Carlos Moncrief
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 27 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 276 | .244/.354/.380 | 5 | 7 | 77 | — | .234/.304/.351 | |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 286 | .271/.353/.410 | 5 | 4 | 81 | — | .227/.277/.335 | |
| 2017 | 28 | MLBSF | 43 | .211/.268/.237 | 0 | 0 | 40 | -0.6 | ||
| 2019 | 30 | AAAGenerales de … | 61 | .192/.283/.327 | 2 | 0 | 18 | — | .145/.217/.218 | |
| 2020 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 552 | 464 | 108 | 26 | 7 | 16 | 76 | 158 | 6 | 20 | 7 | 233 | 348 | 422 | 770 | 190 | 314 | 29 | 14 | 342 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | INTL | Phoenix Desert Dogs | — | 30 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 367 | 217 | 584 | 43 | 267 | 27 | 17 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 407 | 353 | 88 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 126 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 249 | 341 | 465 | 805 | 215 | 341 | 31 | 11 | 352 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 48 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 167 | 271 | 286 | 557 | 119 | 273 | 40 | 12 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Akron Aeros | — | 552 | 489 | 139 | 26 | 7 | 17 | 55 | 98 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 284 | 358 | 470 | 828 | 186 | 321 | 18 | 10 | 362 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 107 | 100 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 274 | 280 | 554 | 50 | 338 | 32 | 5 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 530 | 480 | 130 | 33 | 4 | 12 | 38 | 130 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 271 | 330 | 431 | 761 | 160 | 347 | 25 | 7 | 333 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 121 | 108 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 339 | 343 | 681 | 83 | 360 | 26 | 11 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 203 | 166 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 59 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 187 | 325 | 331 | 656 | 145 | 235 | 29 | 16 | 302 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 237 | 199 | 52 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 28 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 261 | 368 | 397 | 765 | 136 | 286 | 12 | 14 | 342 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 201 | 165 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 297 | 411 | 418 | 829 | 121 | 348 | 15 | 15 | 370 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 209 | 176 | 46 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 261 | 372 | 409 | 781 | 148 | 308 | 18 | 13 | 351 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 67 | 58 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 299 | 293 | 592 | 103 | 268 | 25 | 13 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 43 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 268 | 237 | 505 | 26 | 320 | 35 | 7 | 226 | 40 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 190 | 171 | 49 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 287 | 351 | 421 | 772 | 135 | 376 | 24 | 9 | 342 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 96 | 80 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 358 | 388 | 745 | 150 | 291 | 24 | 16 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA | Generales de Durango | — | 61 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 283 | 327 | 610 | 135 | 195 | 16 | 10 | 274 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 43 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 268 | 237 | 505 | 26 | 320 | 35 | 7 | 226 | 39 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 552 | 489 | 87 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 51 | 217 | 6 | 20 | 7 | 178 | 264 | 305 | 568 | 127 | 284 | 39 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 407 | 373 | 67 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 186 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 180 | 239 | 343 | 582 | 164 | 297 | 46 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Akron Aeros | — | 552 | 509 | 134 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 121 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 263 | 312 | 426 | 738 | 163 | 307 | 22 | 6 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 530 | 495 | 120 | 28 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 154 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 242 | 282 | 376 | 657 | 133 | 321 | 29 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 203 | 178 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 70 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 157 | 250 | 258 | 508 | 101 | 212 | 34 | 10 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 237 | 210 | 52 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 33 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 248 | 325 | 371 | 696 | 124 | 270 | 14 | 10 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 209 | 188 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 48 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 234 | 304 | 351 | 655 | 117 | 284 | 23 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 43 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 268 | 237 | 505 | 26 | 320 | 35 | 7 | 228 | 40 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 190 | 176 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 59 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 227 | 277 | 335 | 612 | 108 | 321 | 31 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Generales de Durango | — | 61 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 145 | 217 | 218 | 435 | 73 | 161 | 21 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 582 | 514 | 91 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 229 | 8 | 20 | 7 | 177 | 266 | 300 | 565 | 123 | 291 | 39 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 582 | 487 | 112 | 27 | 7 | 16 | 81 | 166 | 8 | 20 | 7 | 230 | 349 | 413 | 762 | 183 | 312 | 29 | 14 | 340 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 455 | 417 | 73 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 207 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 175 | 236 | 331 | 566 | 156 | 298 | 45 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 455 | 395 | 95 | 25 | 4 | 16 | 52 | 145 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 241 | 333 | 446 | 779 | 205 | 335 | 32 | 11 | 342 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 659 | 607 | 159 | 28 | 8 | 18 | 42 | 145 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 262 | 312 | 423 | 735 | 161 | 313 | 22 | 6 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 659 | 589 | 162 | 28 | 7 | 18 | 60 | 132 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 275 | 344 | 438 | 782 | 163 | 324 | 20 | 9 | 344 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 651 | 611 | 146 | 34 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 189 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 239 | 277 | 370 | 647 | 131 | 325 | 29 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 651 | 588 | 158 | 39 | 4 | 13 | 51 | 162 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 269 | 331 | 415 | 746 | 146 | 349 | 25 | 8 | 329 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 641 | 564 | 116 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 64 | 151 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 206 | 290 | 316 | 606 | 110 | 256 | 24 | 10 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 641 | 530 | 132 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 97 | 117 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 249 | 368 | 383 | 751 | 134 | 294 | 18 | 15 | 338 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 276 | 250 | 57 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 63 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 228 | 296 | 340 | 636 | 112 | 286 | 23 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 276 | 234 | 57 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 37 | 55 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 244 | 354 | 380 | 734 | 137 | 299 | 20 | 13 | 333 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 329 | 303 | 67 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 104 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 221 | 272 | 307 | 579 | 86 | 323 | 32 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 329 | 289 | 76 | 21 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 83 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 263 | 343 | 388 | 730 | 125 | 346 | 25 | 11 | 325 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Generales de Durango | — | 61 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 145 | 217 | 218 | 435 | 73 | 167 | 21 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA RAW | Generales de Durango | — | 61 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 283 | 327 | 610 | 135 | 195 | 16 | 10 | 274 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 582 | 515 | 91 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 229 | 8 | 20 | 7 | 177 | 266 | 299 | 565 | 122 | 284 | 39 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 455 | 419 | 73 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 207 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 174 | 236 | 329 | 565 | 155 | 297 | 45 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 659 | 610 | 159 | 28 | 8 | 18 | 42 | 145 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 261 | 312 | 421 | 733 | 161 | 307 | 22 | 6 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 651 | 614 | 146 | 34 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 189 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 238 | 277 | 368 | 645 | 130 | 321 | 29 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 641 | 569 | 116 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 64 | 151 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 204 | 290 | 313 | 603 | 109 | 243 | 24 | 10 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 276 | 250 | 57 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 63 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 228 | 296 | 340 | 636 | 112 | 284 | 23 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 329 | 305 | 67 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 104 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 220 | 272 | 305 | 577 | 85 | 321 | 32 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Generales de Durango | — | 61 | 56 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 217 | 214 | 431 | 71 | 161 | 21 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 43 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 268 | 237 | 505 | 26 | 320 | 35 | 7 | 226 | 72 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 574 | 121 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 227 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 268 | 237 | 505 | 26 | 321 | 35 | 7 | 226 | 72 | -47 | +0 | -6 | -53 | +14 | -9.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3654 | 3321 | 717 | 149 | 26 | 75 | 264 | 1101 | 24 | 90 | 28 | 216 | 278 | 344 | 623 | 128 | 296 | 30 | 7 | 274 | 72 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 128 | 27 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 196 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 217 | 279 | 345 | 624 | 129 | 298 | 30 | 7 | 274 | 72 | -47 | +0 | -6 | -53 | +14 | -9.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAGenerales de Durango · 61 PAwOBA .271 → .195 (−76)K% 16.4% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.39% | ÷0.946 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.84% | ÷1.118 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 5.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.034 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.962 | 14.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.163 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.962 | 1.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.311 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 2.45% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 162, 1B 107, 2B 133, 3B 130, K 89, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .271 → .195; ISO .135 → .076; BABIP .195 → .161. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAASacramento River Cats · 190 PAwOBA .333 → .265 (−68)K% 23.7% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.68% | ÷0.989 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.42% | ÷0.952 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 6.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷1.027 | ×0.900 | ×1.013 | ×0.982 | 20.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.49% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | ×1.013 | ×0.982 | 11.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.810 | ×1.013 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.59% | ÷0.889 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 1.37% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 84, K 98, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .333 → .265; ISO .135 → .107; BABIP .376 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 209 PAwOBA .341 → .284 (−57)K% 18.2% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.92% | ÷1.155 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 7.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷0.994 | ×0.970 | ×1.011 | ×0.968 | 20.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.97% | ÷0.975 | ×0.860 | ×1.011 | ×0.968 | 6.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.011 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.62% | ÷0.978 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 2.80% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 95, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .341 → .284; ISO .148 → .124; BABIP .308 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAkron RubberDucks · 237 PAwOBA .334 → .302 (−32)K% 11.8% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.81% | ÷1.019 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.92% | ÷0.934 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 10.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷0.971 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×0.978 | 20.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.053 | ×0.860 | ×1.016 | ×0.978 | 4.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.016 | ×0.978 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.34% | ÷0.842 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 2.12% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 104, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .334 → .302; ISO .136 → .122; BABIP .286 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAColumbus Clippers · 203 PAwOBA .295 → .232 (−63)K% 29.1% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.06% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.27% | ÷1.068 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.63% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×1.007 | ×1.003 | 18.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.80% | ÷1.019 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×1.003 | 2.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.007 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.54% | ÷1.217 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 4.53% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 102, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .295 → .232; ISO .145 → .106; BABIP .235 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAColumbus Clippers · 530 PAwOBA .322 → .283 (−39)K% 24.5% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.53% | ÷1.016 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.23% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.14% | ÷1.034 | ×0.930 | ×1.047 | ×1.018 | 22.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.43% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | ×1.047 | ×1.018 | 7.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.007 | ×0.970 | ×1.047 | ×1.018 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.43% | ÷1.028 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 2.85% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .322 → .283; ISO .160 → .138; BABIP .347 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAkron Aeros · 552 PAwOBA .354 → .318 (−37)K% 17.8% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.75% | ÷0.984 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.42% | ÷1.029 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.18% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.76% | ÷1.037 | ×0.970 | ×1.048 | ×0.998 | 22.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.65% | ÷1.001 | ×0.860 | ×1.048 | ×0.998 | 5.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.049 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | ×0.998 | 1.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.879 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.85% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 110, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .354 → .318; ISO .186 → .169; BABIP .321 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Carolina Mudcats · 407 PAwOBA .342 → .250 (−93)K% 31.0% → 45.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.96% | ÷0.963 | ×1.420 | — | — | 45.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.81% | ÷1.035 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 6.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.26% | ÷1.054 | ×0.940 | ×1.029 | ×0.988 | 18.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.13% | ÷1.054 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×0.988 | 8.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.76% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×1.029 | ×0.988 | 1.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.61% | ÷0.895 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 6.56% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 111, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 93, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .342 → .250; ISO .215 → .169; BABIP .341 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .