Neftali Soto

Pos1B

B/TR/R

Born1989-02-28

Age (2027)38

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	26	AAA/INTL2 orgs	424	.256/.336/.344	6	0	81	—	.231/.301/.269
2016	27	AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs	648	.275/.321/.410	14	3	75	—	.240/.273/.335
2017	28	AAA/AA2 orgs	566	.311/.367/.528	24	0	106	—	.270/.310/.445

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	18	ROK	GCL Reds	—	167	152	46	7	5	2	11	31	2	2	0	303	358	454	812	151	367	19	7	355	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	A	Dayton Dragons	—	233	218	71	15	1	7	7	36	2	1	1	326	352	500	852	174	354	15	3	366	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	ROK	Billings Mustangs	—	71	67	26	10	1	4	4	10	0	1	0	388	423	746	1.169	358	415	14	6	500	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A+	Sarasota Reds	—	537	505	125	21	2	11	23	95	3	1	3	248	284	362	647	115	283	18	4	286	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	565	522	140	33	2	21	32	105	8	0	0	268	320	460	780	192	298	19	6	343	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	18	17	7	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	412	444	588	1.033	176	429	11	6	456	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AA	Carolina Mudcats	—	414	379	103	19	3	30	25	96	8	0	1	272	330	575	905	303	286	23	6	389	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	108	100	24	7	0	1	6	23	2	0	2	240	296	340	636	100	303	21	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	512	465	114	30	0	14	41	116	5	2	1	245	313	400	713	155	298	23	8	319	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	144	133	29	3	1	4	10	36	1	0	2	218	278	346	624	128	269	25	7	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	495	461	125	21	0	15	26	103	4	3	1	271	316	414	730	143	317	21	5	323	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	145	137	40	8	0	4	6	21	2	0	1	292	331	438	769	146	321	14	4	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	31	30	3	1	0	0	0	8	0	1	0	100	100	133	233	33	130	26	0	100	-46	-5	+0	-0	-7	+1	-1.2
2014	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	303	278	84	23	0	2	21	41	1	0	0	302	353	406	760	104	345	14	7	338	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	84	72	21	3	1	0	11	10	0	0	1	292	386	361	747	69	333	12	13	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	231	199	49	6	0	2	30	40	0	0	0	246	345	307	652	60	297	17	13	303	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	193	176	47	7	1	4	14	32	1	0	0	267	325	386	711	119	303	17	7	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	119	115	31	7	0	0	3	24	1	0	0	270	294	330	625	61	341	20	3	282	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	371	341	94	20	2	10	25	69	2	2	0	276	329	434	763	158	317	19	7	336	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	158	147	41	8	0	4	10	28	0	1	0	279	325	415	740	136	319	18	6	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	286	263	77	15	1	14	18	50	3	0	0	293	345	517	862	224	313	17	6	375	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	280	252	83	19	2	10	25	53	0	0	0	329	390	540	930	210	380	19	9	403	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	31	30	3	1	0	0	0	8	0	1	0	100	100	133	233	33	130	26	0	100	-46	-5	+0	-0	-7	+1	-1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	18	ROK MLE	GCL Reds	—	167	156	37	5	4	2	7	45	2	2	0	237	279	359	638	122	306	27	4	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	233	220	63	12	1	6	5	49	2	1	1	286	308	432	740	145	324	21	2	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	ROK MLE	Billings Mustangs	—	71	69	20	7	1	3	2	14	0	1	0	290	310	551	861	261	324	20	3	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A+ MLE	Sarasota Reds	—	537	510	116	20	2	9	18	135	3	1	3	227	258	327	585	100	285	25	3	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	565	535	118	27	1	16	19	153	8	0	0	221	258	364	622	144	273	27	3	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	18	17	7	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	412	444	588	1.033	176	403	11	6	403	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AA MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	414	386	90	17	2	25	18	121	8	0	1	233	282	482	763	249	266	29	4	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	512	479	102	26	0	11	27	144	5	2	1	213	262	336	598	123	278	28	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	495	470	118	19	0	12	17	129	4	3	1	251	283	368	651	117	314	26	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	31	30	3	1	0	0	0	8	0	1	0	100	100	133	233	33	130	26	0	100	-46	-5	+0	-0	-7	+1	-1.2
2014	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	303	286	79	18	0	2	13	53	1	0	0	276	310	360	670	84	325	17	4	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	231	208	48	5	0	1	21	49	0	0	0	231	301	269	571	38	298	21	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	119	116	27	6	0	0	2	30	1	0	0	233	252	284	537	52	308	25	2	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	371	350	85	19	2	5	16	86	2	2	0	243	280	351	631	109	300	23	4	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	286	270	68	11	1	12	11	60	3	0	0	252	289	433	722	181	276	21	4	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	280	260	75	16	2	8	17	63	0	0	0	288	332	458	790	169	347	22	6	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	ROK MLE	GCL Reds	—	167	156	37	5	4	2	7	45	2	2	0	237	279	359	638	122	318	27	4	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	ROK RAW	GCL Reds	—	167	152	46	7	5	2	11	31	2	2	0	303	358	454	812	151	367	19	7	355	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	304	288	84	20	2	9	8	63	2	2	1	292	315	469	784	177	338	21	3	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	304	285	97	25	2	11	11	46	2	2	1	340	369	558	927	218	368	15	4	397	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A+ MLE	Sarasota Reds	—	537	510	116	20	2	9	18	135	3	1	3	227	258	327	585	100	289	25	3	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A+ RAW	Sarasota Reds	—	537	505	125	21	2	11	23	95	3	1	3	248	284	362	647	115	283	18	4	286	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	565	535	118	27	1	16	19	153	8	0	0	221	258	364	622	144	276	27	3	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A+ RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	565	522	140	33	2	21	32	105	8	0	0	268	320	460	780	192	298	19	6	343	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	540	504	121	21	3	33	24	154	10	0	3	240	288	490	778	250	276	29	4	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	540	496	134	26	3	32	32	121	10	0	3	270	327	528	855	258	296	22	6	371	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	656	615	130	33	0	14	34	184	6	2	3	211	260	333	593	122	278	28	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	656	598	143	33	1	18	51	152	6	2	3	239	305	388	693	149	291	23	8	311	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	640	608	153	25	0	16	22	166	6	3	2	252	285	372	656	120	319	26	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	640	598	165	29	0	19	32	124	6	3	2	276	319	420	739	144	318	19	5	327	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	418	396	102	24	0	2	16	76	1	1	1	258	288	333	621	76	310	18	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	418	380	108	27	1	2	32	59	1	1	1	284	341	376	718	92	327	14	8	321	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	424	381	90	10	0	2	38	91	1	0	0	236	307	278	585	42	302	21	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	424	375	96	13	1	6	44	72	1	0	0	256	336	344	680	88	300	17	10	309	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	648	617	147	33	2	7	24	154	3	3	0	238	270	332	602	94	304	24	4	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AA RAW	3 teams	—	648	603	166	35	2	14	38	121	3	3	0	275	321	410	731	134	322	19	6	324	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	566	530	144	28	3	20	28	123	3	0	0	272	312	449	761	177	316	22	5	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	566	515	160	34	3	24	43	103	3	0	0	311	367	528	895	217	346	18	8	389	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	ROK MLE	GCL Reds	—	167	156	37	5	4	2	7	45	2	2	0	237	279	359	638	122	306	27	4	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	304	291	84	20	2	9	8	63	2	2	1	289	315	464	779	175	324	21	3	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A+ MLE	Sarasota Reds	—	537	511	116	20	2	9	18	135	3	1	3	227	258	327	585	100	285	25	3	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	565	533	118	27	1	16	19	153	8	0	0	221	258	366	624	144	273	27	3	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	540	501	121	21	3	33	24	154	10	0	3	242	288	493	781	251	272	29	4	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	656	611	130	33	0	14	34	184	6	2	3	213	260	336	595	123	278	28	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	640	607	153	25	0	16	22	166	6	3	2	252	285	372	657	120	314	26	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	418	398	102	24	0	2	16	76	1	1	1	256	288	332	620	75	307	18	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	424	382	90	10	0	2	38	91	1	0	0	236	307	277	585	42	298	21	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	648	616	147	33	2	7	24	154	3	3	0	239	270	333	603	94	302	24	4	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	566	530	144	28	3	20	28	123	3	0	0	272	312	449	761	177	311	22	5	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	31	30	3	1	0	0	0	8	0	1	0	100	100	133	233	33	130	26	0	100	78	-5	+0	-0	-7	+1	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	629	63	21	0	0	0	168	0	21	0	100	100	134	234	33	131	26	0	100	78	-113	+4	-2	-157	+14	-25.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5465	5140	1242	246	17	130	238	1344	45	14	13	242	281	372	653	130	300	25	4	283	78	-5	+0	-0	-7	+1	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	611	147	29	2	15	28	160	5	2	2	241	279	368	647	128	299	25	4	283	78	-113	+4	-2	-157	+14	-25.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 286 PAwOBA .365 → .309 (−55)K% 17.5% → 20.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.48%	÷1.005	×1.200	—	—	20.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.59%	÷1.033	×0.690	—	×0.992	3.71%
HBP% /PA	1.05%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.98%
Singles /BIP	22.07%	÷0.997	×0.930	×1.005	×0.992	20.52%
Doubles /BIP	7.04%	÷1.081	×0.830	×1.005	×0.992	5.39%
Triples /BIP	0.47%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.005	×0.992	0.39%
Home runs /BIP	6.57%	÷0.980	×0.840	—	×0.992	5.59%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .365 → .309; ISO .224 → .186; BABIP .313 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAHarrisburg Senators · 280 PAwOBA .397 → .341 (−56)K% 18.9% → 22.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.93%	÷1.022	×1.220	—	—	22.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.93%	÷0.974	×0.700	—	×0.968	6.21%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.968	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.13%	÷1.016	×0.970	×1.022	×0.968	24.67%
Doubles /BIP	9.55%	÷0.998	×0.860	×1.022	×0.968	8.14%
Triples /BIP	1.01%	÷0.906	×0.950	×1.022	×0.968	1.04%
Home runs /BIP	5.03%	÷0.970	×0.780	—	×0.968	3.91%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 81, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .397 → .341; ISO .210 → .174; BABIP .380 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAHarrisburg Senators · 371 PAwOBA .328 → .275 (−53)K% 18.6% → 23.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.60%	÷0.980	×1.220	—	—	23.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.20%	÷0.992	×0.700	—	×0.978	4.28%
HBP% /PA	0.54%	—	×0.850	—	×0.978	0.45%
Singles /BIP	22.79%	÷1.029	×0.970	×1.050	×0.978	22.06%
Doubles /BIP	7.35%	÷0.922	×0.860	×1.050	×0.978	7.04%
Triples /BIP	0.74%	÷1.137	×0.950	×1.050	×0.978	0.63%
Home runs /BIP	3.68%	÷1.445	×0.780	—	×0.978	1.94%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 189, 1B 106, 2B 84, 3B 127, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .328 → .275; ISO .158 → .111; BABIP .317 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 119 PAwOBA .274 → .230 (−44)K% 20.2% → 25.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.17%	÷0.949	×1.200	—	—	25.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.52%	÷1.110	×0.690	—	×1.003	1.57%
HBP% /PA	0.84%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.79%
Singles /BIP	26.37%	÷1.048	×0.930	×1.021	×1.003	23.97%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷0.959	×0.830	×1.021	×1.003	6.82%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.021	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.978	×0.840	—	×1.003	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 110, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 90, BB 122 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .274 → .230; ISO .061 → .051; BABIP .341 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAACharlotte Knights · 231 PAwOBA .297 → .265 (−32)K% 17.3% → 21.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.32%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	21.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.99%	÷1.017	×0.690	—	×1.018	8.97%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.79%	÷0.973	×0.930	×1.050	×1.018	26.35%
Doubles /BIP	3.77%	÷0.993	×0.830	×1.050	×1.018	3.37%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.050	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.26%	÷1.306	×0.840	—	×1.018	0.82%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .297 → .265; ISO .060 → .047; BABIP .297 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAALouisville Bats · 303 PAwOBA .329 → .296 (−33)K% 13.5% → 17.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.53%	÷0.926	×1.200	—	—	17.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.94%	÷1.008	×0.690	—	×1.033	4.20%
HBP% /PA	0.33%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.32%
Singles /BIP	24.89%	÷0.999	×0.930	×1.039	×1.033	24.87%
Doubles /BIP	9.70%	÷1.108	×0.830	×1.039	×1.033	7.80%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.039	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.84%	÷0.928	×0.840	—	×1.033	0.79%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 100, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 85, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .329 → .296; ISO .104 → .086; BABIP .345 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAALouisville Bats · 495 PAwOBA .316 → .284 (−31)K% 20.8% → 26.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.81%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	25.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.05%	÷1.075	×0.690	—	×1.048	3.40%
HBP% /PA	0.81%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.80%
Singles /BIP	24.86%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.039	×1.048	25.17%
Doubles /BIP	5.87%	÷0.960	×0.830	×1.039	×1.048	5.52%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.039	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.19%	÷1.038	×0.840	—	×1.048	3.55%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 100, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 92, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .316 → .284; ISO .143 → .121; BABIP .317 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAALouisville Bats · 512 PAwOBA .309 → .262 (−47)K% 22.7% → 28.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.66%	÷0.967	×1.200	—	—	28.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.42%	÷1.034	×0.690	—	×1.050	5.20%
HBP% /PA	0.98%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.96%
Singles /BIP	20.06%	÷1.046	×0.930	×1.029	×1.050	19.28%
Doubles /BIP	8.60%	÷1.002	×0.830	×1.029	×1.050	7.69%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.029	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.01%	÷1.087	×0.840	—	×1.050	3.26%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 109, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 93, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .309 → .262; ISO .155 → .126; BABIP .298 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .