Tommy Medica
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 25 | AA/ROK/INTL3 orgs | 411 | .264/.344/.512 | 20 | 4 | 95 | — | .254/.314/.505 | |
| 2013 | 25 | MLBSD | 79 | .290/.380/.449 | 3 | 0 | 139 | -0.6 | ||
| 2014 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 152 | .185/.303/.362 | 4 | 0 | 52 | — | .143/.228/.275 | |
| 2014 | 26 | MLBSD | 259 | .233/.287/.408 | 9 | 6 | 96 | -0.5 | ||
| 2015 | 27 | AAASD | 363 | .259/.317/.364 | 5 | 5 | 48 | — | .204/.253/.281 | |
| 2016 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2017 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 23 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 175 | 139 | 42 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 302 | 443 | 504 | 946 | 201 | 353 | 18 | 14 | 421 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 165 | 142 | 38 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 268 | 366 | 465 | 831 | 197 | 330 | 20 | 10 | 368 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | ROK | AZL Padres | — | 28 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 391 | 481 | 609 | 1.090 | 217 | 400 | 11 | 14 | 460 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 406 | 355 | 117 | 37 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 86 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 330 | 409 | 623 | 1.032 | 293 | 387 | 21 | 10 | 442 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 79 | 69 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 380 | 449 | 829 | 159 | 395 | 29 | 13 | 372 | 139 | +4 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2013 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 320 | 280 | 83 | 20 | 3 | 18 | 28 | 67 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 296 | 377 | 582 | 959 | 286 | 327 | 21 | 9 | 411 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | ROK | AZL Padres | — | 18 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 333 | 765 | 1.098 | 471 | 375 | 39 | 6 | 463 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 73 | 66 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 205 | 152 | 357 | 30 | 182 | 30 | 10 | 176 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 259 | 240 | 56 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 75 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 233 | 287 | 408 | 695 | 175 | 299 | 29 | 5 | 307 | 96 | -1 | +1 | -3 | -7 | +6 | -0.5 |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 101 | 89 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 307 | 427 | 734 | 213 | 258 | 24 | 9 | 326 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 51 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 294 | 220 | 514 | 98 | 160 | 29 | 20 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 363 | 332 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 70 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 259 | 317 | 364 | 681 | 105 | 312 | 19 | 6 | 306 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 338 | 309 | 76 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 98 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 246 | 309 | 417 | 726 | 172 | 320 | 29 | 7 | 322 | 104 | +2 | +1 | -6 | -16 | +7 | -1.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 175 | 148 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 362 | 426 | 788 | 176 | 314 | 26 | 9 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 165 | 148 | 31 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 287 | 365 | 651 | 155 | 270 | 27 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 28 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 333 | 440 | 773 | 160 | 304 | 14 | 7 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 406 | 367 | 98 | 27 | 4 | 18 | 29 | 116 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 267 | 333 | 510 | 842 | 243 | 330 | 29 | 7 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 79 | 69 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 380 | 449 | 829 | 159 | 395 | 29 | 13 | 373 | 139 | +4 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 320 | 290 | 75 | 16 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 82 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 259 | 320 | 510 | 830 | 252 | 283 | 26 | 6 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 412 | 634 | 235 | 250 | 56 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 259 | 240 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 75 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 237 | 291 | 417 | 707 | 179 | 299 | 29 | 5 | 310 | 96 | -1 | +1 | -3 | -7 | +6 | -0.5 |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 101 | 91 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 228 | 275 | 502 | 132 | 202 | 31 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 363 | 338 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 92 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 204 | 253 | 281 | 534 | 77 | 263 | 25 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 368 | 320 | 75 | 24 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 96 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 234 | 329 | 403 | 732 | 169 | 301 | 26 | 8 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 368 | 304 | 89 | 31 | 0 | 10 | 46 | 68 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 293 | 411 | 493 | 904 | 201 | 346 | 18 | 12 | 400 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 406 | 367 | 98 | 27 | 4 | 18 | 29 | 116 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 267 | 333 | 510 | 842 | 243 | 339 | 29 | 7 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ RAW | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 406 | 355 | 117 | 37 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 86 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 330 | 409 | 623 | 1.032 | 293 | 387 | 21 | 10 | 442 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 490 | 444 | 113 | 22 | 3 | 24 | 34 | 135 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 255 | 319 | 480 | 799 | 225 | 308 | 28 | 7 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 490 | 432 | 116 | 26 | 3 | 23 | 46 | 119 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 269 | 350 | 502 | 852 | 234 | 316 | 24 | 9 | 371 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 411 | 379 | 81 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 121 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 214 | 273 | 385 | 658 | 172 | 276 | 29 | 6 | 290 | 83 | -8 | +1 | -3 | -7 | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 411 | 370 | 80 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 33 | 114 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 216 | 293 | 392 | 685 | 176 | 275 | 28 | 8 | 305 | 83 | -8 | +1 | -3 | -7 | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 363 | 338 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 92 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 204 | 253 | 281 | 534 | 77 | 265 | 25 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA RAW | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 363 | 332 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 70 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 259 | 317 | 364 | 681 | 105 | 312 | 19 | 6 | 306 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 368 | 320 | 75 | 24 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 96 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 234 | 329 | 403 | 732 | 169 | 294 | 26 | 8 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 406 | 367 | 98 | 27 | 4 | 18 | 29 | 116 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 267 | 333 | 510 | 842 | 243 | 330 | 29 | 7 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 490 | 445 | 113 | 22 | 3 | 24 | 34 | 135 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 254 | 319 | 479 | 798 | 225 | 303 | 28 | 7 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 411 | 377 | 81 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 121 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 215 | 273 | 387 | 660 | 172 | 272 | 29 | 6 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 363 | 338 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 92 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 204 | 253 | 281 | 534 | 77 | 263 | 25 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 338 | 309 | 76 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 98 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 246 | 309 | 417 | 726 | 172 | 320 | 29 | 7 | 322 | 97 | +2 | +1 | -6 | -16 | +7 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 594 | 146 | 25 | 4 | 23 | 46 | 188 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 246 | 309 | 418 | 726 | 172 | 319 | 29 | 7 | 322 | 97 | +3 | +2 | -11 | -31 | +14 | -2.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2038 | 1848 | 436 | 103 | 12 | 69 | 134 | 560 | 42 | 16 | 8 | 236 | 302 | 417 | 719 | 181 | 298 | 27 | 7 | 311 | 97 | +2 | +1 | -6 | -16 | +7 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 139 | 33 | 4 | 22 | 43 | 179 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 236 | 302 | 418 | 720 | 182 | 298 | 28 | 7 | 311 | 97 | +3 | +2 | -11 | -31 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 363 PAwOBA .300 → .239 (−61)K% 19.3% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.28% | ÷0.980 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.34% | ÷0.972 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 4.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.38% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.05% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | ×0.971 | ×1.003 | 20.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.11% | ÷0.970 | ×0.810 | ×0.971 | ×1.003 | 4.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.971 | ×1.003 | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.91% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 1.63% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .300 → .239; ISO .105 → .082; BABIP .312 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 101 PAwOBA .317 → .239 (−79)K% 23.8% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.76% | ÷1.002 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.91% | ÷0.970 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 6.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.97% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 2.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.31% | ÷1.018 | ×0.900 | ×0.951 | ×1.018 | 10.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.23% | ÷1.068 | ×0.810 | ×0.951 | ×1.018 | 6.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.951 | ×1.018 | 2.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.62% | ÷0.958 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 3.83% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 104, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .317 → .239; ISO .213 → .152; BABIP .258 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AASan Antonio Missions · 320 PAwOBA .403 → .343 (−60)K% 20.9% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.94% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.44% | ÷1.047 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 2.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.72% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 18.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.39% | ÷1.053 | ×0.840 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 7.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.056 | ×0.940 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.45% | ÷0.872 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 7.74% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 97, 2B 111, 3B 111, K 100, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .403 → .343; ISO .286 → .252; BABIP .327 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKAZL Padres · 18 PAwOBA .448 → .240 (−209)K% 38.9% → 56.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.89% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 56.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 3.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 7.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 13.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 14.74% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .448 → .240; ISO .471 → .250; BABIP .375 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 406 PAwOBA .433 → .352 (−80)K% 21.2% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.18% | ÷0.993 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.85% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 7.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.82% | ÷0.973 | ×0.910 | ×0.992 | ×0.988 | 19.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.75% | ÷1.036 | ×0.820 | ×0.992 | ×0.988 | 10.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.86% | ÷0.993 | ×0.760 | ×0.992 | ×0.988 | 1.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.06% | ÷0.930 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 6.90% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 95, 2B 107, 3B 99, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .433 → .352; ISO .293 → .246; BABIP .387 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 175 PAwOBA .411 → .345 (−66)K% 18.3% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.29% | ÷0.923 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.71% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 9.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.71% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 4.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.30% | ÷1.026 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 21.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.35% | ÷0.976 | ×0.820 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 7.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.760 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.61% | ÷0.874 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 5.89% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 103, K 85, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .411 → .345; ISO .201 → .193; BABIP .353 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 165 PAwOBA .358 → .276 (−82)K% 20.0% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.30% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 6.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.03% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.68% | ÷1.028 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×0.990 | 12.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.43% | ÷1.066 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×0.990 | 13.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.75% | ÷0.823 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.65% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 106, 2B 113, 3B 110, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .358 → .276; ISO .197 → .157; BABIP .330 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKAZL Padres · 28 PAwOBA .464 → .354 (−111)K% 10.7% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 15.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 8.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 23.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 3.76% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .464 → .354; ISO .217 → .169; BABIP .400 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .