Danny Worth
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 28 | AAADET | 251 | .211/.296/.300 | 1 | 9 | 25 | — | .167/.224/.236 | |
| 2014 | 28 | MLBDET | 46 | .167/.222/.190 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0.2 | ||
| 2015 | 29 | AAAARI | 399 | .314/.395/.469 | 6 | 6 | 73 | — | .231/.295/.330 | |
| 2016 | 30 | AAACOL | 368 | .330/.438/.525 | 11 | 5 | 104 | — | .255/.338/.386 | |
| 2016 | 30 | MLBHOU | 40 | .179/.200/.231 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0.1 | ||
| 2017 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 21 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 16 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 429 | 467 | 714 | 1.181 | 286 | 429 | 6 | 6 | 475 | 224 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 192 | 171 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 39 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 251 | 326 | 363 | 689 | 111 | 313 | 20 | 9 | 309 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 336 | 295 | 75 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 59 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 254 | 333 | 386 | 720 | 132 | 300 | 18 | 10 | 319 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 162 | 151 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 40 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 212 | 265 | 252 | 517 | 40 | 288 | 25 | 7 | 240 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 318 | 285 | 68 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 74 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 239 | 309 | 319 | 628 | 81 | 321 | 23 | 8 | 284 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 115 | 106 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 255 | 295 | 358 | 653 | 104 | 275 | 11 | 5 | 286 | 83 | -2 | -1 | +4 | +3 | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 177 | 164 | 47 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 287 | 335 | 354 | 689 | 67 | 336 | 16 | 6 | 312 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 39 | 37 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 308 | 324 | 632 | 54 | 357 | 23 | 5 | 287 | 83 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 357 | 309 | 79 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 86 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 256 | 339 | 421 | 760 | 165 | 329 | 24 | 10 | 331 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 20 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 389 | 450 | 778 | 1.228 | 389 | 500 | 30 | 5 | 525 | 241 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 90 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 333 | 257 | 590 | 41 | 308 | 26 | 14 | 274 | 74 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 255 | 216 | 57 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 58 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 264 | 367 | 421 | 788 | 157 | 335 | 23 | 12 | 350 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 345 | 305 | 68 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 91 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 223 | 305 | 308 | 613 | 85 | 315 | 26 | 10 | 280 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 17 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 235 | 412 | 59 | 214 | 18 | 0 | 182 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 46 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 222 | 190 | 413 | 24 | 226 | 26 | 4 | 192 | 18 | -5 | -0 | +3 | +3 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 251 | 223 | 47 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 87 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 211 | 296 | 300 | 596 | 90 | 341 | 35 | 11 | 275 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 399 | 350 | 110 | 30 | 3 | 6 | 46 | 99 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 314 | 395 | 469 | 864 | 154 | 423 | 25 | 12 | 383 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 40 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 200 | 231 | 431 | 51 | 212 | 15 | 2 | 195 | 15 | -4 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 368 | 303 | 100 | 22 | 2 | 11 | 54 | 72 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 330 | 438 | 525 | 962 | 195 | 394 | 20 | 15 | 418 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 330 | 298 | 67 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 63 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 225 | 285 | 289 | 573 | 64 | 277 | 19 | 7 | 259 | 61 | -15 | -1 | +8 | +10 | +7 | 1.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 21 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 16 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 429 | 467 | 714 | 1.181 | 286 | 418 | 6 | 6 | 499 | 224 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 192 | 175 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 55 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 223 | 284 | 326 | 610 | 103 | 306 | 29 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 336 | 304 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 72 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 243 | 303 | 355 | 658 | 112 | 296 | 21 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 162 | 154 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 48 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 182 | 222 | 214 | 437 | 32 | 264 | 30 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 318 | 293 | 64 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 90 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 218 | 271 | 290 | 561 | 72 | 306 | 28 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 115 | 106 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 255 | 295 | 358 | 653 | 104 | 275 | 11 | 5 | 291 | 83 | -2 | -1 | +4 | +3 | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 177 | 166 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 265 | 307 | 331 | 638 | 66 | 310 | 19 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 39 | 37 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 308 | 324 | 632 | 54 | 357 | 23 | 5 | 291 | 83 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 357 | 319 | 71 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 104 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 223 | 287 | 361 | 648 | 138 | 296 | 29 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 90 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 333 | 257 | 590 | 41 | 308 | 26 | 14 | 277 | 74 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 255 | 225 | 50 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 73 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 222 | 303 | 360 | 663 | 138 | 291 | 29 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 345 | 317 | 61 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 108 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 192 | 249 | 265 | 514 | 73 | 280 | 31 | 7 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 17 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 235 | 412 | 59 | 192 | 24 | 0 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 46 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 222 | 190 | 413 | 24 | 226 | 26 | 4 | 194 | 18 | -5 | -0 | +3 | +3 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 251 | 233 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 103 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 167 | 224 | 236 | 460 | 69 | 289 | 41 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 399 | 364 | 84 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 132 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 231 | 295 | 330 | 624 | 99 | 346 | 33 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 40 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 200 | 231 | 431 | 51 | 212 | 15 | 2 | 191 | 15 | -4 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 368 | 321 | 82 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 93 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 255 | 338 | 386 | 724 | 131 | 320 | 25 | 10 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 208 | 190 | 45 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 57 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 237 | 293 | 353 | 645 | 116 | 323 | 27 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 208 | 185 | 49 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 40 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 265 | 337 | 389 | 726 | 124 | 324 | 19 | 9 | 322 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 336 | 304 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 72 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 243 | 303 | 355 | 658 | 112 | 304 | 21 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA RAW | Erie SeaWolves | — | 336 | 295 | 75 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 59 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 254 | 333 | 386 | 720 | 132 | 300 | 18 | 10 | 319 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 480 | 447 | 92 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 138 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 206 | 254 | 264 | 518 | 58 | 297 | 29 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 480 | 436 | 100 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 114 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 229 | 294 | 296 | 590 | 67 | 310 | 24 | 8 | 269 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 292 | 272 | 71 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 47 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 261 | 302 | 342 | 644 | 81 | 302 | 16 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 292 | 270 | 74 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 274 | 319 | 356 | 675 | 81 | 311 | 14 | 5 | 302 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 416 | 374 | 86 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 119 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 230 | 292 | 364 | 656 | 134 | 315 | 29 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 416 | 364 | 96 | 22 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 101 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 264 | 342 | 429 | 770 | 165 | 339 | 24 | 9 | 336 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 345 | 299 | 66 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 96 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 221 | 311 | 334 | 645 | 114 | 303 | 28 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 345 | 290 | 73 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 44 | 81 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 252 | 358 | 379 | 737 | 128 | 329 | 23 | 13 | 330 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 334 | 63 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 112 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 189 | 243 | 260 | 503 | 72 | 281 | 31 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 362 | 322 | 71 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 94 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 220 | 299 | 304 | 603 | 84 | 308 | 26 | 10 | 275 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 297 | 275 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 115 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 167 | 224 | 229 | 453 | 62 | 281 | 39 | 6 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 297 | 265 | 54 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 99 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 204 | 285 | 283 | 568 | 79 | 319 | 33 | 10 | 262 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 399 | 364 | 84 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 132 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 231 | 295 | 330 | 624 | 99 | 349 | 33 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA RAW | Reno Aces | — | 399 | 350 | 110 | 30 | 3 | 6 | 46 | 99 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 314 | 395 | 469 | 864 | 154 | 423 | 25 | 12 | 383 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 408 | 360 | 89 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 99 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 247 | 324 | 369 | 694 | 122 | 313 | 24 | 9 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 408 | 342 | 107 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 55 | 78 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 313 | 414 | 491 | 905 | 178 | 371 | 19 | 13 | 396 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 208 | 191 | 45 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 57 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 236 | 293 | 351 | 643 | 115 | 315 | 27 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 336 | 307 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 72 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 241 | 303 | 352 | 655 | 111 | 296 | 21 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 480 | 448 | 92 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 138 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 205 | 254 | 263 | 518 | 58 | 292 | 29 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 292 | 274 | 71 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 47 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 259 | 302 | 339 | 641 | 80 | 296 | 16 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 416 | 380 | 86 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 119 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 226 | 292 | 358 | 650 | 132 | 302 | 29 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 345 | 303 | 66 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 96 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 218 | 311 | 330 | 641 | 112 | 295 | 28 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 335 | 63 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 112 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 188 | 243 | 260 | 503 | 72 | 276 | 31 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 297 | 275 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 115 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 167 | 224 | 229 | 453 | 62 | 279 | 39 | 6 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 399 | 363 | 84 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 132 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 231 | 295 | 331 | 625 | 99 | 346 | 33 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 408 | 364 | 89 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 99 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 245 | 324 | 365 | 690 | 121 | 309 | 24 | 9 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 330 | 298 | 67 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 63 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 225 | 285 | 289 | 573 | 64 | 277 | 19 | 7 | 259 | 65 | -15 | -1 | +8 | +10 | +7 | 1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 587 | 132 | 26 | 0 | 4 | 47 | 124 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 225 | 285 | 290 | 574 | 65 | 276 | 19 | 7 | 259 | 65 | -30 | -2 | +16 | +21 | +14 | 2.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3543 | 3219 | 716 | 154 | 22 | 37 | 252 | 987 | 24 | 87 | 26 | 222 | 284 | 318 | 602 | 96 | 307 | 28 | 7 | 265 | 65 | -15 | -1 | +8 | +10 | +7 | 1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 131 | 28 | 4 | 7 | 46 | 181 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 222 | 282 | 318 | 600 | 96 | 305 | 28 | 7 | 265 | 65 | -30 | -2 | +16 | +21 | +14 | 2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 368 PAwOBA .413 → .322 (−91)K% 19.6% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.57% | ÷0.996 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.40% | ÷1.008 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.962 | 9.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.962 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×0.993 | ×0.962 | 24.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.061 | ×0.810 | ×0.993 | ×0.962 | 6.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.993 | ×0.962 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.962 | 3.44% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 100, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .413 → .322; ISO .195 → .143; BABIP .394 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAReno Aces · 399 PAwOBA .374 → .276 (−99)K% 24.8% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.81% | ÷0.969 | ×1.290 | — | — | 33.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.53% | ÷0.997 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 7.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.25% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.29% | ÷0.964 | ×0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.972 | 24.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.95% | ÷1.083 | ×0.810 | ×0.970 | ×0.972 | 8.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.970 | ×0.972 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.39% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 1.76% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 93, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .374 → .276; ISO .154 → .103; BABIP .423 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 251 PAwOBA .268 → .205 (−63)K% 34.7% → 40.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.66% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.76% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.06% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×0.970 | ×0.982 | 19.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.03% | ÷1.031 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×0.982 | 8.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.049 | ×0.970 | ×0.970 | ×0.982 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.74% | ÷0.899 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 0.67% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 106, 3B 110, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .268 → .205; ISO .090 → .069; BABIP .341 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 345 PAwOBA .273 → .225 (−48)K% 26.4% → 31.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.38% | ÷1.011 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.14% | ÷1.041 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.29% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.50% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.008 | ×0.992 | 19.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.88% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×0.992 | 7.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | ×0.992 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.47% | ÷0.883 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.44% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .273 → .225; ISO .085 → .072; BABIP .315 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 17 PAwOBA .177 → .146 (−30)K% 17.6% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.018 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.948 | 12.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.944 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.948 | 6.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.067 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 104, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .177 → .146; ISO .059 → .052; BABIP .214 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 255 PAwOBA .344 → .285 (−59)K% 22.7% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.75% | ÷0.952 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.16% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.15% | ÷1.045 | ×0.930 | ×0.989 | ×1.003 | 19.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.49% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×0.989 | ×1.003 | 7.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.27% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.989 | ×1.003 | 1.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.16% | ÷0.913 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 2.92% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 109, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 90, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .344 → .285; ISO .157 → .139; BABIP .335 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 357 PAwOBA .324 → .280 (−43)K% 24.1% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.09% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.08% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.52% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | ×0.966 | ×1.018 | 20.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.52% | ÷1.042 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×1.018 | 6.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.932 | ×0.970 | ×0.966 | ×1.018 | 1.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.59% | ÷0.922 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 3.33% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 95, 2B 108, 3B 86, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .324 → .280; ISO .165 → .148; BABIP .329 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 177 PAwOBA .306 → .273 (−32)K% 16.4% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.38% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.65% | ÷0.922 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.63% | ÷1.059 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×1.033 | 27.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.951 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.033 | 3.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.970 | ×1.021 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.48% | ÷0.957 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 1.34% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 112, 2B 90, 3B 103, K 103, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .306 → .273; ISO .067 → .060; BABIP .336 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .