Hunter Morris
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 24 | AAAMIL | 546 | .247/.311/.457 | 24 | 3 | 61 | — | .197/.243/.361 |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA/AA/ROK/INTL4 orgs | 427 | .270/.316/.418 | 11 | 2 | 60 | — | .221/.256/.345 |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA/AAPIT | 160 | .141/.185/.181 | 0 | 0 | -28 | — | .112/.146/.146 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 21 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 314 | 291 | 73 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 58 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 251 | 306 | 436 | 742 | 186 | 286 | 18 | 6 | 328 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | INTL | Surprise Rafters | — | 72 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 296 | 348 | 644 | 106 | 259 | 11 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA | Huntsville Stars | — | 17 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 353 | 353 | 706 | 1.059 | 353 | 333 | 6 | 0 | 453 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 531 | 501 | 136 | 28 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 84 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 271 | 303 | 461 | 765 | 190 | 289 | 16 | 3 | 331 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA | Huntsville Stars | — | 571 | 522 | 158 | 40 | 6 | 28 | 40 | 117 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 303 | 359 | 563 | 922 | 261 | 342 | 20 | 7 | 399 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | INTL | Phoenix Desert Dogs | — | 95 | 86 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 256 | 312 | 360 | 672 | 105 | 313 | 21 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 546 | 497 | 123 | 26 | 3 | 24 | 43 | 122 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 247 | 311 | 457 | 768 | 209 | 280 | 22 | 8 | 336 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 356 | 330 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 279 | 326 | 448 | 774 | 170 | 327 | 21 | 6 | 340 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA | Huntsville Stars | — | 27 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 296 | 269 | 566 | 318 | 15 | 4 | 260 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 25 | ROK | AZL Brewers | — | 18 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 400 | 733 | 200 | 250 | 17 | 17 | 328 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 26 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 192 | 192 | 385 | 312 | 38 | 0 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 129 | 119 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 190 | 185 | 375 | 42 | 227 | 36 | 5 | 171 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 31 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 161 | 167 | 328 | 33 | 160 | 16 | 3 | 152 | -27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 314 | 299 | 58 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 81 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 194 | 232 | 344 | 577 | 151 | 235 | 26 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 17 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 353 | 353 | 706 | 1.059 | 353 | 303 | 6 | 0 | 388 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 531 | 506 | 119 | 28 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 116 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 235 | 261 | 401 | 663 | 166 | 265 | 22 | 2 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 571 | 536 | 129 | 38 | 4 | 17 | 26 | 155 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 283 | 422 | 705 | 181 | 301 | 27 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 546 | 512 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 20 | 28 | 162 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 197 | 243 | 361 | 604 | 164 | 238 | 30 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 356 | 338 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 99 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 255 | 352 | 607 | 130 | 280 | 28 | 3 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 27 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 259 | 231 | 490 | 297 | 19 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 25 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 18 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 278 | 375 | 653 | 188 | 177 | 22 | 11 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 129 | 121 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 143 | 140 | 283 | 33 | 189 | 44 | 4 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 31 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 161 | 167 | 328 | 33 | 150 | 19 | 3 | 128 | -27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 386 | 368 | 70 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 99 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 190 | 226 | 334 | 560 | 144 | 234 | 26 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 386 | 357 | 89 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 66 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 249 | 304 | 420 | 724 | 171 | 280 | 17 | 6 | 320 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 548 | 523 | 123 | 29 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 117 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 235 | 261 | 402 | 662 | 166 | 270 | 21 | 2 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 548 | 518 | 142 | 29 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 85 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 274 | 305 | 469 | 774 | 195 | 290 | 16 | 3 | 335 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 666 | 625 | 151 | 44 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 180 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 242 | 283 | 424 | 707 | 182 | 305 | 27 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 666 | 608 | 180 | 46 | 6 | 29 | 47 | 137 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 296 | 352 | 535 | 887 | 238 | 338 | 21 | 7 | 384 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 546 | 512 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 20 | 28 | 162 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 197 | 243 | 361 | 604 | 164 | 243 | 30 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA RAW | Nashville Sounds | — | 546 | 497 | 123 | 26 | 3 | 24 | 43 | 122 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 247 | 311 | 457 | 768 | 209 | 280 | 22 | 8 | 336 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 427 | 406 | 90 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 115 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 255 | 347 | 602 | 126 | 282 | 27 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA RAW | 4 teams | — | 427 | 397 | 107 | 22 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 91 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 270 | 316 | 418 | 734 | 149 | 322 | 21 | 6 | 324 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 160 | 152 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 | 140 | 145 | 285 | 33 | 187 | 39 | 3 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 160 | 149 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 185 | 181 | 366 | 40 | 210 | 32 | 5 | 168 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 386 | 366 | 70 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 99 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 191 | 226 | 336 | 562 | 145 | 235 | 26 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 548 | 525 | 123 | 29 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 117 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 234 | 261 | 400 | 661 | 166 | 266 | 21 | 2 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 666 | 625 | 151 | 44 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 180 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 242 | 283 | 424 | 707 | 182 | 301 | 27 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 546 | 510 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 20 | 28 | 162 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 198 | 243 | 363 | 606 | 165 | 238 | 30 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 427 | 406 | 90 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 115 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 255 | 347 | 602 | 126 | 277 | 27 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 160 | 154 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 110 | 140 | 143 | 283 | 32 | 181 | 39 | 3 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2733 | 2586 | 552 | 129 | 20 | 75 | 105 | 736 | 20 | 23 | 7 | 213 | 250 | 366 | 616 | 152 | 266 | 27 | 4 | 265 | 66 | -112 | +2 | +0 | -49 | +59 | -10.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 615 | 132 | 31 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 175 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 215 | 251 | 369 | 620 | 154 | 267 | 27 | 4 | 265 | 66 | -27 | +0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 129 PAwOBA .170 → .127 (−43)K% 35.7% → 43.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.66% | ÷0.977 | ×1.200 | — | — | 43.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.43% | ÷1.077 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.81% | ÷1.044 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 15.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.11% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 3.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷1.041 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.847 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 109, 2B 110, 3B 108, K 95, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .170 → .127; ISO .042 → .032; BABIP .227 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAltoona Curve · 31 PAwOBA .148 → .128 (−19)K% 16.1% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.13% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.23% | ÷1.004 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 2.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.978 | 11.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 3.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.912 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .148 → .128; ISO .033 → .029; BABIP .160 → .150. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAANashville Sounds · 356 PAwOBA .330 → .267 (−63)K% 20.8% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.79% | ÷0.964 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.78% | ÷1.040 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 3.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.05% | ÷0.975 | ×0.900 | ×0.961 | ×1.018 | 20.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.20% | ÷1.051 | ×0.810 | ×0.961 | ×1.018 | 6.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.39% | ÷1.018 | ×0.810 | ×0.961 | ×1.018 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.30% | ÷0.875 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 3.90% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 93, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .330 → .267; ISO .170 → .136; BABIP .327 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAHuntsville Stars · 27 PAwOBA .254 → .226 (−28)K% 14.8% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.015 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.70% | ÷0.945 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 2.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.82% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 29.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.047 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 103, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .254 → .226; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .318 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKAZL Brewers · 18 PAwOBA .320 → .210 (−111)K% 16.7% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 9.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 6.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 5.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 5.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .320 → .210; ISO .200 → .135; BABIP .250 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAANashville Sounds · 546 PAwOBA .327 → .258 (−69)K% 22.3% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.34% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.33% | ÷1.054 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.67% | ÷1.001 | ×0.900 | ×0.974 | ×1.033 | 16.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.93% | ÷1.119 | ×0.810 | ×0.974 | ×1.033 | 5.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.80% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.974 | ×1.033 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.40% | ÷0.934 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 5.52% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 124, 3B 80, K 94, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .327 → .258; ISO .209 → .164; BABIP .280 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAHuntsville Stars · 571 PAwOBA .388 → .302 (−87)K% 20.5% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.49% | ÷0.924 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.65% | ÷1.009 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 4.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.74% | ÷1.038 | ×0.920 | ×0.979 | ×1.012 | 18.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.88% | ÷0.915 | ×0.910 | ×0.979 | ×1.012 | 9.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.979 | ×1.012 | 1.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.91% | ÷1.277 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.38% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 108, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 85, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .388 → .302; ISO .261 → .186; BABIP .342 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Brevard County Manatees · 531 PAwOBA .325 → .283 (−42)K% 15.8% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.82% | ÷1.032 | ×1.420 | — | — | 21.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.20% | ÷0.941 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 2.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.14% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 17.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.71% | ÷0.881 | ×0.960 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 7.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷0.915 | ×0.810 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.56% | ÷1.017 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 3.94% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 104, 2B 76, 3B 83, K 106, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .325 → .283; ISO .190 → .167; BABIP .289 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .