Francisco Rivera
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 28 | AAAPiratas de Ca… | 107 | .250/.355/.304 | 0 | 0 | 65 | — | .235/.299/.286 |
| 2019 | 30 | AAAAlgodoneros U… | 322 | .304/.384/.435 | 9 | 1 | 75 | — | .242/.294/.326 |
| 2020 | 31 | INTLAlgodoneros d… | 30 | .167/.333/.208 | 0 | 0 | 71 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 19 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 279 | 247 | 72 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 37 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 291 | 357 | 385 | 741 | 93 | 330 | 13 | 8 | 328 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 364 | 338 | 85 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 52 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 251 | 299 | 349 | 648 | 98 | 287 | 14 | 5 | 290 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 46 | 44 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 283 | 386 | 669 | 136 | 297 | 15 | 4 | 295 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 95 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 213 | 244 | 457 | 67 | 192 | 13 | 4 | 206 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 107 | 92 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 355 | 304 | 659 | 54 | 303 | 15 | 14 | 310 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA | Algodoneros Union Laguna | — | 322 | 283 | 86 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 304 | 384 | 435 | 819 | 131 | 336 | 14 | 11 | 367 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 31 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 30 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 333 | 208 | 542 | 42 | 222 | 20 | 20 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 19 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 279 | 255 | 66 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 259 | 305 | 337 | 642 | 78 | 300 | 18 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 364 | 344 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 227 | 263 | 314 | 577 | 87 | 274 | 20 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 46 | 45 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 239 | 356 | 595 | 133 | 283 | 22 | 2 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 95 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 191 | 220 | 411 | 55 | 181 | 16 | 3 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 107 | 98 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 299 | 286 | 585 | 51 | 286 | 18 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Algodoneros Union Laguna | — | 322 | 298 | 72 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 58 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 242 | 294 | 326 | 619 | 84 | 280 | 18 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 279 | 255 | 66 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 259 | 305 | 337 | 642 | 78 | 310 | 18 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | A RAW | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 279 | 247 | 72 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 37 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 291 | 357 | 385 | 741 | 93 | 330 | 13 | 8 | 328 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 364 | 344 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 227 | 263 | 314 | 577 | 87 | 278 | 20 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A+ RAW | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 364 | 338 | 85 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 52 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 251 | 299 | 349 | 648 | 98 | 287 | 14 | 5 | 290 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 46 | 45 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 239 | 356 | 595 | 133 | 286 | 22 | 2 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ RAW | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 46 | 44 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 283 | 386 | 669 | 136 | 297 | 15 | 4 | 295 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 95 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 191 | 220 | 411 | 55 | 184 | 16 | 3 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 95 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 213 | 244 | 457 | 67 | 192 | 13 | 4 | 206 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 107 | 98 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 299 | 286 | 585 | 51 | 291 | 18 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 107 | 92 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 355 | 304 | 659 | 54 | 303 | 15 | 14 | 310 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Algodoneros Union Laguna | — | 322 | 298 | 72 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 58 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 242 | 294 | 326 | 619 | 84 | 281 | 18 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA RAW | Algodoneros Union Laguna | — | 322 | 283 | 86 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 304 | 384 | 435 | 819 | 131 | 336 | 14 | 11 | 367 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 31 | INTL MLE | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 30 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 333 | 208 | 542 | 42 | 222 | 20 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 31 | INTL RAW | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 30 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 333 | 208 | 542 | 42 | 222 | 20 | 20 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 279 | 260 | 66 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 254 | 305 | 331 | 636 | 77 | 300 | 18 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 364 | 344 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 227 | 263 | 314 | 577 | 87 | 274 | 20 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 46 | 45 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 239 | 356 | 595 | 133 | 283 | 22 | 2 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 95 | 92 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 191 | 217 | 409 | 54 | 181 | 16 | 3 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 107 | 97 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 299 | 289 | 588 | 52 | 286 | 18 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Algodoneros Union Laguna | — | 322 | 297 | 72 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 58 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 242 | 294 | 327 | 620 | 84 | 280 | 18 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1243 | 1155 | 268 | 53 | 3 | 11 | 69 | 232 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 232 | 279 | 312 | 591 | 80 | 278 | 19 | 6 | 255 | 59 | -61 | -2 | +0 | -22 | +27 | -5.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 141 | 28 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 121 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 233 | 280 | 316 | 596 | 83 | 280 | 19 | 6 | 255 | 59 | -32 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -3.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAAlgodoneros Union Laguna · 322 PAwOBA .353 → .279 (−74)K% 14.3% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.63% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 6.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.27% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 24.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.22% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 2.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.116 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.80% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 2.49% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 123, K 91, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .353 → .279; ISO .131 → .090; BABIP .336 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 107 PAwOBA .296 → .265 (−31)K% 15.0% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.95% | ÷1.024 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.15% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 8.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.68% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 22.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.58% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 5.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.263 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 92, K 105, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .296 → .265; ISO .054 → .051; BABIP .303 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 95 PAwOBA .203 → .174 (−29)K% 12.6% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.63% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.21% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 2.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 15.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.075 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 3.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.28% | ÷1.132 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.79% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 98, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .203 → .174; ISO .067 → .047; BABIP .192 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 46 PAwOBA .287 → .251 (−36)K% 15.2% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.22% | ÷0.978 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.045 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 3.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.22% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 14.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.81% | ÷0.928 | ×0.960 | — | ×1.012 | 11.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.934 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 2.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 106, 2B 86, 3B 87, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .287 → .251; ISO .136 → .125; BABIP .297 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 364 PAwOBA .282 → .253 (−30)K% 14.3% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 3.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×1.027 | 20.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.960 | ×1.007 | ×1.027 | 6.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.007 | ×1.027 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.95% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .282 → .253; ISO .098 → .088; BABIP .287 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AQuad Cities River Bandits · 279 PAwOBA .324 → .283 (−40)K% 13.3% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.26% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 5.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×1.030 | 22.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×1.030 | 8.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.988 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.39% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .324 → .283; ISO .093 → .079; BABIP .330 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .