Dan Rohlfing
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | AAALas Vegas 51s | 176 | .230/.283/.366 | 3 | 0 | 33 | — | .177/.220/.268 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 170 | .273/.317/.435 | 5 | 0 | 54 | — | .226/.250/.351 |
| 2017 | 28 | AACIN | 251 | .142/.222/.218 | 4 | 0 | -9 | — | .112/.169/.168 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 18 | ROK | GCL Twins | — | 65 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 232 | 317 | 250 | 567 | 18 | 283 | 17 | 11 | 262 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK | GCL Twins | — | 80 | 70 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 300 | 314 | 614 | 114 | 250 | 21 | 9 | 285 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | — | 130 | 113 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 328 | 354 | 682 | 115 | 295 | 20 | 12 | 306 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 152 | 132 | 32 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 242 | 333 | 364 | 697 | 121 | 326 | 24 | 10 | 314 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 179 | 166 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 247 | 298 | 289 | 587 | 42 | 308 | 18 | 7 | 269 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 191 | 173 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 272 | 326 | 364 | 690 | 92 | 331 | 19 | 7 | 306 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 173 | 163 | 41 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 252 | 295 | 337 | 632 | 86 | 325 | 21 | 4 | 286 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 187 | 165 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 218 | 299 | 285 | 584 | 67 | 265 | 18 | 9 | 268 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 23 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 455 | 333 | 788 | 400 | 17 | 13 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 103 | 86 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 314 | 410 | 430 | 840 | 116 | 379 | 19 | 14 | 369 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 329 | 288 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 77 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 340 | 316 | 656 | 62 | 341 | 23 | 10 | 303 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 26 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 360 | 286 | 646 | 48 | 333 | 23 | 15 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 254 | 219 | 45 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 56 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 310 | 311 | 620 | 105 | 264 | 22 | 11 | 286 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 176 | 161 | 37 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 283 | 366 | 650 | 137 | 304 | 27 | 5 | 287 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 149 | 135 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 289 | 333 | 474 | 807 | 185 | 370 | 26 | 6 | 344 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 21 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 200 | 158 | 358 | 200 | 24 | 5 | 163 | -22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 28 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 251 | 225 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 98 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 142 | 222 | 218 | 440 | 76 | 224 | 39 | 9 | 206 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 65 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 186 | 238 | 203 | 441 | 17 | 242 | 25 | 6 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 80 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 151 | 225 | 247 | 472 | 96 | 206 | 30 | 5 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 130 | 119 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 168 | 227 | 244 | 470 | 76 | 233 | 28 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 152 | 136 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 54 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 280 | 309 | 589 | 103 | 322 | 36 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 179 | 170 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 258 | 259 | 517 | 35 | 291 | 22 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 191 | 176 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 55 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 239 | 283 | 330 | 613 | 91 | 314 | 29 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 173 | 166 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 211 | 243 | 277 | 520 | 66 | 294 | 27 | 2 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 187 | 169 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 245 | 237 | 481 | 59 | 239 | 27 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 103 | 90 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 300 | 370 | 411 | 781 | 111 | 371 | 23 | 10 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 329 | 299 | 72 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 92 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 304 | 298 | 601 | 57 | 336 | 28 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 254 | 229 | 41 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 67 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 254 | 266 | 520 | 87 | 234 | 26 | 7 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 176 | 164 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 220 | 268 | 488 | 91 | 262 | 36 | 3 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 149 | 140 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 257 | 379 | 636 | 143 | 318 | 34 | 3 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 21 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 200 | 158 | 358 | 169 | 29 | 5 | 136 | -22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 251 | 232 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 119 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 112 | 169 | 168 | 337 | 56 | 199 | 47 | 6 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 65 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 186 | 238 | 203 | 441 | 17 | 250 | 25 | 6 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Twins | — | 65 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 232 | 317 | 250 | 567 | 18 | 283 | 17 | 11 | 262 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 80 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 151 | 225 | 247 | 472 | 96 | 208 | 30 | 5 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Twins | — | 80 | 70 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 300 | 314 | 614 | 114 | 250 | 21 | 9 | 285 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 130 | 119 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 168 | 227 | 244 | 470 | 76 | 229 | 28 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK RAW | Elizabethton Twins | — | 130 | 113 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 328 | 354 | 682 | 115 | 295 | 20 | 12 | 306 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 152 | 136 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 54 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 280 | 309 | 589 | 103 | 333 | 36 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ RAW | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 152 | 132 | 32 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 242 | 333 | 364 | 697 | 121 | 326 | 24 | 10 | 314 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 346 | 80 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 95 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 231 | 271 | 295 | 566 | 64 | 311 | 26 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 370 | 339 | 88 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 70 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 260 | 312 | 327 | 640 | 68 | 320 | 19 | 7 | 288 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 383 | 355 | 69 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 103 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 194 | 245 | 256 | 502 | 62 | 268 | 27 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 383 | 346 | 83 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 75 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 240 | 306 | 312 | 618 | 72 | 300 | 20 | 7 | 282 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 458 | 412 | 105 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 123 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 255 | 319 | 323 | 642 | 68 | 353 | 27 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 458 | 395 | 105 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 52 | 103 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 357 | 339 | 696 | 73 | 349 | 22 | 11 | 317 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 254 | 229 | 41 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 67 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 254 | 266 | 520 | 87 | 241 | 26 | 7 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 254 | 219 | 45 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 56 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 310 | 311 | 620 | 105 | 264 | 22 | 11 | 286 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 176 | 164 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 220 | 268 | 488 | 91 | 267 | 36 | 3 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA RAW | Las Vegas 51s | — | 176 | 161 | 37 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 283 | 366 | 650 | 137 | 304 | 27 | 5 | 287 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 170 | 159 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 250 | 352 | 602 | 126 | 320 | 34 | 3 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 170 | 154 | 42 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 317 | 435 | 752 | 162 | 346 | 26 | 6 | 322 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 251 | 232 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 119 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 112 | 169 | 168 | 337 | 56 | 205 | 47 | 6 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA RAW | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 251 | 225 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 98 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 142 | 222 | 218 | 440 | 76 | 224 | 39 | 9 | 206 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 65 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 180 | 238 | 197 | 435 | 16 | 242 | 25 | 6 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 80 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 151 | 225 | 247 | 472 | 96 | 206 | 30 | 5 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 130 | 120 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 227 | 242 | 468 | 75 | 233 | 28 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 152 | 137 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 54 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 204 | 280 | 307 | 587 | 102 | 322 | 36 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 348 | 80 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 95 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 230 | 271 | 293 | 564 | 63 | 303 | 26 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 383 | 356 | 69 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 103 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 194 | 245 | 256 | 501 | 62 | 265 | 27 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 458 | 416 | 105 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 123 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 319 | 320 | 639 | 67 | 344 | 27 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 254 | 229 | 41 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 67 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 254 | 266 | 520 | 87 | 234 | 26 | 7 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 176 | 165 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 220 | 267 | 486 | 91 | 262 | 36 | 3 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 170 | 163 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 250 | 344 | 594 | 123 | 300 | 34 | 3 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 251 | 233 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 119 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 112 | 169 | 167 | 337 | 56 | 199 | 47 | 6 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2489 | 2284 | 456 | 97 | 7 | 20 | 143 | 758 | 26 | 3 | 12 | 200 | 255 | 275 | 529 | 75 | 286 | 30 | 6 | 234 | 45 | -164 | -4 | +0 | +44 | +54 | -7.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 119 | 25 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 198 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 200 | 254 | 273 | 528 | 74 | 286 | 30 | 6 | 234 | 45 | -43 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 251 PAwOBA .202 → .155 (−47)K% 39.0% → 47.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.04% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 47.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.76% | ÷0.940 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 6.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.90% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×1.024 | ×0.968 | 17.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.36% | ÷1.084 | ×0.910 | ×1.024 | ×0.968 | 1.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.018 | ×0.880 | ×1.024 | ×0.968 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.15% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 2.50% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 101, 2B 117, 3B 104, K 102, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .202 → .155; ISO .076 → .056; BABIP .224 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAReno Aces · 149 PAwOBA .329 → .265 (−64)K% 26.2% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.17% | ÷0.991 | ×1.290 | — | — | 34.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.03% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 2.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 22.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.42% | ÷1.060 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 8.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.21% | ÷1.092 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 3.73% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .329 → .265; ISO .185 → .136; BABIP .370 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAMobile BayBears · 21 PAwOBA .167 → .136 (−31)K% 23.8% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷0.975 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 3.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.065 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 18.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.146 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.160 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 113, 2B 129, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .167 → .136; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAALas Vegas 51s · 176 PAwOBA .280 → .217 (−63)K% 27.3% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.27% | ÷0.977 | ×1.290 | — | — | 36.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷1.010 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 3.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.70% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.58% | ÷0.983 | ×0.900 | ×0.991 | ×1.018 | 17.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.50% | ÷1.042 | ×0.810 | ×0.991 | ×1.018 | 9.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.061 | ×0.810 | ×0.991 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.65% | ÷1.099 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 1.92% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 112, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .280 → .217; ISO .137 → .095; BABIP .304 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAARochester Red Wings · 254 PAwOBA .282 → .230 (−52)K% 22.0% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.05% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.02% | ÷1.125 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.97% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.95% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×0.992 | ×1.033 | 15.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.43% | ÷1.059 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×1.033 | 8.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.075 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.99% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 102, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 100, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .282 → .230; ISO .105 → .085; BABIP .264 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 329 PAwOBA .295 → .268 (−27)K% 23.4% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.40% | ÷1.020 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.03% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.49% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 27.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.16% | ÷0.963 | ×0.860 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 5.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.47% | ÷0.897 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.42% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .295 → .268; ISO .062 → .058; BABIP .341 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAARochester Red Wings · 103 PAwOBA .367 → .344 (−23)K% 19.4% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.42% | ÷0.987 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.59% | ÷1.026 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 9.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.040 | ×0.930 | ×1.041 | ×1.048 | 32.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×1.041 | ×1.048 | 2.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.52% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.041 | ×1.048 | 1.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.938 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 2.84% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 108, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .367 → .344; ISO .116 → .119; BABIP .379 → .371. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 187 PAwOBA .264 → .219 (−45)K% 18.2% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.956 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.977 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 6.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.61% | ÷1.095 | ×0.920 | ×1.048 | ×0.998 | 18.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.11% | ÷1.022 | ×0.960 | ×1.048 | ×0.998 | 6.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.810 | ×1.048 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.930 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.72% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 110, K 91, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .264 → .219; ISO .067 → .060; BABIP .265 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .