Clint Robinson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 30 | MLBWSH | 352 | .272/.359/.424 | 10 | 0 | 119 | 0.0 | ||
| 2016 | 31 | MLBWSH | 224 | .235/.312/.332 | 5 | 0 | 81 | -0.6 | ||
| 2017 | 32 | AAASyracuse Chie… | 495 | .242/.317/.424 | 18 | 0 | 55 | — | .191/.242/.332 | |
| 2018 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 22 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 278 | 253 | 85 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 19 | 42 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 336 | 391 | 593 | 984 | 257 | 354 | 15 | 7 | 426 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 424 | 379 | 100 | 22 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 264 | 336 | 472 | 808 | 208 | 279 | 16 | 9 | 353 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 483 | 436 | 130 | 31 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 79 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 298 | 360 | 463 | 823 | 165 | 335 | 16 | 7 | 362 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 548 | 477 | 160 | 41 | 5 | 29 | 58 | 86 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 335 | 414 | 625 | 1.039 | 289 | 357 | 16 | 11 | 443 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 572 | 503 | 164 | 35 | 0 | 23 | 58 | 88 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 326 | 402 | 533 | 935 | 207 | 356 | 15 | 10 | 408 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 570 | 487 | 142 | 37 | 1 | 13 | 79 | 65 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 292 | 394 | 452 | 845 | 160 | 315 | 11 | 14 | 379 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 130 | 108 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 331 | 352 | 683 | 139 | 276 | 25 | 15 | 306 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 332 | 289 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 270 | 364 | 446 | 811 | 176 | 294 | 15 | 12 | 363 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 499 | 429 | 134 | 31 | 5 | 18 | 64 | 84 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 404 | 534 | 938 | 221 | 350 | 17 | 13 | 409 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 352 | 309 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 272 | 359 | 424 | 783 | 152 | 298 | 15 | 11 | 351 | 119 | +8 | +0 | -9 | -6 | +8 | 0.0 |
| 2016 | 31 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 224 | 196 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 312 | 332 | 644 | 97 | 259 | 17 | 9 | 288 | 81 | -5 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 495 | 443 | 107 | 25 | 1 | 18 | 45 | 121 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 317 | 424 | 741 | 183 | 290 | 24 | 9 | 328 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 576 | 505 | 130 | 19 | 1 | 15 | 57 | 90 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 341 | 388 | 729 | 131 | 283 | 16 | 10 | 327 | 107 | +5 | +0 | -11 | -10 | +12 | -0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 22 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 278 | 263 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 255 | 290 | 437 | 727 | 183 | 281 | 22 | 3 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 424 | 392 | 85 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 91 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 217 | 269 | 378 | 647 | 161 | 242 | 21 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 483 | 452 | 111 | 24 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 112 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 246 | 287 | 376 | 663 | 131 | 296 | 23 | 4 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 548 | 501 | 135 | 32 | 4 | 21 | 34 | 111 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 269 | 323 | 475 | 799 | 206 | 298 | 20 | 6 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 572 | 524 | 152 | 29 | 0 | 16 | 37 | 117 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 290 | 344 | 437 | 781 | 147 | 339 | 20 | 6 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 570 | 513 | 128 | 33 | 1 | 10 | 53 | 81 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 323 | 376 | 700 | 127 | 277 | 14 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 130 | 114 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 268 | 298 | 566 | 114 | 241 | 31 | 10 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 332 | 303 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 63 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 241 | 307 | 383 | 690 | 142 | 276 | 19 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 499 | 452 | 111 | 25 | 3 | 13 | 41 | 113 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 311 | 400 | 712 | 155 | 295 | 23 | 8 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 352 | 313 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 348 | 419 | 766 | 150 | 298 | 15 | 9 | 343 | 119 | +8 | +0 | -9 | -6 | +8 | 0.0 |
| 2016 | 31 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 224 | 196 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 312 | 332 | 644 | 97 | 259 | 17 | 9 | 287 | 81 | -5 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 495 | 461 | 88 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 27 | 145 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 242 | 332 | 574 | 141 | 237 | 29 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 278 | 263 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 255 | 290 | 437 | 727 | 183 | 290 | 22 | 3 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | ROK RAW | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 278 | 253 | 85 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 19 | 42 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 336 | 391 | 593 | 984 | 257 | 354 | 15 | 7 | 426 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 424 | 392 | 85 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 91 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 217 | 269 | 378 | 647 | 161 | 247 | 21 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A RAW | Burlington Bees | — | 424 | 379 | 100 | 22 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 264 | 336 | 472 | 808 | 208 | 279 | 16 | 9 | 353 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 483 | 452 | 111 | 24 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 112 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 246 | 287 | 376 | 663 | 131 | 299 | 23 | 4 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | A+ RAW | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 483 | 436 | 130 | 31 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 79 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 298 | 360 | 463 | 823 | 165 | 335 | 16 | 7 | 362 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 548 | 501 | 135 | 32 | 4 | 21 | 34 | 111 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 269 | 323 | 475 | 799 | 206 | 305 | 20 | 6 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA RAW | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 548 | 477 | 160 | 41 | 5 | 29 | 58 | 86 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 335 | 414 | 625 | 1.039 | 289 | 357 | 16 | 11 | 443 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 572 | 524 | 152 | 29 | 0 | 16 | 37 | 117 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 290 | 344 | 437 | 781 | 147 | 344 | 20 | 6 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA RAW | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 572 | 503 | 164 | 35 | 0 | 23 | 58 | 88 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 326 | 402 | 533 | 935 | 207 | 356 | 15 | 10 | 408 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 570 | 513 | 128 | 33 | 1 | 10 | 53 | 81 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 323 | 376 | 700 | 127 | 279 | 14 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA RAW | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 570 | 487 | 142 | 37 | 1 | 13 | 79 | 65 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 292 | 394 | 452 | 845 | 160 | 315 | 11 | 14 | 379 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 462 | 417 | 94 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 103 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 225 | 296 | 360 | 656 | 134 | 271 | 22 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 462 | 397 | 101 | 23 | 2 | 13 | 59 | 83 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 254 | 355 | 421 | 776 | 166 | 289 | 18 | 13 | 347 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 499 | 452 | 111 | 25 | 3 | 13 | 41 | 113 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 311 | 400 | 712 | 155 | 297 | 23 | 8 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA RAW | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 499 | 429 | 134 | 31 | 5 | 18 | 64 | 84 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 404 | 534 | 938 | 221 | 350 | 17 | 13 | 409 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 352 | 313 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 348 | 419 | 766 | 150 | 294 | 15 | 9 | 343 | 119 | +8 | +0 | -9 | -6 | +8 | 0.0 |
| 2015 | 30 | MLB RAW | Washington Nationals | — | 352 | 309 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 272 | 359 | 424 | 783 | 152 | 298 | 15 | 11 | 351 | 119 | +8 | +0 | -9 | -6 | +8 | 0.0 |
| 2016 | 31 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 224 | 196 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 312 | 332 | 644 | 97 | 259 | 17 | 9 | 287 | 81 | -5 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2016 | 31 | MLB RAW | Washington Nationals | — | 224 | 196 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 312 | 332 | 644 | 97 | 259 | 17 | 9 | 288 | 81 | -5 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 495 | 461 | 88 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 27 | 145 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 242 | 332 | 574 | 141 | 240 | 29 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA RAW | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 495 | 443 | 107 | 25 | 1 | 18 | 45 | 121 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 317 | 424 | 741 | 183 | 290 | 24 | 9 | 328 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 278 | 263 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 255 | 290 | 437 | 727 | 183 | 281 | 22 | 3 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 424 | 393 | 85 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 91 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 216 | 269 | 377 | 646 | 160 | 242 | 21 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 483 | 454 | 111 | 24 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 112 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 244 | 287 | 374 | 661 | 130 | 296 | 23 | 4 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 548 | 503 | 135 | 32 | 4 | 21 | 34 | 111 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 268 | 323 | 473 | 797 | 205 | 298 | 20 | 6 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 572 | 524 | 152 | 29 | 0 | 16 | 37 | 117 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 290 | 344 | 437 | 781 | 147 | 339 | 20 | 6 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 570 | 509 | 128 | 33 | 1 | 10 | 53 | 81 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 251 | 323 | 379 | 703 | 128 | 277 | 14 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 462 | 417 | 94 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 103 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 225 | 296 | 360 | 656 | 134 | 266 | 22 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 499 | 453 | 111 | 25 | 3 | 13 | 41 | 113 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 311 | 400 | 711 | 155 | 295 | 23 | 8 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 352 | 311 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 348 | 421 | 769 | 151 | 298 | 15 | 9 | 343 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 224 | 200 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 312 | 325 | 637 | 95 | 259 | 17 | 9 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 495 | 461 | 88 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 27 | 145 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 242 | 332 | 574 | 141 | 237 | 29 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 576 | 505 | 130 | 19 | 1 | 15 | 57 | 90 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 341 | 388 | 729 | 131 | 283 | 16 | 10 | 327 | 92 | +5 | +0 | -11 | -10 | +12 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 570 | 146 | 21 | 1 | 17 | 64 | 102 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 340 | 386 | 726 | 130 | 282 | 16 | 10 | 327 | 92 | +6 | +0 | -12 | -12 | +14 | -0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4907 | 4484 | 1101 | 230 | 17 | 136 | 336 | 1024 | 46 | 14 | 12 | 246 | 305 | 395 | 700 | 150 | 287 | 21 | 7 | 305 | 92 | +5 | +0 | -11 | -10 | +12 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 145 | 30 | 2 | 18 | 45 | 136 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 244 | 304 | 392 | 697 | 148 | 285 | 21 | 7 | 305 | 92 | +6 | +0 | -12 | -12 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 495 PAwOBA .320 → .249 (−71)K% 24.4% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.44% | ÷1.005 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.69% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 5.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.57% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | ×0.979 | ×0.952 | 17.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.76% | ÷1.081 | ×0.830 | ×0.979 | ×0.952 | 5.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.31% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.979 | ×0.952 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.59% | ÷0.980 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.952 | 4.56% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .320 → .249; ISO .183 → .142; BABIP .290 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 499 PAwOBA .400 → .311 (−88)K% 16.8% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.83% | ÷0.955 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.42% | ÷1.049 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 8.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.19% | ÷1.008 | ×0.900 | ×1.006 | ×0.982 | 20.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.99% | ÷0.982 | ×0.810 | ×1.006 | ×0.982 | 7.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.006 | ×0.982 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.22% | ÷1.078 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 3.71% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 102, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 91, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .400 → .311; ISO .221 → .163; BABIP .350 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 332 PAwOBA .352 → .298 (−54)K% 15.1% → 19.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.06% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.75% | ÷1.007 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 7.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.34% | ÷0.986 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | ×0.968 | 20.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.86% | ÷1.042 | ×0.860 | ×1.033 | ×0.968 | 4.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷1.068 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | ×0.968 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.60% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 3.57% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 114, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .352 → .298; ISO .176 → .142; BABIP .294 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAABuffalo Bisons · 130 PAwOBA .306 → .252 (−54)K% 25.4% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.38% | ÷0.987 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.62% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 9.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | ×1.011 | ×0.992 | 15.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.00% | ÷1.094 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×0.992 | 9.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.011 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.67% | ÷0.853 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 2.61% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 95, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .306 → .252; ISO .139 → .121; BABIP .276 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 570 PAwOBA .368 → .310 (−57)K% 11.4% → 14.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.40% | ÷1.035 | ×1.290 | — | — | 14.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.16% | ÷1.012 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 9.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.56% | ÷1.010 | ×0.900 | ×1.005 | ×1.003 | 19.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.77% | ÷0.949 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×1.003 | 7.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.24% | ÷0.998 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×1.003 | 0.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.001 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 2.41% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 100, K 107, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .368 → .310; ISO .160 → .135; BABIP .315 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 572 PAwOBA .398 → .340 (−58)K% 15.4% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷0.970 | ×1.290 | — | — | 20.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.27% | ÷1.028 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 6.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.54% | ÷0.929 | ×0.900 | ×1.033 | ×1.018 | 26.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷1.033 | ×0.810 | ×1.033 | ×1.018 | 6.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.932 | ×0.810 | ×1.033 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.54% | ÷1.161 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 3.79% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 86, 2B 107, 3B 86, K 94, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .398 → .340; ISO .207 → .150; BABIP .356 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 548 PAwOBA .433 → .340 (−93)K% 15.7% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.69% | ÷0.944 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.85% | ÷1.109 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 19.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.49% | ÷1.081 | ×0.840 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 8.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.28% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.42% | ÷1.145 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 5.17% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 101, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 89, BB 122 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .433 → .340; ISO .289 → .213; BABIP .357 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 483 PAwOBA .353 → .290 (−63)K% 16.4% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.36% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 3.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.985 | ×0.988 | 21.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.985 | ×0.988 | 7.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | ×0.985 | ×0.988 | 0.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 3.24% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .353 → .290; ISO .165 → .136; BABIP .335 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).