930×1.023×0.95223.29%
Doubles /BIP4.32%÷1.046×0.830×1.023×0.9523.34%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.920×1.023×0.9520.00%
Home runs /BIP1.44%÷1.488×0.700—×0.9520.64%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 81, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .275 → .230; ISO .071 → .045; BABIP .302 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 282 PAwOBA .269 → .220 (−49)K% 22.3% → 28.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.34%÷0.939×1.200——28.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.74%÷0.980×0.690—×0.9624.56%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9620.00%
Singles /BIP23.56%÷1.013×0.930×1.013×0.96221.08%
Doubles /BIP5.24%÷0.974×0.830×1.013×0.9624.35%
Triples /BIP0.52%÷1.000×0.920×1.013×0.9620.47%
Home runs /BIP2.09%÷0.935×0.700—×0.9621.51%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 100, K 88, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .269 → .220; ISO .094 → .073; BABIP .295 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 285 PAwOBA .317 → .272 (−45)K% 18.9% → 21.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.95%÷1.044×1.200——21.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.61%÷1.011×0.690—×0.9723.72%
HBP% /PA0.70%—×0.940—×0.9720.64%
Singles /BIP20.39%÷0.995×0.930×1.034×0.97219.15%
Doubles /BIP4.85%÷1.015×0.830×1.034×0.9723.99%
Triples /BIP0.49%÷1.150×0.920×1.034×0.9720.39%
Home runs /BIP6.31%÷0.867×0.700—×0.9724.96%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 109, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .317 → .272; ISO .196 → .159; BABIP .273 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 266 PAwOBA .337 → .285 (−52)K% 23.3% → 27.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.31%÷1.004×1.200——27.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.89%÷1.087×0.690—×0.9823.05%
HBP% /PA1.88%—×0.940—×0.9821.74%
Singles /BIP26.92%÷0.959×0.930×1.050×0.98226.93%
Doubles /BIP5.49%÷1.125×0.830×1.050×0.9824.18%
Triples /BIP1.10%÷1.027×0.920×1.050×0.9821.01%
Home runs /BIP4.95%÷1.014×0.700—×0.9823.35%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 92, 2B 125, 3B 105, K 101, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .337 → .285; ISO .168 → .119; BABIP .353 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 265 PAwOBA .310 → .288 (−22)K% 21.1% → 26.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.13%÷0.974×1.200——26.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA1.89%÷1.032×0.690—×0.9921.25%
HBP% /PA0.75%—×0.940—×0.9920.70%
Singles /BIP28.49%÷1.019×0.930×1.050×0.99227.09%
Doubles /BIP6.99%÷0.991×0.830×1.050×0.9926.10%
Triples /BIP0.54%÷1.040×0.920×1.050×0.9920.50%
Home runs /BIP3.23%÷0.828×0.700—×0.9922.71%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 66, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 108, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .310 → .288; ISO .136 → .120; BABIP .370 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 103 PAwOBA .302 → .281 (−21)K% 11.7% → 14.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.65%÷0.965×1.200——14.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.71%÷1.077×0.690—×1.0036.24%
HBP% /PA0.97%—×0.940—×1.0030.92%
Singles /BIP19.74%÷1.015×0.930×1.050×1.00319.04%
Doubles /BIP10.53%÷0.927×0.830×1.050×1.0039.93%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.022×0.920×1.050×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.904×0.700—×1.0030.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 103, 2B 85, 3B 104, K 93, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .302 → .281; ISO .091 → .091; BABIP .303 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).