Rey Navarro

Pos2B

B/TS/R

Born1989-12-22

Age (2027)37

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	27	AAA/INTL2 orgs	669	.270/.339/.361	7	7	64	—	.233/.284/.314
2018	28	AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs	373	.231/.278/.366	12	1	47	—	.193/.223/.329
2019	29	INTLAtenienses de…	74	.234/.310/.312	1	2	73	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	17	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	225	212	53	4	0	1	6	41	2	6	3	250	277	283	560	33	301	18	3	250	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	323	291	75	17	7	2	25	77	4	17	9	258	325	385	710	127	341	24	8	316	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	493	451	118	25	5	0	27	85	5	12	4	262	311	339	650	78	319	17	5	289	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	511	472	112	14	6	6	19	62	3	7	7	237	271	331	601	93	259	12	4	261	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	64	59	15	0	1	0	3	9	0	1	1	254	290	288	578	34	294	14	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	209	188	51	8	0	1	14	26	4	6	3	271	335	330	665	59	307	12	7	302	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	301	277	79	17	7	8	18	39	4	5	4	285	338	484	822	199	307	13	6	358	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	86	75	14	2	1	1	10	18	0	4	0	187	282	280	562	93	228	21	12	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	70	60	18	3	0	1	8	7	1	1	0	300	391	400	791	100	327	10	11	356	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	449	400	100	14	3	3	30	41	4	9	4	250	309	323	631	73	268	9	7	279	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	143	133	41	8	2	1	8	14	0	5	2	308	348	421	769	113	339	10	6	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	481	446	126	21	4	12	19	54	2	6	6	283	315	428	743	146	295	11	4	319	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	112	98	22	9	0	0	10	10	1	5	1	224	303	316	619	92	244	9	9	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	251	230	68	17	0	3	19	26	1	1	1	296	352	409	761	113	322	10	8	341	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	291	255	69	17	2	9	27	32	0	4	7	271	340	459	799	188	275	11	9	343	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	157	142	44	6	0	4	8	17	4	4	1	310	361	437	798	127	328	11	5	352	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	30	29	8	2	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	276	276	448	724	172	280	10	0	306	89	-0	+0	-1	+2	+1	0.1
2015	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	394	360	94	20	1	6	27	48	0	4	4	261	313	372	685	111	285	12	7	303	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	93	84	17	3	0	2	6	12	0	1	0	202	256	310	565	107	205	13	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	175	163	37	9	2	1	5	28	1	0	0	227	254	325	580	98	267	16	3	250	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	ROK	Orem Owlz	—	19	19	8	1	0	0	0	4	0	2	0	421	421	474	895	53	533	21	0	401	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	171	150	43	8	1	0	16	19	0	1	0	287	355	353	709	67	319	11	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	554	492	137	27	1	7	48	79	3	7	4	278	346	380	726	102	315	14	9	323	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	115	104	24	4	0	0	11	9	0	0	1	231	304	269	574	38	253	8	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	260	242	56	7	0	11	16	33	0	1	1	231	279	397	676	165	226	13	6	298	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	34	32	6	2	0	1	0	6	1	0	0	188	212	344	556	156	192	18	0	238	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	79	73	18	2	0	0	5	6	1	0	0	247	304	274	578	27	269	8	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	INTL	Atenienses de Manati	—	74	64	15	2	0	1	7	7	0	2	0	234	310	312	622	78	250	9	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	30	29	8	2	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	276	276	448	724	172	280	10	0	306	93	-0	+0	-1	+2	+1	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	225	214	43	3	0	1	4	59	2	6	3	201	223	229	452	28	260	26	2	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	323	300	54	11	5	1	16	111	4	17	9	180	231	260	491	80	270	34	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A MLE	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	493	460	107	21	5	0	18	115	5	12	4	233	269	300	569	67	296	23	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	511	482	108	12	5	6	10	91	3	7	7	224	244	307	551	83	250	18	2	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	209	193	48	7	0	1	9	32	4	6	3	249	296	301	597	52	282	15	4	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	301	284	69	14	5	8	11	57	4	5	4	243	281	412	693	169	274	19	4	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	70	62	18	3	0	1	6	9	1	1	0	290	362	387	749	97	306	13	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	449	407	95	14	3	2	23	51	4	9	4	233	281	297	578	64	247	11	5	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	481	452	116	19	4	10	13	68	2	6	6	257	281	383	663	126	268	14	3	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	251	235	60	13	0	3	14	34	1	1	1	255	300	349	649	94	281	14	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	291	265	68	16	2	8	17	38	0	4	7	257	301	423	724	166	257	13	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	30	29	8	2	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	276	276	448	724	172	280	10	0	299	89	-0	+0	-1	+2	+1	0.1
2015	25	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	394	369	85	17	1	5	18	60	0	4	4	230	266	322	589	92	254	15	5	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	175	164	31	7	1	1	4	37	1	0	0	189	213	262	475	73	230	21	2	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	ROK MLE	Orem Owlz	—	19	19	6	1	0	0	0	6	0	2	0	316	316	368	684	53	405	32	0	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	554	507	118	21	1	6	33	101	3	7	4	233	284	314	597	81	268	18	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	260	248	48	6	0	9	10	40	0	1	1	194	225	327	551	133	189	15	4	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AA MLE	Trenton Thunder	—	34	32	6	2	0	1	0	7	1	0	0	188	212	344	556	156	171	21	0	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	225	214	43	3	0	1	4	59	2	6	3	201	223	229	452	28	268	26	2	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	17	ROK RAW	Missoula Osprey	—	225	212	53	4	0	1	6	41	2	6	3	250	277	283	560	33	301	18	3	250	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	323	300	54	11	5	1	16	111	4	17	9	180	231	260	491	80	279	34	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK RAW	Missoula Osprey	—	323	291	75	17	7	2	25	77	4	17	9	258	325	385	710	127	341	24	8	316	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A MLE	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	493	460	107	21	5	0	18	115	5	12	4	233	269	300	569	67	307	23	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A RAW	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	493	451	118	25	5	0	27	85	5	12	4	262	311	339	650	78	319	17	5	289	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	575	542	121	13	6	6	12	102	3	8	8	223	244	303	547	79	261	18	2	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	575	531	127	14	7	6	22	71	3	8	8	239	273	326	599	87	262	12	4	261	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	596	559	136	25	6	10	23	105	8	15	7	243	283	363	646	120	281	18	4	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	596	540	144	27	8	10	42	83	8	15	7	267	329	402	731	135	297	14	7	324	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	662	602	144	22	4	4	37	76	5	15	6	239	289	309	598	70	265	11	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	662	593	159	25	5	5	46	62	5	15	6	268	326	352	679	84	289	9	7	300	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	593	558	142	23	5	12	15	84	3	11	7	254	278	378	656	124	276	14	3	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	593	544	148	30	4	12	29	64	3	11	7	272	312	408	721	136	285	11	5	311	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	699	642	163	37	2	14	40	93	5	9	9	254	303	383	686	129	275	13	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	699	627	181	40	2	16	54	75	5	9	9	289	349	435	785	147	304	11	8	344	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	517	484	113	23	1	7	22	77	0	5	4	233	267	329	595	95	261	15	4	256	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	517	473	119	25	1	9	33	63	0	5	4	252	300	366	666	114	270	12	6	293	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	365	346	69	15	3	1	7	81	1	3	0	199	218	269	486	69	253	22	2	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	365	332	88	18	3	1	21	51	1	3	0	265	311	346	657	81	305	14	6	288	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	669	615	142	25	1	7	40	122	3	7	5	231	281	309	590	78	274	18	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	669	596	161	31	1	7	59	88	3	7	5	270	339	361	700	91	303	13	9	314	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	373	355	66	9	0	12	13	59	2	1	1	186	219	313	532	127	189	16	3	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	373	347	80	11	0	12	21	45	2	1	1	231	278	366	644	135	233	12	6	286	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	INTL MLE	Atenienses de Manati	—	74	64	15	2	0	1	7	7	0	2	0	234	310	312	622	78	250	9	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	INTL RAW	Atenienses de Manati	—	74	64	15	2	0	1	7	7	0	2	0	234	310	312	622	78	250	9	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	225	217	43	3	0	1	4	59	2	6	3	198	223	226	449	28	260	26	2	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	323	300	54	11	5	1	16	111	4	17	9	180	231	260	491	80	270	34	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A MLE	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	493	467	107	21	5	0	18	115	5	12	4	229	269	296	565	66	296	23	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	575	555	121	13	6	6	12	102	3	8	8	218	244	295	540	77	250	18	2	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	596	560	136	25	6	10	23	105	8	15	7	243	283	362	646	120	277	18	4	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	662	615	144	22	4	4	37	76	5	15	6	234	289	302	591	68	255	11	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	593	570	142	23	5	12	15	84	3	11	7	249	278	370	648	121	268	14	3	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	699	649	163	37	2	14	40	93	5	9	9	251	303	379	682	128	268	13	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	517	490	113	23	1	7	22	77	0	5	4	231	267	324	591	94	256	15	4	256	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	365	354	69	15	3	1	7	81	1	3	0	195	218	263	480	68	247	22	2	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	669	621	142	25	1	7	40	122	3	7	5	229	281	306	587	77	268	18	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	373	355	66	9	0	12	13	59	2	1	1	186	219	313	532	127	187	16	3	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	30	29	8	2	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	276	276	448	724	172	280	10	0	306	56	-0	+0	-1	+2	+1	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	628	173	43	0	22	0	65	0	0	0	275	275	449	725	174	279	10	0	306	56	-5	+0	-14	+40	+14	3.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6164	5741	1315	229	38	76	254	1091	41	111	63	229	267	322	589	93	267	18	4	251	56	-0	+0	-1	+2	+1	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	605	138	24	4	8	27	115	4	12	7	228	265	321	586	93	266	18	4	251	56	-5	+0	-14	+40	+14	3.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 260 PAwOBA .290 → .233 (−58)K% 12.7% → 15.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.69%	÷1.002	×1.200	—	—	15.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.15%	÷1.034	×0.690	—	×0.982	4.03%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.18%	÷1.032	×0.930	×0.966	×0.982	15.55%
Doubles /BIP	3.35%	÷1.004	×0.830	×0.966	×0.982	2.63%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.130	×0.970	×0.966	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.26%	÷1.046	×0.840	—	×0.982	4.15%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 126, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .290 → .233; ISO .165 → .131; BABIP .226 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AATrenton Thunder · 34 PAwOBA .238 → .198 (−40)K% 17.6% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.65%	÷1.002	×1.220	—	—	21.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.972	×0.700	—	×0.958	0.00%
HBP% /PA	2.94%	—	×0.850	—	×0.958	2.39%
Singles /BIP	11.54%	÷0.954	×0.970	—	×0.958	11.24%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷1.042	×0.860	—	×0.958	6.08%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.944	×0.950	—	×0.958	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.85%	÷1.034	×0.780	—	×0.958	2.78%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 91, 2B 108, 3B 89, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .238 → .198; ISO .156 → .117; BABIP .192 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAASalt Lake Bees · 554 PAwOBA .318 → .262 (−56)K% 14.3% → 18.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.26%	÷1.010	×1.290	—	—	18.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.48%	÷0.993	×0.710	—	×0.992	6.02%
HBP% /PA	0.54%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	0.53%
Singles /BIP	24.70%	÷0.986	×0.900	×0.971	×0.992	21.70%
Doubles /BIP	6.54%	÷1.009	×0.810	×0.971	×0.992	5.05%
Triples /BIP	0.24%	÷1.093	×0.810	×0.971	×0.992	0.17%
Home runs /BIP	1.69%	÷0.989	×0.780	—	×0.992	1.33%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 102, 3B 119, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .318 → .262; ISO .102 → .079; BABIP .315 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAASalt Lake Bees · 175 PAwOBA .244 → .202 (−42)K% 16.0% → 21.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.00%	÷0.969	×1.290	—	—	21.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.86%	÷1.021	×0.710	—	×1.003	1.99%
HBP% /PA	0.57%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.56%
Singles /BIP	18.52%	÷1.033	×0.900	×1.020	×1.003	16.51%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷1.020	×0.810	×1.020	×1.003	5.42%
Triples /BIP	1.48%	÷1.137	×0.810	×1.020	×1.003	1.08%
Home runs /BIP	0.74%	÷1.035	×0.780	—	×1.003	0.56%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 107, 2B 104, 3B 127, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .244 → .202; ISO .098 → .076; BABIP .267 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 ROKOrem Owlz · 19 PAwOBA .390 → .260 (−130)K% 21.1% → 30.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.05%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	30.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.610	—	×0.940	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	46.67%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.940	35.97%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	4.51%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .390 → .260; ISO .053 → .031; BABIP .533 → .405. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAANorfolk Tides · 394 PAwOBA .297 → .253 (−44)K% 12.2% → 15.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.18%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	15.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.85%	÷1.060	×0.690	—	×1.018	4.54%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.47%	÷0.989	×0.930	×0.959	×1.018	19.71%
Doubles /BIP	6.41%	÷0.979	×0.830	×0.959	×1.018	5.30%
Triples /BIP	0.32%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.959	×1.018	0.26%
Home runs /BIP	1.92%	÷1.097	×0.840	—	×1.018	1.50%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .297 → .253; ISO .111 → .091; BABIP .285 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 291 PAwOBA .338 → .304 (−34)K% 11.0% → 13.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.00%	÷1.014	×1.220	—	—	13.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.28%	÷1.051	×0.680	—	×0.998	5.99%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.39%	÷0.971	×0.920	×1.017	×0.998	17.68%
Doubles /BIP	7.62%	÷1.012	×0.910	×1.017	×0.998	6.96%
Triples /BIP	0.90%	÷1.150	×0.880	×1.017	×0.998	0.70%
Home runs /BIP	4.04%	÷0.970	×0.800	—	×0.998	3.32%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .338 → .304; ISO .188 → .169; BABIP .275 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAALouisville Bats · 251 PAwOBA .333 → .280 (−53)K% 10.4% → 13.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.36%	÷0.926	×1.200	—	—	13.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.57%	÷1.008	×0.690	—	×1.033	5.35%
HBP% /PA	0.40%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.39%
Singles /BIP	23.53%	÷0.999	×0.930	×0.959	×1.033	21.71%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷1.108	×0.830	×0.959	×1.033	6.18%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.959	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.47%	÷0.928	×0.840	—	×1.033	1.37%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 100, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 85, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .333 → .280; ISO .113 → .091; BABIP .322 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .